speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Hello and welcome to the H&M conference call six-month report for 2022. For the first part of this call, all participants will be in a listen-only mode during the speaker presentation, and afterwards, there will be a question and answer session. If you wish to ask a question, you will need to press 01 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. And please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. Today, I'm pleased to present Nils Vinge, Head of Investor Relations, and I'll now hand you over to our speakers. Please begin.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. Hi, everyone. Thank you all for joining us today, and welcome to this telephone conference about the H&M Group's six-month results 2022. With me today is our CEO, Helena Helmersson, and our CFO, Adam Karlsson. We will start with a short summary of the second quarter. After that, we will be happy to answer your questions. You'll find the six-month report on hmgroup.com, investor relations. Now, I'll hand over to you, Helena.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Thank you, Nils. H&M Group's strong development continued during the second quarter. Well-received collections led to further increase in full-price sales and decrease in markdowns. The physical store remains much appreciated by our customers with sales increasing substantially during the second quarter while online sales continued to perform well. This once again shows the value of having both physical and digital channels which strengthen and complement each other. We are therefore continuing the integration of our sales channels to offer customers a smooth and inspiring experience. At the same time, we also continue with our store optimization to make sure that we have the right store in the right place. Our customer offering is well positioned and we are fully focused on meeting customers' ever-increasing expectations of affordable and sustainable fashion. When, where and how they choose. As you all know, we started the year by communicating our 2030 goal when we are to double sales while at the same time halving the carbon emissions. Profitability is to exceed 10% over time. To achieve these goals, we focus on three growth areas. First and foremost, H&M, which is one of the world's largest fashion destinations with several billions of visits yearly in-store and online across the world. We are continuing to develop the customer experience by further broadening the assortment and services for H&M. And while doing this, we strengthen our existing relationships with our customers and also attract new ones by offering them unbeatable value with the best combination of fashion, quality and price in a sustainable way. H&M is now accelerating its investment. expansion in region North and South America with focus in Latin America where a large number of leases have been signed for new stores. Our second growth area is portfolio brands and business ventures and during the second quarter we saw a strong sales development especially for COS and other stories and archives. In addition, the majority-owned SELPI, an e-commerce platform for second-hand sales, also continued to perform well with doubled sales in the second quarter. SELPI is available in 24 markets in Europe and is a good example of how we continuously work on developing new circular business models. and how investments in sustainability provide H&M Group with long-term business opportunities. Our third growth area is investments and partnerships. We continue to invest through our investment arm CoLab. And in a short time, these investments have created significant value both financially and also in the existing operations, for example, by improving the customer experience and enabling innovation in sustainable materials. Two companies that we have invested in are RenuCell and Infinited Fiber Company. They are now scaling up. And thanks to our early investments, we have already started using their innovative and sustainable materials in our collections, as well as securing additional access for many years to come. We also continue to invest in other areas, particularly within tech, the supply chain and sustainability. Looking ahead, Most of the restrictions related to the COVID-19 pandemic essentially seems to be over, but there are still many challenges. Disruptions and delays in the supply of goods remain but are gradually mitigated. At the same time, we are seeing substantial inflation. We are deeply concerned about the war in Ukraine and sympathize with all those affected. The consequences for our business are continually being evaluated. We are actively looking at various options to find solutions that give consideration to customers and colleagues as well as the impact on the business as a whole. We have long experienced in dealing with challenges in the global economy and we are currently carrying out extensive work to prioritize initiatives, redistribute resources and to ensure continued good profitability. Now it is more important than ever to be flexible and take quick decisions to navigate in a rapidly changing world. Customers should always feel confident that all the group's brands provide the best combination of fashion, price, quality and sustainability. We see good opportunities for profitable long-term and sustainable growth as we have strong customer focus, fantastic and committed colleagues, close relationships with business partners and a robust financial position. Thank you very much for listening, and we're now happy to take your questions.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thank you. And just as a reminder, if you do wish to ask a question, please press 01 on your telephone keypad now. Our first question comes from the line of Fredrik Iversen from ABG. Please go ahead.

speaker
Fredrik Iversen
Analyst, ABG

Thank you very much, everybody. Two questions from me, please. First one on the external brands that you led on to the H&M platform during the year. If you could talk a little bit about the learnings and also maybe whether it is a driver for the increase in stock in trade or if that's not a significant impact at this point.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Right. Yes, so we have been testing now to bring in more brands on H&M.com, and that is one of the initiatives to broaden our customer offering. So far, the results we have seen from the customers is very positive. So looking at selling cross-brands seems to give a lot of value, but so far it's a little bit early to draw some final conclusions. So we're following the development in Sweden and Germany carefully. But so far, it seems to be much appreciated by our customers.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

And on the stock side, it has no material impact at this point. As Helena said, we're testing and testing fairly small into markets.

speaker
Fredrik Iversen
Analyst, ABG

Perfect. Thank you. And the other, on the portfolio brands, you gave us the growth pace and have been doing so for a while. But can you give us a sense for the actual share of sales? I believe it was like 7-8% back in 2018.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Right. We don't give exact numbers per brand or ratio, but of course we're really happy to see the progress. when it comes to both H&M brand, but also the different portfolio brands. And here we're highlighting the brands that is kind of showing fantastic results when it comes to sales this quarter.

speaker
Fredrik Iversen
Analyst, ABG

Perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Charlie Morsens from BNP. Please go ahead.

speaker
Charlie Morsens
Representative, BNP

Yes, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. I've got three, but I'll give you briefly one in turn. The first is with respect to CapEx guidance. I think at the start of the year you talked about 10 billion krona, but you've only spent about 2 billion so far, and yet your growth store openings plan doesn't seem to have really changed. I wondered if you still stick to that 10 billion view.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

No, we are revising that down, and right now we're looking at 20% to 30% cut, perhaps, due to the circumstances, of course, that have happened. But we still remain focused on reaching the 2030 targets, so there is just a delay in the investments. And connected to that, I think it's important to mention the push we're doing in Latin America now.

speaker
Charlie Morsens
Representative, BNP

Thank you very much. The second question relates to input cost pressures, which you've indicated in the statement remain negative. I wonder if you can clarify, do you expect those to become incrementally more negative as we go into the second half, and how should we think about your most recent pricing actions being in terms of offsetting that?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

we have throughout the quarter been successful with having a very strong offering and that has led us to increasing full price sales which has mitigated some part of these negative input factors. We believe that that sort of overall journey will continue but we also see that some of the negative factors are slightly worsening as the currency effect has sort of turned against us to a greater extent now lately. So All in all, I think on the sort of material and transportation side, it's fairly stable, but the currency side is the uncertainty right now.

speaker
Charlie Morsens
Representative, BNP

Thanks. And one final brief one, if I may. With respect to the June current trading, thank you very much for sharing that number. And I think you flagged that the comparative base eases at least on a one-year view. I don't know if it's fair to compare with 2019, given all of the disruption of COVID over the last couple of years, but it does look like Compared with that year, June has been a lot softer than was implied in April and May. Are you seeing any signs of a softening consumer or do you put that down to the weather or are there any other particular factors we should bear in mind?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We attribute the absolute majority to in 2019, a week sort of spring and a very strong start of the summer. So we have both years actually here in 2021. tough comparative figures due to the sort of pent-up demand when stores opened again. And in 2019, we had a very strong weather-driven demand during early June.

speaker
Charlie Morsens
Representative, BNP

Many thanks.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Adam Cochran from Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Representative, Deutsche Bank

Hi, good afternoon. Two questions, if I can. In terms of looking at the OPEX profile, how do you think about managing the OPEX sales ratios into the second half if the consumer environment is slightly weaker but we've still got inflation running through the cost base in terms of people, costs, et cetera? And then secondly, in terms of the long-term growth ambitions, compared to balancing with short-term profitability. I noticed, for example, that you closed down the Treadler sourcing opportunity, which I think some people thought was quite exciting. Could you just talk about how you're balancing short-term versus long-term priorities, please?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Starting on the OPEC side, I think here we can say that we're bringing with us some of the learnings from the COVID and the pandemic here. Some of the effects, particularly on the rent side, will continue throughout the autumn here that we have. more flexibility, higher share of sales-based and turnover-based rents and a good sort of setup when it comes to our agreements with our landlords and partners on the real estate side. On how we run our stores, we do have a lot of learnings from also the COVID period where we look to find more customer experience, enhancing features such as self-checkout and so forth. So that is part of our ambition to both combine then a higher customer experience with also running the stores in an efficient and modern way.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

And when it comes to long-term versus short-term you know what we are setting us up to achieve when it comes to the 2030 targets on growth, profitability and CO2 emissions. And of course, related to that is both growing our core, like we just explained, the H&M brand and portfolio brands and so forth. But it's also about looking into new initiatives where we see that there is a need on the market and where we see that we have strengths. Treadler was such an initiative where we know that we have a lot of competitive strengths when it comes to sustainability and supply chain. And we have learned so much of developing that business and doing a business that is more business to business. However, when looking into the progress, it has not been... as expected. We have not been able to grow as fast as we would have wanted, meaning that right now it doesn't seem that the market is there to the extent that we thought when it comes to sustainable supply chain. And that's why we, in the midst of prioritizing different initiatives, that we of course had to do even more due to the environments and what happened in countries around us, we then decided to not continue with that. So we have a lot of learnings and we will for sure try out new business models also moving forward.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Representative, Deutsche Bank

On the OPEX point, if we can just follow up, is it fair to say that you've got a number of efficiency measures that you feel confident that you can improve your OPEX sales ratios in the second half of the year despite a more conservative consumer backdrop.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We do have a number of initiatives ongoing to ensure that we always focus on shifting our time and resources towards creating a good customer experience. So we are trying to optimize as many of the manual processes as possible, and this, we believe, will support both us from a customer experience point of view, but also with the intention to, in an inflationary environment, to mitigate parts of the cost increases.

speaker
Adam Cochran
Representative, Deutsche Bank

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Rebecca McLellan from Santander. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rebecca McLellan
Representative, Santander

Yes, good morning. Good afternoon, sorry. Just in terms of stock in trade, I think it was 19.2% on a rolling 12-month at the end of 2Q or 1H. What would that have been if you exclude goods in Russia and goods that were intended for Russia?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We quantified also in the Q1 report that at that time with the exchange rate and the ruble rate at that point in time, the stock in Russia was about 1.1 billion SEK. Since then, the ruble has appreciated a lot, which now gives us a sort of stock value in Swedish SEK of just north of 2 billion. And that is the absolute majority of the stock with relation to Russia. But there is a portion that we have had to cut. move around and to adjust sort of the destination of as we had also garments bought for Russia that we now have diverted to other markets in primarily Europe.

speaker
Rebecca McLellan
Representative, Santander

And presumably that will go into the summer sales because it's sort of spring summer inventory.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

I mean, it is the same inventory as we have. So it's difficult to say exactly how that will play out. But as it is sort of incremental over what we had initially planned for this market, we are a little bit more cautious on the markdown outlook for the third quarter. But it is too early to say because it is just more of what has been a strong assortment so far. So it's difficult to assess the exact effect.

speaker
Rebecca McLellan
Representative, Santander

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Next question comes from the line of Richard Chamberlain from RBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Richard Chamberlain
Representative, RBC

Thank you. Thanks for taking the questions. A couple from me, please. First of all, can I ask a question on China? What are your plans now for your store, number of stores, store footprint there? Is it your intention now to focus much more on online sales in that market?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

That's my first one. Overall looking at China we're still in a complex situation and not obviously on the levels that we would have wished for but we believe a lot in the market as such and we are now working hard with making sure that we have a locally relevant also assortment and experience and we're in dialogue with different stakeholders. Looking at the physical stores versus digital sales channels, this is also a market where we believe in both. So obviously we are optimizing our store portfolio in this market, looking at the situation that we're in, same as we're doing in all other markets. But we truly believe that it will be a combination also here of physical stores and digital sales channels.

speaker
Richard Chamberlain
Representative, RBC

Okay, thank you for that. Can I just ask one as well on these tech initiatives? I think you called out... as costing 500 million SEC in Q2. What should we expect for those in the second half? And do you have a kind of equivalent cash flow figure for those investments? What is the sort of cash expense, if you like, and what was that sort of prior to the pandemic? Thank you.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Well, as our digital business increases and most likely will continue to increase, the investment in tech and tech is part of pretty much everything we do and all of our processes. you can expect an increased level of digital investments compared to 2019. So we believe that the level of somewhere around 500 million above last year is a fair assessment of the rest of the year as well. And on the cash flow side, we have, as we are sort of testing more and we are also seeing the tech as part of our just running operations, the majority of it will be taken of the result as it looks like now.

speaker
Richard Chamberlain
Representative, RBC

Okay. That's great. Thanks very much.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Daria Nasledisheva from Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daria Nasledisheva
Representative, Bank of America

Hi, this is Daria from Bank of America. Thank you very much for taking my questions. I have two. The first one, would you be able to give us some more color around development of store-based and online revenues this quarter? You said online continues to do well, but what does this mean in terms of like year-on-year growth? Is it still positive? And my second one would be if you could please comment if you're seeing any changes in consumer behavior at all, because I know you're closely monitoring the situation. obviously in light of inflationary pressures and falling consumer confidence. Thank you very much.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Okay, if you look at the online, offline, first of all, there is no offline anymore. Everything is online, I would say, because the digital and the physical are being integrated and customers want both. So by separating the different channels doesn't really add any value. All we see is that the shift continues. And if you start from pre-COVID levels, of course, there's a much bigger shift e-commerce business than pre-pandemic, so to speak. Whereas this year, now when customers finally can get out and meet physically and we see that they love to get back to stores, of course, we have seen a fantastic recovery in physical stores and, of course, still a good development online, but not as good as last year.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

And when looking at customer behaviors and sentiments, of course, we're following that carefully. And right now, we cannot see a big impact only looking at the inflation and the buying power. We see that customers really appreciate our customer offer. On the other hand, of course, we are a great option for affordable and sustainable fashion. So obviously, this is also a period in time for us to strengthen our position further. We should also remember that there are different factors affecting customer behavior right now. Of course, one part is the inflation, but also the fact that restrictions have been lifted in many of the markets. And it seems like customers really like to socialize again, go to physical stores again, dress in colorful fashion and having fun with their friends. So there's kind of different forces right now. But all in all, we see that they appreciate what we offer. Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Georgina Johanen from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Georgina Johanen
Representative, JP Morgan

Thank you. Thanks for taking my question. And I've got three quick ones, please. I'll ask them one by one. The first one was with regards to the external factors into Q3. And I think you mentioned that material and transport was stable. Do you mean that the drag is similar year on year to that seen in Q2? Or do you mean that because of annualisation, that is now actually a stable impact on the gross margin year-on-year. No impact, sorry, year-on-year.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

What we meant is that the situation is not further worsening. That is what we can see sequentially on the commodities side and the transportation side, but of course still inflated compared to a year back. In addition to that, we have a slightly more negative currency situation. sequentially not worsening, but sort of stable on an elevated level compared to last year.

speaker
Georgina Johanen
Representative, JP Morgan

Okay, great. Thank you. My second question was just with regards to the price increases that you're putting through, can you just comment on how the consumers reacting to those please, if you're seeing any volume impact and sort of plans for pricing, you're still planning the same level of price increases going forward as previously?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Well, looking at how to mitigate the inflation, of course, we have to adjust our prices as well. We do it in a rather dynamic way, looking at customer sentiments per market and also our competitive position, obviously, and trying to do that on different product types in different markets. What is most important for us of course when we do this is to make sure that customers can still trust us to have the very best value for money and with that I mean best combination of fashion, price, quality and sustainability. And so far it seems the feedback from customers is definitely that we still have that position and hopefully we can strengthen that position further. So we're following the development as closely as we can to make sure that we do this in the right way.

speaker
Georgina Johanen
Representative, JP Morgan

Thank you. And my final question was just, you helpfully called out the loss from Russia and Belarus and Ukraine in the second quarter. Should we assume a similar level of loss in Q3 and Q4 or is that perhaps fading as you're taking sort of more mitigating actions in those geography states?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We had a fairly flexible cost base in Russia so we quite immediately could sort of adjust costs so I think this level is a good assessment also how it could look forward looking.

speaker
Georgina Johanen
Representative, JP Morgan

very helpful. Thank you very much.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

I think a clarification on the gross margin is of course the input factors of what we buy right now that is not sequentially worsening but of course we saw a worsening during the early spring and that is then of course coming in and starting to affect the sold margins right now. So it's that we see that these sort of input factors are starting to to stabilize, but that is for what we buy now that will then be sold later, so to say. So that's a clarification regarding the sequential effect on the external factors.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Thank you. And reminding of the US dollar is the primary driver now of input costs going further, going forward. Yep. Yep.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Rosie Sheppard from Retail Week. Please go ahead. Hi, hello.

speaker
Rosie Sheppard
Representative, Retail Week

Thanks for taking my question. I've just got one for you. I'm just wondering how you're feeling about the prospect that a number of your key markets will be heading into recession sometime soon. And how are you preparing for that? And if you're looking back to the previous financial crisis for any kind of lessons there?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

We have a long experience of also dealing with ups and downs. Now we're in a recession and we see a lot of cost inflation and of course we are in a rather extreme situation looking at the industry as a whole or several industries. We see this also as a way to strengthen our position because we stand for value for money and again the combination of fashion quality, price and sustainability. It's very clear that there is a demand for affordable and sustainable fashion. So we actually think that we can strengthen our position further and this is exactly what our customers need. Okay.

speaker
Rosie Sheppard
Representative, Retail Week

Is there any specific lessons you've taken from last time?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Well, for example, when adjusting prices like we have to do as well, doing that in a very dynamic way, so meaning that we're doing it differently in different markets and being even closer to customer sentiments and feedback and making sure that we're competitive on each market is important. a good way forward and a great learning from before that we treat each market a little bit differently. Okay, perfect. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Dimitri Dimitrov from Shores. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dimitri Dimitrov
Representative, Shores

Yes, congratulations on a strong set of results, and thank you for taking my question. Most of them have been answered, so I'll just pose two quick questions, please. So firstly, on June trading, you mentioned that you obviously had a very strong base of comparison last year. I'm just trying to project in upcoming months, because I think you also had some very strong trading post-June 2021. So I was just going to ask if you think you're likely to experience these hard comparison basis in the full quarter or perhaps in later months as well, or whether you are still aiming for growth in H2. And then my second question is on overall store count. I think this is the fourth or fifth quarter where the overall store basis is coming down. I think you closed 19 stores in Q2. We discussed a bit about online, offline in one of the previous questions. But should we read this as there is further optimization to do in the overall state and that the overall number is likely to keep declining to some extent as digital is strengthening? Thank you.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Okay, if we start with the comparison base from last year, the intention with the comment we did was to say that June last year was extremely strong because at that time we reopened close to 1,000 stores and people came back from, I don't know if it was the first or second or third wave last year. So the comparative base was very strong, 24%, whereas June and July were 6%, so softer comparison. That's all I can say because we don't guide on top line. When it comes to store count.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Right. I can elaborate a little bit on that. Obviously, as we spoke a little bit about looking into the second quarter, we see a strong recovery in the physical stores and we see the strength of having both digital and physical. I would say that The recovery in physical is even stronger than we predicted. However, looking into the optimization during this year, where we think we will end with a net of minus 178 stores, that still remains. So looking into... The closures we have done and are doing in some of our mature markets, that strategy we think is still very wise. Because during the pandemic, obviously, we have also seen the strength of the online store. So that strategy remains. And moreover, we continue, of course, looking into also next year and how to optimize the portfolio. And those plans are still in the making.

speaker
Dimitri Dimitrov
Representative, Shores

Thank you. That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of James Krasinik from Jefferies International. Please go ahead.

speaker
James Krasinik
Representative, Jefferies International

Thank you. Good afternoon, everybody. I just had a couple of clarification questions, really. I guess, Adam, can you perhaps help us understand, given what you're saying on imports, and appreciate difficult to give us specifically a like-for-like inflation in spring summer. But would you expect the rate of price rises you have to put through into autumn winter to defend gross margins to have to step up considerably relative to spring summer? Anything you can give us on that front would be very helpful. And certainly in that context, are you seeing anything competitively that you think would make that process more difficult or easier in the coming months?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Well, on the first question, we are sequentially adjusting prices and we're doing it, as Helena said before, differently on different markets, being very close to listening to the customer and also ensuring that the customer always can feel secure to find the best offer with us. But we are sequentially increasing prices to mitigate some of the inflationary pressure. On the difficulty of doing it, I'm not sure I fully understood the question, but of course, the importance here is to be very, very close to the customer to ensure that we, over time, increase the perceived value and that we always can offer a stronger customer offer than competition. That's our overall goal.

speaker
James Krasinik
Representative, Jefferies International

I guess to follow up on that, are you seeing competitors moving more rapidly on prices, which means that your own process... is made simpler going forward. And I appreciate you have to continue to put through price rises. I was just wondering whether you can tell us whether the scale of that exercise needs to increase considerably given what you're saying on the year-on-year inflection and inputs.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Yes, we have, I mean, competitors are increasing prices and we've seen that they have done so throughout the spring. So that is sort of in the overall industry and we are doing our best to ensure that we work as efficiently as possible to not having to put the full cost pressure on the consumer. And we believe that is a strength to ensure that the customers always find the best offer with us then. But of course, we have seen that competitors have increased prices throughout the spring. Great, thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Nick from Citi. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

Hi, good afternoon. Thank you for taking my questions. I have three and I'll ask them one by one, if I may. Firstly, on stock, with the 20% impact from forward orders, freight and Russia, and also the 7% FX impact. Is it right to think that you have less units of inventory excluding those impacts and relative to this time last year? I'm just trying to get a sense for your stock positioning going into the next quarter.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Thank you. Yes, that's correct. So in number of pieces, we are down below last year. Yes.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

So is the kind of the gross margin caution just about the kind of the the indifference between COGS inflation and your willingness to pass it on and desire to maintain your value equation. Is that the kind of the root of the caution for the next quarter?

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Well, it's always a balance about making sure that you always have the best offering and the trust by consumers on the one hand, and the other is the profitability, of course.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

No, I guess my point is you obviously have less units of inventory, so your markdown risk presumably would be conventionally lower on that basis.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

It's not that simple, but I see what you mean. But on the other hand, as Adam said, We are a bit cautious. First of all, the comps last year, we reduced markdowns quite a bit in Q3 last year. But this year, we also have the Russian inventory that is floating around that could cause a risk for more markdowns, but not necessarily. Thank you very much.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

Then secondly, just to clarify on Rich's question, if I may, are you saying that the 500 million run rates of SG&A costs that relate to tech and other initiatives but that continues for the foreseeable future.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

It's difficult to say the foreseeable future, but with the, of course, the growth of our digital business, that tech is becoming an integral part of all of our business processes, it is likely to see that we are not getting down to the levels sort of pre-pandemic, that we will be on a slightly higher level. So it's a fair assessment of at least how 2022 will look.

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

Okay, thank you very much. Just a reminder, Nick, that it's not just the cost, it also creates value. So you get the whole equation.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

No, absolutely. No, I fully understand. It's enabling what you're doing. I do understand. And then lastly, if I may, just to follow up on Adam's question on SG&A inflation, are you able to give a very broad indication or sense of what proportion of cost inflation you're able to mitigate with efficiencies or by making choices, I guess, in the second half? Thank you.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Well, not, I think, maybe to the level of detail that you expect, but I think, as we mentioned, we have learned a lot during the last couple of years, and we see that particularly on the store estate with the adjustments we've done to the store portfolio and the strong lease structure that we have, that we will continue to bring benefits with us into the water to offset some of the cost inflation.

speaker
Nick
Representative, Citi

Okay, that's helpful. Thank you so much.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Sarah Butler from The Guardian. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sarah Butler
Representative, The Guardian

Hi. Thanks for taking my question. I just wanted to clarify on something that others have asked about and that's the inflation coming through in the autumn. And can you give, I know you've said that you're going to adapt that for different markets, but can you please give an average of what price rises will be seen on the shop floor? And just clarify exactly what is driving that for the autumn.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Thanks. We prefer not to give that number on the shop floor simply because it looks different in different markets and on different product types. As I explained earlier, it's a more dynamic way of working with it, of adjusting prices. always balancing the customer offer, customer sentiments, being competitive and of course also having our profitability goal in mind so that we take steps towards that. So again, of course, we have to adjust certain prices, but it looks different in different markets.

speaker
Sarah Butler
Representative, The Guardian

And you can't give an average for... across all of those, taking into account all of those matters?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

No, we prefer not to do that simply because it looks a bit different in different places in the world and on the different markets. Okay.

speaker
Sarah Butler
Representative, The Guardian

And sorry, and just to chase on the key thing that's driving it for the autumn, will that be the CAPEC, sorry, the... exchange rate or is that the other factors that have come through on materials and transport? Is that still feeding it for the autumn?

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

All of the above, all the external factors are negative and that's why we see this inflation, not just us. I mean, everyone sees it and of course we need to try to mitigate that. But as Helena said before, the most important for us is that customers should always trust that they could find the best offering at H&M.

speaker
Sarah Butler
Representative, The Guardian

Okay, sorry. And do you expect the price rises to carry on into the spring for customers, you know, as your cost inflation gradually feeds through?

speaker
Nils Vinge
Head of Investor Relations

We don't want to speculate in the future, but as Adam said, we already see that some of the spot prices on raw materials are starting to come down, including cotton prices and spot prices.

speaker
Sarah Butler
Representative, The Guardian

Okay, thank you very much. Cheers.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from the line of Dana Telsey from Telsey Advisory Group. Please go ahead.

speaker
Dana Telsey
Representative, Telsey Advisory Group

Hi, good afternoon. Can you please expand on the progress of supply chain easing, what you're seeing there and how you expect it to improve, go forward? And then lastly, on real estate, on the store closures, is it globally? Is it concentrated in any one particular region? And do you have a target store size that you're looking to open go forward? How do you compartmentalize the real estate dynamic? Thank you.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Starting on the supply chain side, we during last autumn needed to sort of adjust our purchasing pattern to ensure that we hit the intended in shop week to sort of truly meet the customer demands with what should meet the customer when. So during late autumn, we prolonged our purchasing lead times. And we're now starting to see that with those prolonged lead times, we're actually starting to get garments to some of the destinations earlier than intended, which is for us a signal that we hopefully throughout the autumn will start to adjust back then to better tailor to the new situation and continue to have the high precision that we're after. So slowly but surely seeing some positive signals of the disruptions and disturbances, the easing and hopefully then continuing so after the summer.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

And when looking into store closures, as you know, we're both opening new stores and closing in some mature markets. And for this year, that means a net that is on minus. Looking into different markets, when we say mature markets, the biggest portion is within Europe. And then we see possibilities and opportunities to also open stores as we go. We work with this very dynamically, and that's why we have been also making sure that we can be even more flexible. So, for example, looking into lease agreements, we have more flexibility also to adjust as we go to see the developments. Of course, we have never seen such a big shift as we've seen during the pandemic when it comes to also many customers going online. But again, now we see that many customers want to meet us both physically and digitally. So that means that we don't have a target store size in mind, but more that we adjust as we go and we make sure that we can be flexible.

speaker
Dana Telsey
Representative, Telsey Advisory Group

Thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And the next question comes from the line of Anne Critchlow from Society General. Please go ahead. Thank you, and thanks for taking my questions.

speaker
Anne Critchlow
Representative, Société Générale

I've got three, and they're all on product returns from online. So I'll ask them one by one. First of all, please could you remind us whether you offer free online returns everywhere, or whether you charge in some countries?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We do have, if you are a member in our loyalty program, we have free returns.

speaker
Anne Critchlow
Representative, Société Générale

Thank you. Have you seen returns rates rise? If so, where are they versus the pre-pandemic level?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

So returns have started to normalize, but not at the level as they were before the pandemic. But the consumer behavior has started to slightly go back to pre-pandemic behavior, so to say.

speaker
Anne Critchlow
Representative, Société Générale

Okay, thank you. And then finally, is it fair to say that a very high percentage of returns goes back through your stores?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Yes, and it's very different in different markets. And that's why one of the best opportunities we have to really combine the channels. So some stores, they really function really well as sort of the combination of both selling but also being pickup and returning locations. So we see that different in different stores and different locations throughout the world. But in some stores, it's a very high portion.

speaker
Anne Critchlow
Representative, Société Générale

And then just as a quick follow-up, what sort of countries do you see a very high proportion?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Well, it's depending. And of course, it's where we have the higher store density. So in the more mature markets, here we can see that we have stores with high shares of online interest.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Thank you very much. Next question comes from the line of Stephen Tierney from World Sports Active Wear Magazine. Please go ahead.

speaker
Stephen Tierney
Representative, World Sports Active Wear Magazine

Thank you. In the context of H&M's ongoing commitment to make garments that are sustainable as well as affordable, what is your reaction to the request from the Norwegian Consumer Authority that you reassess your use of the HIG Material Sustainability Index? to help present products as sustainable? And similarly, what is your reaction to the decision from the Sustainable Apparel Coalition to pause its use of the same index as a consumer-facing transparency program?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Thank you. Well, of course, we are aware of the pausing of the HIG, and we have been involved in that for more than a decade. To my knowledge, it's the biggest collaboration that we have ever seen to move the needle when it comes to the industry moving towards a sustainable one. It's been a collaboration with different companies, but also academia experts and NGOs. This is now being forced, so we're following that development to see how to proceed. However, I would like to highlight that this is one out of many initiatives to move the industry towards a circular and sustainable one. We have been investing and working hard and leading the industry towards transparency and traceability for many, many years. This is one of the initiatives, but there's also other traceability and transparency initiatives that we're continuing with great excitement and engagement. So when it comes to HIG, let's see how that develops. But for sure, we see a future where we're guiding customers better so that they understand how to make more sustainable choices.

speaker
Stephen Tierney
Representative, World Sports Active Wear Magazine

Thank you. And the request from Norway?

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Again, we're following that development through the HIG index who has those type of dialogues. So all we know for now is that we're pausing it for now.

speaker
Stephen Tierney
Representative, World Sports Active Wear Magazine

Okay, thank you.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

Just as a final reminder, if you do wish to ask a question, please press 01 on your telephone keypad now. We have another question from the line of Chi Zhang from Alpha Value. Please go ahead. If your line is on mute, can you please unmute yourself so we can hear you?

speaker
Chi Zhang
Representative, Alpha Value

Can you hear me now?

speaker
Chi Zhang
Representative, Alpha Value (Confirmation)

Yes.

speaker
Chi Zhang
Representative, Alpha Value

Hi, thank you. It's a good afternoon. Thank you for taking my question. Just one from my side. Could you give us an update on your ClickCollect and online written in-store services development? How many markets you offer those services? For which brand those services are available? Please. Thank you.

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

Well, we are increasing the rollout as we speak. It's currently available in 20 plus markets and it's covering the absolute sort of biggest market when it comes to turnover and number of customers. And we intend to continue this rollout during 2022.

speaker
Chi Zhang
Representative, Alpha Value

For all H&M Groups brand or only for H&M brands?

speaker
Adam Karlsson
CFO

We're sequentially also rolling it out for other brands, but what I mentioned now was for the H&M brand with 20-plus markets.

speaker
Chi Zhang
Representative, Alpha Value

Thank you very much. Very helpful.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

And if there are no further questions, I'll hand it back to the speakers.

speaker
Helena Helmersson
CEO

Well, thank you all very much for participating in the conference call, and we wish you all a very nice summer.

speaker
Conference Call Operator
Moderator

This concludes the conference call. Thank you all for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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