5/7/2026

speaker
Jutta Mikkola
Head of Investor Relations

Hello, everyone. My name is Jutta Mikkola, and as the head of investor relations, I'm delighted to welcome you to our first quarter results presentation. With me today is our president and CEO, Hans Sundström, and our CFO, Niklas Rosenlev. This quarter, our main theme was focus on our own actions drives results. This highlights the decisions and actions we took last year, and the momentum we are bringing into this year. Hans will start with key highlights and strategic focus areas, and after that, Niklas will take you through our performance and results. We'll wrap it up with the key main takeaways. Once we're finished, like usual, we will open the floor for your questions. So thank you once again, and hope you had a good time with us. With these words, Hans, the stage is yours.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Thank you Jutta and hello everyone. Great to have you with us. The first quarter of 2026 developed largely as expected. While market conditions remained challenging, we continued to drive performance through our own actions across operations, costs, commercial excellence and procurement. Demand in our main market stayed at a relatively low level and pricing pressure persisted in some business segments while prices firmed up and increased in others. We delivered resilient results with sales of 2.4 billion euro and EBIT of 159 million euros. Operationally, the ramp up of the new consumer board line at Oulu continued. We focus on improving the technical runability of production. This in addition to the weak market impacted profitability during the quarter and is expected to continue into the second quarter. While the ramp-up continues to impact short-term profitability, we remain confident in bringing the line to full operational performance during 2027. Stora Enso's segment reporting changed as of 1 January 2026, and the Group has restarted the comparative figures for its segment reporting for 2025. This quarter marks the first time we report under our new reporting structure. which reflects how we manage the business and how value is created across the group. A key to value creation is the P&L responsibility across six business areas and 23 business units. I am pleased to see that this decentralized P&L responsibility is already having a positive effect through our leaders focusing on continuous profit improvement. This provides a strong foundation for performance culture going forward. We continue the preparation for the separation of our Swedish forest assets business into a new publicly listed company, which is expected to be completed during the first half of 2027. Preparations for the separation of our Swedish forest assets business, now named Verkslaget Skogar, formerly Forest Company, continued to progress as planned. We'll discuss this more in detail a bit further in the presentation. Our strategic priorities remain unchanged. Lead in customer value creation through innovation, quality and sustainability. Grow faster than market with superior customer offering, leading technology and operational efficiency. Expand margin through business focus, a positive performance culture and systematic value creation. Generate cash with high conversion ratio and disciplined capital allocation. We continue to strengthen our competitiveness and ability to deliver consistent performance regardless of external market volatility. As said, one of our key strategic priorities is to expand margins through business-focused, stronger performance culture and a systematic value creation. This has been a core priority throughout last year and continues to be so going forward. We have identified 500 to 700 million euros of value creation initiatives, all with clear ownership and already underway, expected to support margin expansion over the next two to four years. Development in the first quarter have been encouraging. First quarter underlying profitability improved as a result of our own actions of setting market headwinds from unfavorable exchange rates, as well as a continued pressure on prices and demand. With the wood cost easing, the market headwind can even turn into a tailwind at some point. The whole ramp up continues to wait on profitability in the short term, but once fully ramped up, it will be a clear contributor. Overall, the fundamentals of our margin expansion story remains firmly intact, with increasing contribution from own actions as we move forward. Next, a couple of words about the progress of the demerger of the Swedish forest business. We are moving ahead with our plans to de-merger the Swedish forest assets into a separate listed company with completion anticipated in the first half of 2027. Today, I'm happy to announce the name of the company, Värdslaget Skogar. The new name reflects both the geographic and historic footprint in Sweden's Värdslagen region and a long-term approach to value creation where planning horizons extend across generations. This company will represent a high-quality forest asset entity with over 1.2 million hectares of sustainably managed forest land in Sweden and positioned to become Europe's largest listed pure play forest company. A few words about the logo. In earlier centuries, timber transported from the forest was marked to indicate ownership and origin. In Värdislagen, that mark was the letter V, which today inspires the new logo. The design reference the wood structures historically used in the fallen mine where timber formed the foundation for safety, stability and continuity. Values that continue to guide forest management today. The name and the logo are not the only thing we are announcing today. We will be hosting Bergslaget Skogar's Capital Market Day on 3rd November, 2026 in Stockholm. So please do mark today into your calendar. That is where the company will provide investors with an overview of Bärslager Skogar's standalone strategy, value creation drivers, capital allocation framework, and financial profile. Then, let's move on to the innovation highlights. This time, I have three examples related to another strategic priority, lead in customer value creation through innovation, quality, and sustainability. The first example is our partnership with Majoral and Thrift Foam. We co-developed a jewelry package made from Papira. Papira is our trademark wood-based and fully renewable and recyclable packaging foam. It was awarded in the Paris Packaging Week Innovation Awards for its performance, design, and environmental responsibility. This shows that our sustainable fiber solutions are making an impact in premium packaging. The second example highlights the importance of the strong link between material development and converting expertise, in this case with Aristo. Aristo is a manufacturer of paperboard boxes and paperbacks. Our CKB Nude Aqua dispersion coated board solution offers grease resistance and delivers the physical properties converters expect from high performing board. In addition, it serves as an alternative to plastic materials. The third case highlights our progress in emission reduction, particularly at our Imatra mills, where we have significantly reduced greenhouse gas emissions. More broadly, reducing CO2 is a priority across all our mills, with Imatra as a strong example. In the first quarter, total group Scope 1 and 2 emissions were down by 62% compared to the 2019 base year. reflecting continued improvements in energy efficiency and lower operational emissions. At Imatra, this has translated into a reduction of more than 100,000 tons of CO2. Taken together, these cases demonstrate how innovation, quality and sustainability come together in our offering, supporting customer value creation and strengthening our position in sustainable packaging. It is about combining material innovation with application expertise, while at the same time reducing our environment footprint. With that, I will conclude this section and hand over to you, Niklas, to take you through the financials. Thank you, Hans, and hello, everyone. Let's now take a look at the financial overview for the first quarter. During the first quarter, as Hans already mentioned, our own actions have been driving the performance. Sales was stable at 2.4 billion and would have increased excluding the negative FX effect. Deliveries were higher in all segments other than biomaterials where the Verosil site had planned maintenance during the first quarter. Adjusted EBIT for the first quarter was 159 million. Comparing year on year and excluding the impact from the old ramp up, the underlying profitability improved, reflecting a stable underlying performance despite market headwinds. This we can clearly see when looking more closely at the EBIT bridge for Q1. So looking at the big picture, adjusted EBIT declined by 16 million euro compared to last year. with the primary reason being the ramp up of the new line in Oulu. The Oulu ramp up had a negative impact of 29 million euro on our EBIT for the first quarter. Last year, the ramp up only started at the end of the first quarter. Nevertheless, our underlying performance has strengthened thanks to our discipline strategy execution and the focus on own actions. This progress is particularly evident in the improvements we made to both variable and fixed costs. On the fixed cost side, we saw gains, even with planned maintenance at the Veracel site, which we didn't have last year at this time. Looking at the market movements, lower wood costs improved profitability, but negative FX effects and some price and mixed changes more than offset those positive contributions. The net FX had a dual hit on us this time. Weaker dollar reduced our sales, while then the stronger Swedish krona pushed our costs up. Let's then turn the focus on to cash flow, which is another important strategic priority for us. In the quarter, we spent 100 million Euro less on CapEx compared to last year. This is fully aligned with our plan to reduce CapEx as we are well invested and have competitive assets. While the underlying cash flow continues to improve, in the first quarter it was impacted by restructuring related one-off items and slightly higher working capital. Specifically, we closed a packaging solution site in China and had other restructuring related payments as well as related to our cost reduction actions. Also, changes in working capital had a somewhat more negative impact compared to Q125. This was mainly due to higher receivables related to the relatively strong consumer packaging sales. Q1 is typically the quarter where we tie up a bit more working capital. So in sum, capex came down, but restructuring actions and working capital movements impacted cash flow in Q1 negatively. However, from an underlying cash flow perspective, the positive trend has continued. If we then move on to the balance sheet and net debt, Net debt was about 3.5 billion euros, a clear decrease from last year's 4 billion euro levels. However, it did increase from last quarter, and this was mainly driven by the full-year dividend booking, which is around 200 million, as well as lower cash flow. Net debt to EBITDA was 3.1 times. On this note, I want to say a few words about the 1 billion hybrid that we successfully issued in April this year. It is a good instrument for us optimizing our balance sheet. It is treated as equity under IFRS and partly by the rating agencies. So it supports credit metrics, protects our investment grade profile and ensures resilience in a volatile world. We are pleased with the interest the hybrid attracted. The hybrid further strengthens our capital structure, enhances our financial flexibility, and supports the long-term strategy and the steps ahead related to our Swedish forest demerger. As Hans said, this is the first time we report based on the new segment structure. Compared to the previous reporting structure, this better reflects our portfolio and focus, how we manage the business, as well as how value is created across the group. Let's start with consumer packaging. We started the year reasonably well with improving sales. This was mainly due to higher deliveries of food and liquid products and structural changes, meaning the ramp up of Oulu and the Unical acquisition. While order inflow improved, especially in food and liquid, demand for European Consumer Board grades remained mixed. Adjusted EBIT increased by 10 million euros. The underlying profitability improved as we made good progress with own actions, lowering the variable and the fixed costs. Also, lower wood costs supported profitability improvements. This was partly offset by the adverse impact of the ramp up of the new line in Oulu, pushing the first quarter results down by 29 million euros. In integrated packaging, sales decreased slightly, but profitability improved. The sales decline was mainly due to negative impact from FX. Volumes, on the other hand, improved. Adjusted EBIT increased by 6 million euros as lower variable costs were partly offset by lower prices and negative FX. Demand for container board and corrugated board remained stable. Also in biomaterials, the main reason for lower sales was the negative FX, mainly the weaker dollar. But also the deliveries were somewhat lower. This was because we carried out planned maintenance at the Veracell site during the first quarter, and we did not have the Veracell maintenance in the comparable quarter last year. Adjusted EBIT decreased by 20 million as lower sales were only partly offset by lower variable costs. The softwood market remained weak, but for Asian hardwood, prices recovered slightly sequentially. Then commenting on the other segment, this is where we have the Swedish forest assets, where we prepare for the demerger, as well as the Central European wood products operations, where we have the strategic review ongoing. In addition, the other segment includes the growth business unit, the wood and energy business area, and group functions. Segment other sales, mainly sales of wood and wood products remain stable. The intercompany sales of wood and logistics services from segment other to industrial segments have been eliminated and do not show anymore in these segment numbers. Adjusted EBIT decreased by 10 million euros, and this was mainly due to higher wood costs in Central European wood products operations. With that said, I will hand back to you, Hans, for concluding remarks. So, thank you, Niklas. As said, the first quarter of 2026 developed largely as expected with stable performance. While market conditions remain challenging, we continue to drive performance through our own actions across operations, cost, commercial excellence and procurement. Our strategic priorities remain unchanged. We will lead in customer value creation through innovation, quality and sustainability. We will grow faster than market with superior customer offering, leading technology and operational efficiency. We will expand margins through business focus, a positive performance culture and systematic value creation. And we will generate cash with high conversion ratio and disciplined capital allocation. I would like to thank our employees for their strong contribution at the start of the year. Also, I would like to thank our customers, partners and shareholders for your continued trust. Together, we are building a stronger, more focused, and more sustainable Stora Enso. Thank you for listening, and we are now ready to take your questions.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

If you would like to ask a question, please use the raise hand function at the bottom of your Zoom screen. When it is your turn, you will receive a prompt to be promoted as a panelist. Please accept, wait a moment, and once you have been introduced, you may unmute yourself, turn your video on, and ask your question. Please only ask maximum two questions at this time. If you wish to ask more than two questions, please rejoin the queue. Our first question comes from Cole Harthorn with Jefferies. Please unmute your line, turn your video on and ask your question.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I've got a few on my side. I'd just like to start with consumer packaging and your own internal actions there. I mean, the consumer packaging division did very well, and I'm just wondering if there's any color you can break out between how much of the performance was from lower wood costs, how much was it from your own internal actions, and any guidance you can give for the benefit of those internal actions through 2026. I'm just trying to break down how much is just market relief versus your delivery. Thank you.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Yeah, thank you very much, Cole. Well, first of all, sequentially, our volumes improved. And so in that respect, that was partly a contributor. But the main part of all the improvement really comes from our own actions, the value creation programs, the thousands of programs, which is a culture in our company where we continuously improve and drive performance in every mill, every operation, and also every business area. So our performance is mainly driven by our own actions. Maybe call to add, I mean, on the 26th and so on, we don't provide an exact number, but, of course, going back to the CMB, we had this 500 to 700 million target over the next two to four years. As Hans said, that's kind of we work across all businesses, all functions, everything on these thousands of initiatives any one day. And of course, we push it as hard as possible, but think about it as a relatively even distribution over that period of time. That's at least how we push it.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

So it's right to think that those internal actions, as well as some hopefully market would cost relief, should continue to benefit through the rest of the year?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Well, the own actions... Those we are pushing throughout the year, so that's a continuum. Of course, then when it comes to other kind of market drivers, be it wood costs or sales prices or whatever, that's then a different factor, but the own actions will continue to push across the year.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Well, then maybe just my follow-up is on wood cost relief. you know, and how are you managing the cost inflation in kind of energy and logistics, just any color of commercially, are you doing any surcharges to offset higher logistics costs on liquid packaging board and then wood cost relief through 2026? How are you thinking about it?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Thank you. Yes, Cole, we are, of course, you know, working also on pricing and even if, you know, when it comes to Energy, we are to a large extent self-sufficient in energy, 75% self-sufficient. Oil and gas represents only 3% of our total fuels, but we have impacts from the war in Iran and Hormuz straits closure through increased logistic costs.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

as well as also some chemical costs. And, of course, we do whatever we can also to improve our pricing.

speaker
Martin Melvi
Analyst, ABG

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Linus Larson with FEB. Please unmute your line, turn your video on, and ask your question.

speaker
Linus Larson
Analyst, FEB Securities

Morning, Jen. Thanks for taking my question. It's an ever-changing world that we're living in. And given the geopolitics, I'd be very curious to hear your thoughts on or your observations from the real world, what you are seeing. So it seems like tensions escalated towards the end of the first quarter. What are you seeing in terms of client activity, order books, etc.? ? now at the beginning of, in the early parts of the second quarter. Any color on that would be super interesting. Thank you.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Well, thank you, Linus, for your question. You know, the demand for Stora Enso's products is mainly driven by private consumption.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

So about two-thirds of Stora Enso's top line It really relies on private consumption.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

And consumers' confidence is now, with the increased geopolitical uncertainty and the war, is, of course, on a low level. And, of course, that impacts also the demand for our products. and it only underlines the fact that, you know, we need to continue to do what we have been doing the last couple of years, you know, focusing on our customers, serving them better than ever before, continuing driving costs out, improving competitiveness, performance, and I'm truly proud of the work that is being performed every day by all students or employees in every business area, every business unit, every mill and operations across the world. I think we're doing a fantastic job, and I'm so happy to see that we have really embedded this culture, performance culture of continuous improvement. And I think we have only seen the beginning of what we can perform here in terms of improved competitiveness. Yeah. And then just to add to what Hans said or what reiterating what Hans said earlier, on the cost side, we do see an impact, a negative impact by higher costs, and that's mainly from logistics and chemicals where we see it. And that came pretty quickly, actually, after the conflict started.

speaker
Linus Larson
Analyst, FEB Securities

Right. Thanks. That's helpful. And maybe diving back a bit to the previous question and a follow-up on what you just said, Miklas. I mean, the variable cost side, what's the net of things in the second quarter, would you say? I presume you have still a tailwind from fiber costs. Q2 versus Q1, how significant is that? Is that bigger or smaller than the headwind that you are talking about in terms of logistics and chemicals?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Yeah. It's of course a bit tricky to kind of give an exact number because as you said in the beginning, the world is a pretty dynamic place and every day is a is kind of a new reality. And again, that's why, as Hans said, that's why we are really focusing on managing our own actions. And, I mean, we expect to see, you know, higher costs, chemicals, transportation, which we then work on, you know, offsetting. And then you're right, then we'll have some tailwind from wood costs. And then, as you saw now in Q1, a big headwind from FX. So exactly where those will land is, of course, a bit premature. I don't want to say, but it's going to be a mix of those things.

speaker
Linus Larson
Analyst, FEB Securities

Sorry, just finally, the FX side, is that a headwind still Q2 on Q1, given today's exchange rates?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Well, I was saying, as you saw, it was a significant headwind in Q1, Again, how it will fall out in Q2 depends on the rates, and we can all check the kind of today's rates, but also how they then develop over the quarter. So it was not the comment on Q2 specifically, but rather on Q1.

speaker
Linus Larson
Analyst, FEB Securities

Okay.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Fair enough.

speaker
Linus Larson
Analyst, FEB Securities

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Joanne with Morgan Stanley. Please unmute your line, turn your video on, and ask your question.

speaker
Joanne
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Yes, thank you very much for the presentation.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Can you hear me okay?

speaker
Joanne
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Excellent. My video is off, but I'll just focus on two questions from my side. First, on consumer packaging, a key aspect of the CMD last year was your focus on taking market share versus recycled grades. In today's environment where Recycle-based packaging products are probably facing greater energy cost pressures. Are you seeing that potential share gains accelerating, or is it still too early to tell?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Well, Jonas, you are right that, you know, the higher costs of fossil energy, oil, gas, natural gas,

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

basically improves our relative competitiveness because we are self-sufficient in energy. But, of course, we have logistic costs which are moving up.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

So, but that's – I think the rest remains to be seen.

speaker
Joanne
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

Okay. Thank you. And maybe just an order on the ramp-up costs, which – They are running above the original target, which you have set at about 100 million euros. I think you're guiding Q2 similar to Q1, so around 30 million euro incremental impact. How should we think about the overall ramp-up costs, and when do you actually expect this to no longer be a drag to earnings for the segment? Thank you.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

So basically, you know, what has happened in the first quarter is that from a technical perspective, from productivity production, we have clearly improved. And we are on a good level according to plan. But, of course, you know, with subdued demand, which is due to the geopolitical uncertainty, the low consumer confidence, it also means, of course, that, you know, we are not running full. So we are taking also some market-related downtime, and that then also has an impact then on the profit generation of this new production line.

speaker
Joanne
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

So just a quick follow-up to clarify here, because I would think that order is the most cost-competitive mill that you have, at least once it runs fully. If you need to take some market-related downtime, Would it not make sense to do so in some of the other high-cost mills in the footprint?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Johannes, you are absolutely right. But on the other hand, it's also a question of, you know,

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

getting your products, you know, qualified. Normally, it's a long process of several months per customer. So, as, you know, the production volumes are increasing rapidly, you know, there is a certain also time lag for sales to pick up, you know, through the quality verification and qualification processes, which takes several months as such. Thanks very much.

speaker
Joanne
Analyst, Morgan Stanley

I'll return with you.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Gabriel Sumers with Goldman Sachs. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

speaker
Gabriel Sumers
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

Hi, Hans Niklas. Thank you for taking my questions. So the first one would be on the restructuring expenses. So this quarter, we had lower than expected cash generation here despite the stronger adjusted EBITDA. And I understand that a portion of that is because of the change in reporting and the spinoff of the the forestry business, a portion of that, the higher restructuring expenses. And I just wanted to understand until when we should see higher expenses in that front. And the second question would be on the consumer board side. So I just wanted to understand how you're seeing competition in this market and what impacts you have seen in terms of competition since the beginning of the Middle East conflict. I wanted to understand if competition with Chinese products has increased because of how hard it has been to get products to the Middle East, or it has decreased given the higher transportation costs. So, just wanted to understand your, like, how you balance that. Thank you.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

So, Gabriel, good to hear you. On the restructuring charges, you're absolutely right that they were, you know, they were higher than usual. And the single biggest element in the restructuring charges were actually our closure of a site in China. So it was a packaging solution site in China where we actually consolidated or we closed down the whole site, and we took on the production in other sites that we have in China. And that was twofold, the cost kind of from this closure. One was the restructuring, so essentially employee-related costs, and the other element was then a write-down of assets in that site. So that was by far the single biggest thing now in Q1. Then we had a couple – kind of a continuation, again, back to all the actions we drive, the value creation actions. There was an element of that. And then you are right, there was an element, although a smaller one, related to the Swedish forest demerger. So that was kind of in a nutshell. And if I continue then, Gabriel, on the Chinese competition. basically with higher logistic costs, with higher costs of fossil energy, that basically improves our competitiveness in our domestic market in Europe. Because, of course, you know, the Chinese competitors, they very much rely on oil, gas, fossil energy as their primary source of energy.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

And then, of course, they have significant and higher logistic costs to our domestic market Europe than what we have.

speaker
Gabriel Sumers
Analyst, Goldman Sachs

All right, thank you. If I could just ask a quick follow-up on the first question. Just trying to understand, given that the majority of the restructuring expenses this quarter came because of this shutdown of this plant in China, just wanted to understand how we should see these expenses coming throughout the year, given that a portion of it should still be for the

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

spin-off yeah um so the the china one was a one-off of course we don't rule out uh similar measures in the future um and um and then when it what comes to you know the the value creation uh we do take constant action now um uh uh so there will likely be some in the future as well. And then exactly as you say, we are moving forward with the preparation of the demerger, so there will be some there as well. But I would – I can't give you an exact number, but out of the total IAC, the spin-off related was single-digit type of costs.

speaker
Andrew Jones
Analyst, UBS

Okay, thank you very much.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Reinhard van der Waal with Bank of America. You may now unmute your video and turn your audio on and ask your question.

speaker
Reinhard van der Waal
Analyst, Bank of America

Good morning, Tim. Congratulations on the results. I just wanted to follow up on one of your answers to the previous questions around the import dynamics in Europe. Are you seeing any change in customer thinking around security of supply at this point, given the geopolitical issues and the conflict?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Reinhardt.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Well, it's perhaps a little bit premature to draw some really fundamental conclusions,

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

But clearly in a world of, in a very volatile world, security of supply is important. I mean, we saw that throughout COVID 2020. And yes, also in this very volatile world, you know, long-term customer relationship, partnerships, security of supply is key.

speaker
Reinhard van der Waal
Analyst, Bank of America

Right. So you're not seeing explicitly customers talking about it or sort of changing their behavior yet, but But it's kind of just a natural conclusion that at some point it will become more salient.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

I think to draw some really fundamental conclusions, but it is important. And of course, customers, you know, in customer meetings, they raise this topic.

speaker
Reinhard van der Waal
Analyst, Bank of America

Got it. Understood. And maybe just my second question on prices. So FBB index seems like it's just picked up a little bit. How are you seeing pricing in your business? Are you seeing that same kind of translation in prices? And if at all possible, can you give us a sense of how much of that price increase you think is cost push versus market balance related?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

We are following the same public statistics as you are doing and basically also that public pricing information and public price statistics is reflected also in our businesses across the board.

speaker
Reinhard van der Waal
Analyst, Bank of America

All right. Very good. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Martin Melvi with ABG. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

speaker
Martin Melvi
Analyst, ABG

Good morning. A question on maintenance. I think on page 18 of your report, you have a gift set up showing maintenance by quarter, but you don't give the full year. Historically, you've spent like 500 million per year on maintenance. Last year, it was only 390. Is this year, does it get a 390? And is the 390 the new normal?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

So, if we zoom out a bit and talk about the full kind of capex of which maintenance, of course, is a part or significant part even. As you know, we have deliberately and for a reason, good reason, said that we are going to take down capex and 550 or below is the target for this year. Of course, that very much relates to kind of the so-called strategic CapEx. We do not see a need to kind of expand or do any major new CapEx initiatives because we have what we need essentially. But of course, we are looking at maintenance as well, and it's part of the kind of normal efficiencies. You can maybe take it offline. I don't have an exact kind of number now for the full year in mind for maintenance specifically. But yes, we continue to work on that as well. And Martin, if I can continue on your question there. I mean, we have in the CMD in November of last year, we have launched our four strategic priorities, lead in customer value, grow faster than the market, expand margins, and fourth, generate cash. And as you know, we have also guided for significantly lower capital expenditure this year compared to earlier years. And in general, as we also explained in our CMD, our asset base is well invested. We have strong modern asset base, actually the best in our industry.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

and now we have a strong focus on the cash generation.

speaker
Martin Melvi
Analyst, ABG

This question has been asked many times now, but you haven't really answered fully. On the logistical cost and the chemical cost, is it possible to give a number in Q2 or for the year?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

We don't give any guidance there, but logistic costs and and related chemical costs are higher because of higher oil and gas prices.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

But as I said, you know, we are to a large extent self-sufficient in energy and we're using bioenergy, so we are less impacted than many of our competitors. And the reason, Martin, not to give a number, it's not like we don't have scenarios internally. Of course, we have and anyone can calculate the scenarios. But as we all know, it's a moving target. So today, the scenario might look a bit different from yesterday and so on. So that's why it's more through a kind of scenario thinking that we then plan our actions.

speaker
Martin Melvi
Analyst, ABG

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Andrew Jones with UBS. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

speaker
Andrew Jones
Analyst, UBS

Hi, James. I've got a couple. Firstly, on Hulu, I don't see an EBIT number for that or a specific volume number in the release. I mean, in 4Q, you said it was minus 31 million on EBIT. Do you have a number you can give us on the profitability of Hulu and maybe a utilization that was running out? That's the first question. I'll put the other one.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

So the number for Q1 was 29 million. And then there as a bit of an exception to everything else where we say that we don't give guidance, but follow specifically then for Q2, we've said similar levels, but 29 was the number.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

And I want to point out, Andrew, that as I've mentioned before, I mean, if you dissect the 29 compared to the 31 in the fourth quarter,

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

It's very different. I mean, from a productivity, from a performance perspective, we are in a clearly better level again, according to our ambition level.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

But, of course, you know, the whole market and, you know, demand, pricing, all of that, you know, then also has an impact.

speaker
Andrew Jones
Analyst, UBS

Sure. And utilization in monkey? I'm not disclosing that. Okay. And then just on the progression of prices as we go into 2Q and into 3Q, I mean, there's different lags in the business. And I guess the index went up on consumer board by, you know, also euros on FBB, obviously container board. We've seen larger price increases, Kraft line up 30, Tesla line up 100. How should we see that translating into your business into the second quarter and third quarter, given the lags and the translation to box pricing? How should we think about that price-cost spread as we move through the next couple of quarters?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Andrew. Of course, your question is very, very relevant. But, you know, the only thing I will say is that, you know, we are following the same statistics as you are following, and we don't really give any guidance on pricing. Okay. Okay, no worries. Thanks.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Detlef Winkleman with J.P. Morgan. Please unmute your audio, turn your video on, and ask your question.

speaker
Detlef Winkleman
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Morning, guys. Just one question from me, please. You know, we've just gone through U.S. results. I think they're all talking about less consumer board coming from Europe into America. At the same time, you're now talking about Europe becoming more competitive versus Asia. So clearly there's a lot of things on the go right now. I'm just curious, you know, if things stay as they are, which is a big if, I agree. You know, does that tighten your overall market? I want to just kind of get your thoughts on the puts and takes there. Are we moving all the tighter, the looser, with all these things going on at the moment, or unchanged?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Well, thank you for the question, Detlef.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

First of all, I mean, we... As a part of the business case for Oulu was also significant sales to the US, and we are following that plan. I mean, of course, with the import tariffs, the profitability of our business in the US, as well as also, by the way, the weakening of the US dollar. One year back, the US dollar was about 15% stronger against the euro as today. So, of course, the tariffs and the weaker U.S. dollar has an impact on the profitability of our sales to the U.S., but also with the tariffs and the current currency exchange rates, we can make money in the U.S., and we are there in the long term. So, we are establishing and growing sales also to the U.S. But, of course, Europe is our main market, and that's where the main main part of our content board volumes are going.

speaker
Detlef Winkleman
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Maybe if I could just follow up on that. I mean, I fully understand, you know, in the last year or so, we've seen FX fluctuations, tariffs, et cetera. But I think a lot of the consumer board commentary out of the U.S. has been pertaining to the last, what, two, three months, ever since the Middle East crisis has taken off. You yourself referred to Europe becoming a bit more competitive relative to Asia because of energy prices in Asia going up by a bit more. So my question is more around the shorter term, how this Middle East crisis has shuffled or shifted supply chains and kind of balances in Europe and if it's changed at all.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Well, I think it's a little bit early to draw any profound conclusions here, but when I was referring to

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

competitiveness, cost competitiveness. I was mainly referring to our company, which is to a large extent self-sufficient in energy. But of course, logistic plays a role here. And of course, it's better to be local in Europe than having long and expensive logistic chains.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Cool. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from Joni Sansa with Nordea. Please unmute your line, turn your video on, and ask your question.

speaker
Joni Sansa
Analyst, Nordea

Yeah, thanks. A couple of questions from my side. Maybe starting with sales. Have you actually, because in the anticipation of, let's say, higher prices, have you seen any pre-buying in the market during Q1 or early Q2?

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Well, thank you, Joni, for the question. It's really hard to say where the volume's you know, and the demand goes, you know, does it go to stock or does it go to consumption?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Of course, we have our models. We have our generative AI models that are quite good and which we use as a prediction for demand.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

And the more we use them, the more accurate they become. So I think that –

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

I cannot really say that there would be any major stock building happening as we speak. But on the other hand, we cannot be sure either.

speaker
Joni Sansa
Analyst, Nordea

Okay, okay. And the second question, still on the variable costs may be going a different way. So, if assuming, you know, you have seen that the energy-related and oil-related costs go up, when you expect you know, is to be fully visible in your P&L, because I think in Q2, still, you know, chemical costs, for example, are not fully visible still.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

It, of course, depends on what we are sourcing. I think on the logistics side, in general, I mean, there's not one rule that cuts across everything. There's know cost cost the cost increase comes through quicker while then in some chemical grades there might be might be a bit of a lag there's there's some of these are quite a few of these where we've seen the cost go quite a lot up are kind of index based so therefore it's relatively quick that you know the cost go up and then it very much depends, of course, on the oil price fluctuation, how that, you know, develops over the quarter. But I would say, in general, I assume a relatively quick kind of throughput on the cost side on these things. Okay. Thanks.

speaker
Joni Sansa
Analyst, Nordea

That's all from me.

speaker
Operator
Event Moderator

Our next question comes from with Jefferies. Please unmute your line and ask your question.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Thanks for taking my follow-up. Just following up on the other division, just considering we've got the forest as well as the Central Eastern European wood divisions, I'm just wondering, quarter on quarter, are there any moving parts that you can call out? And then on biomaterials, deliveries were a lot lower because of the maintenance. Should we think about 2Q benefiting from higher delivery volumes as well as higher pricing? So any kind of quarter-on-quarter improvement in earnings just so that we can think about the moving part into the next quarter?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

Thank you. Did you mean specifically for forest and Central European wood products or in general?

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Specifically for the division for forest and Central Eastern European wood products. So for the Swedish forest and Central Eastern European wood products.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

I mean, if starting with the Central European wood products, you are right there. We have this kind of building construction market seasonality where typically Q2 is a bit of a high season. buying ahead of, you know, building or construction than during the summer. What we've seen there, I mean, in Q1 results, which we highlighted as well, is that the, you know, wood prices in Central Europe are high. There's a lack of supply and that actually hit our results in Q1 and, you know, Who knows how it evolves, but that's the situation for the moment at least. On the Swedish forest side, it's been, I would say in general, relatively stable, no drama.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

And then it was just on the pulp side, anything we should in particular think about for the second quarter? Am I right just assuming better volumes and better prices?

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

We have in our quarterly report, we have also outlined the maintenance schedules or the annual maintenance schedules throughout the whole year.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

So I think that forms a good basis for your estimates about how these annual maintenance shots might have some impact on our results development.

speaker
Cole Harthorn
Analyst, Jefferies

Hansson, then. I think the development of your internal actions and efficiency program is exceptionally positive. You've beaten expectations for the quarter and you deserve credit for the actions that you're taking. But I realize it's an uncertain market, but without some hand-holding to the market of what you're going to deliver for internal actions for 2026 or some of the support on that, it's difficult for us to... to come out and really upgrade expectations. So I'm just wondering if, as we go through the year, we could start refining your expectations for 2026, hopefully, as the market improves. And on the back of that, are there any greater actions that you're going to take around capacity rationalization to really get the supply and demand more balanced within Europe? what can you provide us on kind of guidance for the full year on savings and, you know, how are you thinking about capacity rationalization actions? Thank you.

speaker
Hans Sundström
President and CEO

On the first one, I mean, if Hans could take the bigger topic. But, I mean, we've taken a – made a deliberate decision already earlier that we are not announcing, you know, 100 million or 500 million or billions or billions or whatever program per se, and then these kind of follow each other. But we've taken a more strategic, longer-term view on our own actions and said that this is how we work. This is our culture. This is also part of the P&L responsibility across 23 BUs and six BAs. We track it methodically, internally. We have one tool covering everything we do in the company. At any one day, there's approximately 2,300 actions, which we monitor and we track. And then going back to the CMD, we said that what we foresee and actually have identified the actions for the next two to four years is between five and 700 million. And we gave ourselves a bit of leeway, two to four years, because it is a dynamic world. But anyway, I think that's a good guide for kind of if you want to split it up into years, for instance. I mean, take that as a basis, because that's how we do it ourselves as well. And then the other thing is that we'd much rather, even if... if I understand the desire to kind of look into the future with exact figures, but we'd much rather show through our own actions. And so bear with us, but this is a very important thing that we continue to push day in, day out, and it's more and more becoming part of the cultural story as well that we drive towards this 500 to 700 million. And, Paul, as we said in the CMD presentation, Our strategic priorities is to lead in customer value, to grow faster than the market, over 4% top-line growth, and to expand our margins to about 10% EBIT margin level, excluding the forest Swedish forest assets as well as also to generate cash in order to get our net debt per EDTA below one and we are fully committed to this we have a very tangible plan to achieve this and we are working towards this with speed and determination thank you running out of time so maybe the Yes, well, thank you very much for participating. And all in all, I think and hope it has become clear to all of you since a couple of years back that we are doing whatever it takes to maximize shareholder value. That's our ultimate job. That's our ultimate target. And we do it through improving profit generation in this company, cash flow, and we are doing it by structural means. And there, Bärslaget Skogar is a good example, and we hope to see you in the C&D on the 3rd of November.

speaker
Niklas Rosenlev
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you very much, and have a good day.

Disclaimer

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