Skanska AB (publ)

This is André Lögren, senior vice president of acceleration speaking. And I would like to welcome you to the presentation of Skanska's year-end report for 2020. And the presentation will be held, as usual, by our CEO, Anders Danielsson, and also our CFO, Magnus Persson. And after the presentation, you will be able to ask questions. And with that, I leave it to you, Anders.

Thank you, André. If you look at the first slide here, you can see... the project in Seattle, 2&U, which we divested here in the fourth quarter with a very high profit. So go on to the year-end report. Next slide. Overall, Skanska delivered record high profit, the highest ever in our history. And the earnings per share was 22.46 crowns per share. And we also managed to increase the margin in construction. We'll go into that in detail later here. And return on capital employed way above our target of 10% in product development. That goes for both residential development and commercial development. And return on equity, 26%. You should compare that to our target of 18%. So solid performance and also solid improvements in construction, steadily improving despite the COVID. So our employees have been able to, in a safe way, keep our projects up and running. That's very impressive. Residential development came back really strong here after the summer in the third and fourth quarter. So volumes are very strong and also profitability is solid. Commercial property development, we have a record high divestment gain, the highest ever here as well. And we have a strong cash flow, very strong financial position. And we have, the board has proposed a dividend of total 9.5 crowns per share, and that includes 6.5 in ordinary, and an extra dividend of three crowns per share. In construction, we have decreased revenue, 10% if you look at the local currency. But we have been good with the cost control here, so we have been able to keep up the margin and even improve them. Order bookings close to $150 billion for the year and a book to build of 107%. Actually, in the last quarter, we had 117% book to build. So we have a healthy backlog. We'll come back to the detail later here. And as I said, operating margin for construction, 2.5%. The last quarter was 3.3%. improving despite the COVID and the pandemic that hit us last year. Solid performance overall. US operation continues to improve the profitability. And here in the construction stream, our strategy remains. We are selective in bidding. We improve the commercial focus in our projects and also continue to have cost efficiency and strategic action remains. focusing in the UK operation, adapting to lower volumes in Central Europe due to the market, and also additional measures has taken place here in parts of the Swedish operations to improve that going forward. If we go to residential development, revenue increased for the year. We were also able to increase both the sold homes and also the started homes for the full year. And here we can see that the rental homes increased the most. Operating income, 1.5 billion, and we have an operating margin of 11.8 percent. Here we have a target of 10 percent, so it's above the target there. And the return on capital employed, 12.8 percent, also here above our target. And we managed to maintain good profitability and return levels. And we also started our first book look project in the UK. And our ambition here, as we talked about earlier, is to ramp up that business. It has been well received. And we're starting to build land bank here. And our ambition is to start more projects going forward. And overall, we have a strong land bank in our market. So we have a good land bank at the right location. And we have the financial strength to start new projects, which we will do. And in the longer term, of course, if we see a higher employment level, that's a concern. But the structural shortage of home, that goes for all our markets. Let's go into the commercial property development. Operating income, 3.8%. And the gain on sale, again, record high, 4.75 billion. And the return on capital employed, 11.9, above our target. And today we have 31 ongoing projects, which corresponds to 17.4 billion upon completion. The occupancy rate and the completion rate is in a balanced way. You should always strive for having those in balance, which they are. And they are also on a good level, so we can start new projects there. In 2020, we started 10 new projects in the commercial property development. The leasing has been a challenge during the year. It has been slow. The market for leasing has been slow due to the tenants potential tenants are hesitating before they sign the contract and it's also a challenge in some of the market where they have been heavy lockdown it's a challenge to even show the potential tenants the facilities so that's uh that's a fact and i think that will remain during the pandemic but we still have a good dialogue with the tenants so it's uh And that has been the case in the third and fourth quarter. So there's still demand for our facilities. That's clear. And we can also see a solid appetite from investors. And they look for high quality, environmental friendly facilities and offices. And one proof of that is, of course, the divestment we made in the fourth quarter in Seattle. If I go into the order situation in construction, You see here that we have overall a book-to-bill of 7%. You can also see that the revenue is down 12%, 10% in local currencies. And the order bookings has actually increased during the year. And we have an order backlog of close to $180 billion, which is on a good level. We can go into the next slide and see the details of the order bookings. The Nordics overall, 106% book-to-build. We have 14 months of production there. Good position. Europe, very high order bookings for the year. We have a book-to-build of 166%, and 20% of months of production. Of course, the High Speed 2 project in the UK earlier last year is part of this. And in the U.S., somewhat slower order bookings. But on the other hand, if you look at the months of production, 17, we are still in a good place. So overall, I think I'm confident that we have a stable and solid order backlog. And I also think that today the order backlog, we are in a better place. It's more stable. It's not shaky in the project overall, and that's good for the future, of course. With that, I'll leave it to Magnus to go through the details.

Thank you, Anders. If we move to the next slide, which is the income statement from construction, you can see the revenues, as Anders pointed out, is down 12% year over year in Swedish kronos and slightly less down in in local currencies. Fourth quarter revenues were down 19% in Swedish kronors. And of course we started the year, we came into the year of 2020 with a higher burn rate then. So then the sort of lower and the average is then 12%. We have a good order backlog and we booked a good amount of work during the year, which is of course very positive given that we're still in the middle of a pandemic and the market is a bit uncertain in that sense. Gross margin 6.7%. Glad to see it's moving in the right direction. And of course, all the efforts we have taken is moving it over there. Looking at the fourth quarter isolated, we were at a stable 7.5%. So that's very good to see that. We managed to maintain our sales and administrative expenses, as you can see, are 4.2% over the year. Same number also in the fourth quarter. And we have been working very hard with the cost structure throughout the construction operation. And I think this is also evident when you witness and you can see the revenue decline and the fact that we're still maintaining the overhead in relation to revenue here at the same level. Operating margin then comes up. 2.5% compared to 2.4% in the last year, and in the quarter isolated, 3.3%, which is in the right level, and we're moving slowly according to the profitability improvement plan we had. I should also say here, when you look at the result and compare it, that last year we had a couple of fairly large one-off impacts, one in the one in the Norwegian operations of around 200 million positive, and then we had the goodwill right down in the UK operations in the fourth quarter last year. If we go to the next slide, we can look at the distribution of the operating income and the resulting margin over the different geographies. Starting with the Nordics, we delivered 3.6% operating margin down from 3.9%. And of course, if you want to make a fair comparison here, you need to take into account the positive impact we had in 2019 from the one-off in the Norwegian operations done. Sweden, 3.2 percent versus 3.8. Obviously, this is not a profitability level that we are satisfied with. In quarter isolated, 3.3 percent. Still the same areas that we are working with as we have reported on before, which is the residential construction business in the Stockholm area and our industrial operations. We have taken a lot of actions to come to terms with these matters. Unfortunately, the resulting profitability improvement have taken a longer time than our original ambition to materialize there. If we look at the European part of the business, we see 1.3% operating margin for the full year, 2.5% in the fourth quarter isolated, which is not better than the 0.2 last year. And also here you need to recall that last year we had a write-down of goodwill in the UK, if you want to make the comparisons there. can look at the U.S. operations, 2 percent operating margin versus one and a half and in the fourth quarter, 2.7 percent. So very clear here that this operation is definitely moving in the right direction after all the measures that we have taken. Part of it is sort of a solid underlying improvement of the works we are taking in and the risk profile of those jobs. And also the fact that we are successively reducing the amount of remaining that revenue that is running through our books and diluting the margin there. So overall, a very positive development. If we go on to the next slide, we have residential development. You can see the volume here was a good little bit above 13 billion for the full year, slightly up from last year for the full year. Then in the fourth quarter, we had lower revenues if we compare to 2019. A big part of that is relating to a significant amount of rental units that were sold in the fourth quarter of 2019. Gross margin, 16.7%, a very healthy level, also that up from last year. And we're keeping the sales and administrative costs very well in check here, as you can see, at 4.9%, resulting then in an operating margin that is north of our target for this business. We're coming in at close to 12% up from last year, and in the quarter isolated, very, very strong quarter, 13.5%. In these numbers, there are no major effects from any land sales or other types of things that would sort of disturb the way you should see the result. But this is actually where we have been trading this business now, both through the year and in the fourth quarter. So again, a very solid performance from residential development. If we look at the different geographies, you can see that all parts, Nordics in total, the Swedish residential development business isolated, and in Europe are above the targets of 10%, which is of course very good there. And the same goes for the fourth quarter isolated. We can jump to the next slide, which shows you the homes started and sold. As you note, we have commented on this couple of quarters that we have the ambition to increase our volumes of ongoing projects somewhat. So it's good to see here that we managed to start more projects now during the year 2020 than we did in 2019. And then we should recall that especially during the spring, a few months during the spring this year, of course, any type of commitments into new projects were heavily scrutinized by us so we think this is a good development homes sold also that a little bit better and if you do the math and compare the number of sold units to the revenue you would see that excluding the rental sales that we had we are also increasing the revenue we get per sold unit a little bit we had 3.3 million per sold unit in 2020 compared to 3.2 million per sold unit in 2019. We can go to the next slide and look at the homes in production. You can see we have just north of 6,900 units under production, which is then a bit down from the end of 2019. We've had 7,100 units, More importantly, if you look at the graph a little bit above, you can see that the last three quarters we have been successively increasing the number of homes in production. And that is what we would like to see here also. We have an organization that is geared for a slightly higher volume than this. We have sold 72% of the units that we have in production. This is... a high number, it's, I'd say, on the upper end of where we would like to have it. It is important that we don't have too much already sold of what we're producing because we need inventory to sell from also. Number of unsold completed units still very low, 154, which is roughly 2% of the total ongoing portfolio. So that's very solid. If we move to commercial property development, as Anders has pointed out, a record year. 4.8 billion in the gain from divestments, very, very strong. And of course, very big contributors to this great result are the divestments of Zona United and then very late in the year, 2&U in Seattle. If you move further down in the P&L, you can see that we have also adjusted the value of a couple of properties. And these are properties that we have sort of talked about before, it's two properties in the Houston energy corridor, just outside of Houston. It's a very, very challenging sub-market, and we have decided to adjust the value downwards of those two properties in the fourth quarter. If we move to the next slide, you can see that we have in the portfolio today unrealized gains of approximately 6.3 billion. You can compare that to the previous quarter, where we had 8 billion, so the difference there is 1.7 And we have then during the quarter realized 2.1 billion in gains. So that is sort of a testament to the underlying value creation that we have in the business there. So that's very good. Then if we move to the next slide, you can see the completion profile of the ongoing unsold entities we have. And we completed nine projects. in the fourth quarter that then moved from the blue bars to become orange, so to speak, on the far left side of the graph here. And the total amount of ongoing unsold properties, total investment of those is approximately 13 billion. And we have completed unsold properties of approximately 7.2 billion then. And of course, the reason that the orange bar is higher than usual is partly due to the fact that it has been a challenging year when it comes to leasing. And of course, we do not want to sell properties that aren't leased to the right level, because that would mean that we would sort of forego profit in those. And we have very good properties and we feel confident with not rushing to the sales exit, so to speak, but instead make sure that we extract the full value out of these properties. And in addition to that, there are also commercial reasons to why we sort of not sell immediately when they are completed. If projects are multi-phased, for instance, and they are heavily integrated between phases, there's a good reason to sort of not go and sell it, even if it's two different properties here. So this has nothing to do with that there would be the hesitance among investors. There is very good demand from investors and the yield that we obtain and what we witness in the market, they are still very low and very strong here. And overall, we have a good surplus value in the ongoing projects. If you go to the next slide and look at the leasing, of course, the year has been characterized by a challenging leasing environment. So there's no surprise in that. Then I think towards the latter part of the year, we did lease 98,000 square meters in the fourth quarter isolated, which is a good quarter by sort of any standard. That's a testament to that the properties that we are developing are very much in demand there. Of course, it's a little bit difficult to separate the year-end effects of closing these leasing transactions from an improvement in the underlying market, and we will get a bit wiser in the first quarter on this end. And I would also like to add that we do not, I mean, we are in a lot of discussions and a lot of negotiations with potential tenants, of course, so we know their intentions very well, and we do not experience a clear consensus in the tenant collective, so to speak, on what will the future office demand look like. There's no clear change in the tenant preferences on the back of the pandemic here. If we move to the next slide, we have the group income statement and operating income from the business streams, 89 billion, and then we have the central line plus 2.8 billion. That's a number you're not used to seeing on that line. And of course, in this we have the gains from the divestment of Elizabeth River crossings in Virginia. That divestment gave us a gain of 4.1 billion Swedish kronas that are accounted for here in the central stream. Then you know that we have central costs in here. And in addition to that, we have what which we do every year, the reassessment of the risks and costs associated with closing out our legacy portfolio and asset management business. And against this, we have decided to take provisions to the size of 700 million Swedish kronors in the fourth quarter. That takes us down to the operating income of 11.9 billion in net financial items that are a bit higher than the last year. There's two reasons to that. One is that we are... having a slightly smaller portfolio of ongoing development projects. And that means that we're capitalizing a lower amount of our interest costs into those projects. And the other reason is that on the back of falling interest rates, we, of course, have a longer maturity on the average in our loan portfolio than we have in our financial deposits. So we're more negatively impacted, we're quicker negatively impacted on the income side than on the were positively impacted on the loan side by falling interest rates there. Taxes minus $2,350,000,000 makes up a 20% tax rate and a 22% tax rate in the quarter isolated, quite a lot higher also here than what you're used to seeing. But this is on the back of the divestment of 2&U and Elizabeth River Crossings. Both of these were obviously in the U.S. fiscal jurisdiction, and that is – a high tax environment for us. It's the market, the single market, that has the highest nominal tax that we are operating in. So that's the reason to the higher tax amount here. If we move on to the next slide, you can see our PPP portfolio. And obviously, the movement here is driven by the sale of the Elizabeth River crossings. you what we have communicated we sold this for 5.5 billion and if you look at the top line here you can see that the present value of cash flow from the projects moves from 4.9 down to 2.2 so it's pretty obvious that we had a very cautious valuation of elizabeth river crossings in the in in our valuation here uh and also of course in the in the carrying amount So given the small size of this portfolio now, we have a carrying amount of 700 million approximately at the end of 2020. This will be the last time we have this slide in the quarterly result presentations, but you will find information going forward, of course, in the quarterly reports. If you move to the next slide, you can see our cash flow development. And here I think it's important to point out on the back of the super strong cash flow development, we had both in the fourth quarter and the strong development we had through 2019 up until today that we have been in a very strong divestment cycle from our proper development operations here. And that is of course what is giving us this strong cash flow. We are, we have an organization and we have ambitions in the project development to sort of grow this. So this will likely be We will not see these high levels sort of going into the next year as well. If you move to the next slide, you can see the free working capital in construction. We ended the year with an 18% working capital over revenue in construction. That is the highest number we have ever seen. And of course, that gives us access to approximately 25 billion in capital to employ elsewhere, given where we are, both in the sort of the business cycle and the very strong performance in this KPI, we are very hesitant in sort of extrapolating this situation into the future. You can go to the next slide and look at investments and divestments. And circling back a bit to what I said on the cash flow, here you have maybe an even better illustration of our net divestment part where we have been in the cycle then since, say, late 2018 up until today. And we have geared ourselves with the organization and the ambitions to increase investments again here. So we have a very good pipeline to do so of investment opportunities. But of course, every project have to meet the commercial criterias on its own before we decide to start them. But it's clear our ambitions are to to backfill the product development portfolio. If we look at the bottom here, you can see the capital employed, 44.5 billion at the end of 2020, which is then slightly lower than what we had the year before. All of that is driven by commercial property development. If you go to the next slide, you can see the funding situation of the group. We have access to 27 billion Swedish kronas of which Unutilized credit commitment stands for 7.5 billion. And here you also see the maturity profile of our loan portfolio. And we have a smaller maturity coming up this year. And after that, we have nothing like that up until 2023, as you can see here. So very comfortable situation here. If you move to the next slide, we have the financial position for the group. Close to here with total assets amounting to 125 billion and an equity position of close to 39 billion, which then gives us an equity asset ratio of 31%, which is a very strong balance sheet here. We have plenty of capital and a very good amount of financial capacity to put into play. Adjusted net debt, or if I should call it adjusted net cash now, came in at 16 billion at the end of the year, up from 3.2 billion at the end of 2019. Anders.