6/17/2025

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Good morning and welcome to the presentation of Rusta's fourth quarter results. Today the presentation will be held by myself, Göran Westerberg, CEO of Rusta, and our excellent CFO, Sofie Malmunger, who will run you through the numbers. As usual, we have a quite simple agenda. I will go through a business update, telling you a little bit what's happened during the quarter and also the full year. And then we'll turn over to financial performance by Sofie and then we'll do a quick summary and open up for Q&A. As usual, we start the business update by having a look at the store network. We have at this time 225 stores operational in all our markets. During the last quarter, we opened up six new stores, which is more than the same quarter last year. We opened up one in Norway, taking us up to a total of 53 on that market, and a whole of five new stores in our home market of Sweden, taking the total up to 120. Now, the continuation of the positive development of the software rental market is continuing. So as we have seen for a number of quarters now, we have again reached an all-time high in the store pipeline. The total number of signed and ready stores is now up to 47. Last time we reported 44. So in spite of us having opened six of the stores in the pipeline, we have added another nine. Looking at the guidance, we have guided the market to the span between 50 to 80 stores in the coming three years. Now seeing that the inflow of new locations is continuing at this speed and that we're also getting close to the lower end of this span, we're now guiding the market to the upper half of this spectrum. So we believe now that it's likely that we will end up somewhere between 65 to 80 stores in the coming three years. Having a look at the numbers of the last quarter of the year, we accelerated again the sales. We're now up to 12.6% in net sales growth during Q4. And we had a very healthy 8.6% like-for-like growth in local currencies. Looking at what has happened and what's behind these numbers, we had an exchange rate negative effect. The Swedish crown has strengthened, as most of you are aware of, for the past couple of months. And we have a negative effect immediately in sales currencies. So most importantly in Norwegian crowns, but also to some extent in Euro. And that's about 1.9% negative effect in these numbers. So excluding currencies, our top line growth was 14.5%. We also had a leap year, and that means one day less of trading, which means that we had a negative effect of 1% due to that. But we also had a positive effect due to us meeting last year's IT attack. So all in all, the 3% positive impact we had from the Teto incident, together with the currency effects and the leap year, it can say that it's neutral so i think considering all of this i think this is this is a very strong quarter from a top line perspective We also increased the gross profit by 7%. As I'm sure you've noted during Q3, we also guided the market in the sense that we have transferred focus from strengthening gross margin that we have done all the way since the IPO to now shift over more to focus driving top line growth. We have succeeded with that and we have achieved the gross profit growth that we have set out to achieve. We also improved the EBITDA profitability by 1.6%. This is our smallest quarter and due to that we've always been in a situation where the last quarter has been loss-making. But we have reduced the loss during this quarter and I think we're also getting closer to a point where we will actually turn this to a positive development in the last quarter. Some of the key events during Q4, I think most notably, we had strong development in all segments. We strengthened sales and profitability across all segments. And in fact, in other markets, the new markets, the online Finland and Germany, we actually had the strongest development of all segments. Also looking under the hood of the numbers here, we can say that there's a number of things that we like. One is that we have an increased average ticket value and also that visitation increased. So basically meaning more customers coming and shopping more when they're there. We saw that both the number of items in the shopping basket increased, but also the total value of the basket. Looking even closer, we also saw another significant and important development, and that is that the share of higher ticket items increased. I think that's a sign of a healthier customer, but also that our customers have responded well to our pricing, but also our campaigning. So I think this is part of the effect of what has driven both the gross profit development, but also top line growth. Now, in line with higher or increasing number of tickets, you can also say that the inflow of new customers is also increasing. So we have a very good combination of those things. And one way that we're seeing that, except for the increasing number of tickets, is that the recruitment to our loyalty program, Klub Rustak, continues. And last time we reported 6.2 million members. Now we're up to 6.4. So it's another about 200,000 new registered members. And interesting again, if we look under the hood of these numbers, we see that it's the younger people now that is the fastest growing population. target group over here. So it's the 18 to 28 years old that is growing fastest and also that the share of men is increasing. A large chunk of our customers have been women, but now we're seeing that the men is catching up and the absolutely fastest growth we see with young men. So we really like that. We've talked about reasons for why we think Club Rusta is important to us. We've talked about it in the perspective that the traditional marketing that we have used at Rusta and also generally in low price has been the flyers that we distribute to millions of households. But that's slow, it costs money and we get absolutely no data from it. So as we can transfer more of our marketing efforts into Club Rusta or through Club Rusta, it's quicker, it's cheaper, and we get more data. That's, I would say, some of the incentives that we see working with Club Rusta. But there's also another part of it, and that is that the club members' average ticket is 35% higher versus non-members'. So that's another reason that we're driving this so hard. We also see a ramped up expansion rate, as I mentioned. We had six new stores open during Q4, and we have a continued positive view on the expansion potential. The market now is considerably softer compared to the last many years that we've seen on the market, and that seems to continue. So we have a positive outlook on the rental market. Looking at the full year, we have a total of 6.4% net sales growth during the year. We also have a like-for-like of 3.2% in local currencies. Here we have a currency effect that is negative with 0.8%. But we have increased the gross profit by 5.4% versus last year. We also strengthened the EBITDA by 12.2% during the year and the earnings per share increased by 17.4%. And I think this goes to show the scalability that we have in our business model. Some of the milestones during the year includes these points. Of course, a lot of things have happened during the years, but some of the things that I would like to underline is one, that we opened 13 stores during this year, which is more than the year before. And we also celebrated 10 years in Norway, our first international market. And during the year, we also opened the 50th store in Norway, and the growth continues. From a strategic point of view, I think it's also worth mentioning that we opened a new sourcing office in Turkey. And this is very much to address both our general strategy to be active on the global purchase market and to make sure that we work with the biggest and the best. But it's of course also something of an insurance policy for the volatile global situation in sourcing. We know that it's good to have many more options and to have people on the ground in the most important purchase market to have different options should we end up in situations that we have seen in the last couple of years again in the future. We've also been approved for science-based targets initiative, which we're really happy about. I think this is another important part from a strategic point of view for Rusta, that we are continuously moving ahead, increasing both our quality level, but also our work with sustainability. This goes in hand with the aim that we have not only to offer low prices, but actually having a really good quality and also a trustworthy agenda on sustainability. Our aim here is to be best in low price when it comes to sustainability and quality. With that, I hand over to Sofie to take us through more of the financial numbers.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

So in Rusta's fourth and final quarter, we see an accelerated sales growth and an increased profitability. We have a total net sales growth of 12.6%, negatively affected with 1.9% currency effects. So the total net sales growth excluding currency effects is 14.5%. Our like-for-like growth excluding currency effects is 8.6%. We have continued to invest in our price position and decreased our sales prices in the quarter, so the sales increase is all due to higher volumes and increased average tickets, and that goes for all our segments. We are meeting last year's IT incident in this quarter, but even if we include the lost sales of last year, we have 11.5% in net sales growth excluding currency effects and 5.8% in like-for-like sales growth excluding currency effects. Our gross profit increased with 7%, but the gross margin is 2.1 percentage points lower than last year. The decrease in the margin is mainly explained by two factors. The first one is that we this year have an increase in planned campaign activity compared to last year. During the IT incident last year, campaigns could not be run, which then resulted in a comparable higher gross margin, but also lower sales. The second factor is due to negative currency effects. The strength in Swedish krona is very positive for the continued margin development, where a lower dollar has a strong positive impact. However, in the short run and in the Q4 results, we see negative effects from the weaker NOC, which will be mitigated over time. Due to the seasonality in our operations, Q4 has always been a quarter of negative profitability. The quarter starts right after the Christmas sales and ends before the summer season kicks off. We have a positive EBITDA development in the quarter and have strengthened our EBITDA margin with 1.5 percentage points, mostly driven by good cost control with a decreased OPEX share of sales. The full financial year of 2024-2025 can now be summarized and we see increased sales, continued profit growth and a strengthened EBITDA margin. We have a total net sales growth of 6.4% which is 7.3% excluding currency effects. Like for like sales excluding currency effects is 3.2%. The gross profit increased with 5.4% with a drop in gross margin of 0.4 percentage points. The EBITDA increased with 12.2% and the EBITDA margin strengthened with 0.4 percentage points to 7.2%. Earnings per share thereby increased with 17.4%. So a short summary of the full financial year is that Rusta takes clear steps towards the mid-term financial targets with increased sales and improved EBITDA margin. If we look at our segments and starts with Sweden, we see a continued positive development and a continued movement towards increased sales of high ticket items. Seasonal sales of the summer assortment started strongly in the quarter and in combination with an increased sales of DIY we get a positive product mix effect in both sales and in margin. Total net sales increased with 13.8% and like for like 9.4%. We also have a positive cost development in the quarter where OPEX has a share of sales is 4.8 percentage points lower than last year. The EBITDA margin for Sweden for the quarter is 13.7%, an increase of 3.7 percentage points. We see similar positive development among our Norwegian customers, where both the number of customers, items sold and average receipts increased in the fourth quarter. The customers also increasingly chose high ticket items. Our segment for Norway has a net sales growth excluding currency effects of 14.5% and a like-for-like excluding currency effects of 6%. OPEX as a share of sales has decreased with 2.8 percentage points and the EBITDA margin increased in the quarter with 0.6 percentage points. Other markets show a very strong development and has the highest net sales increase within our segments. Total net sales growth excluding currency effects is 16.5% and like for like excluding currency effects is 8.5%. We see the same development as in the other two segments with increased number of customers, items sold, higher average receipt and also a very positive OPEX development driven by lower costs for freight. The EBITDA margin for the quarter is strengthened with 4.2 percentage points. If we look at the full year and conclude the performance per segment, we see a continued total growth in all segments with increased sales and increased profits. We believe that Rusta is continuing to gain market shares in all markets. Sweden has a net sales growth of 7.6% and an increased profitability to 18%. During the year, we have opened eight new stores in Sweden. Norway has a sales growth of 9.7% and a profitability of 11.1%. The slightly lower EBITDA margin compared to last year is explained by the negative currency effects due to the weaker NOC. During the year, we have opened five new stores in Norway. Other markets have a total sales increase of 3.9% and a continued improved EBITDA margin for the full year of 0.8 percentage points. Our profitability has continued to increase during the year and we take a closer look at EBITDA for the fourth quarter. We see that we have a positive sales mix effect with an increased share of high ticket items. We have prioritized the core of our customer promise, the low price, to thereby drive sales, which we have succeeded with. Increased planned campaigning has had a negative effect in the gross margin, but has been very positive in driving sales, traffic and profit. Operating costs are decreasing as a share of our sales with 3.5 percentage points, which is made possible by the scalability in our business model, meaning that we sell more but without increase our total costs. Freight costs between our warehouse and our stores are one example where we have increased the cost efficiency, which has had a very positive effect in the fourth quarter. Purchase prices are in line with last year, but sea freight costs are higher in Q4 this year. For the full financial year, we have managed to increase our EBITDA margin from last year's 6.8% to 7.2%, as you can see here on the slide. The profitability drivers for the full year are higher sales where volume is the single largest driver to the overall growth, both in total and like for like numbers. Positive effects of improved purchase prices, an increased share of private label and a positive sales mix. OPEX as a share of our sales has decreased with 1 percentage point. However, we have a negative currency effect of higher dollar and a weaker NOC. The total currency effect on our EBITDA margin is negative with 0.3 percentage points. So a currency neutral EBITDA margin for the full year is at 7.5%. And then some comments on our balance sheet and cash flow. There is an increase in working capital. This is due to a planned inventory build-up since we this year have more stores and an increased demand. We have a low net debt excluding IFRS 16 of 74 million SEK. Cash flow from operating activities in the quarter is higher than last year and is explained by lower purchases of goods this quarter compared to last year. Cash flow from investment activities for the quarter amounted to 134 million SEK compared to 63 million SEK last year. And the increase is explained by the automation project in our warehouse, new stores and rebuilt stores. As for the automation in Rusta's central warehouse, it's all going well according to plan and budget and is expected to be ready in spring 26. So all in all, we continue to have a solid balance sheet and a very stable financial position which will support our increased store expansion. We have no need for bank loans and will fully finance our growth ourselves, completely in line with our set financial targets. Summarizing the year and looking at our financial targets, we can see that we are well on track to deliver on our medium term financial targets. We have an organic currency neutral net sales of 7.3% and a like-for-like growth excluding currencies of 3.2%. Our EBITDA margin has strengthened from 6.8% to 7.2% and the currency neutral is at 7.5% and well on track towards the around 8% in the medium term. Earnings per share are very much outgrowing the net sales and EBITDA with an increase of 17.4% which is the result of the scalability in the business model. We have a dividend policy with an aim to distribute 30 to 50% of net profit, which leads us to the next slide. The board proposes a dividend of 1.45 SEK per share, which is an increase of 26% compared to last year's 1.15 SEK per share. This corresponds to 47% of the net profit of the year and is thereby in the upper end of our dividend policy. And with that, I hand over to Jaram.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Thank you. Right, so a bit of a summary and also events after the quarter. And the first point is that, of course, that after 14 years here at Rusta in this position, I have informed the board during last week, as I'm sure some of you have noted, my intention to leave this position no later than the end of June in 2026. So I think this allows for ample time for the board and for the company to find and prepare the succession into a new CEO. The board has of course initiated the process to appoint a successor and I guess more of that to come after the summer. Switching over to current trading, we can say that last year we had a bit of a strange spring. For most of our sales market, we had heavy snowfall in April, basically the whole month, and then it quickly turned almost exactly between April and May into full-on summer in May, which created, I would say, lower than usual sales during April and then a very high peak in May. So, of course, what we have met here has been, of course, a stronger finish to Q4, but, of course, tougher comparables in May that we didn't really meet up with in May. But if we look at the season, the summer season, being one of our really important seasons during the year next to Christmas, you can say that if we take a full look on this and compare April plus May last year, With April and May this year, the season has started well. So the early spring has been to our advantage. And generally, but not always, this is a good sign for the rest of the season. It means that we have sold a larger share of our products and our offer early on in the segment. And that is usually very good for the business. It means less of need for sellout and so on. We can also say that looking at Q1, we have softer comps in the second half of Q1. So basically May, really, really tough peak, but then June and July significantly softer comps during the first quarter. We continue to have a very positive long-term outlook and that has of course to do with basically everything that we've seen on how the consumer responds to our campaigns and pricing and of course our range offer. But we also have a record store pipeline that continues to grow. It's really hard to predict what it's going to look like in the coming quarters but it's on a very historically high level, the highest ever. And I think that this would basically be one very important part for us to continue to drive growth and to address a larger share of the white space that we know we have in abundance in all our markets. When it comes to currency effects, the strengthened Swedish crown, you can say that there is a negative around that and there is also a positive. The negative, which is the smaller part of it, is what you see first. And that has to do with the NOC and the euro, which is basically the sale currencies. And that negative effect we've already seen, I would say, the bulk of. We will continue to see a bit of that in the coming one or two quarters. But the big positive effect of this, basically the Swedish crown compared to the US dollar, that has a big impact on almost all of our shipping, the freight cost, the containers and so on, but also a large chunk of our purchase, the COGS, the cost of goods sold. Here we have a positive effect, and that takes a little bit longer time to hit the P&L. For the simple fact that you have to place the order, the suppliers have to produce it, it has to be transported into our DC and then sold in our stores until it ends up in our results. So we have that good part left. And looking into this year, we will start to see those things. And we will see the lion's share of that in the second half of this financial year. And it will improve over time. So both from a freight point of view, but also from a sourcing point of view, that is something good that we have ahead of us. We also implemented, that we communicated earlier about a week ago, that we now have the bonded warehouse implemented. And what is that? It basically means that we don't have to pay custom duties on a part of our range. So, for example, Norway not being part of the European Union, we still hold those goods in our DC in Sweden, and we don't have to pay custom duties until we sell it. So it's a big benefit for us. We have a 7 million positive effect during this year and we believe it's going to be about 30 million in the coming years. So it's a very good thing. We've also communicated a number of, I think, very exciting initiatives. The rollout of a new store concept during the autumn where all of our 225 stores will have a new setting. We also roll out some new range offers in connection with that that we will communicate at a later stage. We also have the initiative that Sofie talked about in our DC, among other things. And all of those projects are proceeding according to plan and we are very comfortable with our guidance around all of those projects. So I think From where we're looking and looking towards the horizon, I think we like what we see. So with that, I think it's time to open up for Q&A.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

If you wish to ask a question, please dial pound key five on your telephone keypad to enter the queue. If you wish to withdraw your question, please dial pound key six on your telephone keypad. The next question comes from Nicholas Ekman from DNB Carnegie. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Thank you and congratulations on strong results this morning. A couple of questions from my end. Firstly, if you could elaborate a little bit more on what you're saying about current trading. You're talking about tough comparisons in May and then much easier in June, July. I know you don't really quantify this, but is there any reason to see any significant deviation from the strong growth that you reported now in Q4? That's my first question.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Right, so I would say we had an unnaturally high peak in May, and of course it was hard to meet that, and I think we didn't expect to either. So in that sense, you could say that it was a tough start on Q1, but we knew about that. And we also know now that June and July is much easier. So we still have a positive outlook on Q1 as a whole. And more than that, I'm not sure if I dare to quantify it. No crystal ball yet. Sorry.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Fair enough. And can you say a little bit more? You talked about the currency tailwinds or headwinds that you see now that we reverse the tailwinds. How will that progress during the coming quarters? Are you still seeing significant headwinds also now in Q1 or Q2 or how should that progress?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

If I start, we can just say that we of course noted that the Norwegian crown lost quite significantly during last quarter towards the Swedish crown, but it has recovered some and that's of course good for us. We've also had some time to adjust our pricing in terms with that and also in line with the market in general. So we think that that will ease out. And then, of course, as we progress now in the coming two or three quarters, we will more and more see a strong positive effect from the US dollar versus the Swedish crown.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

And that goes of course as well for the euro which will have a negative impact on top line but since we're also we're selling euro but we're buying euro so in that sense it's more hedged. But it's a very positive development on the dollar and also on the other currencies that we are buying in. And that positive net effect of all of this together, we say, will have an impact in the second half of the financial year.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Very clear. And speaking of euro, other markets You've seen fairly poor sales development, or at least it's been underperforming the rest of the group. And now you're seeing a significant pickup here in Q4. Why is this happening now? Is there anything that you've done differently in Finland and Germany?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

I think I would say our assumption earlier on during the quarters has been that we have had some help in the improving macro development, if you like, first in Sweden, then Norway, and then we hope to see that in other markets. We don't see that connection as strong anymore. I mean, I think we have had even a little bit of a fall in consumer confidence in Sweden, in spite of us growing quite rapidly over there. A little bit of the same in Norway and so on. And I can't really say that consumer confidence has improved in Germany and Finland. So I think my conclusion is that it seems like the market and the consumers like our offer, that they find it attractive, and also that they respond well to the campaigns and the pricing position that we have now implemented. And that's, of course, very good.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

Very positive development on the online sales.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Yes, absolutely.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Can you quantify what is online share of sales for you now?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

We can, but we won't. No, but since we have those three markets online, Germany and Finland in one segment, so we stick to that. But what we can say is that it's been a very positive development. And as I said, also the online sales has been very positive in the quarter.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Yeah, we can say low single digits, but increasing.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Finally, a question for you, Göran. As you said, you announced plans to resign one week ago. Can you elaborate a little bit on the reasons for leaving? Why deciding to leave now and what do you expect to do going forward?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

So I guess, as I said, first of all, 14 years is a long time in a company and of course also in a role like this. So that's been, I guess, around on my mind for some time, that when is a good time. Looking at where Rusta is right now, I think Rusta is in a good place. For a large chunk of the years that I've been a CEO here, we have been involved with heavy projects, whether it's going to the stock exchange or an external IT attack or pandemics or entering new markets or buying companies and so on. Those have been really bad times to make a decision like this. So I think from that point of view, I think this is for the good of Rusta, I think this is a good moment.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

And no thoughts on what's next for you?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

There are, of course, thoughts, but I've also decided I will allow myself some time to think about that, having been so long in this role over here. So that's something that I will have to return to later on. And I think right now it's also good. I mean, it's another year. So I think thinking too much of that is not good. I really like to stay focused on Rusta and making sure that the development continues and also that the position of the company will be as good as possible for the next CEO. I think that's really, really important.

speaker
Nicholas Ekman
Analyst, DNB Carnegie

Very clear. Thank you so much for your contribution. Thanks for taking my questions as well. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Gustav Hagius from SEB. Please go ahead.

speaker
Gustav Hagius
Analyst, SEB

Good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. I was thinking about the strong like-for-like number here in Q4, 8.6% like-for-like. Assuming that price investment campaigns took... percent and a half, 2% off that number. Volume mix would be, say, 10% in the quarter. Firstly, if you could confirm that's roughly ballpark correct. And if you could give us some sense of the mix between volume impact versus mix impact that you referenced both here in the report. But any of them that makes up the lines part here would be interesting. Thanks.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

So if I start, I think yes, absolutely. I think this is the rust that I recognize. I think the past one year has been a bit of a strange environment where people have been really under pressure due to inflation. And I think the behavior has not always been As we used to, the response to campaigns and pricing and so on has not really been what we used to over a longer time of a period. So I think what we're seeing right now is old classic rusta. Basically, we lower prices, sales really takes off, and the volume growth is always higher than the sales growth. Basically, we're giving some of the money back to the customers from our improvement in efficiency and productivity and purchase prices and so on. They buy more and then volume increases even higher, creating even more scalability at the suppliers and in our supply chain. So I think what we're seeing now is more normal behavior. Our campaigns, our pricing structure, our offer seems to work. The customers... they respond well and as a result we have an increasing volume. And yes, I would say 1-2% over the top line growth is generally what we see as the actual volume growth. So basically more cubic meters, more pallets, more items.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

I can just add on the positive mix effect that it's of course very positive that the seasonal sales started well. So an increased share of seasonal items, also an increase of items within DIY. And also we had quite a few news during the quarter that went very positive.

speaker
Gustav Hagius
Analyst, SEB

Yeah. Yeah. Okay, but just to understand, sorry, but then the 8.6% like-for-like, you say a percent or two negative in volume, but what's the share of mix versus percent and a half in price, right? But volume and mix, what's roughly the relationship between those two to make up that 8.6% number?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

I would say that it differs between the quarters, but if you're talking about this specific quarter, it's like Göran said, the volume effect is probably somewhere between one and two percent, probably at the upper end. We don't comment on the mix effect more. We don't quantify it, but it's positive.

speaker
Gustav Hagius
Analyst, SEB

Okay. And then on the gross margin, coming down from 43 to just below 41, could you try to guess the impact from the IT attack where you couldn't campaign, right, to that extent, so that had a natural impact? Also, I understand it's a bit of a tricky question, but I understand the delay here with the procurement prices and FX into your P&L. But could you try to estimate if all else equal in terms of pricing and everything, what do you think the gross margin would have been theoretically in the quarter if all those FX and procurement price impacts actually hit in this quarter rather than with a delay into the next half of the next year?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

I can start with the two parts that we said affected the gross margin, which was the FX effect and the campaign effect. You could roughly split them by half of the 2.1 percentage point that is lower this year. What was the second question?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

It was a long question. Basically, what you're asking, I believe, is the full-on effect of the currency rates as it now is. The full net effect, right?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

I could say that if you look at the dollar, you see a positive effect already in Q2, but then you still have some negative effects due to the NOC and the euro. So that's why we say that the net effect of all currencies is positive during the second half of the year. But of course, the dollar is already positive in the second quarter. And then in addition to that you have the other currencies which then are positive as well when it comes to purchasing. You have positive effects when it comes to all the shipping costs which are in dollar as well. Our sourcing costs are in dollar and other currencies which we see positive effects from. So it's a very positive effect but net positive from the second half of the financial year.

speaker
Gustav Hagius
Analyst, SEB

And you don't want to give us a rough estimate how big that impact will be, gross net of any price campaigns from your side?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

No, but I can say that the gross margin will be slightly negative affected in Q1, neutral probably in Q2 due to this, but then positive compared to last year in the third and the fourth quarter.

speaker
Gustav Hagius
Analyst, SEB

Okay. Well, thank you for taking my question. Thank you.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Daniel Schmidt from Danske. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Good morning, guys. A couple of questions for me then. If you just look at the IT incident impact from last year, How does the result this year stack up against an adjusted result last year, if you include the impact that you had negatively from the IT incident?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

On the sales side, if we deduct the lost sales, or sort of add it back, the lost sales from last year, we have a total net sales increase of 11.5% currency neutral and a like-for-like of 5.8%.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

and on profitability?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

On the profitability we estimated a loss of 48 million and I think there's a deviation of 0.1 percentage points between where we end up now and we had minus 2.1 percentage points last year we ended now at 0.6 and there's a deviation of 1.1 between those.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, I'm just getting to that basically last year you had an EBIT of zero basically if you adjusted for the IT incident, right?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

Yes, yes.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, yeah. And now it's minus 15. So do you think that you overestimated the impact of the IT incident on the profitability line last year?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

No, I don't think we did that. We underestimated the impact in the gross margin. I think we're still confident that the impact on the sales and the total profit loss is correct. So the reason why, if you deduct last year's losses from the IT attack, why we do not end up at the same profitability the reason comes from the gross margin being lower this year due to currency and due to more planned campaigning where a part of that is of course that we could not do any campaigns during last year's IT incident so I still think we're quite confident with the estimates that we gave okay good good and then just a

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

detailed one on the online because that was also impacted quite a lot by the IT incident last year right at least at the start of the quarter so if you adjust that do you think that online growth sticks out in this quarter as you mentioned if you make that adjustment?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

Yeah that of course is a part of the explanation but it still sticks out as very positive increase during the quarter.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Good. And then also maybe on the gross margin, you said half and half in terms of FX and campaigning and gave a very sort of clear indication for the coming quarters. But do you think that mix has played in your favor on the gross margin? You talk about sort of higher demand for higher priced items. Does that sort of equal better mix?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

There is a positive mix effect in the gross margin in the quarter.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

And do you see that going in the same direction as you look into Q1? Yes, we do.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

And I think if I add on on that, that's one of the things that you expect when you've had a good start of the year because of the summer season. I mean, the more you sell at full price towards the beginning of the year, it means less of a negative impact towards the end of the season, basically. So that I would say is an added part of this.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

And on that topic, this is a quite difficult question to answer, I guess, but could you have calibrated the campaign activity aggressiveness, so to speak, better in order to get sort of an even more ideal cross margin development versus your top line in the quarter? Impossible question to answer, I guess.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Yeah. No, it's a good question. Yeah, it's a good question. And the answer to me is obvious. You can always improve. I mean, there's always things that you could have done better. And I think setting out on... you know, both in Q3 and in Q4, we had really prioritized driving growth and we really were aiming to, you know, kind of, you know, kickstart the customers and make sure that they not only visited the stores, but actually, you know, purchased the goods that we wanted them to buy. And that happened. And I think now when we're there, when we start to see that it's more of a traditional behavior, I think from here on, I think we can also switch our focus more into calibrating and improving and so on. So I think regardless of which area you're talking about, you can always do it better. I mean, retail is detail and campaigning is a very important part of that.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Good. Okay. Because I think sort of nobody can complain about the top line development that you had, but you can have sort of different views of the drop through basically. And you are upping the expansion guidance. You already upped it two quarters ago and you're upping it again within the interval. And that basically that period that you're referring to starts now, if I'm not mistaken. Why, Göran, do you believe... Why don't you want to see that through, basically, this three-year period?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

I don't think it's a question about that. I think change is good. After 14 years, I think change is good, both for me and for Rusta. And that's one of the things that I love with retail. There is always something new to do. It never ends. It never stops. So I think part of this is acknowledging the fact that it's always good with new ideas and renewal and so on, both for me personally, but also for Rusta as a company. And I think I feel having spent... so much time and energy and heart into into this company i think it's super important for me also that i don't do this at a sensitive time so yes there is a lot of fun things ahead of us and that's perhaps also the reason why now is a good time instead of seeing you know a lot of threats and insecurity and so on Rusta is on a good trajectory. As you say, there's lots of good, fun stuff ahead of us. And what better time to look for a replacement than this?

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Yeah, good. And maybe, again, a difficult question, but you've been an excellent CEO of this company and you're a big part of the sort of instrumental in that journey that the company has been on for these 14 years, as you mentioned. Is it realistic to believe that you will stay another 12 months? Because usually when a decision like this is made for everyone, maybe it's better that it goes quicker.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

I don't think that the aim from anyone is to drag out more than necessarily in this process. I think what is important is that this allows for time for a quality process. it's no easy task at any time to do a recruitment. So you need to prepare, you need to search, you need to have time to discuss and think and so on. So I think what we have now is a situation which allows for a quality process, but it's not the aim in itself for this to take one year. I mean, if this goes faster, I think that's good. But I don't think it's not... It's not time that's the most important factor here, it's quality. So I think the aim from everyone here is that this should be as good as a process that can possibly be made. I think that's the best for everyone in the company, for Rust as a whole, for shareholders and for myself. So we have one year, but we don't necessarily have to spend it if it's not called for.

speaker
Daniel Schmidt
Analyst, Danske Bank

Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

All right, thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

The next question comes from Artu Heikura from Inderes. Please go ahead.

speaker
Artu Heikura
Analyst, Inderes

Hello, good morning. It's Artu Heikura from Inderes. Good morning. I have a couple of questions. Could you give an update on the ongoing in your stores and especially in the older stores? How have customers responded to that?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

So the store renewal will be rolled out in all 225 stores during the autumn. We have run some test stores during the spring, and we do that of course to test how customers respond to that in reality, but also to secure that we have a good manual and instructions for how the staff can roll it out in an efficient way. Judging from those tests, it makes us comfortable with our plan to roll it out in its entirety before Christmas. And also that the cost indications as well as the positive benefits are realistic. The bulk of our stores will be rolled out between week 32 and week 37 on all markets. So all stores, all markets, according to plan, feels good.

speaker
Artu Heikura
Analyst, Inderes

Okay, maybe then about your private label sales. So where do we stand now? What are you aiming for and does the share of private labels differ between your segments?

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

The private label has increased during the year with about 1%, so it's now at 68%. And the part that we are targeting now or working with is within consumables, where you can see that, of course, the shampoo or something that is at the lower ticket item, that doesn't give that big effect in sales but it's a very positive effect in gross margin and that also means that the the share the 68 share is not increasing as fast as if you would have changed high ticket items of course then it would have been a higher impact in in the percentage but in items in volume and in gross margin effect it's very very positive So still increasing and it has a positive effect for both in Q4 and in the full financial year.

speaker
Artu Heikura
Analyst, Inderes

Okay, is there significant differences between your segments when it comes to the share of private levels?

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Whenever you enter a new market or when you open up a new store, even in a mature country, Generally, the customer journey is so that the first thing that you buy is brands that you recognize and low ticket items, and that tends to be A brands. So I would say that in general, when you're opening up a new market with lots of new stores, there usually is more of A brands as compared to private labels. But then as customers gets to know you, gets to know the range, gets more comfortable, trusts us and so on, then the share of private label increases. So I think it's safe to assume that in our newest markets, you probably have a slightly lower share of private labels, but that it is increasing.

speaker
Artu Heikura
Analyst, Inderes

Okay, that's clear. Thank you. Thank you very much.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no more questions at this time. So I hand the conference back to the speakers for any closing comments.

speaker
Göran Westerberg
CEO

Thank you very much for listening and for all your questions. And we will be back after the summer in September with our first quarter of next year. And until then, I really wish all of you a fantastic great summer. And of course, you're welcome to Rusta to make the summer even better. So thank you very much.

speaker
Sofie Malmunger
CFO

Thank you.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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