8/15/2024

speaker
Michael
CEO

Thank you very much. Good morning everyone and welcome to our second quarter earnings call. We're happy to see so many participants this time around as well. This is Michael and I got Joakim here with me as well. Let's kick it off. And with a quick highlight regarding Q2, I think overall what we see is that our order growth continues at healthy levels, but that the market remains quite challenging from multiple perspectives. I think I want to start off talking a little bit about the strategic initiatives we've been working on over the past couple of years and the effect that we're starting to see of those. So we still are able to maintain a very high level of customer satisfaction, which is quite good. We are also in a position to grow our order volumes more than double digits. This is in a market where the consumer sentiment, albeit in some of the major markets, improved during the quarter, but remains at quite low levels. And we also see that the inflation has made the purchasing power of the European households quite weak. And I also want to highlight the outdoor rug season, which primarily constitutes the second quarter, and where we saw more than a 50% increase year over year in the sales contribution from that subcategory. From a revenue perspective, we essentially were flat, minus 1% versus less, or half a percent actually, versus last year. organically minus 1%. The reason the net revenue was a tad bit lower is due to the decrease in the average order value where the customer price sensitive behavior is negatively impacting growth. On the profitability side, the positive thing is that the variable profitability, so the major costs associated with orders or sales actually decreased year over year and quarter over quarter. So the items part of gross margin in addition to marketing being the variable costs. However, the EBIT margin was significantly lower versus last year and to a large extent driven by a one-off cost related to reorganizations, as well as a negative outcome in the line item operation expenses, which is very much related to currency effects. To note also, of course, is that the second quarter is our seasonally smallest. And then, like I mentioned, we're quite proud and continue to see our high customer satisfaction ratings as something proving that we're doing the right things for our customer. So with that being said, let's do a few quick deep dives. If we look at the strategic KPIs that we follow in terms of customer satisfaction, market penetration and attracting new customers on the MPS and Trustpilot, we still maintained very strong ratings. Order count and new customer count both grew in the lower double digits. despite, like I mentioned, the quite tough market conditions. We see, highlighting a couple of markets here on this slide, that the consumer sentiment did improve slightly, especially in Germany, and remained flat in a couple of markets, highlighted here by France. but still at low levels when looking at from a slightly longer time series. And on the topic of average order value, on the left-hand part of the slide, we want to highlight how our price group of mixed offering has developed over time. So essentially it's showing, okay, what do the consumers have available to purchase from us by price group, article price group. And what we can see here is that we, during the course of the last year, have actually slightly increased our offering within the higher price ranges. and have remained relatively flat when it comes to our offering within the price range below 2000 SEK. Despite this, we see a clear and have seen during the past four quarters, essentially, a clear AOV, average order value decline, which is very much driven by consumers to a much higher degree compared to historically selecting the lower priced items. And I think the order growth that we've seen during this period does reflect that we have an assortment that is attractive for the consumers we try to reach. And of course, we will continue to develop our assortment offering over time in one of the key areas that we're working on. And that being said, looking a little bit into the outdoor assortment, where last year was the first year we made a specific or concerted effort to ensure that we improved that portion of our offering. We did further improvements for this season and can really see the impact of those efforts. where we actually grew sales within the subcategory by more than or about 50 to 70% compared to last year. So with that being said, let me hand it over to Joakim.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

Thank you, Michael. And as Michael mentioned here in the beginning, we saw a good quarter growth during the second quarter, but the drop in average order makers drop in net revenue 0.5%. or organically minus 1%. For the business units to the left in this slide here, our largest segment B2C is down by 0.7% and marketplaces and other, which mainly is Amazon, is up by 24.8%. B2B declined 3.7% in the quarter, where the larger drop was in smaller businesses. And that is a sub-segment that otherwise often replicate the trends in the B2C segment. In the graphics to the right, you can see the regional development in our B2C segments. So DACH dropped 1.4 percentage points, although with double digit growth in orders. The Nordic still performing better, growing by 8.6%. The rest of the world, which is mainly rest of Europe, we decreased by 4.2 percentage points. We see growth in Western Europe, but a higher drop in sales in the southern and eastern parts. So moving on to the gross margins. So we dropped the gross margin with 0.6 percentage points versus last year, but we improved 1.4 percentage points on quarter one this year. That came out on 61.6%. So the margin drop versus prior year was driven by a higher share of sales on discount and the improvement versus quarter one this year was mainly driven by a general price adjustment that we made in early April. And in the report, we say that the price increase was a few percentage points. So if we go to the segments, the margin decreases in all segments, and the main driving factor is the higher discounts this year. In marketplaces and other, the drop is a bit higher by 4%, and this is our smallest segment. And here we tested new campaigns during the quarter which negatively impacted margin, but as you saw, positively impacted the net turnover. The B2C and the B2B segments are with 0.6 and 0.7% drop respectively, which is explained by a higher share of sales on discounts. So moving on to cost ratios and the EBIT margin. So the second quarter is our low season historically. So cost increases and one offs get a higher impact with that lower volume. And I just spoke about the margin variances versus last year. And the same explanations apply to the goods for resale with higher discounts than prior year. And bear in mind here that the goods for resale percentage is not exactly 100 minus the gross margin. as the other income is included in the gross profit. There is a 0.4% difference here. In other external expenses, we have improved 0.8 percentage points, and this is due to our focus on marketing efficiency, resulting in lower marketing cost, which was 1.4 percentage points lower. And as a total improvement was 0.8, there are also cost increases, driven by expenses related to preparations for the move to a new warehouse and office in the summer of 2025. That is the smaller part of cost increases. And then we have increased IT costs. Personal costs increased by 5.6 percentage points. Organizational changes resulted in one-time costs of 2.5 million SEK. The remaining cost increases were driven by a higher number of employees, general salary increases and the transition of staff at the Berlin office from externally hired that were in the costs before to the employed personnel on our payroll. In other operating expenses, we have the foreign exchange effects on transactions from the revaluation of assets and liabilities in foreign currency. And this effect was negative this quarter versus positive last year, and hence sums up to a total of 1.1 percentage points cost increase. Last, depreciation and amortization has increased versus last year. It is driven by rent increases, the new warehouse that we contracted in quarter four, and the fact that we have started amortization of our intangible assets, our econ platform. And this also implies that as from now and as from the next quarter, any further development costs from our e-com platform will no longer be activated in the balance sheet, but directly expensed in the income statement. The bottom line here is dropped by 7.3 percentage points in EBIT margin. Moving on to inventory. So inventory increased. by 20 million versus the year end number and decreased by 25 million versus the same period close last year. So during this first half of the year, we are building inventory to be prepared for the high season in the second half. And this is a planned increase. And if you look at the right, we are within our target range of carrying inventory between 17.5 and 22.5% of the last 12 months of net revenue. So we ended the quarter with 21%. We move on to cash. So cash flow from operating activities decreased due to the lower earnings, but mainly decreased due to the working capital increase. So the inventory buildup for the high season is one part of that working capital increase, a planned increase. Another is decreased accounts payable to supplier, which could swing in a short period like this. Cash flow from investing activities is mainly the investment in our new e-commerce platform, and that was somewhat lower than prior year. So the net cash position that you can see to the right here at the end of quarter two was 138 million, an improvement of 56 million versus prior year. And during quarter two, we paid a dividend of 37 million versus prior year 31 million. And it's not in this slide, but our cash balance at the end of the quarter was 155 million compared to 104 million a year ago, an increase by 51 million. So all in all, we have a strong balance sheet. We have no interest bearing debt to financial institutions, and we have a good cash position. So I hand over to you, Michael.

speaker
Michael
CEO

Thank you, Joakim. So a little bit of a summary and outlook. And I think the key message is that we continue to focus on navigating the market conditions in combination with continuously improving our customer offering organization and, of course, here in the near term. also preparing for the peak season starting towards the end of Q3. And we are quite pleased to see that the efforts on our strategic initiatives are paying off. With the outdoor, we talked about outdoor assortment, we talked about continuous order and new customer growth. and maintaining a very high level of customer satisfaction. During the quarter, we also focus quite a bit on enhancing our onsite or web user experience in the webshop. In addition to implementing a new email marketing platform, which will intend to enable us to to drive even more organic traffic moving forward. Moving on to the second point, I think the one-offs, of course, greatly impacting the profitability, but financial position remains strong, and we are able to face the uncertain outlook. from a position of strength, so to speak. We of course see that the net revenue was essentially flat and very much driven by the price sensitive consumer behavior and its combination of multiple factors, but of course a bit of down trading Within categories, category mix in addition to a higher share of sales on discounts. The very profitability improving and then of course are the largest cost items within that metric. In addition to the personnel costs, of course, and that we stay efficient on the variable costs is very important because that ensures that once we get further order growth, that is something that will roll down all the way to the bottom line. EBIT was 2.4 million during the quarter, a significant decline profitability-wise or EBIT margin-wise versus last year and to a large extent driven by the one-off costs we mentioned. Worth noting, of course, is the dividend payout during the quarter based on the AGM decision, 1.8 per share. And in looking a little bit out, looking into the future a little bit, we see that the outlook remains uncertain. The development, with the development in the large economies in Central and Southern Europe being especially difficult to predict. Despite that, we continue to focus on navigating those conditions, of course, developing ourselves as an organization or customer offering, and preparing for the peak season, which we're very much looking forward to. And overall, we feel that we continue to improve our ability to capture demand. and satisfy a larger share of demand. So once the purchasing power of the household returns, we feel that we are in a very strong position. So with that being said, I'll thank you very much for the attention and hand it over for any potential questions.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. If you are following the presentation via the web stream, you can ask written questions by using the form below the stream. The next question comes from Benjamin Wallstett from ABG. Please go ahead.

speaker
Benjamin Wallstett
Analyst, ABG

Good morning, guys. So a couple of questions from me. Firstly, personnel costs grew quite a bit in the quarter. Could you take us through the FTE increase and give us an indication of what functions you are strengthening at the moment, please?

speaker
Michael
CEO

It's across all parts of the organization. So a little bit, most parts, not all parts, but multiple functions. A little bit of the warehouse functions with the order increase. We've needed a bit more resources there. and then on the office side as well where we've had a few increases for instance in the team producing content since that has been a large focus area during the last year or so and a little bit in technology and so forth. So there's a few different functions as we continue to evolve the organization with close to a 50-50 mix between the operational side and the office side.

speaker
Benjamin Wallstett
Analyst, ABG

Perfect. Thank you. I'm also interested in the restructuring costs specifically. You mentioned a figure of two and a half million, I believe. Could you perhaps break out the subcomponents of this figure and do you expect any cost savings moving ahead from this restructuring? I'm trying to get a feeling for the sort of run rate cost base here.

speaker
Michael
CEO

We had a reorganization in the purchasing and design with the resignation of the lead in that function. The second point, that's something we communicated via press release towards the end of the quarter, somewhere around that timeframe. And then we're also in the process of, we did a reorganization with the performance marketing team where we're establishing that in the Berlin office and previous in the Malmö office. And all of those costs or those affected, those costs were booked here at the end of the quarter. So those are off the books moving forward.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

So if you sum it up, you can say we have a seven million increase in personal costs and a little bit less than half of that is non-recurring costs and a little bit more than half then is recurring costs.

speaker
Benjamin Wallstett
Analyst, ABG

Perfect. I've also thought a bit about your assortment split graph. You've been talking about down trading for some time now, and I noticed a smaller share of rugs within the 2,000 to 5,000 sec range. Could you talk a bit about this? Is this share of the assortment too expensive for bargain hunters while being too cheap for enthusiasts? Or what's happening here, please?

speaker
Michael
CEO

And it's the graph, since this is a share of total SKUs, so the one number that wasn't part of it is the total SKUs available to purchase and that has increased primarily within the higher price ranges. So, with that being said, the number of items or articles to select from in this sort of The 2.5K range has remained relatively consistent throughout the period. We are of course continuously optimizing assortment and designs that we see aren't selling. They will be discontinued and then we add new things for each season. So there will always be a little bit of seasonal variance. But that is the explanation to the visual aspect of that graph.

speaker
Benjamin Wallstett
Analyst, ABG

Perfect. Thank you. I wanted to ask one final question. I want to ask about your NPS score as well. 62 is still world class. It puts you up there with Apple and the likes. But the NPS score has been on a slight decline for the last couple of quarters. Do you have any comments on this at all?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Yes, it's something we of course are working on on an ongoing basis, but one of the large reasons for it is that we've had off and on issues with a few of our carrier partners where the and the service level expectations from our perspective as well as of course the customer expectations or perspective has not been fulfilled. So that has been a major driver for that development.

speaker
Benjamin Wallstett
Analyst, ABG

Fair enough. I'll get back in the queue. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

The next question comes from Victor Hansen from Carnegie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Victor Hansen
Analyst, Carnegie

Good morning, Michael and Joakim. A couple of questions from my side. Firstly here, I'm curious about sales in your various geographies. So the Nordics performed much better than your other regions. And I'm wondering here, is this purely based on macro differences or how would you explain the relatively better sales growth in the Nordics? And do you expect these trends to continue?

speaker
Michael
CEO

I mean, a big portion, of course, is the macros. What we kind of saw when, if we call this sort of last one and a half, two years, a little bit of a recession almost. We saw that the Nordic markets slowed down faster than many of the other markets in Europe. And now we're at least seeing that the Nordic region over the past couple of quarters have outperformed most of the other markets in Europe. And there are within the rest of the rest of the world or rest of Europe, one or two markets that are still going quite strong. But that is the general picture that we're seeing in terms of the Nordics being maybe a little bit of a leading indicator. Then in terms of the lag between the Nordics and rest of Europe, it's still very difficult

speaker
Victor Hansen
Analyst, Carnegie

Okay, understood. And then a second question here. You mentioned strong sales for outdoor rugs. I'm wondering if you could quantify how large this category is for you?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Historically, it has been a very small share of the annual sales. we essentially doubled it last year and then this year also essentially grew it quite a bit. So it's now a significant portion of the sales within the, especially during the summer period or spring, spring and summer period. We haven't given a specific number on the share of total, but But it is a relevant portion of our sales, especially during the Q2 period. And I think also one thing I'd like to highlight when it comes to the outdoor assortment, it's items that are suitable for outdoor use doesn't mean that they cannot be used also indoors. We did quite a few improvements to that portion of the assortment last year already. What we could see is that many of the best sellers within that range continued to do well throughout the fall. We see that the consumers also find them suitable for other purposes, especially in kitchen areas, is what we're seeing.

speaker
Victor Hansen
Analyst, Carnegie

Understood. Very helpful. And a final question here. I noticed that your average order values, they increased slightly sequentially compared to Q1. But do you think that AOV has bottomed out here, or how should we view this?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Typically, we see that the average item values are higher during the fall and winter as there's a tendency for the consumer to buy slightly heavier rugs. So whether it's bottomed out or not difficult to say, but if one looks at it from a typical quarter on quarter perspective, we should see it increase Q3 and Q4 compared to where we ended up in Q2.

speaker
Victor Hansen
Analyst, Carnegie

Perfect. That's all for me. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. There are no more phone questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any written questions and closing comments.

speaker
Michael
CEO

So we have a few written questions.

speaker
Victor Hansen
Analyst, Carnegie

Do you want me to read it?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Yeah. OK. So a couple of questions from Emanuel at Danske, where the first question is related to our perspective on AUV moving forward. And I think what we just talked with Victor about essentially answers that.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

So the next question is, how has the development of the new domains progressed in terms of ranking high enough on Google to drive organic traffic?

speaker
Michael
CEO

And whether that is driving the lower marketing cost to sales ratio. And the answer to that is that there are new platform and work and efforts to build and publish content. is definitely improving our organic rankings and a large driver of the lower marketing to sales cost ratio. Because we continue to see a relatively intense climate within the paid traffic platforms such as Google and Google paid ads and our AdWords and and on the Meta platforms.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

So we have a question here from Adam. Do you experience that you have lost market share in Dash and or rest of Europe?

speaker
Michael
CEO

No is the short answer. There's always nuances to that type of questions, but overall, we feel that we're more than holding our own when it comes to the online share. There have been dynamics in the marketplace during the past year that we've spoken about previously with specifically, and aggressive new market entrant in TEMO that has been very aggressive across Europe in multiple product categories including home interior products.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

We have a question here from Steven. Given that the consumer confidence bottom out several quarters ago. I'm not sure we agree with that though. How comes that you see the declined AOV now and not earlier?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Of course, I think the... Sweden, of course, is a microcosmos and quite specific in terms of how the household discretionary spending is used. and that where a very high share of the sort of monies into the household goes out for bank loans and housing in general. And those, like we all know, takes a while before a couple of quarters before those interest rates hikes actually affect, even though the central banks change the rates. It takes a couple of quarters or more. depending on the duration of the interest rates affecting. That's a little bit Sweden and a few additional markets that have that type of profile. The rest of Europe is very much where we're seeing a general inflation on many of the core necessities when it comes to heating, food, etc. And that's, I would say, a big portion of the sort of lag we're seeing that people, yes, are a little bit more optimistic about the future, but still quite hesitant towards making larger single item purchases here now.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

We have a question from Jonas. Staff cost is up almost 25% year on year. Please be more specific what this new staff will do to make your company better. How and when will this investment drive sales?

speaker
Michael
CEO

So we talked a little bit about that, where we have, of course, invested in our content production functions and organic channels. We are already seeing the benefits of that in terms of efficiency especially. We're of course only in the early phases in terms of what we want to do within these areas when it comes to customer facing activities. So I would argue that we are seeing the benefits of it already. And also if you've kind of followed the experience and content availability in our web shops, there's been a tremendous development in that area within the past 12 to 18 months. which is partly the new platform, but very much the fact that we have more resources to produce content.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

Thank you. We have one more or two more from Jonas. What can you in the current environment do to improve the average order value? Have you focused too much on budget products, on site displays, campaigns and so on?

speaker
Michael
CEO

I think the topic in terms of growing AOV in an economy where the spending power is low is always difficult, that's for sure. I don't think if I start with the second portion of that question, have we focused too much on the lower end, lower price points? No, I think is the short answer there. We've historically been under penetrated within that market segment and during the past around about two years have improved our position within those price ranges. It doesn't mean that we haven't also made improvements to the other price ranges, which we saw on one of the slides there. But in the current economy, the consumers have selected to focus on the lower prices and or the highly discounted items. But what can be done on the AOV topic, of course, ensuring that we display on-site merchandising in terms of what we feel are relevant options for the consumer. We are working on topics such as average items per basket and during the second quarter an additional feature on that in terms of ensuring that we recommend carp anti-slips and carpet cleaners was introduced as part of the purchase journey. So we are also working on that aspect.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

Last question from Jonas. Please describe the marketing cost environment in Central and Southern Europe during this quarter versus last year. How are the usual competitors behaving on customer product price? Any new competitor in the region?

speaker
Michael
CEO

Talked a little bit about that both in Q4 and in Q1. I think one of very much reiterate many of those topics because they have very much been part of the environment also here during Q2. The new entrant in the market is TEMO. I think anyone who follows online retail to a certain degree has most likely seen the efforts they've done over the past year to enter the European market on a very, very big scale. And that has impacted the dynamics of the market. Where of course many have reacted and reacted in two ways is what we've seen is that in the paid channels they've increased their willingness to spend both from a visibility and of course click price. In addition to having quite aggressive discount offers available in external advertising as well as inside the different web shops and that is And that is a little bit the dynamic. And despite this, I think it's an environment where we've had to navigate this and still year to date deliver more improved or a lower marketing cost to sales ratio. And that is very much driven based on the fact that we have a larger share of organic traffic and sales compared to last year.

speaker
Joakim
CFO

So we have what appears to be now at least the final question. It's from Philip. So in the markets that are not as heavily impacted by pressurized consumers, how does the AOV trend look in those markets? Are you confident that the decline in AOV is temporary?

speaker
Michael
CEO

I'm very confident that the AOV is affected by the price sensitive consumer behavior. That is for sure. The important thing for us is to ensure that we have an assortment that attracts as large of a portion of the European customers as possible and that people want to buy those items. and of course that we have items priced across all relevant price points besides maybe some of the very, very low ones. And with that being said, Yes, increasing AOV could be beneficial, but at the end of the day, we need to adapt to what the consumers are willing to spend and make sure that our order economics remain profitable and that our overall cost base and internal efficiencies and marginal or variable cost profile adapts. to what the consumers are willing to spend. And we can maintain profitable growth also in that type of environment, whether it's temporary or not, it's difficult to say. But it is something that we need to adapt to a large degree. Of course, there are certain things we can do to try to to drive the slightly higher order value. But at the end of the day, if a household has the wallet or the budget to buy something for 300 euros, it's very unlikely that they will end up buying something for 700 euros. Was that it? That was the final question. So with that being said, unless there are any other questions, no. So again, I want to thank everybody for the attention and look forward to meeting and talking to all of you again for our Q3 report. Thank you. Have a good day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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