2/19/2026

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to today's Q4 2025 results conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. My name is Matthew Hooper, and I will be your host today. Joining me here on the call are our CEO, Juergen Madsen Lindemann, and our CFO, Johan Johansson. Welcome, gentlemen. As usual, our presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. and you can find our results materials, including a presentation deck and detailed fact sheet on the investor relations section of our website. We will not follow the slides, but the presentation deck and fact sheet do provide useful information for you. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. If you want to ask questions and you are following the webcast, please post your questions in the ask a question box at any time and I will read them out. If you prefer to ask your questions directly, You are, of course, welcome to do so by using your phone keypad. But more about that later when we get to the Q&A session. I will now hand the call over to Juergen to walk you through the Q4 results. Over to you, Juergen.

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Thank you, Matthew, and good morning, everyone. So Q4 was another important quarter for us as we made further progress in our strategic transformation. We have met or exceeded the targets that we set out for the performer combined results of Viaplay and the Alente Group for the full year. We completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% of Alente Group in mid-November. This is a company that we know well as an owner, partner, and operator. Back in July last year, we announced that we would buy the remaining 50% of Alente for 1.1 billion SEK. Alente then paid out 500 million SEK of dividends to Tilenor and 500 million SEC to us. So we ended up paying 600 million SEC to Telenor and Q4 to complete the 100% consolidation. We are now in the process of integrating the business and we expect full runway cash synergies of 300 to 400 million from 2027, which will further support our transformational journey, our profitability and cash flows. We have reconfirmed our intention to deliver double-digit EBITDA margins in 28 compared to the 5.3% that was delivered for 25 on a performer basis. This still requires a lot of work in collaboration with partners to agree mutual beneficial B2B distribution terms and prolong content agreements on commercial market terms. We have already negotiated and extended a number of our agreements with content partners and with B2B distribution partners that include Viaplay and our TV channels in their customer offerings. As mentioned, we continue to work with our partners to rethink these relationships so that they work well for both parties moving forward. On the content side, which represent 80% of our OPEX, we have received great and important support from our key partners in order to drive our transformation and to build our future continued partnerships. We have prolonged agreements where we have been able to agree mutual beneficial commercial terms, and in some instances we have exited or replaced the legacy agreement where this has not been possible. The work we have done with our content partners to enhance our product offering resulted in 2% organic growth for our streaming business. Our D2C subscriber base has continued to grow quarter on quarter, driven by our premium sports offerings, while our B2B base has remained largely stable quarter on quarter. As we continue to prioritize value over volume, upper levels were up for both our D2C and B2B bases, again reflecting the growing share of our premium sports offering. Our Q4 programming slate was more attractive and relevant than ever, when English Premier League football, Formula One motor racing, darts, and winter sport continue to drive viewer engagement. Our content cooperation in Norway with TV2 has resulted in growth for our Plus package. Thanks to the support from our partners and within the existing contract terms, we have also now just become the first broadcaster in the world to show all 552 games from the English Football League Championship each year, and we are further extending our coverage of Formula One races, weekends, and winter sports in 2026. On the non-sport side, local storytelling has combined with international formats and new releases to support not only Viaplay, but also our free TV channels, which have grown their audience shares in each market in 25 versus 2024. The latest series of local versions of proven relative formats, such as Paradise Hotel, Expedition Robinson, have again led the way, together with Crime Thursday and Efterlust and Svenska Fall in Sweden, Shard of Fever in Norway, and popular acquired TV franchise shows across our markets. The work we have done to transform our advertising business also paid off in Q4. Our digital advertising sales were up 38% as we continued to push both our HWAT and AWAT products. Linear advertising markets remain under pressure, and we are working hard to maintain our market shares. Total advertising sales were stable year on year in Q4, We increased our listening share in our Norwegian radio business, and we're broadly flat in our Swedish radio business. We have just been awarded a prolongation of our national radio license reading from 2026 for eight years, which is the same license as we have today. The sales of our linear channels to telcos and other distributors were up slightly, and this reflects the investments that we continue to make in this product, as well as the renegotiation of legacy agreements that I mentioned earlier. We have either prolonged disagreements on true commercial terms, or we have exited and replaced them where that is not possible. The 37 decline in our sub-licensing and other sales is a major reason that our total sales were down 2% on an organic basis in Q4. We have referred before to the exception of high sub-licensing sales that we had last year when we made a number of one-off scripted content sales and sub-licensing deals in Q4. This year's sales are at more normalized level, and we have been consistent quarter on quarter this year. Looking forward into 2026, we have today guided for stable group sales when excluding currency effects, with accelerated growth in streaming sales expected to offset the continued decline in Atlantis DTH sales. Our profits in Q4 were impacted by the consolidations of Atlantis profit for half of the quarter, and by adverse currency effects. On an underlying basis, when excluding these effects, our profit would have been slightly down year-on-year and reflect the closing down of the non-core businesses last summer. We reduced the optics for our core operations by 2% before currency effects, which was in line with the 2% organic sales decline for our corporations. We have today guided for between 1 to 1.4 billion of EBITDA in 2026. The range reflects a number of moving parts, including some synergies from a lens of group integration, which we expect to be full run rate from 2027. We will provide more information about this once integration is finalized. To conclude then, we have delivered the guidance for 2025, and we are now a group with almost 22 billion of annual sales and over 1 billion of EVA. Our products are stronger than ever. with more relevant content than ever, and we are consistently working to enhance, exit, or replace the legacy agreements and partnership while maintaining as lean and SG&A cost-based as possible. We have totally focused on relevance and resilience with commercial partnership and competitive products so that we can secure our position and future. There's still much for us to do to deliver the double-digit EVA margins in 28 that we're aiming for, and we are clear about what needs to happen for that objective to be achieved. That is it for my comments, and I will now hand over to Jorgen for his comments on our financial performance and position before we take your questions.

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

Thank you, Jorgen, and good morning, everyone. Our guidance metrics for 2025 were based on the full-year performance of the group, as if the group had been consolidated 100%. from 1st of January, 2025. Jørgen has been through the achievements of our core sales and our core BTA metrics, and we have closed down the remaining non-core operations last summer. A few words on the Q4 numbers specifically. Our reported sales of 4.978 billion included 578 million of Alente Group sales, net of internal eliminations, following the acquisition of the remaining 50% of Alente Group in mid-November. And our reported EBIT before associated company income, an ISE of 158 billion, included 31 million from Alente Group. The Viya Play sales to Alente as a key distribution partner have been eliminated in the sales line, as you can see from the segmental results from our corporations, and there is no elimination on the EBIT line. The non-core operations have no sale and no EBIT in the quarter compared to 198 million of sales and negative 36 million of EBIT in Q4 2024. Currencies continue to affect us as a stronger Swedish krona had negative impact on the around 133 million on the translation of sales in other currencies into our reported currency. Reported core operation costs, however, benefited from a net positive FX tailwind. The total FX impact on the core EBIT was negative by approximately 40 million, which was in line with our previous expectations for the full year FX headwind on the core EBIT of 100 to 150 million. But we came in at approximately 125 million for the full year. When looking at the organic cost development, when excluding Allent and FX, we achieved savings in almost all categories, apart from some key legacy contracts where we have built in inflation. And a substantial reduction in scripted content sales also resulted in a reduction in associated costs. The 642 million of items affecting comparability in the Q4 primarily comprised of non-cash, write-down of legacy, non-support content, as well as transaction costs related to the land acquisition. Net financial items totaled minus 281 million and included 121 million of accelerated interest payment and written off prepaid borrowing costs related to the renegotiation of our banking agreements and the cancellation of the guaranteed facility. further minus six million related to net lease liabilities other financial items totaled minus 57 million and included the minus 20 million of costs related to the renegotiation as well as facilities and effects impacts on revolutions moving on to cash flow we also met the third of the full-year pro forma guidance metrics, which relates to the group rather than to the core operations. We reported 804 million of pro forma adjusted operating free cash flow when compared to the guidance range of 500 to 750 million. This metric excludes acquisition costs, interest, dividends, and extraordinary one-off working capital effects. The 804 million included a positive adjusted free cash flow of 1.169 billion for the corporations and the 365 million dragged from the non-corporations due to the contract contracts that are yet to expire. The 365 million cash drag was lower than the 500 million that we previously expected, and it's a function of timing where we have managed to defer some of the payments into 2028. Our Q4 reported cash flow from operations primarily reflected the 1.533 billion negative change in working capital, which included a previously flagged and extraordinary 2.5 billion negative working capital effect, as well as a positive change in the timing of payments when compared to 2024. Excluding this 2.5 billion one-off effect, the Q4 changes in working capital would have been positive. We also received $300 million of cash dividends from Alente Group prior to the acquisition on top of the $200 million that we received in Q3, which are included in the cash flow from operations. Cash flow from investing activities primarily reflected Alente acquisition, while the cash flow from financing activities primarily reflected the financing, as well as the drawings on the RCF. When looking forward into 2026, it's worth noting that we expect the corporation's working capital swings to be less volatile between quarters due to a range of new commercial agreements with our partners. The anticipated non-core operations cash strike for 2026 has not changed from the 500 million figure that we provided before. CapEx will be at or about the same level for the combined group, which was approximately 150 million in 2025 on a performance basis. Cash tax payments will benefit from the carried forward tax losses that we have, and our annual cash interest costs are now running at approximately 450 million. This is only a slight increase in our total cash financing cost when compared to the cost before Alente deal. The 3 to 400 million of full annual run rate cash synergies that Jörgen mentioned in relation to the integration of Alente will be at full run rate from 2027. We are now in the process of integrating the business and expect the cash cost of that integration to be between 270 and 330 million, which will be reported as an ISC during 2026, with the majority coming in Q1 and Q2. In connection with our length of the transaction, we refinanced the balance sheet in order to improve our debt structure and to reflect the fact that we're now a group with over 1 billion annually VDA. This effectively involved securing a new 1.726 billion term loan to replace the debt that Alente brought to the table, canceling the 7.1 billion guarantee facility, establishing the new 2.5 billion working capital facility, and reducing the size of the RCS from 3.392 to 2.817 billion. The 1.858 billion of bonds and notes is unchanged. We already amortized 100 million on this 1.76 billion loan in Q4. So our total long-term in-depthness excluding the RCS is now at 6 billion. We will make further repayments of 420 million on this loan in both 2026 and 2027, and all the rest of our debt facilities mature in 2028. Our financial net debt, when excluding lists, amounted to 5.246 billion at the end of the quarter and comprised the 6.422 billion of debt and 1.132 billion of cash. 500 million on the RCF was drawn at the end of the quarter. The effective doubling of the EBITDA margin between now and 2028 required a lot of work and collaboration with our partners. to prolong legacy agreements and partnerships on commercial market terms or find alternatives. The strengthening of this profitability profile and the ending of the cash drag from the non-corporations in 2028 will enable us to gradually deliver the balance sheet. Execution and efficiency remain our key focus area. We have clear objectives, so must continue to deliver on sales growth and cost reduction initiatives. must constantly improve our working capital efficiency and must allocate capital with discipline and clear return on investment requirements. We have made a lot of progress and there is still much to do. That concludes my remarks. So now back to you, Matthew.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Thank you, Johan. And we're now ready to take your questions. So again, if you would like to ask a question and you have joined the webcast, please post your questions using the Ask a Question tab. at the top right-hand corner of the window and clicking submit, and I will read them out for you. Please don't forget to write your name and your company name. Or if you would rather ask the question yourself, please press star one and then one again on your telephone keypad, and you will enter the queue. To cancel your question, simply press star one and one again. Okay, so we're waiting on the conference call. So if we take the first question from the message board, This question comes from Emil at Media Watch, and it's one for you, Johan, I think, which is, can you please explain why the group's net debt has risen from 1.1 billion in 2024 to 5.2 billion in 2025?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

So, I think, as we have said, a part of the Atlanta transaction, we have We have refinanced the balance sheet, which included this reshape of the capital structure with these components that we have talked about. And it is a combination of all those items that I mentioned just in my notes there.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yes, so remember, Emil, that we had the refinancing which we announced in conjunction with Alente. So there are a number of factors there, including new working capital facility, the old guarantee facility went away. So there's a lot of reshaping that's gone on there, but it's all been laid out. So it should be fairly straightforward to understand, hopefully. There's another question from Emil, probably one for you, Jürgen. which is how much do you expect content costs to increase in 2026 due to the multi-year legacy agreements?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

We have not been specific on the amount, but clearly we have some new contracts kicking in, and we do see inflation in those contracts, but we are not specific around the amount.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah, and I think as Johan mentioned, I mean, we've had cost savings in this period in Q4 related to almost all categories, including SG&O as well, not just the content costs. So hopefully that shows you the direction of travel and what we're doing on the majority of the cost items. Another one from Emil again, Johan, for you. Do you expect a continued net loss of Viapay subscribers in the core markets in 2026?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, so far, as you can see, the Viapay subscribers, we have now grown quarter on quarter, and that is something clearly we would like to continue to do. So we have strong traction right now on the products, and as you have seen as well, our sports, particularly our sports portfolio has grown quite significantly. So the aim is, of course, to continue to get more customers on board. So that is the focus.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay, and just the final question from Emil now is, how important will price increases be for meeting the guidance for 2026?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, but it is a combination of more customers, as we said, and also clearly also price increases where we find that we, you know, can increase prices so we are still competitive or adjust prices so we are competitive. So that is clearly a part of the way to get to the guidance.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay, and just as a... Reminder for everyone, if you do want to ask questions in the conference call, please follow the instructions I gave earlier. So we'll continue with the message board now. And a question from Alex at SB1 Markets. You reiterate the ambition of a double-digit core EBITDA margin by 2028. What are the two to three biggest quantified levers to get you there? And he suggested some for us pricing all through content cost optimization, OPEX tech efficiency, the Lente synergies. And then the second half of the question is what annual milestone should we track in 26 to 27 to show the direction of travel?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, I think it is clearly that we want to grow our D2C and also grow our B2B streaming business. I think that is quite important. And also, that growth, of course, should flow straight down to the bottom line. Clearly, the improvement, as we talked about as well, in different content agreement or distribution agreement, Johan mentioned as well, or Matthew right now as well, the savings, the more being fit for purpose, and then also the synergies from electric group integration as well. So those is, of course, what should bring us in the end to the double-digit margin in, as we have set out as an ambition in 2018.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay. And then a follow-up from Alex. Q4 had extraordinary working capital effects. What should we assume for normalised working capital seasonality for the combined group in 26? And are there really any structural changes here post-Alente? Plus any anticipated full-year working capital headwind or tailwind?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

Yeah, so As I mentioned, I think we, in 2025, we had this extraordinary working capital effect of 2.5, and then we also had a positive effect from improved commercial movements, and that effect in 2025. So, when we go into 2026, we will have less volatility between the quarters on the working capital. It will be more stable if you look during the year. We will have a few hundred million buildup during the year, but it's many moving parts in this, and we need to come back to it and give more updates on that during the course of the year.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

So we're overall less lumpy?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

Overall less lumpy during the year.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah. Then we have a question from Christopher from Kepler Sugar. On Viapace streaming, you have previously indicated low to mid single digit annual growth in 26 and beyond. Can you explain how you see the balance between subscriber intake and price adjustments?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

We have not been specific on that, but as I said earlier as well, it is a combination, a mix of the products purely, and we are increasing prices or making sure that we are competitive on pricing where we need. At the same time, making sure that we also are getting customers in by being competitive. So we have not been specific on that aspect. on the two specific levers there, what each of them will drive. But it is a combination, as we see today, where high ARPU products and increased subs, that is driving the growth as we see right now.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay, and a follow-up, Christopher, which I think is one for you, Johan. You previously said we should expect gradual free cash flow growth from the 25 levels. Is that still the case, or will it look different in 2026?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

I mean, the gradual increase is still our long-term ambition, but please remember that it depends on the EBITDA outcome as well. 25 of 804 had this positive underlying effect. And then we will also, as I mentioned, have, I mean, 25 included a benefit of the lower non-core cash drag, which in 26 is expected to be around 500 million at this point. remember as well that we have the integration cost and restructuring cost within this year. Yeah.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay. And then from Christopher, on H4 and your crackdown on password sharing, could you update us on your progress and the benefits that you've seen so far?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, they have, you know, in all fairness, been quite significant, particularly in both areas, actually. So the account sharing has clearly benefited our sales, yeah, and also the fact that we ask people to play fair, you know, and if you're buying one subscription, that is actually not shared with everybody. So that has helped in all fairness as well. Same goes for the age watchers. It's proven to be a very good custom acquisition tool as well. We're looking at it right now. We're looking at, whatever, 15% to 20%. of the base as it is right now is actually coming from H4 as well. So it is a tool which gives us opportunity to get a very strong product in the market at a good price and at the same time also catalyze on digital advertising. So that has worked well for us.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay. And I think along the same vein, Jana from Dargan's Media is asking, how large a sum do you estimate that you have lost piracy in 2025, and what are you doing to change that trend?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, that is, of course, the biggest issue for all of us, in all fairness, and in all fairness, as we're looking at it right now, it looks like it's just continued to increase the privacy as well. There's a range of things that we are doing, amongst others, dynamic blocking, with Sweden's four largest ISPs now targeting focused illegal IPTV services. So, there's a range of measures which we're doing right now. There's legislation as well in the government, you know, which prevents, should prevent and make it a serious crime to be a pirate as well. So, that is the range of measures that we're doing and something clearly we will continue to fight. I think you read some statistics. Some statistics suggest that there's an increase, as I said earlier, around 60% from last year, and we should eventually see now around 1.3 million households being pirated in the Nordics, which is quite significant, to be fair. So we are losing a lot there, and something clearly everybody, which we are doing, also with our partners here, our colleagues in different media companies, but also the government, do need to act on this.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Going back to Christophe from Capita, this question is for you, Johan. I believe you indicated 2% OPEX reduction in 2025. What further steps can you take to continue reducing the OPEX base?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

I think it comes back to what Jörgen said as well. I think we are working across our cost to optimize, and I think now with the integration of Alente, we also have this thing that we are or doing to optimize the setup we have, which we need to come back to on the effect, which is why I think we have, as we have guided for now with the run rates in the years from 2027. So, but it is a range of things that we are doing on the cost base.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

I'll come back to you in a minute, Johan, with a question on specifying the rise in net debt level, just so we clarify that for someone who's asked the question. But before we get to that, Kyle from Arctic has asked, Jürgen, is there anything you can mention on the competitive environment of sports renewals in the Nordics?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

I don't know specifically what that could be. Clearly, we have succeeded in prolonging the agreements that we wanted to prolong, and they are strong, like the scheme we have prolonged, like the Formula One we have prolonged. And so those two are very important for us as well. In Netherlands, it's important as well we have prolonged the DART as well. So, and that has been done, you know, close partnership and close cooperation with the partners. and understanding how we can utilize and how we can get more out of the product. And they have been super helpful in all fairness to open up a range of new opportunity for us in connection to these prolongations. And also like the skiing, we have much more content than we used to have. And as I said earlier, now with the British, with the football championship in UK, we've now got 550 matches that we can show within the same contractual framework that we have today. So a lot of support from the partners. So we have been, lucky that we have managed to continue our partnership with the key rights owners that we work with. I think that is as much as I can talk about the competitive environment.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay, thanks, Jürgen. Just a reminder to everyone, if you're rather not here, Michael, you're very welcome to ask questions in the teleconference, but otherwise I'll keep going. So back to you, Johan, just to specify the increase in net debt, please, for Daniel.

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

As a reminder, I think we, at the time of recalculation in 2024, we had about 15 billion package, which included the on and off GFA and the RZ facilities. And now the financing package is much smaller based on that we have closed down the GFA. and then taking up the loan for acquiring a Lente as well as this new working capital facility.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

And so the net debt at the end of the year stood at?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

The net debt at the end of the year stood at the 5.5.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah. Okay. SV1 has asked a very detailed question on the cost of each of the various facilities we have. And I think rather than going into that in detail, we have given you an indication of what we expect the financing costs to be during 2026, which is around the $450 million level. And we've said clearly that that doesn't make much of a change versus what we had in 2015. where you need to remember that it's not just the interest cost, but it was also the cost for the guaranteed facility that we had previously. So those two things are more or less the same, despite the fact that we've taken on 1.7 billion of debt for what was effectively Alente's debt. So financial costs, moving into 26, to be very clear, should be around this 450 million level. But Alex, if you have any follow-ups, just please let me know. Jürgen, there's a question from two people here, really, on the sports sub-licensing side and whether we have anything more that we'd want to do there. And if we could explain a little bit more what the different difficult comp was in Q4-24 that led to a reduction in Q4-25 versus that period. So what was it that the sub-license then that caused the comp?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah. I think when it comes to the sub-license part, it comes in many shapes and forms, to be fair. So it might be so that we find it beneficial to sub-license content in order eventually to get new content, where we find new content which can enhance our position. So not necessarily incremental cost because we will sub-license something, get cash for that, and then subsequently buy something else. So that is one element. The other element is, of course, that we have a lot, and we have also too much, to be fair. So it is really a treat for customers, in all fairness, and we would like to offload some more content clearly to the right partners. But also, we will never do it in a way which will harm our commercial proposition. That is also important to understand. We have good partners who we have soft licenses with, and it is very good relationships that we have in there, in all families, long-term relationships as well. So that is something we will continue to do. So either we will soft license, or we will then soft license from others, or license from others, as that can also be the case. There was some special events in Q4 last year, some sports sort of license we did, which we didn't do in Q4 25. I think that is as concrete as I want to mention that. But there was some events which didn't come into Q4 25.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Okay. And then we have a question from Christopher Capra regarding Alente sales. And his question is, Alente sales climbed faster in 2025 than in previous years. Could you help us understand why and what you can do to improve this trend moving forward into 26, 27, and 28?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, I can talk a little bit about the product. So clearly what we want to do with Alente is, of course, to enhance the product, and that is quite important. And also we have great marketing opportunities as well through our channels as well to promote all the fantastic offering that Alente offers on the DTH business as well. We have just launched two new movie channels as well in Alente, and more will come. So the partnership with Alente and the content offering, now that we can exploit our content so much broader also in Alente, definitely should benefit as well, and that is a key focus we're having to preserve these very valuable DTH customers for us and nourish them in a much greater way than it has been done historically. And specifically on the revenue, if there's anything.

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

I think, as you say, Jørgen, it's about working with the customer base, with certain customers with a good product offering that is fit for purpose, with a fit for purpose price, and work on the shown reductions measures.

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

And we do also envisage to create new products. Clearly, as well, that is part of the strategy as well, there are definitely things we can do or will do also with some of the Alenza offerings that they're having today, which pick very well into the current Viaplay offering. Don't forget that, you know, we used to run a Viasat, we used to run a DTH platform, and there we had a range of partnerships and a range of very strong product offerings to the market, which benefited us, of course, and the customers. So that is, of course, something now, again, we will look into.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah, and just to remind you again, the synergies that we've indicated are cost synergies. They're cash cost synergies. We haven't included here at this time any sales synergies, but clearly putting together two groups like this will lead to opportunities for us. On the cash synergies, cost synergies, we've indicated 300 to 400 million there. Kristoff has asked if we could walk him through the main sources of those synergies. So where does that come from primarily?

speaker
Johan Johansson
CFO

Yeah, I think when combining this type of business, there are clearly overlapping functions that we work with to sort of to operate in an inefficient way going forward. And the experience, I don't know how we run this kind of business before, so we're setting it up for a purpose. But primarily it's a combination of the workforces where we have significant financial but also technology, marketing, and other costs.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah. Okay. A shift of focus now to advertising. Jørgen, it's a question from Kyle at Arctic. Can you go a little deeper into the ad market environment and expectations for 2026 and remind us of the digital versus traditional split? And given digital is growing so quickly, what does that imply in terms of the rate of decline that you're seeing in the traditional ad markets at the moment?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, I don't think that those would be links, to be fair. I think that it's just the fact that digital per se is growing quite rapidly as it is right now, and that is independent and linear. It's growing in all fairness. Linear is very much related to pot level. People using television is decreasing. So that is why the linear TV advertising is also decreasing. So it's difficult to predict clearly. Even we have been surprised sometimes on the market development. But I think if you look at the different bodies, then it should suggest that overall in Nordics, you will see a decline of around, whatever, 10%, as it looks right now in... At the same time, then you should also see a digital ad market going up by 11%. That is what at least is forecasted. It's a little bit difficult to be specific also because the Norwegian market is actually a combination and doesn't split out linear advertising and digital advertising for the combination. That combination is set to grow inclusive radio up around 2.5% in 2016. But again, we want to beat those market guidance. Clearly, that is what we would like to do. But that is to give you a rough idea on what the market has forecasted. And I reckon if you ask each of the media agencies, they will probably also have different forecasts. So there's no science there.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

Yeah, and again, remembering the 38% growth number that we gave, which is clearly a strong number.

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, we are going faster than market, and that is due to a strong effort from the team, to be fair, innovating as well on new products. The HWAT has really helped us a lot, and a lot of other talking to partners as well, to all our distribution partners, where we also have digital ad insertion in their offerings as well. We want to have new measurement systems, which we're working on as well, to make sure that we can, proper articulated currency. It is a currency that we are selling and so forth. So there's a lot still to be done, but we have done a good job, or the team has done a good job last year.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

And is there anything you want to say on the percentage of the advertising revenues that comes from digital today?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

Yeah, it is not larger, unfortunately, than the linear. Not yet. So we haven't given that split to be fair, but...

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

It's still a minority, but it's growing fast. Again, to remind everyone, if you want to ask questions yourselves in the conference call, you're very welcome to. But going back to the message board again, we had one question which is more of a general long-term question from Magnus Scherberg, who's asking, when we see positive results and we begin to see a buffer of one to two billion over time, will you then be looking at buying back shares or paying off the debt, or what are your priorities at the point at which you have cash available to do those types of things? How do you think about that?

speaker
Juergen Madsen Lindemann
CEO

I think we have been through a two-year transformation right now, to be fair, so that is something And now, as we have said as well, we have guided for a range of 1 to 1.4 billion EVDA for the coming year and strong high figure when it comes to revenue. So that is where we are right now. And that is what we want to deliver on. And I reckon the board at that point in time will start to look a bit further what they want to do. But that is not something that I have discussed here short term with the board.

speaker
Matthew Hooper
Host

OK, one more prompt for anyone who wants to ask questions in the conference call. I believe we've now reached the end of the questions that we have in the message board. Hopefully it goes without saying, if you have any follow ups, please feel free to contact me and we can come back to you promptly on those. But I think overall that concludes the question and answer session today. Thank you very much for your time and your questions and your participation. We really appreciate your interest and always welcome your feedback on both the format and content of the materials and this session. We're available for follow-up meetings, so please hesitate to reach out to me if you would like to schedule a meeting or you have any further questions. But that's it for today, so thank you again and goodbye.

Disclaimer

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