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Tele2 AB (publ)
10/21/2025
Thank you for standing by. My name is Van, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Teletubbies Q3 Interim Report 2025. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star, followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star one again. Thank you. I would now like to turn the call over to Jean-Marc Harrien, President and Group CEO. Please go ahead.
Thank you and good morning. Welcome to Teletubbies' report call for the third quarter of 2025. With me, I have Peter Landgren, our Group CFO, and some members of our Group Leadership Team. Please turn to slide two for some financial highlights. End-user service revenue grew by 2% in Q3. despite the continued impact of the discontinuation of Boxer TV terrestrial distribution in Sweden at the beginning of the year. Underlying EBITDA continued to increase rapidly, going by 11% during the quarter, mostly thanks to excellent transformation efforts. Once again, our equity free cash flow was very strong, totaling 1.8 billion SEC in the quarter, which is 60% more than last year. At the end of September, we had reduced our workforce by slightly more than 600 positions, thereby already reaching the lower end of our targeted range of 600 to 700 by January 2026. September marked a major milestone as we completed the 5G upgrade across our entire Swedish network. Coverage jumped from 25% to 90% of the territory, now reaching virtually 100% of the Swedish population, and just recently opened signal named Tele2, the global leader in 5G video experience. We are also stepping up our long-term network ambition in the Baltics. The creation of the first Pan-Baltic Tower Co. is a key enabler supporting our future expansion while unlocking value from our infrastructure there. The transaction is expected to close in Q1 2026. Finally, we are proud to have been recognized by Time Magazine as one of the world's best companies, a ranking based on employee satisfaction, growth, and transparency in sustainability. Please move to page three for more details on our results. As said, end-user service revenue grew by 2% organically in Q3, driven by continued strong growth in the Baltics and accelerating growth in Sweden. Excluding the boxer impact, group end-user service revenue grew by 3%. The 11% growth in underlying EBITDA was driven by the transformation, improved profitability in Sweden business, and the Baltic revenue growth. Our strong equity free cash flow benefited from lower paid capex and better working capital year on year, which Peter will soon discuss in more detail. After reaching 12% in the first half year, our capex to sales ratio fell to 11% for the first nine months due to additional reprioritization and re-planning. As a result, we have decided to lower our full year guidance, which I will return to shortly. Our leverage fell to 2.0 times ahead of the final dividend tranche, which was paid last week. In Sweden, consumer and user service revenue was unchanged as growth in core connectivity offset the decline in Boxer TV following the decommissioning of terrestrial distribution at the beginning of the year. In Sweden business, end-user service revenue growth accelerated to 5%, thanks to good growth in mobile and solutions. The Baltic grew end-user service revenue by 7%, and underlying EBITDA by a massive 20%, matching Q2 performance. Let's move to slide 5 for more details on Swedish consumers. Mobile postpaid end-user service revenue grew by 4%, up from 3% in Q2. Total mobile revenue grew by 3%, partly offset by continued decline in prepaid. Fixed broadband grew end-user service revenue by 3%, mainly due to ASPU growth. While Tele2 TV grew by a low single digit, end-user service revenue for DTV declined by 8% due to the Boxer migration. For full year 2025, we continue to anticipate Boxer revenue to be roughly 225 million below 2024, with minor year-on-year impact on EBITDA. Total consumer and user service revenue remained unchanged in the quarter, excluding the boxer impact. Consumer grew by 2%. Let's look at consumer KPIs on slide six. Mobile Postpaid added a solid 8,000 RGU's during Q3. Mobile ASPU growth improved to 1% year-on-year, but was still negatively impacted by IFRS 15 fair value adjustment in Tele2 customer base, which did not have handset binding until almost two years ago. Excluding this adjustment, ASPU grew by 2%. As mentioned in my CU letter, successful rebranding of our main brand and strong demand for iPhone 17 led to our best iPhone launch in years, reinforcing the shift towards on-channel sales. Fixed broadband grew by 1,000 RGUs in Q3, whereas ASPU grew by 2% due to price adjustments. Similar to Q2, we observed aggressive competition in open networks, along with escalating wholesale access fee, which hampered volume growth. Our TV business further stabilized as the customer base approaches A neutral development to TV RGUs grew, driven by our recently launched Flex TV offer, whereas Boxer TV RGUs declined. Please move to slide seven for Sweden Business. In Q3, Sweden Business once again delivered a strong end-user service revenue growth, reaching 5% with all main product lines growing. While the micro segment remains stable, we saw continued growth in IoT and our larger segments, affecting the evolution of mobile as through year on year. Mobile grew by 5%, driven by our IoT business and continued solid RGU growth among larger customers. Solution grew by a strong 8%, driven by network solution and cloud DBX, whereas fixed remains stable. A new partner program was launched in Q3 to enhance quality and customer satisfaction. As a result, around 60% of the specialized reseller partners for SMEs were phased out. Please move to slide eight for Sweden financials. All in all, our Swedish end user service revenue improved to 1% growth in Q3, driven by business. 2% with a boxer impact. Underlying EBITDA grew by 8%, driven by workforce reductions, stricter prioritization and cost control from a quarter-on-quarter perspective. Growth was partly offset by substantial sequential increase in marketing expenses. As you probably noticed, we invited Frank back. Network operating costs increased due to the expansion of our mobile network. and notable cost inflation in access fees from open networks. The cash conversion has improved to 66% over the last 12 months. Now let's move to Baltic financials on slide 10. Our Baltic operations have maintained operational momentum with sustained strong top and bottom line growth in Q3. Total end user service revenue continue to grow to grow at 7%, supported by price adjustment during the first half year. Q3 was the third consecutive quarter in which all markets delivered double-digit growth in underlying EBITDA, driving a total growth of 20%, same as Q2, and with Estonia posting a massive 53%. Cash conversion increased to a strong 78% during the last 12 months, reflecting increasing EBITDA margins. As part of ongoing efficiency efforts, we have now initiated projects to centralize support and IT across our Baltic countries to reduce operating costs and shorten development timelines in the coming years. Let's move to slide 11 for Baltic operating KPIs. Postpaid base increased by 21,000 RGUs in Q3, driven by Lithuania and Latvia. Prepaid increased by 8,000 RGUs. Blended organic ASPU grew by a strong 12%, driven by price adjustment and continued prepaid to postpaid migration. And with that, I hand over to Peter, who will go through the financial overview.
Thank you, Jean-Marc, and good morning, everyone. Please turn to page 13. First, a few comments on the group P&L for the quarter. Total revenue grew by 1%, with end-user service revenue up by 2%, driven by the Baltics and Sweden B2B. Our equipment revenue declined in a continued slow handset market, but a successful launch of the new iPhones supported equipment revenue growth in Sweden B2C. Both underlying EBITDA and underlying EBITDA at the least grew by 11% organically, thanks to the sharp cost control across the group and the end-user service revenue growth. Worth noting is that the group now has reached an underlying EBITDA margin of 40% year-to-date. Items affecting comparability were at 130 million in the quarter, impacted by redundancy costs related to workforce reductions. Net financial items decreased year on year, thanks to both lower interest rates and reduced debt. In Q3, our average interest rate was at 2.8%, with a debt mix of 66% fixed rates and 34% floating rates. Income tax increased largely due to higher profits. Let's turn to slide 14, and our group cash flow. CapEx paid decreased by around 175 million. This was partly due to successful prioritization and partly due to the deferral of planned investment to 2026. Changes in working capital remained quite neutral in the quarter, slightly impacted by reduced liabilities. Net financial items paid excluding leasing decreased year on year thanks to the reduction of interest costs along with payment timing. Net-net equity-free cash flow added up to a strong 1.8 billion in Q3, an improvement of 670 million compared to last year. And over the last 12 months, equity-free cash flow has reached 9 SEK per share. So let's move to slide 15 and our capital structure. End of Q3, economic net debt amounted to 22.9 billion, reduced by 3.3 billion compared to the end of 2024. This was enabled by the cash generated in the business, exceeding the payouts of the first dividend tranche in May. Our leverage of 2.0 times underlying EBITDA remains below our target range, thanks to the strong profitability and cash generation. Adjusted for the payout of the final tranche of the ordinary dividends last week, pro forma leverage would have been at 2.2. And with that, I hand over to Jean-Marc for some comments on our 2025 guidance.
Thank you, Peter. Please turn to slide 16 for our upgraded 2025 guidance. Following the first nine months of the year, we remain confident in our ability to deliver on our gross guidance, namely GDPR, Low single-digit organic growth of end-user service revenue, including around 1% point drag from Boxer. Slightly above 10% growth and underlying bid down that we committed on in July. In addition, we are slightly reducing our 2025 guidance on CapEx to sales from around 13% to around 12%. This is driven by successful prioritization efforts, as well as the deferral of some costs to 2026. That said, we reiterate our expectation of a mid-term range between 10 and 12% from 2026 onwards. I hand back to Peter for some additional comments regarding 2025 before we open up for Q&A.
Thank you, Jean-Marc. A few additional comments first on the P&Ls. We continue to anticipate around 500 million in restructuring costs this year related to the ongoing transformation. On savings from workforce reductions, please remember that roughly 80% of our workforce costs impact OPEX while the remaining share impact CAPEX. Also, I repeat what has been said about the Boxer effect. For the full year 2025, we continue to expect Boxer revenue roughly 225 million below 2024. and with a somewhat negative year-on-year impact on underlying EBITDA after lease. And then a few comments on the cash flow. In Q4, we will pay the final roughly 370 million for the Swedish spectrum licenses that we secured in 2023. Also now in Q4, an 1,800 MHz spectrum auction will be held in Sweden. The payment terms in that auction is 50% in Q1 2026. and 50% in Q1 2028, as informed by the regulator. On changes in working capital, we're satisfied with the performance in the first nine months of the year, while recognizing that Q4 is seasonally weak. We hence now estimate the full year outcome in the range of zero to plus 200 million per year. On net financial items, excluding leasing, We continue to expect full-year payments of around $750 million. And finally, regarding taxes, we still expect around $1.0 billion net payments in 2025, including the $280 million refund we received in Q1. And with that, I hand over to the operator for Q&A.
At this time, I would like to remind everyone in order to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. Please limit your questions to one and one follow-up. Our first question comes from the line of Andrew Lee from GoldSucks.
Please go ahead. Good morning, everyone. My first question was on, well, both questions are on costs. First question was on EBITDA costs and specifically the open network access fee inflation. I think that that impact is around 30 million sec, but I'm not 100% sure. I wonder if you can give us any clarity on the scale of the impact from that. And then just on that point, you have historically or recently said that you feel that price rises can be put through over and above cost inflation. Do you feel like you can pass that increasing cost onto the customer over the next 12 months. And then the second question is just on CapEx. You highlighted that you're reiterating the 10% to 12% CapEx to sales guide for next year. Obviously, there's an element of deferral of CapEx from 2025 into 2026 that's lowered your guidance for this year. Does that deferral mean you're likely to end up towards
the ceiling of the 10 to 12% capex to sales guide for next year thank you okay well I will take the first question and access fee of course this this is nothing new here we have observed a regular increase of the access fee and in the meantime due to the competition and retail prices we observe a a growing pressure on the profitability of the open access. Of course, the consequence for the operators and especially for Tele2 will be in the future to focus more on other channels, other networks, sorry, rather than open fiber. But I believe that we face here a critical issue for the market and for the Swedish customer. It's as well related to the delay in the SDU regulation. So that means that open fiber today is a technology that we need to address specifically as a complement for other solutions for the customer. And on top of that, of course, at a certain point, we may be obliged as well to reflect part of this access fee increase in the retail price. So that's one of the, I would say, battles that we are fighting and will continue fighting in the coming months. Regarding the CAPEX, I will hand over to Peter. Just a comment. I would say the decision to lower the CAPEX guidance was the consequence of the prioritization for investment in general, and especially in the mobile network. And I want to say two things. It doesn't impact the quality of the network. You probably noticed that, and I stated that in my presentation, that we have rolled out 5G on the entire Swedish network that we operate, and we now reach 99.9% of the population with an excellent quality of service, and our ambition is still to build the best 5G network in Sweden. And the second point is that it doesn't change our mid-term guidance, but Peter, feel free to elaborate on that.
Good morning, André. I think you covered it quite well, but just to add a little bit. As Jean-Marc said, it's the stricter prioritization that is helping us to being able to reduce our CapEx guidance for 2025. including then also impact on capex from workforce reductions, which is helping there. And then, of course, we always try to invest as late as possible, meaning that some pieces are deferred to 2026, but it doesn't change our ambition of being behind 10 to 12% going forward. And to specifically answer your question on what it means for 2026, where we will be in that range is early to respond on. I will come back to our CapEx guidance for 2026 when we release our Q4 numbers in January.
Thank you. It's really helpful from both. Do you have any sense of the scale of the headwind that you got from the open network fee increase in the competition that stop you from kind of fighting back on that in any sense of the scale, that would be helpful. And I guess, Peter, on your answer on the capex to sales, you're not saying that you'd definitely be towards the upper end of that 10% to 12% because of this deferral. As you say too early today, is that the right understanding of your comments there? Thank you. Thank you.
No, it's too early to comment on that. I believe that we observe a distortion of the market. Definitely, compared to what's happening in other European countries, the market evolution, the broadband market evolution in Sweden is not in favor of the customer interest. We should see... an improvement of the competitive situation and what we observe is the opposite. It's due to the dominant position of some local players It's not new. We are flagging that. And in the meantime, of course, we are taking actions in order to offset this impact and find alternative solutions to serve our customers. We'll come back to that in more details when we will comment on our full year results.
Thanks.
And on the access fee transfer, we're not providing a specific number on that impact, but it's, of course, something that is important to us in terms of costs.
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Andreas Joelsson from DNB Carnegie. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. Just a follow-up, basically, on the open network side. You cannot control regulation, obviously, and you say that you will look at alternatives. But what kind of alternatives do you have that you can sort of... Because leaving the open fibre network would mean that you would leave quite a big market size. Just curious about the alternatives that you see. Should there be further delays to this regulation, for instance?
Yeah. Thanks. Okay. Let me specify and give you an element of answer. But for obvious reasons, I don't want to elaborate further. Of course, everything is a question of geography. But first, Tele2 operates on HFC cable infrastructure with DOCSIS, excellent internet speed and customer experience. In some areas, a much better internet quality than with fiber because some part of the fiber in Sweden is quite old. So this is definitely one part of the answer. The other one is, of course, related to the recent extension of our 5G footprint. We now provide 5G connectivity to the entire Swedish population with, here again, an excellent quality of service as recognized by OpenSignal. And this quality will even improve in the future So that's the answer. So of course, there are some areas where we will have no access to the customers outside of the open fiber infrastructure. But there are many areas where we have multiple solutions. And so far, we were a little bit agnostic in the technology. But we cannot let the situation with open fiber degrade without responding.
Perfect. Thank you.
Our next question comes from the line of Eric Linkholm-Rogestal from SEB. Please go ahead.
Yes, good morning. So, Jean-Marc, you mentioned exiting a major third-party retailer here in Sweden during the quarter and also making some changes on the B2B side with partners. And I understand the long-term positives from this, but would you expect sort of any short-term headwind to grow from this? So, thank you.
We will, of course, we will prepare. We will not go unprepared to this big shift. But we have been preparing for a while. We are opening regularly new stores, on stores. For instance, next week we will open two new stores in Sweden, in Gävle and Burlänge. And then we will continue with others. So we are progressively increasing the number of stores. Once again, we are not going to go crazy with the stores, but there were gaps in our footprint that we want to fill. It's important that we have stores in all the major areas where we see a commercial traffic that we can take advantage of. In the meantime, we are improving the performance of our websites. investing in the feature of the website. We are as well doing a lot of changes and improvements in our customer operations and we are determined to, I have to say, to eradicate the questionable sales practice that we observe in the market. The Swedish consumer agency flagged some practice observed in the telemarketing area during the summer. It's not the only area where we observe this kind of practice. So this practice results into an artificial term which penalizes the operators. That's why we believe that we need to take control of our relation with the customers. We have stepped down from one of the retailers, a minor one that I don't want to disclose the name already this year, and we are preparing to take more control on our distribution. Today, we are very happy to see that the contribution of our own channels is increasing in our commercial activity, and we want to continue pushing that, not only in B2C, but in B2B as well, That's why we took the decision to, I would say, reform, transform our sales partners for SMEs. And here we reduced the number of our sales partners by around 60% in order to focus on high-quality partners that we can trust to deal with our customers. So for us, it's definitely a long-term investment. And of course, we don't want to make a hasty decision. We are in permanent discussion with all the partners, but we know where we want to go. And of course, there may be from time to time commercial hiccups, but we are absolutely certain that this is the strategy to follow and to deliver for the long-term value creation in the market.
All right. But do you expect any meaningful impact to sort of cross ads in the short term or maybe for next year?
That's why we are taking the time. We are just showing the path, but we are moving step by step. we don't expect to make any crazy moves. We just want to consolidate, strengthen our own channels progressively, and make case-by-case decisions.
Okay, perfect. Thank you for that.
Our next question comes from the line of Maurice Patrick from Barclays. Please go ahead.
Good morning, guys. Thanks for the presentation and taking the question. If I could ask a follow-up question on CapEx, please. I appreciate you've indicated the 10% to 12% mid-term range for next year, and you don't want to narrow that. But just to understand a bit around the key projects that remain pending, if I'm not wrong, you've signaled today you've pretty much finished the mobile 5G upgrade and swap out. You've signaled earlier in the prepared remarks I think a need to or desire to increase the investments in the Baltics post the Tower Coast sale. I think in previous calls you had suggested remote PHY as in the cable upgrade was more on hold as such. Could you help us understand sort of what additional projects beyond just maintenance you have in mind for 26? Is it just the Baltics or is there anything else we should be thinking about?
I believe that there is no hidden agenda or hidden project that we have kept in our wallet out of the sight of the investors. I believe that the revision of our CapEx guidance is just the consequence of some re-planning that we had to do and that we were able to do considering, I would say, the evolution of our rollout. So this is a very ambitious rollout that we are in. Of course, our goal is to complete the largest part of this rollout by the end of the year. But in the meantime, as you can easily understand, the more we move forward, the more difficulties we collect in the building of the sites because they are remote. Sometimes we have issues to connect the energy to the sites, some permits delay and so on. So the decision to revise our CAPEX and sales guidance is just the result of pragmatic re-planning of the rollout with, I would say, some sides that will not be built at the end of this year, but complete it and switch on at the beginning of next year. So the impact delay is minimal. but still impactful considering the size of the investment that we are making this year on the Swedish mobile network. And of course, one of the reasons for this delay is called the Swedish winter, because in December, January, it's a little bit difficult to dig into the Swedish ground for obvious reasons. Not a big deal. Next year, we'll have some, I would say, some additional sites to complete, but with a minor impact on the CAPEX for 2026. The main part of our investment next year will remain the modernization of some part of our Baltic operations, with, of course, the impact of our TowerCo company as well. And for the rest, I confirm that We will stick with our new strategy for the modernization of our cable network. Also, of course, we believe that in the current context of the fixed broadband market, there is a competitive advantage for us to push our cable HFC network. we don't see the point to systematically modernize the network, so we stick with our reactive modernization strategy that we have decided at the beginning of this year, so that we don't foresee any acceleration of the remote PHY investment. For the rest, of course, We are progressing on the modernization of our IT, centralizing as much as we can the platforms across all our product lines in Sweden. And we have as well some projects to... to centralize some platforms between Baltics and Sweden. But I would say all this has been already anticipated and compared to the network investment, it's a relatively minor part of our investment policy. So that's why we are quite confident that the re-planning of our CAPEX in this end of year will have will not change your mid-term guidance, which is to keep the capex and sales ratio between 10 and 12 over the next few years.
Our next question comes from the line of Owen McGivern from Bank of America. Please go ahead.
Hey, good morning. I'm from Bank of America here. Question on cost. So on headcount, you said over 600 by the end of September versus the over 500 by the end of June. Could you give us a sense on the phasing of this reduction and when the incremental cuts will feed through into your numbers? And then a quick one on marketing spend. Just thinking about the weighting of Q3 versus Q4, trying to weigh the initial cost of a launch where you said that there was a substantial increase in marketing spend in Q3 versus Q2 versus a more competitive Q4 where you'll do more advertising. Thank you.
Yeah, maybe I will ask Peter to complete, but keep in mind that compared to H1, we have... three areas where we had foreseen, I would say, slightly higher spending in H2. The first one is definitely the marketing areas where we have reintroduced Frank with, I would say, an obvious result in the traffic in our stores and our websites. I would say a recognition of the Tele2 brand which has improved I'm referring here to the ID sender KPI that's improved significantly compared to H1 with a tripling of the recognition by the customers. So that, of course, has some impact on our cost, but it was foreseen because we had planned the rebranding at the very end of June 2026. We have the access fee impact, which of course is a variable cost and something that you probably understand is that of course we are impacted by the access fees in proportion of the acquisition of customers we make in this area. And something that we cannot forget either is the the increase for network OPEX, which is proportional to the rollout of the network. So the more sites we build, and we are on a good path to complete the rollout for 5G network, but the more maintenance OPEX we need to support. Peter?
Yes, thanks. I can add that Maybe a little bit specifically about the timing in the workforce reductions. And I think it's two aspects of this. One is that we, of course, try to optimize gradually and find improvements every day. But there was a bit of a larger portion towards the end of the quarter, the end of September, where a bit larger piece of the reduction came through. which means that, and when it comes to the cost for that, you can see in our restructuring costs, a bit of elevated costs in Q3. And so that's all reflected in the Q3 numbers, the severance payments for those reductions. And on marketing, I think it's quite well covered, but maybe call out as well that the big impact then from the, sequential EBITDA trends is that we were very, very low in Q2. So in Q2, we had a large tailwind in our EBITDA year on year from low marketing. We saved our money for the rest of the year with the rebranding and also a little bit of a more intense sales season.
Hope that answers it.
Our next question comes from the line of Frederick Lithell from Handels Banken. Please go ahead.
Thank you. Thank you for taking my questions as well. I thought maybe we could have, Stefan would like to talk a little bit about the trends in business-to-business. You have really good growth there. If you could sort of dig into the details a little bit more, what's really going on in the business-to-business marketplace would be interesting to hear. And then second, John Mark, if I could ask you, it seems like EQT is putting Global Connect up for sale. We don't know. It's news comments at this point. But if that would be, would you see that you had some pockets where you sort of could fill up your assets on long haul fiber or anything? It would be interesting to hear your elaboration on that, if possible. Thank you. All right.
Thank you, Fredrik, for your question. Always a pleasure to talk about B2B. And as we've seen, it was a good quarter. I think the profile of the revenue development in Q3 is very similar to Q2. It's a broad-based improvement year on year for the quarter in all of the basically all product lines. We see the stabilization on the fixed part driven by broadband and data net services and the deals that we've done in that domain. On the mobile side, we continue with good growth, both on the larger segments, SME and the larger segments on RGU developments. We had a growth of 10,000 in our juice, and also the previous quarters, of course, are helping us in the quarter-and-quarter growth of the mobile our juice. IoT is a little bit better than in Q2, actually, on quarter-and-quarter growth, a couple of millions better. So overall, and then we have the solutions area where we have continued growth good pace on the network security part, but also on cloud PBX, which is more of a modern solution. So it's very similar to Q2, actually. A little bit better, I would say, everywhere. Then on the micro, we see a stabilization. It's something that we have seen with the recession that is impacting the growth. So we're still looking for the smaller segments and smaller customers returning to better growth overall in the Swedish economy. So hopefully we'll see that. I hoped for that last year, but we didn't see it this year. But hopefully that's something that we will see next year. Hope that gives you some color on the B2B and where the growth is coming from.
Yeah, and maybe to complete what Stefan was commenting, one of the reasons why we can accelerate on B2B is because thanks to the transformation of this activity that Stefan has delivered in H1, we have no profitable growth. We can now secure profitable growth in all the segments, including the solutions. So that's, of course, a key lever for us for the acceleration of the review. And I will not comment on Global Connect. As commented by Peter, yes, we have, I would say, an excellent balance sheet so far. But we have stated at the beginning of the year, and I will stick with this statement, that the decisions about The use of the cash flow will be taken after the full delivery of our transformation this year. So we still have a quarter to go. And therefore, I will not preempt any discussion that will be at the board level, that will take place at the board level in January.
Our next question comes from the line of Nick Leal from Berenberg.
Let's go ahead.
Yeah, morning, everybody. Can I just ask... Two, please. Firstly, on the contracts with suppliers, could you remind us how far you are through your negotiations with your suppliers so far? And could you help us by giving us some sort of target to quantify the savings you might make from that over time, please? And then secondly, on the access cost point, trying to avoid access costs or alternatives to access costs, how does that fit with the idea that you're going to be just reactive on remote fire and the coax network and also sort of tailing off spending on 5G as well. Those two don't seem to tally. So could you tell me what I'm missing there, please? Thanks.
Peter will answer on the contract and the savings.
Yes, morning, Nick. Yes, on the number of contracts we have now, we negotiated around 225 contracts and keep working on them in full pace, of course, also going forward. We're not providing any specific financial targets on this exercise. It's, of course, an important component in our EBITDA improvements, but this is what we aim for in our EBITDA and CAPEX guidance. So that's what I would say on the on the contract negotiations. And then, Cermak, I don't know if you want to comment again on the access cost and remote buy, maybe.
No, I was consulting with Peter Cermak. You know, I don't believe that there is more to say about the access fee. You know, we are observing I would say a negative evolution of the market in terms of profitability. This evolution goes in the opposite direction compared to all the other operating countries. We have observed that PTS has been blocked in the SDU regulations, so there is a problem with the market structure. Of course, we will fight in order to get better market conditions for the customers. In the meantime, I would say we have other cards to play. And I believe that the consequence of this increase in the access fee, which is not motivated by any reason but the I would say the collection of an additional fee by the intermediary operators, the local intermediary operators, is to motivate the operators to use other networks. And once again, we have more than one million households served by our excellent DOCSIS network, providing one gigabit per second internet to MDUs across all the country and in the meantime now we have our 5G technology that we can use in order to serve families and homes with the 5G connectivity and no need to elaborate too much on that but we observe that mobile broadband is becoming more and more popular amongst our customers especially the new generation as the main access to internet so that's it so meaning that we observe this increase in access fees and we are taking the consequence and fortunately we have other cards to play and that's it we are just commenting on access fees because It was obviously one of the, I would say, the components that may have been underestimated from external observers on the Swedish market. But we are not the only one impacted by that.
Our next question comes from the line of AJ Sony from JP Morgan. Please go ahead.
Hi there. Thanks for taking my question. My one just goes back to the marketing costs. Obviously, you've called them out, stepping up a little bit in Q3. Are you expecting this to continue into Q4 and then 2026? And is this driven by a more competitive environment? I understand some of the pricing, especially within the second brand, has become more competitive. So maybe a comment on the pricing environment would be helpful as well. Thank you.
I believe that Peter commented already that the seasonality dictates that we spend more in marketing in the second half of the year than in the first half. Do you want to elaborate on that, Peter?
No, I can just repeat that. It's not that we're intensifying our marketing spend. It's more that we reduced our marketing spend in the first half of the year and especially in Q2. So it's not an escalation in any sense. It's more that we had a very large tailwind from that in Q2, and now we don't have that tailwind. So we will keep disciplining on how much marketing we spend.
That's what I would say there.
Our next question comes from the line of Felix Henriksen from Nordea. Please go ahead.
Thanks for taking my question. I think beyond the FTE reductions and the vendor contract renegotiations, you've highlighted that the decommissioning of some unprofitable B2B services and sort of automating the service deliveries is one of the key drivers for a profitability transformation. So could you just please provide a bit of an update on that work stream? That would be very helpful. Thanks.
All right. Thanks for the question. And Stefan here to respond on the automation and IT transformation. As we've been alluding to before, I mean, we are doubling down on IT transformation for B2B this year, and it will go on into next year. We're actually in the middle of of the work, of the scope work of that. So we're doing requirement design, all of that, but we haven't come into production yet. The first phases of production will come next year. We won't give you a specific quarter, but we will see specific product segments being handled by a new end-to-end IT ecosystem, which will really, really, really will be something different, much, much more efficient than the ways we're working on today. So really looking forward to those launches which start next year.
Our next question comes from the line of Maxime Findlay from Redburn Atlantic. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone. This is Max Findlay from Rothschild & Co. Redburn. Thank you for taking my questions this morning. Firstly, going back to the FTE question, just checking where the in-quarter reductions were removed, I assume Sweden, and any clearer ideas where you might land in your 600 to 700 FTE reduction range would be very helpful. I appreciate you've already been asked questions on contracts already, but the last couple of quarters you've provided a percentage of large contracts renegotiated, but I could not find that this quarter. So any color on that would be very helpful. And then finally, just checking that there were no one-off cost savings in Q2 that dropped out in Q3, maybe as costs were deferred during contract renegotiations. Thank you.
Okay, I will let Peter answer the last two questions on the FTEs. As we commented, we have reached the lower end of the target already. We believe that we will land, we'll finish the year, I would say, very close from the full-year target that we gave ourselves, which was between 600 and 700. We are now in an execution phase for the long tail in some specific RE-ORG, and we are on a good path. We have completed the discussion with the union and so on to deliver all these workforce reductions, including in the Baltics, where we still have some minor workforce reductions ongoing. But we will deliver workforce reduction in line with our target.
Yes, and on the workforce reduction, most of it then, maybe a repetition, but was towards the end of the quarter, in the end of September. And it's majority in Sweden then, for the workforce reductions in Q3. On the contracts, it was all together we have renegotiated 225 contracts now year to date and that's a decent portion of our large contracts but we're not done yet so we continue working on that and when it comes to one-offs no specific one-offs in Q2 that was pushed in any way towards over to Q3 last year in Q2 we had a one-off related to that which helped or made our comps a bit easier in Q2 this year, which we have called out earlier, but no major one-offs in Q2 and Q3 this year.
Our next question comes from the line of Abhilesh Mohapatra from BNP Paribas. Please go ahead.
Hi, morning, and thanks for taking my questions. Sorry to come back on the open network access question, but just trying to understand, has the impact been sort of greater than you had anticipated earlier in the year when you were sort of setting out the guidance? And so therefore, should we see this as you've been able to keep your guidance despite sort of greater than expected impact from this cost headwind? And how do you sort of see the timeline of this evolving in the coming months? You mentioned sort of talking to the regulators. How do you see this sort of evolving? And then the second question was just around shareholder returns. You flagged that leverage is now down to sort of 2.2 times, and you mentioned you'll be sort of examining this over the coming quarter. But as we think about your leverage target range 2.5 to 3 times, what are the sort of puts and takes of, you know, where you would want to end up compared to that sort of target leverage range, low-end versus high-end? What are the factors there? And does this development with these sort of open network access fees change that thinking at all? Thank you.
Okay, so there's a lot of questions about access fees. We don't want to emphasize too much this topic, but okay, to answer your question, you know, what can we add on top of what we have already commented? You know, we observe that the situation is becoming a little bit critical, but once again, it's the result as well of the fragmentation of the fixed broadband infrastructure market in Sweden. So the reaction of the different landlord associations, for instance, are not the same depending on the networks that we are considering. And we see that, for instance, some landlord associations are reviewing the terms and conditions agreement. Some of them realize that there is a limit to the current model and of course that translates in some decrease in the broadband penetration in their networks and of course this is not what they want and this is not what we want to see. So I don't want to elaborate too much but it's a very fragmented situation on the broadband market. We see the result with some I would say greed from some landlord association that has some consequence for all the operators. We have to deal with that. That's our job. So, Peter, can you comment on the two other questions?
Yeah, on the shareholder return and the leverage targets, of course, we recognize that we noticed that we are below our target range of 2.5 to 3%. As Sean-Marc also mentioned previously in the call, we will not preempt the discussions around where we're moving. We will have the discussion with our board ahead of the Q4 release to see how we should proceed in terms of shareholder remuneration and how to deal with our strong balance sheets. It's a pleasant problem. We're happy with the strong profitability and cash generation leading to a very strong balance sheet position at present. and we'll come back in Q1, sorry, when we release Q4.
Our next question comes from the line of Andrej Kabisek from UBS. Please go ahead.
Hi, everyone. Thanks for the presentation. Two questions for me, please. One is on just refocusing a bit on the top line in Sweden where almost across the segments you saw an acceleration of trends. I was wondering... From your perspective, because you are the first to report, how much of this improvement are you attributing to your own commercial initiatives, which you say obviously stepped up into the second half, and how much of this is some kind of market repair, which I believe we have seen since this summer. So that's one question. And then the second question on contracts. Okay. As you say, I think you mentioned the number 225 contracts have been kind of renegotiated. I was just wondering, in terms of the actual impact when we're starting to see this, can we assume that all 225 of these have already started to have some impact on the financials, or is there a part of these which have been renegotiated but, for example, only have an impact starting 2026 or later? Thank you very much.
Okay. I will let Peter to answer on the consumer review. Definitely, we see the impact of Frank being back, the iPhone launch, the on-channels. Peter?
Yes, no. We see improvement in the connectivity, quarter and quarter, both through both through the offers we have, but also through the focus on the own channels. So we are focusing on stores, customer operations online. That's our main focus, and we are trying to tone down the rest of the external distribution. We see good traction of our TV offers that we launched in April. So the Flex model is something the customer wants. We see we see good traction on it and it partly compensates our decline in TV. This is entirely driven by Boxer. So, uh, Frank has, the launch of Frank has helped to, to improve our commercial momentum since, uh, since summer. And, uh, it continues in, uh, and, uh, you know, we, we will continue what we are doing right now. I, you know, it's a mix of pricing, some acquisitions and, uh, and the focus on all channels.
And Peter, do you want to take the other one again?
Yeah, I can take that again, but maybe a slightly new angle to the question. Again, 225 contracts has been renegotiated. When it comes to the timing of this, it is a mix. In some cases, we were able to reap the benefits directly. We saw quite much of that in the first half of the year. But of course, depending on the nature of the contract and what we're negotiating, something is coming later. So some pieces will also come from 2026. So it's a gradual effect of what we're doing that you should expect.
Our final question comes from the line of C.E. Hay from CD. Please go ahead.
Hello. Hi. Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. I just have a question on the cost side. I think, Jean-Marc, in your CEO letter, you talk about that Teletubbies are ready to gradually increase the efforts to optimize the teams and optimize your process. Just wondering if you can comment on maybe the kind of saving that we could have and when should we expect it to hit the financials? And I also believe that you decided to take away the mid-term targets at the beginning of this year. Just wondering, after you complete this stop reduction, should we expect the reintroduction of the mid-term guidance at a full year result? Thank you.
Sorry, I didn't answer the last question.
The second one, if we have a mid-term financial guidance.
We don't. Apart from the CAPEX, we don't have mid-term guidance on the CAPEX. We already mentioned that our ambition, and we say this ambition turns into more and more in the kind of commitment that we will be between 10 and 12% of the sales. But to come back to your... to your initial question. I would say that the cost optimization or the transformation in general translate into three major benefits for the company. The first one, of course, is the overall cost reduction. We see the impact today in our cost structure of the payroll OPEX improvements as well the renegotiation of some contracts but it's as well the benefit of I would say making the company more agile and this agility comes with profitability we gave the example of B2B we had some issues with the profitability of some line of business so we have transformed the process We've reviewed the portfolio, now we can accelerate the growth in B2B and in other areas as well. I give B2B just as an example, because we have secured the profitability and we have simplified the process. And I would say that this simplification is as well something that we benefit from globally. in order to respond to the market. That's why, of course, when we observe that some segment of the market are not evolving in the right direction, we are now able to react much more promptly. That is, of course, what is happening today in the fixed broadband. And I would say the third benefit of this transformation is that thanks to the strengthening and the simplification of our processes, we are able to take a stricter control on our distribution channels and prioritize our capex much more. So that translates into the reinforcement, the strengthening of our own channels to the detriment the third party ones that will translate in the future into better value for Tele2 because we will increase the stickiness of the customers, we will increase the ASPU and we will decrease the acquisition cost. And this is only possible because we have made the company agile and adaptative again. So that's my summary. You want to add something?
Yeah, maybe add one thing on the question on the guidance. As Shaman pointed out, of course, right now, this is where we stand with that we don't have a midterm guidance. I think also the question were about if we will have it going forward. And that's too early to say. We'll talk to the board ahead of the Q4 release and take it from there. Right now, we're here and now and focus on the guidance we have submitted for this year.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.