2/7/2025

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Thank you very much and welcome everybody to this call. We have the Q4 result and the year end report to go through with you and also to give you a little bit update on the acquisition that we have just finalized one week ago. So let me begin. I will start as usual to do just a short introduction if we have any newcomers to the call. So to talk a little bit about who we are and what we do and what we've been up to the last couple of years before we hand over to Ulrika to go through the numbers and also I will do a wrap up towards the end before we open for a Q&A session. So here we have updated this slide with the 2024 numbers. Please note that these are the adjusted numbers and let me just highlight from the very beginning what the adjustments are because they are not really anything strange or I would say debatable. It is mainly adjustments for the large transaction that we finalized. So it's all the transactional costs and VD costs and so on that occurs and it's important to remember the size of the acquisition. So that's the main part of the adjustments and the other part is the sale of a company in China with a factory and that's a strategic decision. So it's truly non-recurring costs. So by that said in 2024 we grew our sales. We are now at just above six and a half billion Swedish and we are with an operating profit of around just north of 500 million and with an operating margin of 7.7 percent that is in line with our financial targets of having an operating margin of our business cycle of 7 to 9 percent. So we are really proud over the improvement and development during the year and we'll get back into the figures and where they come from later on. But I just want to highlight that ITUB today excluding H&Y of course because that's not part of these figures. We have a number of production facilities across mainly Europe but also in Argentina and in China. We have operations in 23 countries but of course we sell to many more countries and we are approximately two and a half thousand people. Our main customer groups are grocery, -it-yourself, fashion and then all other aspects of retail I would say and sometimes we also go into the hospitality sector. We offer a number of solutions and these are typically different types of services and then complemented with products for interiors different types of technologies like checkout, smart gates, products to guide the customer, queuing systems and so on different digital solutions and of course lighting. So with that then we help retailers to achieve their targets and build a physical environment in their stores. So this is just ITUB at a glance and we usually talk about that. We are one of the leaders in Europe but we have a global reach. So we follow our customers around the world and we have some quite known and large brands. That's mainly what we work with, the large retail chains. Grocery being more than 50 percent of our turnover with home improvement, -it-yourself following quite far behind. So you can see the rest of the retail sectors are then more evenly distributed. Fashion coming in just below home improvement and then the other segment is 22 percent of our turnover. And maybe a shout out there to pharmacies, consumer electronics, service stations are important in that segment. But basically all aspects of retail is included in that category. And we usually say that we are what we create together with our customers. So depending on the type of relationship we have, depending on the strategic dilemma or challenge or opportunity that the customer have and depending then on how much they engage with us, our impact can be very transactional where we just supply products to very fundamental and strategic where we develop concepts and solutions and innovation together and then implement that together with the retailer. And on these pictures you can just see some of the different examples. Everything from car dealerships to pharmacies to -it-yourself stores and of course cafes and grocery. So not only retail are transforming but also ITAB are transforming and I will come into that in a short while. But let's begin with retail. And I think all of you know that because we are all consumers. We all know how we have changed our behavior and we know that there are generations that are coming up behind us that have even more demands on how to be met as a consumer and what to expect from different brands. So there is a clear movement and this movement is not something that has happened and now we have a new landscape. This is a constant ongoing very very rapidly changing retail landscape where consumer expectations are constantly evolving. So it's all about frictionless experiences, having the most convenient shopping experience possible and of course these expectations come from online where you are being more guided and you bring that to physical retail. And also it's about the inspiration that when you want to learn something or when you want to invest your time then you truly want to be inspired and you want to get more value for your time so to say. And this impacts retailers. So the retailers they need to invest in areas that they didn't usually invest. It could be in new channels, it could be in new formats, it could be in adding things to their retailing mix. And while they are doing this of course they need help. Help to develop it, help to know what will work and also help to test it and then help to deliver and scale up once they have decided. And that's basically what we in our industry do and what we at ITEM do. So we have changed the last couple of years to become much more consumer and retail change focused and improving our I would say speed and agility and our service level to be more relevant and also to change how we develop our offer so we develop that much more together with the retailers. Because the retailers they truly have a cost versus experience dilemma where they need to invest and their costs are going up and that is tricky. So each time they do something it is very, very important that they get a good return on capital. And that leads me into how we are positioned ourselves and how we talk about our I would say our role in helping retailers to improve their business. So we talk about that we help them to rethink retail because that's basically what it's all about. And we like to focus on creating value based outcome. So when we do something that it's really the retailers KPIs that need to improve and we focus of course on the consumer brand experience. We focus on and that's where you build the inspiring environments and you communicate the brand values. It's also when you create a more convenient experience through technology but also through layouts and so on. But that's not enough. You also need to deliver solutions that drive increased sales and conversion. Otherwise it's very hard to get the payback on the investment and that used to be for the consumer and also the service level. And by doing these three things you really get a strong case. And if you on top of that also then can help to reduce the operational costs for the retailer then you help them with their top line. You help them with their margin and you help them to take out cost. And that's really what it's all about. So this is how we try to build our offer and present each brand each retailer have a different different dilemma or different challenge that they want to solve. But of course when you when you zoom out many of the challenges are shared and that's where we really have an opportunity to help them with our and our leadership. And this is a picture that may be not so easy to understand without my voice over. So I will try to be pedagogic. If you look on the left side today how we how we influence the consumer journey and the retail operations we mainly do through our solutions of creating great lighting experiences that drive conversion and emphasizes the products that the retailer want to push. We build environments that are inspiring and efficient. And of course we supply them with the technology. So all transactions happen in a smooth way and that the customers are guided in a safe way and also efficient way throughout the store. So that's what we're doing today. And that influences of course the consumer experience but it also influences the operations of the store and the operation of a whole fleet of stores. And we're going to continue to influence that also in the future. But we need new new tools and tricks in our bag. And we believe that there will be a much more and a much bigger need for services. And it will also be much more needed that we are able to use data created by the retailers to get more data out of the stores and to consolidate this and drive that. So data and services will be additional values that we add to the retailers for them to help to drive their their efficiency and their service to the customers going forward as well. For a number of years I would say since 2020 we launched our one ITAB strategy that really focused on two things. One was of course to transform ITAB I would say internally to drive our efficiency and maybe do the things that we had not done before. So that's all about consolidation and getting the power of the whole group to meet the customers. And also we transformed how we go to market. So like I talked about just before being much more solution oriented and outcome based in our sales. And that has helped us to improve both the re-engineered cost structure and how we go to market and how we drive and change what we offer and what we sell and what we succeed in selling. So that's all about the three things that has really helped us to develop. So these seven priorities is what we've been working on. And on the next slide I will just go through because here I kind of put them into a different format. So really the strategy was all about first stabilizing our performance because at the beginning of our strategy execution we were in a financially not so strong state. So we had to do cost and capital restructuring. That was really, really important. And we did that. So it was all about simplifying the company. Then we started in parallel to invest. Of course during the COVID years it was hard to invest and it was important to keep control over your cash. But we have started to invest in how we go to market, how we drive our competence. We've implemented different digital systems and we are right now in the process of soon starting the implementation of new ERP for the whole group. So there are a lot of investments that we've put into the company in parallel then to doing savings and restructuring. And all of this we didn't do just to because it was fun, it was necessary. But the purpose all along was really to expand and to grow the company both organically and through acquisitions. And that leads me into the next slide because I put a big tick box on this expand phase now because that we certainly can do. I put a bit shaded tick box on the build and invest phase because there's still more things that we need to do there. But of course the big tick box on expand comes from that as we communicated last Friday that now our intended acquisition of H and Y have gone through and we are two leaders in our industry in Europe that are now combined into one group. And that really sets us apart by far compared to the competition. I just want to highlight that these figures here are 23 figures. So it's important to bear that in mind. And what we said at the time of the acquisition and what we have communicated at that time, we talked about how complementary H and Y and ITAB are to each other. Where one group has its strengths, the other one is a little bit weak geographically and vice versa. So we really complement each other, especially in Europe, Middle East and South America. Together we also can learn because H and Y has some strengths that are unique. ITAB has some other strengths that are unique. And we can learn from that and offer the best of both to the market. We will get a significant increase of scale and that will help us to become more efficient. It will help us to drive synergies, both when it comes to taking costs out and improving our capital spend. But of course then synergies in purchasing is quite a big upside. We also see clear commercial upside. And I just want to highlight on this picture that the figures that we presented then are still the figures that we're presenting now. But I just want to let you know that the full synergy effect we expect to be realized during 2027. So we need to do the work before we can get the synergies in our books. But we have clear plans and the work now starts. It started this week to deliver that. So we will follow that through the coming years. And as you know now from today, ITAB in 2024, we improved our growth and we improved our profitability. So we have moved in the right direction. And I can share that also H&Y have done the same. They have grown and they have improved their profitability. But we will not present official H&Y figures until we present the Q1 report where we then will include February and March into the new consolidated group. And just a few words on what we now have ahead of us, because it is important to remember that this is truly transformational. So not just for H&Y and ITAB, it's transformational for our industry in Europe, because it is two of the absolutely largest players that now combine. And what is really, really important for us is that we now start the work. Up until Friday last week, Friday lunch, we were competitors. And after lunch, we were in the same family and best friends. And as you all know, business is all about people. And now we need to get to know each other. And I put up some of the things that we talk about internally, because I think they're important for you guys to know that our first focus is to ensure continuity in our business. So keep focused on our customers, continue to serve them, take good care of them and continue to drive the business. Don't jeopardize anything on the market because we are busy integrating. That's also important, but it cannot be more important than taking care of business. So that's our first priority. And of course, right now, it's important that we now become friends and we get to know each other. Of course, we've done a very, very thorough due diligence. We know what we are. We know how we complement each other. We have a plan. But now we get into the details. We lift the cover and look at everything in an official way. And it can be shared internally so we can start to drive all the projects we need to do to truly become better together. And then I think this is an important message that I've said when we announced our intentions. And this is what we talk about also internally. It's important that we start delivering on the synergies directly. That's not something we can wait with until 27. That is something that is going to start as soon as possible. And I think already the first couple of months, we're going to start to deliver on the synergies.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

And I

speaker
Andreas
CEO

think it's very important to highlight that we see the synergies mainly coming from procurement and cross selling. Those are clearly the two biggest areas. And then, of course, there will also be some efficiency when we combine our two groups. So to wrap up, I have an H&Y truly better together. And I just want to make a shout out that, of course, this is a huge acquisition. There are risks connected to that. But the two companies are performing. The value that we add per share is quite significant. And I think that's important for all the shareholders to remember. And if somebody feels that it's a pity that we don't give dividends in the coming year, it is because we want to stay focused on the financial risks and make sure that we spend the money on reducing our debt and not on paying as dividends. And since we add so much value through H&Y, we think that's a really, really good way to treat the coming year. So by that, I hand over to Ulrike to help us to go through the figures for the last quarter of 2024. And before we do a wrap up and take questions.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yes, thank you, Andreas. Hello, everybody. Looking at the full year of ITAB, our adjusted EBIT margin shows an increase to 7.7%. And we saw increasing sales and underlying profitability improvements, despite the challenging market and strong second half of last year in comparison. During the year, our historically good start in 2024 were followed by a somewhat weaker second half of the year. We still experience a considerable interest in our loss prevention and self-service solutions. But the outcome is impacted by timing of delivery for individual projects and the phasing of deliveries were different compared to 2023. For the full year, increased volumes and margins in total of favour of product mix and higher capacity utilisation in our production are main drivers for the development. Our operating cash flow is positive with a cash conversion of 88%, which is above our financial target of 80% over a business cycle. And our underlying financial position is strong. Net debt is impacted by the directed share issue in September related to the acquisition of H and Y, but underlying debt continue to decrease. And we are now looking forward to 2025 with integration and working together with our new colleagues at H and Y. Looking at our sales in the fourth quarter, we have a growth of 11% with several of ITAB solution areas and most geographic markets reported increased sales, mainly driven by grocery, -it-yourself and also the fashion sector. So basically all our important sector showed significant growth in the fourth quarter. For the full year, growth was 7%. Grocery sector is the main driver followed also there by fashion and -it-yourself. Most geographic markets experienced growth, but especially in northern, central and eastern Europe. Our sales growth in self-service solution continues with increased sales of self-checkouts and also conventional checkouts. And we also see growth in our interior solutions. While we have experienced lower volumes in loss prevention projects, second half of the year. As a result, the product mix did not have the same positive effect on the gross margin and earnings during the last two quarters. Onwards, we feel the market continues to be a bit cautious, but we are fully focused on continuing serving our customers and planning for the commercial synergies together with our new colleagues in H and Y. Overall profitability for the full year 2024, we improved our profitability despite challenging market and in comparison, a strong finish of 2023. The underlying improvement is mainly driven by higher gross margin and sales growth for the full year, a favorable product mix and increased capacity utilization. And as I mentioned, our margins weakened somewhat during the second half of the year, driven by the lower share of loss prevention solutions impacting the product mix negatively compared to 2023. Apart from this impact driven by project based deliveries, we generally see increased margins across both portfolio and market geographies combined with increased operational efficiency. In quarter four, our result was positively impacted by sales growth, while product mix and compared to last year had a negative impact. Our adjusted EBIT in the fourth quarter amounted to 106 million, corresponding to an EBIT margin of 6%. In the upcoming integration process, we will together with our colleagues in H and Y continue to focus on operational efficiency and build an even stronger platform for the future. Cash flow from operating activities in the fourth quarter was 320, a bit above 320 million, and we have a positive cash flow every quarter in 2024, summarizing the full year to 624 million SIC, which is continuously strong and corresponding to a cash conversion of 88%. Increased profit during the year and balancing inventory levels at a lower level than last year, despite our sales increase contributes positively and indicates that our efforts to increase capital efficiency are materializing. By that, I thank you and leave to Andreas to conclude on the main takeaways from 2024. Thank you.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Thank you, Lika. So I will not go through these points in detail, but I just want to kind of ask you all to zoom out and look at what we have done the last couple of years. And again, in 2024, we improve our earnings, we have growth, and we declared our intention to do this very transformative acquisition, and that is now concluded in the beginning here. But of course, all the work has been done during 23 and 24 in that process. It has really been an eventful 2024, and I'm super proud over what the teams have achieved across ITAB. And I repeat again what I said previously that this improvement that ITAB has, also H and Y, have improved their 24 compared to their 23. And we are looking forward to sharing much more details around that in the future. We are very busy now ourselves getting to know the colleagues and understand all the numbers and then setting plans for the future together. There's so much talent in both our groups, and we're really looking forward to putting all that talent to work and deliver increased value for our shareholders and all our employees and customers. So I just want to do that because I think Lika presented really, really well the movement of our figures. And just to mention maybe that because I've gotten some questions on the quarter that people feel worried that it's slow down a bit, but I have to remind everybody that we are a project-based business almost entirely. So every year we start from scratch almost, and we need to fill up by winning all the projects. And usually we follow a year cycle, but when it comes to the more technical and digitally advanced products, they have longer sales cycles. And when they come, they usually have quite rapid implementation. And we had this 25 million euro deal that we were supposed to deliver over, I would say, a majority of 24, but it actually happened almost everything during the last two quarters of last year. And that's why we have very high comparable figures. So we feel really, really confident. We are according to our plan that we presented to all of you guys and to our banks when we stepped into the acquisition of H&Y. So we are basically spot on that plan, and we are really looking forward to delivering more earnings per share to all our shareholders going forward. So by that, I think we open up for questions and answers.

speaker
Moderator
Webcast Moderator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Eric Sandstedt from Kepler Chevro. Please go ahead.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Hi there, Eric Sandstedt here with Kepler. A few questions on the quarter to start off with and then a couple on H&Y. If you look at the sales growth, it's accelerating in the quarter up some 10% year on year versus Q3 of 4% year on year. So you still talk about a pretty tough market out there, but what's explaining the improved growth rate in Q4 versus Q3 year on year?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

You're right. I mean, we are maybe not completely consistent, but we have seen a good delivery of mainly interior solutions. And that's why when you look at the growth, it's great. If you look at the profit, it's not so great. So there is a mixed shift between, I would say, interior products, lighting and retail technology. That's behind the profit change. Then when it comes to if we see the market picking up, I think this has been in the books for a period that we have seen this growth coming on the interiors. And it usually follows the year cycle. So I would say that's our take. I mean, we have good hopes that we will continue to have a positive development going forward, but also recent developments. This autumn is also putting some question marks if the recovery in the market is coming or not. I think it was quite positive feelings on the market after summer. And then there's been some more hesitation coming in from November and onwards. And I think everybody understands the uncertainty in the macro climate with tariffs being discussed and trade war is creating some uncertainty when it comes to pushing the button for some retailers. But usually the sales cycles are quite long. It's happening so fast.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Yeah, but is there any pricing in the numbers? Have you raised prices or is it largely mixed effects with more interior solutions?

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

I

speaker
Andreas
CEO

would say it's the mix effect, I would say. Ulrike, would you like to add some new ones to that maybe? No,

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

I think after tough year with inflation, of course, we have increased the focus on price increases and we make sure that we follow the cost developments and are very quick to adjust our prices if necessary. But otherwise, I agree with Andreas. It's mainly the mixed effect if we look at Q4.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

And it's also important to remember that the majority of our sales is interiors, so they have a much higher weight. That is important to remember.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Yeah, I'm still a little bit puzzled about the sales growth, because I mean, it's pretty strong as I see it up some 10% and much better than in Q3. But still, you say the market hasn't really moved. If anything, maybe become a little bit sort of more uncertain in the latter part here.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

So you've

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

had some pretty strong development in the interior solutions business then basically. But

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I think that when we express our view on the market, we say that it's cautious. And I think then, of course, that doesn't apply to all customers and all parts of the market. But those who are more, I would say, capital sensitive, they were a little bit optimistic in the beginning of the autumn and are a little bit more worried now because there is more uncertainty. There are quite many retail chains out there that have high debt and they are more sensitive when the macro becomes a bit more uncertain. We clearly see that, but decision making has changed. So it's not a uniform picture. It's quite a complex landscape that we're in. And we will try to become more clear in the coming reports in how we judge the market.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Fair enough. And then I'm a bit curious about the gross margin here as well because you just mentioned it's a project type of business and interior solutions doing quite well as well, which I guess is a lower margin business in terms of gross margins, -a-vis retail tech and so forth. But could you say anything about the development on the gross margin in the quarter if you exclude this retail contract that you delivered in Australia in Q3 and Q4 last year? I'm just trying to get a feel for sort of the underlying gross margin development here in the quarter.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Yeah, I think if I do a kind of high level explanation and like you can add some flavors, but like you just mentioned that we see a margin improvement in the underlying business. So during this year, we see that improvement. So in I would say also in solution areas outside retail tech, we see a margin improvement. And that has been good because then since the mix has changed, that has been necessary. So it's that is the I would say the picture. It is really the mix effect. But underlying business has improved the interior business. Like you like to add some more detail to that, maybe you were.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yeah, since the interior business is quite a big part of our business and also production. So, of course, the increased production utilization also gave a positive contribution to gross margin when it comes to to increasing that.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Yeah, OK, thanks. Then just a few questions on the upcoming acquisition here. Firstly, I did you say anything about the H&Y performance now in recent times? Maybe I missed that other than what you have already communicated. And will you not provide any performance data before Q1 at all?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

No, we will not provide any performance data. We will not provide any performance data until Q1 because Q1 is just around the corner and we are now busy working on the numbers ourselves. And I think it's that's the appropriate time to do that. And what I did mention, it was not put in writing on any of the slides, but I mentioned it in my voiceover is that we have improved our results as ITAB in 24 compared to 24. So we have growth and improved profitability and also H&Y has growth and improved profitability compared to 23. And what we communicated previously when we declared the intended acquisition that is now finalized since a week is was there 23 numbers. So we've had a positive development on our side and also on the H&Y side. And we are we are exactly where we plan to be right now, which feels really good.

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

Thanks. And then in terms of synergies, I guess it's early days here. But do you expect any synergies already now in 2025? I guess the material part will be a little bit later, but you try to maybe split it out between the years

speaker
Andreas
CEO

roughly. Yeah, I will not. I will not give a forecast on that. But of course, we are starting immediately with the work. So we are planning to do several procurement waves where we go through the most important categories and try to improve our conditions. And what's important is also that those improvements end up on the bottom line so they don't disappear in in that the benefit moves to our customers. Of course, we want to offer also our customers improved that we become more attractive. But but it's important for us that savings end up on the bottom line as well. So we expect to see the effects of the synergy work already this year. There might be there might be some SGA savings as well. And we clearly see that there will be some commercial upside as well. The commercial upside might take a little bit longer, but we but we see a clear opportunity, especially when it comes to our high margin products. That even though the sales processes are long, especially if you do talk about the big deals, but there's there's quite a lot that you can do also when it comes to a little bit smaller deals and to act on opportunities. And already this week, This

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

is Johan from Kestrelshograva. Thanks for taking my questions. I'll start with the DM.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Excuse me, there's somebody not muted in the background. Sorry, maybe I got confused. I hear somebody speaking in the background. So that's where the synergies will come from.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Thank you. And then

speaker
Eric Sandstedt
Analyst, Kepler Chevro

just one final question, if I may, in terms of the acquisition here. I mean, you've done a lot of acquisition. AYTLAB has done a lot of acquisitions over the past decade or so under different management, but just trying to get a feel for, you know, what have you learned during these acquisitions? What will you bring with you in terms of, you know, synergies, integration, cultures and so forth? Just a bit curious to know how you think about this going forward.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Yeah, I think that's a really good question. I mean, if we zoom out and look at AYTLAB, I mean, over the years, I would say, I mean, I've been now in the role for five and a half years. And the management that was before me, I mean, they were really very successful when it came to driving AYTLAB's growth through acquisitions. Maybe not so much through organic growth, but through organic, but through acquisitions, they were really fantastic. So between 2008 and 2018, AYTLAB tenfolded in size. So from 600 Swedish million to six billion over that period. And there were many, many acquisitions that were made. What did not happen during those years was the integration work. It was basically the companies were not integrated. The only thing that was done was a financial consolidation because we're a list and report our figures. So what we have been working on the last couple of years since I came is really to, I mean, that's the background behind the one AYTLAB. So the one there is really to become one group with one set of learning, one way of working, one way of leading and one culture and one strategy. So that's what we've been busy working on. And during my period, we have acquired H&Y becomes the third acquisition. The two first, we had a clear idea, a strategic idea why we wanted to do the acquisition. We also had an idea on how to do the integration before. And both those acquisitions of Cefla Retail Solutions, that is today Imola Retail Solutions and Checkmark from Finland. We had a clear idea about how to integrate and get the synergies. And both those have been, I would say, successes for us. And that's exactly how we've done now with H&Y acquisition. Of course, here we talk about a completely different scale. This is 10 times larger than Cefla when we acquired there with the Solutions Division. So and we talk about the company that's just as big as ourselves and with as many coworkers. So the scale here is very different. But we've had the same approach that it's a strategic fit. We have made a plan. We have a clear idea on where the synergies lie and how to integrate the company. But of course, we need to stay humble and realize that we have still a lot to learn and we have many, many brains that needs to be connected and a lot of talent that needs to be connected. So we need to empower the organization to drive these synergies. But we feel very confident that we will be able to deliver this 30 million euro because we have we have potential that goes beyond. But this is the promise we have made. And that's what we're going to deliver. But please also remember, the work first needs to be done before the synergy will come. That is important to remember. Great. Thanks. Thank you very much. And sorry if I lost my line. Next question comes from Carl

speaker
Moderator
Webcast Moderator

Johan Bonnevier from DNB Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Yes. Good morning, Andrea. A couple of follow on questions to all the good answers you've already given. If you're looking at the project that you have now going into 2025 and compare it to how it looks a year ago. I guess a year ago you still you had quite a good mix in that bag. Do you see that the pay the fixer? We're so in to what is going to be your what?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

The connection was a little bit bad, but I understood your question as if I mean how we view going into 25 versus how we viewed going into 24. So going into 24 a year ago, then we had these large exceptional orders that we're still delivering on. So that's maybe one one difference. But we expect to continue to be able to find similar types of deals, maybe not at the same scale, because that was maybe a one off, but to have more an even flow of these types of deals. So I would say that, of course, we are meeting an all time high Q1 last year with this large deal being one of the explanations behind. But we believe that we'll be able to continue to perform like we have done in recent time and then that there the synergy work will add on to our profitability. And of course, then when we add on H&Y figures to the mix, I mean, in Q1, we will have February and March from H&Y that we'll see that that will impact our results. We are optimistic about, I mean, about the future, and we just want to remind everybody to remember that we are really a project based business and industry and that it's sometimes difficult to look quarter to quarter. You should zoom out and take a perspective over the years and see how we improve. I would say turnover, profitability, cash management, capital, all of that good stuff. That's how I hope everybody takes the time when they look at us. So since it was a bit bad connection, I'm not sure if I answered your question. So please, please let me know if you if you expect something more from me.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

Sorry, I was totally disconnected. I just heard your end of the answer.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Okay, so you seem to have a bad connection. So I hope.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

I'm sorry about that. I'll go back and look at the log after work. If

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

you

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

look at the detail of microdigging is slightly more cautious now of looking at the placing order. Have you seen a big change in the RFP activity and the things they are looking for and the quote levels and all these kind of activities going into this year?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Ulrika, Mats, do you hear better?

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

No, I'm sorry. I couldn't barely hear the question.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

No, it's a bad connection. So I don't know if you can if you can try to move a little bit or repeat the question because we only got parts of it. And I don't want to maybe once again answer something that is maybe wrong.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

No,

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

I'm so sorry. I'm so sorry. I'm sure worldwide. Why this is. But if you look at what retailers are doing, the kind of contact you have with them for the moment, you alluded to a more cautious view at this stage that maybe that is what after the summer. I've got the transpired in different kind of things they're looking for or levels of quotes or how do you see it?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I mean, it's it's unique for each customer because they have their own kind of financial situation, their own performance, you could say. But but if I zoom out a little bit, you could say that during twenty four, we have seen that the Nordic region have been quite strong for us. So we have seen that the UK have have been much more difficult. And there are also some I mean, for those who follow UK retail and especially the grocery side, you know that there's a lot of dynamic changes that have been going on and private equity situations and so on. Where with high high debt ratio on some of these. And so that means they are really, really careful with their investments and they they mainly do the things that they are forced to do. So they're kind of in hibernation. Some of them, I would say that the start of the year was in southern Europe was a little bit more tough. And then it was a good comeback towards the end of the year. If you look at discount retailers, they are just pushing forward. We have several of those, so they don't seem to mind the macroeconomic climate because they're they mean nothing beats a good price. So they continue to be attractive for the consumers. And it's more those retailers that are maybe already a little bit challenged in their business model and maybe their financing. They are the ones that are hesitant. And so maybe that gives a more flavor on the market. But looking forward, then I do think that we are we are in terms of business cycle. I think that we are not in the middle of a business cycle in terms of macroeconomics. And we are certainly not in in on the top side. So we believe that we are on the bottom half of the business cycle when it comes to how attractive the market is. So we have high hopes that if we get more political stability, then we think that investments is going to become more steady. So there will be less less variation between different sectors. And that will then affect us with more even and more predictable results.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Excellent. It was a cover that and a couple of questions from me as well on the whole. Well, what kind of client feedback have you got? So customer feedback have you got on the proposed joint?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Yeah, I mean, this is important. I mean, going into this, of course, we were worried that some customers might react negatively. But the the reception reception from customers have been overwhelmingly positive. There's been maybe a handful of customers that have expressed some maybe not excitement, but more questions on what will happen and what about me and my contacts and what will happen to my prices and how are you going to deal with this? But over but the large majority has been overwhelmingly positive. And our biggest customer that we were a little bit afraid that they were going to be maybe a bit hesitant. They have been one of the most positive that we have. So we this has been brilliant for us. We already we already know that there is so much learning for for both both H and Y and ITAB. And now when we're one group, there will be a lot of opportunities for us. And in the text of one of the slides in the deck today, I can just highlight that we will continue to operate as H and Y in the markets where H and Y is the strong brand and we'll continue to operate as ITAB in the markets where we are strong. But we will we will we will, of course, cross sell and use and leverage each other's experience and know how as a group. So all that good work is is now ahead of us. So to to steal from one of my previous employers, we have a glorious future, but most things remain undone.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Sounds good. When I listen to you, how you describe the integration process, it sounds like as you alluded to, you are very complementary. But for me, it sounds like even if it's a big, big process, it sounds easier, if you put it like that might be the wrong word for it. But it's the most complicated kind of integration process that you're now starting.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I mean, I would say that, I mean, we need to respect this because it's people, it's emotions and the scale is big. So complexity is big. But but in terms of since we are so complementary in terms of where we're strong, I don't think that it will be a big distraction, so to say, for customers or for coworkers in the majority of our markets. And then maybe in in parts of Central Europe or maybe in UK, where we are more kind of where it's not so clear who is the dominant part. I mean, in some markets in Central Europe there, of course, there might be some more emotions and some more change management. And we need to allow for more time so people truly can feel comfortable to give their best to the integration work. But but the overarching feeling we have right now, especially after the first week of doing a bit of a road tour and meeting people is overwhelmingly positive. But there's a lot of hard work that we have ahead of us. And I just want to remind everybody that synergies comes after the work, not before. So we need to do the job. And those that follow us the last couple of years, you know that we have been we have been consistent. When we make promises, then that is our focus. And then we have consistently delivered on our promises. And my intention is to continue to do that. So that will lead to quite a very good growth in earning per share for for all our shareholders. And I think that's what what everybody should be hanging in there and be long term. I mean, that's up to every every shareholder. But I do think that this is not a quick fix. This is a this is a several year project that we have ahead of us. But also remember that our industry is fragmented. Even with this combination, there is plenty of room for for the new group to grow in Europe and also to to have appetite, maybe to to do things outside Europe, maybe North America and so on. But first, we need to eat up what we have put on our plate before we put put more on that plate.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Excellent. And on the same topic, looking at the 30 million euro in synergy potential, procurement and cross-selling doesn't imply that it will take maybe lots of investments in the non-recurring items and similar kind of things to realize that. But it's more of a grinding out process that it might be until as we pull into 2027 before you have the full potential coming out.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Yeah, I would say that, I mean, I would agree with you that there's not if you if you just look at procurement and you look at maybe cross-selling, then the costs of realizing those images is not so so big. But if we see that we need to do, I mean, structural changes in the group, then of course, that is usually connected to quite large costs. So when we've done our plan, we've been we've been we have also included those those aspects into our plan and into our financing and the agreements that we have. But but we do believe that the vast majority of the the cost savings will come from procurement. And we more than double our procurement volume. And we just need a couple of percentage saving on that volume to reach our targets. So we are busy. Our procurement teams have started the work. So they're busy and we will we will go through all our categories and deepen our relationship with our suppliers and offer opportunities for our suppliers to be part of this journey. And but but in exchange, of course, we need to have better conditions and better payment terms.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

So on that note, if you come up with a structural improvement potential, I guess the new scale that you have in the combined volumes and everything should produce also structural opportunities. Would that come as an extra on top of the current entities that you have highlighted if you go down that route?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I mean, I mean, it's too early to say, but but we don't have a large structural changes in our plan. So that can be good for the shareholders to know. But but but that might change when we get wiser from exploring the company together and depending on how the macro climate and the industry develops. We think that we mainly have opportunity for our for the current footprint that we have. But as always, we need to optimize. That's that's clear. But but if you but if there are changes that that affects people and so on, then of course, that also comes with costs. So that's how we are. We are. We are planning. But the focus we have is mainly on procurement, commercial upside. And then, of course, there will be some .N.A. connected to efficiencies that we find. So we that's that's how our plan looks like. And we don't intend to spend more cost than absolutely necessary on realizing these energies.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

When you look at the business of HMI, do you feel that they have the same kind of project based business as you have? Would you have another type of element as well with system sales or maybe more recurring revenue than you have?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Now, I would say that probably ITAB has slightly more recurring revenue and more since we have more retail tech. So in all other aspects, HMI and ITAB are really similar, where they are. They have a stronger track record last couple of years driving organic growth and working with, I would say, large brands, very famous brands that they are strong in developing and delivering to. So and we will we will be able to come back and tell more about that in the future when we when we do our reports.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Excellent. And just one question also, you started your own ERP project upgrade last year or maybe two years ago now. How is that going to go ahead in this kind of new circumstances when HMI comes into the equation as well?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I mean, I mean, that doesn't change because on the ITAB side, we have 40 different versions of ERP and we need to we need to consolidate and drive efficiency. So that remains that ambition remains. And during during this year, we are going to see the first the first implementation of our over a new ERP. The good thing is on the HMI side, they are much better consolidated digitally. So we don't double the burden of the change there. On the contrary, there's a lot of learning and they have come further than what we have done. So there's a lot of the positive sides that we aim for. We have seen proof within HMI. So that is really reassuring. But as everybody knows, it's a lot of work. And we've been working for a long time preparing and we still have some more work to do before the rollouts starts. But that's something that we're really focused on. I think we have reached 1130 now. Sorry. I interrupted. Yes, that's fine for

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

me. Then it's possible. So, Rika, yes, to give me a view here on obviously coming back with integrated numbers and these kind of things from HMI and so on. When I look at the numbers you have given us for the 2023, is that accounting standards are the same as you use, so to say? So that would be a good proxy for me trying to do some sort of early integration of HMI numbers until they give us the full catalogue of numbers.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yeah, HMI, of course, is accounting or in French gap. What we have tried to do in the DD is to make a higher level adjustment based on their numbers. Yes, but it's not 100% translated to our way of reporting, I would say. That is something we still need to do reporting for Q1 here.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

But when you look at it coming out in your kind of set up of accounting rules, it's still an operation that at this stage would generate about 5% margin.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yes, yes, I would say that it's comparable, high level, it's comparable.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

But let us come back to that because those figures are 23, so let's not spend too much time on that now. So in Q1, I mean that is soon, not too far away, we are going to come back and have much more figures on this. So you have to have some patience until then. Sorry for that, but I don't know if you have any more questions.

speaker
Johan Bonnevier
Equity Analyst, DNB Markets

Good luck with

speaker
Andreas
CEO

it.

speaker
Unknown Speaker
Unknown

Thank you. Yeah,

speaker
Andreas
CEO

thanks, thanks. It's a lot of work. Mats, I don't know if you have any more

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

questions. Thank you for that, Koyi. We have a few questions just quickly from the webcast as well in writing. The first one, will you change your EBIT target for 2025?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Please say it once more. Will you

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

change your EBIT target for 2025?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

No, no, no, we will not change it. And I was confused. I mean, so the financial targets will not change. We have a financial, I mean, if we do change our financial targets, then that will be communicated. I mean, in a combined way. So, I mean, our 7 to 9 percent, I think, over a business cycle, I think is a very relevant target. And we landed last year on 7, we landed or 23 on 7 or on 7.7. So and of course, now we bring in H and Y. We know the starting point is slightly behind us in 23. Let's see what it is in 24. Of course, we know some things that we that first needs to be validated before we can share it. But we're looking forward to sharing that with you guys. So we will not change our financial targets as of now. There might be a good reason to do that in the future. But for now, our targets are really well suited.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

OK, the next question, will you publish Q1 in SEC or euros? And I think the answer there is we will publish it in SEC. We won't change the currency. I think that's correct, Ulrika.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yes, no, we will not change for now. And that's something we need to evaluate going forward if that is something we want to explore. But for 2025, it will still be in SEC.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

But it's a relevant question because we are so dominant in euro. And so we are evaluating that. But that takes time because it has a lot of consequences if we change the reporting currency. But I understand the question.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

Yeah. Another question. Margin expansion has been driven by gross margin. Why has there not been any scalability on selling an administrative expensive and could we expect it to come onwards?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I mean, the effects from bringing the two companies together, that first needs to be worked through and executed.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

It's not. I interpret it as concerning ETAB in 2024. So it's not connected to the acquisition.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Yeah, OK. So I think that we have continued to improve. But of course, we are also struggling with inflation and especially on people. The inflation has been quite tough and other things that affect SG&A has been quite tough. Yeah. So but we are super focused on driving efficiency.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

How should you think about the goodwill amortization from the acquisitions? We don't amortize on goodwill. So I'm a bit a bit I don't know. I'm uncertain on the question. So maybe we could get back to that.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Yeah, because that will be something that we look into when we do the purchase price allocation. So I think we don't we haven't done that job to the full extent yet. So and we as you say, Mats, it's correct. We don't amortize on goodwill.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

But maybe the person that wrote this question can clarify exactly what they mean. And we will answer that in writing and share with everyone.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

That's a good idea. Yes. Can you talk about your balance sheet and impact of the HMI acquisition? Is it all in 2024?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

No, it's not in 2024 because the acquisition was made last Friday, so the last day of January. So that's our new balance sheet will be communicated on with the Q1. But we can say as much that nothing has changed when it comes to the purchase price. All conditions have been met. And so we have paid what we said we were going to pay. And and of course, you can see that ITAB's financial position was improved due to the strong cash flow and capital efficiency. OK, thank

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

you. Could you give in a color on HMI's gross margin? Same higher, lower than ITAB's?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

I think I gave color before when I we cannot give figures at this point. We have given 23 figures and we will come back with the figures later. But we said that margin and growth have improved. And then we'll come back to what that means.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

And I think that goes for the last question as well. Can you remind us what the new group looks like in 2025 in terms of sales, EBIT, net profit and net debt at the end of 2025?

speaker
Andreas
CEO

No, we cannot do that because I don't have a crystal ball. But we know which plans we have, but we don't give forecasts in that way.

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

So that concludes the questions we've received in writing. Very good.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Big

speaker
Webcast Analyst
Analyst (Webcast questions)

thank you to everyone.

speaker
Ulrika
CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Andreas
CEO

Bye bye.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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