10/19/2023

speaker
Stefan
CEO

Welcome to Fabergé's presentation for the Q3 2023. As usual, we will finish up with a question and answer session. And also, as usual, it's possible to submit questions by email to ir.fabergé.se, and you can do that through the question and answer session. On the first slide, we see a short summary of Fabergé today. As you know, we're still focused on the Stockholm And especially in times like this, I think that is a really strength. Have a local focus with also local property management and we do all that internally with our own staff. The summary for the first nine months is that you increase the rental income and also the operating surplus. But on the other hand, we all know that also the interest cost increased. Despite that, we were able to just have a small, slightly low management profit. And I think that also shows the strength in the daily work that is done by our organization. We will come back to the negative value changes in the property portfolio. We have, so we will tell you more about that later. The net letting, we're doing it the negative will be a little bit more than 20 million. That will mean that for the first three months we have a negative net letting of minus three. We will tell you more about that later on too also. But I'd like to also say that in August we announced that the letter we have signed for note and four, that was with SAAB. The work on that Translating the net of intent into a lease agreement is well underway. And we now estimate when it will be announced, or when it will be completed, and we will also at that time announce more details. And that will be during the fourth quarter of this year. And they will move in during the second half of 2025, but more about that later. We had an increased occupation rate. With that said, I would also like to change things to Åsa, who will report our results and financing in more detail. So please go ahead, Åsa.

speaker
Åsa
CFO / Head of Results and Financing

Thank you, Stefan. Increased rental income and improved net operating income almost cover, but not completely, the increase in interest expenses. However, during both the second and the third quarters individually, we reported a higher profit from property management compared to the previous year. Increased yield requirements in the property portfolio have continued to put pressure on property values. Rental income amounted to 2.5 billion, corresponding to an increase of 12% in an identical portfolio. The increase in income was mainly due to the index-linked increase that entered into effect at year-end. Higher parking revenue and positive net occupations during the period, of which Conventum's move into Bakken 39 was the largest. This was partly offset by a negative effect after the Swedish tax agency's relocation from Nasdaq 4 on last of March 2022. Other income, 11 million, refers to Farby Gear's share of the electricity support that was paid out during the quarter. Increased operating expenses were mainly due to acquired and completed properties which entered into operation and higher costs for snow clearance. The surplus ratio came in at 75%. The Bostad's gross profit amounted to 23 million, as six projects were completed and where final recognition occurred during this period. And central administration costs came in at minus 81 million. Interest expenses increased compared to the previous year, which was due to a slightly increased loan volume and higher average interest rate. The average interest rate increased from 2.39% at year ends to 3.16% at the turn of the quarter, gradually impacted by higher market interest rates. The result in associated companies amounted to 31 million, of which minus 54 million related to the period's capital contribution to Ariana Bellagio. plus 75 million related to income recognition in the Haganada residential project, and 10 million related to contributions from the Ebolstad's co-owned projects. And we therefore reported profits from property management of 1.1 billion, which is almost the same figure as in the previous year. Improved net operating income has, as stated, almost offset the increased interest expenses. Unrealized changes in value amounted to minus 5.4 billion, and I will come back to this very soon. The surplus value in the derivatives portfolio decreased by 150 million. And last, the tax expense, which only related to deferred tax, was positive and amounted to plus 850. The increased market interest rates have continued to have an impact on yield requirements and valuations. There were still only a few transactions carried out in our market. During the quarter, we have independently valued approximately 55% of our portfolio. The rest of the properties have been valued internally. The average yield requirement in our portfolio increased by a further eight basis points in the quarter to 4.25%. The inflation assumptions are the same as the previous quarter, in other words, 6%. The average yield requirement is now back at a level equivalent to what we reported at mid-year 2018. Total unrealized changes in value amounted to minus 5.4 billion, and the changes in value in Q3 were almost exclusively due to increased yield requirements. Simulation shows that we can withstand further write downs of just over 15% based on today's market valuation without breaching our internal targets. and the margin is even higher in relation to the covenant in our bank agreement. Reported equity decreased during the quarter and amounted to 131 crowns per share, and the EFRA NRV amounted to 157 crowns per share. The loan-to-value ratio increased to 42 percent, and the equity asset ratio decreased to 47 percent. However, both key ratios continue to demonstrate a very strong balance sheet. The interest coverage ratio, as expected, has decreased in line with increased interest expenses and amounted to 2.5. Financing continues to remain in focus in the current market climate. The commercial paper market is functioning well, and the banks continue to show that they have more capital to lend to the sector. The bond market is still volatile, but has become stronger during the autumn. During the year, we have repaid bond maturities of 2 billion in total. In February, we carried out a smaller issue of 250 million. After that, the market was quiet until September, when we issued 700 million in a two-year bond. at the margin of 200 basis points. Indications from the banks show that the spreads are slightly lower today, and now in October, we issued another 300 million in a three-year bond at the margin of 212 basis points. During the year, we have secured 2.9 billion in new bank facilities, also paid out. In connection with the sale of Origen and Gladion, We redeemed a temporary bank loan, which will be taken out again, however. Refinancing up to and including Q3 2024 are ready with binding term sheets. In October, we received the payment for the sale of Oregon and Gladion. In addition, new bank facilities of 2.6 billion have been agreed upon. Adjusted for this, unutilized facilities amount to just over 8 billion, including the backup facility for outstanding commercial paper. So we feel secure in having the capacity to meet upcoming bond maturities during next year. We have worked for many years to spread our loan maturities. The slide here shows how the maturity profile looks. The strategy of long-term fixed rate periods is unchanged and we aim for distribution of our non-stock among federal funding sources. The short-term funding via commercial paper, the green bar in the chart, is fully covered by backup facilities. And as stated, we have facilities in place to cover the bond maturities in 2024 if required. However, we would still prefer to continue to be active in the bond market. 60% of the loan portfolio is fixed, mainly based on long-term maturities and mostly through straightforward interest rate swaps, supplemented by some fixed rate bonds. Just over 40% of the current loan portfolio is matched by fixed rate terms beyond 2025. During the spring and autumn, we have entered into callable interest rate swaps with the aim of reducing our interest expense. In the longer term, we aim to replace maturities with new long-term fixed rate periods. The high proportion of fixed rate terms today give us protection against rising market interest rates. In the short term, the higher market interest rates will thus have a more limited effect on our interest expenses. For a rolling 12-month period ahead, an increase in the market interest rate will generate an increased interest expense of approximately $133 million. all else unchanged. And then back to Stefan.

speaker
Stefan
CEO

So thank you also. As we said, we think this is a strong result from the daily work, from the daily operation, but we are in a very challenging market. It's no surprise for any of us, I think. It's only a little bit more than one and a half years since we left the pandemic, for the most of the pandemic situation, But also that was the same time when Russia invaded Ukraine. It was the same time when the rapid share price started in inflation, when they started large interest rates, when they started to increase interest rates very quickly. Now we also have the situation in the Middle East. So of course, it changes times. And in Sweden, it's mainly been seen in the transaction market. The transaction markets right now, we see very few transactions in the whole market. There's still a very good demand for logistics and light industrials. But in many other markets and segments, it's relatively low volumes right now. We can say that in the CBD or in the most central parts of Stockholm, if there will be a good demand, if there would be anything for sale. During the summer, we announced that we had signed an agreement with Enrep to sell the properties of OEM 7 in Sundbyberg and Gladion 12 in Stadsagen. Enrep has been acquiring both properties for about 3.4 billion Swedish kronor. which also is consistent with the valuation we had. The properties were taken over on October 12th, so now they are in the portfolio of NREP. When talking about the rental development in Stockholm, I think still it's very strong in both demand and level of the rents in the CBD of Stockholm. We have seen some contracts signed in both our own and in some colleagues, competitors, on very good levels and also at some historical record levels. In the inner city, still a little bit more strong, but not as strong as it was in the beginning of before the summer. We see it takes a little bit longer, even if it continues to take a long time for decisions, and we see a little bit less demand after summer, we have to say. In Solna, in our arenas, there's still good demand, but in Solna Business Park, we have a lot of activities. But in some parts of Stockholm, we see more challenging times. And we think if we look at JLM's property clock, I think we are definitely declining rental growth. We have no growth any longer for most of the Stockholm area. But on the other hand, we have a lot of help with the 11% indexation last year. So it's not a surprise, because we think that that indexation helped us to come up to very good levels. But we don't see any big downturn in the rents neither. So it's just okay market, but less, I will say less activity after the summer. And that's also what we see in the rent in our portfolio. The vacancies are still very, very low in the CBD, growing a little bit in the inner city. In some of the suburbs, it's on the relative stable levels. That's the same in Solna and Sjöberg. But in other parts, like Sista, it's continuing to increase. What we're working a lot with, as you know, is flexible solutions. We think that the demand for more flexibility is part of the modern to be modern and also to what we can or what the tenants are looking for. We have also launched a couple of new concepts during the 2023. For example, the moving offices for now, where as for many four or five years whether they work away from work for our existing tenants that they can have an give the opportunity for the employees to sit in other parts of Stockholm if they need to during some hours or maybe a day. We also have some co-working areas in some of our locations and we will start a dog care product called Vov within the next month. Everything to be more Flexible also gets better margins at the end, and also better to be able to attract the tenants for longer time. The net letting for the January-September, as I already said, was negative. And for the first nine months, it had minus 3 million. We have in the CBD, we still have positive. And part of this is that we had one tenant that we had to discuss with to help them to decrease the area because they have financial problems. So we have a large part of the Q3 is actually from one of them, or from that situation. But as we said also, for the rest of the year, we are positive, since we also have the discussion over the contract we are right about that before. Next slide, please. This year, as seen before, we think it's important to have it in the presentation every time, but we have a very few cash tenants. We have very large tenants for representing 40 to 24% of the rent, but they have very stable long-term contracts with stable Swedish companies, mainly Swedish companies. In the renegotiations, since we bought the 11% from the 1st of January, We have said over the year that we expect the renegotiations to be about current agreement, the continued current contracts. And that's also on unchanged terms, so we're just extending them. And that's also what we see for most of the contracts. It's also important to say that we have continued to develop the opposite rates in a positive way. We are right now at 91%. The goal is, as you remember, 95%. But it will take some years for us, a couple of years to come down, to go with that. I also used to show you the forecast for the rental development in the existing lease portfolio, and from what we know today, for the next four quarters. And as you can see here, since we have sold, the two properties to NREP, it will decrease to about 810 million for the next four quarters, but we also have to stress that this is before any indexation, so this is without any indexation, and this is from what we know today. We continue, for the next two slides we'll see on the portfolio, as we said, as you know, we have this year said that we will invest about 2.9 billion and for the first nine months it was a little bit less of 2.2. So we're following the plan. When we see the project portfolio is well known names, we will continue to work with the existing products. We are not right now starting any big new ones. We will hope especially in Hagenora, to continue to develop that area. But we still have problems with the building costs. They've been coming down a little bit, but when the raw material came down, the cost for labour and the cost of some of the other products came up, especially. because of this Swedish Krona. Here we also see NRTN4. That will be updated when we can announce more about the details, the agreement we will end. So this will be updated in the next quarter. as we said before. Talking a little bit about the residentials, we are continuing to, with the projects we have, running since before. They are running as expected. We have completed six projects during that period. We are continuing to sell apartments, both in the area of Oslo and in RGV with Bravo in Håganora. In Håganora, we can say that we have only five apartments left out of 418. So it's continuing to be a very successful project, and that's also where we look forward to hopefully starting the next project neighbor to the first one. Also, please tell us a little bit about the sustainability work and what we're doing right now.

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