11/9/2023

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. My name is Cheryl and I will be a conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Altus Group Q3 2023 results conference call and webcast. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speaker's remarks, there will be a question and answer session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star Follow by the number 1 on your telephone keypad. If you would like to withdraw your question, press star 1 again. I would now like to turn the call over to Carmela Bartasevich. Please go ahead.

speaker
Cheryl

Thank you, operator.

speaker
Paul

Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to Altus Group's third quarter results conference call and webcast for the period ended September 30th, 2023. The news release announcing our results was issued after market close this afternoon and is posted on our website and Cedar profile, along with our MD&A and interim financial statements. A presentation to accompany our prepared remarks has also been posted to our website under the investor relations section. Joining us today are CEO Jim Hannon and our CFO, Pavan Chakra. We'll start with some prepared remarks, and then we'll move right into the Q&A session. If we miss any questions, please contact me directly by email. Some of our remarks today on this call may contain forward-looking information. Forward-looking information is based on assumptions and therefore suggests the risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These assumptions, risks, and uncertainties are detailed in our forward-looking statement disclaimer in today's material. Please be reminded that all this group uses certain non-GAAP financial measures, non-GAAP ratios, total segments measures, capital management measures, and supplementary and other financial measures as defined in National Instrument 52112. We believe that these measures may assist investors in assessing investment in our shares as they provide additional insight into our performance. Readers are cautioned that they are not defined performance measures and do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and may differ from similar computations as reported by other similar entities and accordingly may not be comparable to financial measures as reported by those entities. These measures should not be considered an isolation or a substitute for financial measures prepared in accordance with IFRS. An explanation of these measures is detailed in today's IRR materials, including the news release presentation, MD&A, and other findings with the Canadian securities regulators. I would also like to point out that unless otherwise specified, all growth rates we refer to on this call today will be on a constant currency basis over the same period in 2022. Okay, over to you, Jim.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Thanks, Camilla. Thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I'd like to take a minute to discuss our recent M&A activity, which occurred subsequent to the close of the third quarter. Very pleased that this week we were able to announce the acquisitions of REVS, formerly part of Citus RERC and Forberry, two highly regarded players in commercial real estate. Not only have we complemented the breadth of our offers for our clients, but most importantly, we've expanded the Altus team with exceptional talent from both Forberry and REVS. We are excited to have them join the smart, dedicated, compassionate folks already here at Altus. Commercial real estate valuation is at the core of what we do here at Altus Group. Over the past several years, we've been quite selective with our deployment of capital towards acquisitions. We have consistently messaged that we're focused on opportunities in our core businesses and in our core geographic markets, which include Canada, the US, UK, France, Germany, and Australia. And we have stated that we would be looking for the opportunities that are quickly accretive and that allow us to delever back to the low twos in about two years. Finally, we look for businesses led by teams that see the power of working together with Altus Group to offer clients the best expert services, technology, and data available in the industry. Both of these acquisitions meet our criteria. With that as context, Hubbin will now walk you through the results in the quarter, and then I'll come back on and provide some perspectives on performance and strategy. Over to you, Hubbin.

speaker
Forberry

Thank you, Jim, and good afternoon to everyone on the call. Our financial performance in the third quarter was steady, underscoring the stability of our business model. Beginning with our consolidated third quarter results, pointed out and less specified, growth rates I will be referencing are on a constant currency basis. Our consolidated revenue experienced a modest increase over last year. Analytics continues to exhibit steady growth, even as we proceed through one of the slowest commercial real estate transaction levels in over a decade. Appraisals and development advisory are maintaining stable performance, and following this strong performance in the first half of the year, property tax growth slowed, but remained strongly positioned for long-term growth. Adjusted EBITDA is down 13.8%. Profit was $0.9 million, marking a 31.8% increase year-to-date, however down sequentially on modest revenue growth and higher financing costs. Adjusted EPS came in at 33 cents. Free cash flow stood at $34.1 million, our highest level on record, and represents a 96.5% year-over-year increase. and there is a function of catch-up in our KP results from our higher working capital balances in the first half with our transition to our new ERP system. We are fully operational on our new ERP system, and our record results highlight our ongoing focus on driving higher free cash flow conversion of EBITDA. Turning to our business segment performance, at Analytics, we continue to deliver top-line growth and margin expansion. Total revenue was up 4.6% and recurring revenue was up 9.2%. Growth and analytics continues to benefit from our ongoing transition to cloud subscriptions, valuation management solution asset expansion, and new bookings. Adjusted EBITDA is growing, driven by higher revenues and improved operating leverage. Our recurring revenue base continues to steadily build year over year. At $87 million and a quarter, recurring revenues were up 9.2% and now represent 90% of the total year-to-date revenues. This provides us with a stable revenue base, even in this current macroeconomic environment. As you're aware, many of our solutions are considered mission critical with relatively high switching costs. With the year-to-date commercial real estate transactions down 55% versus 2022, we are pleased with the resiliency of our recurring revenue model. We continue to invest in our business to drive operational efficiencies and build scale so that we're well positioned for when the market conditions improve. With respect to the sequential change from Q2, this primarily reflects some seasonality at valuation management solutions. Now turning to margins, we remain focused on optimizing our cost structure to drive sustainable improvements across the business. Our margins continue to expand, up 60 basis points over last year and up 480 basis points year-to-date. The improved run rate reflects our focus on achieving our target operating model across all P&L line items. Turning to property tax, Our revenue came in 4.1% below last year. The US and UK practices posted year-over-year revenue growth, offset by a decline in Canada, where the Ontario cycle selection extension is impacting growth. With the postponement of the Ontario reassessment for the 2024 year, growth in Ontario is expected to be muted through 2024. Our UK backlog of high-quality appeals continues to grow throughout the year and will drive additional revenue in Q4 and throughout 2024. Evaluation office agencies work through a bottleneck of checks and challenges associated with the end of the 2017 list. We are deploying technology from our ITAM link software to drive efficiency in the U.S. Additionally, we've increased our service delivery capacity by expanding our global service center in India. Property tax adjusted EBITDA reflects lower revenues as well as increased expenditures related to compensation and investments in our technology infrastructure to improve our property tax processes and drive future market expansion. And finally, appraisals and development advisory revenue is steady The appraisals practice was in line with last year and development advisory was nominally down. Turning to our balance sheet, we finished the quarter with a cash position of 44.7 million and with 314.1 million in bank debt. The funded debt to EBITDA leverage ratio, as defined in our credit agreement, was 2.08 times, well below our limit of 4.5 times. Applying our cash, the net debt-to-adjusted email leverage ratio was 1.98 times. As Jim discussed at the opening of the call in relation to the upcoming acquisitions of REVS and 4BURY, we have obtained a commitment from our lenders to amend and increase the borrowing capacity under the bank credit facilities as required. Regarding our capital allocation priorities, we will continue to invest in organic growth via technology, service delivery, and go-to-market investments, pay down debt, and maintain financial flexibility for M&A and stock repurchases as demonstrated in Q3. Back to you, Jim.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Thanks, Colin. The Altus team continues to improve the fundamentals of the business as we proceed through a protracted pullback in commercial real estate capital deployment. We've rebalanced investments across business units and P&L lineups. We continue to invest in improving our operations to increase productivity and drive operating leverage. Our cash flow from operations significantly improved in the third quarter with the deployment and adoption of our new ERP system. We've returned capital to investors through the repurchase of our shares as we believe our own stock represents a compelling investment opportunity. And this week's acquisition announcements demonstrate our focus on expanding core capabilities in core markets. Now, focusing back on our key performance indicators. Our ongoing transition to Argus Cloud is tracking the plan. We ended the quarter with 72% of our Argus Enterprise users contracted on the cloud, a steady improvement from 55% a year ago. The adoption percentage will move in step functions as several major clients convert to cloud in line with the termination date of their existing contracts. The cloud conversion should be substantially complete near the end of fiscal 2024. Turning to new bookings, this metric captures incremental new business growth. Unlike recurring revenue, the timing of bookings can fluctuate, particularly in this current macroeconomic environment. That said, though down from prior peaks, we're still adding new business in this market. New bookings are holding steady in the low $20 million range in line with 2021. As a matter of fact, slightly better than 2021. While there is significant cash on the sidelines that has been raised for CRE investments, bid-ask spreads are still high and transaction activity is still muted. CRE investors are still in price discovery and aren't deploying capital at the same levels as recent years. The commercial real estate industry is navigating a cycle not seen in over a decade. And now, with additional geopolitical conflicts, uncertainty remains regarding the global economy as we head into next year. Our revenue models have proven to be resilient, but organic growth is tied to capital deployment. Now, let's just discuss the REVs and formulary acquisitions with some more detail. To offer a bit more background on the two transactions, ForBerry will provide us with a CRE valuation software that addresses capabilities required in the Asia Pacific region. ForBerry is complimentary to Argus Enterprise, and the software is widely adopted in the region, serving over 200 firms and over 2,000 users. The REBS acquisition will expand our valuation management solutions capabilities and add to our recurring revenue base. REVS has been consistently growing its top line into double digits and expects to generate approximately, in Canadian dollars, $63.6 million in revenue and Canadian $19.5 million in normalized EBITDA for fiscal 23. That's based on their projections. Together, we believe we're creating a best-in-class valuation intelligence. REPS will add significant talent and with market expertise and credentialed value professionals to our team, including a sizable service delivery hub in India where we too have been growing our global service center. This will fast-track our productivity at a lower cost to serve and provide us with built-in scalability to support our existing and new clients as the market recovers. We're confident in our investment thesis on both of these acquisitions. First, we believe both will elevate the value we deliver to our clients. Second, strong strategic fit. Both are in the CR evaluation. Both in our Tier 1 geographic markets. Both have recurring revenue models with solutions that are deeply embedded in client workflows. Additionally, both businesses bring significant asset intelligence, which, as you know, is core to our long-term growth strategy to deliver advanced analytics. With the Altus Performance Platform Foundation in place, we can now more efficiently integrate new capabilities. Finally, each brings a sizable install base, the type of buyer personas we're targeting for advanced analytics. There's attractive cross-sell and upsell opportunities with both REVs and ForBerry. Post-close, our funded debt-to-adjusted EBITDA leverage ratio will be well below our 4.5% maximum capacity limit. Given the expected growth in existing strong cash flows, we have a path to steadily deliver to our target two to two and a half times range by the end of 2025. To wrap up, while we cannot control macro market forces, we are managing what is under our control. That includes driving towards operational excellence, maximizing our operating leverage, and strategically positioning ourselves for the opportunity to serve the industry with advanced analytics. Our year-to-date results in this dynamic market speak to our execution. Analytics recurring revenue is up 15.7%. Analytics margins are up 480 basis points. We're adding over $20 billion each quarter in new bookings of analytics. We're delivering on our cloud transition plans. Then at the impact of the UK annuity reset in Q2, tax is up 9.8%, and profit is up 31.8%. Our improved operating foundation sets us up for strong cash generation. This fuels organic investments as we continue to enhance the Altus performance platform, invest in Altus Labs, improve service delivery and deploy technology to improve our own processes. And it funds our capital deployment strategies, including M&A. The market will eventually turn, and when it does, it will also coincide with heightened demand for advanced analytics. As capital deployment increases, CRE professionals will need expert advice and data-driven intelligence to drive faster, better decisions. We will continue to prudently invest to capitalize on the opportunities ahead. Okay, let's open it up for questions. Operator?

speaker
Operator

At this time, I would like to remind everyone, in order to ask the questions, Press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. We will pause for just a moment to compile the Q&A roster. Your first question comes from the line of Daniel Chan with TD Cohen. Daniel, your line is open.

speaker
Daniel Chan

Hi, good afternoon. Jim, it looks like the REVS acquisition comes with a fairly sizable team. How much of their revenue would you say is tied to technology versus consulting services associated with labor outsourcing?

speaker
Jim Hannon

The REVS business is very analogous to our VMS business in analytics. So, that said, it's heavily reliant on technology. Clients have had significant input into the technology roadmap at REVS as well as in Altus. So, they are completely tied together, those two elements.

speaker
Daniel Chan

Okay. That's helpful. And it sounds like they have a lot of institutional customers. So just curious, you mentioned that you're expecting a lot of revenue synergies. Is it from new customers, complementary sets of customers coming in? Is it services? Just any thoughts on what's going to drive or accelerate some of that double-digit growth that they're already experiencing?

speaker
Cheryl

Sure.

speaker
Jim Hannon

They were exploring a similar path that we were, except that we have, as I'll describe, significantly more asset level data in Argus Enterprise, across all of Argus Enterprise. So this just widens the install base. There are complementary customer sets that the REVS team were successful in penetrating. And They've established themselves well with lenders, and the REVS team is particularly skilled at daily valuations, which is something that we do, but not at the same scale, so it's extremely complimentary.

speaker
Daniel Chan

Great. Thank you. And just one more, if I may. The recurring – the new bookings were down year-over-year. How much of that is due to strong VMS bookings in the year-ago quarter? And maybe can you just comment on how the software new bookings are holding up on a year-of-year basis? Thank you.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Right. We don't break out the bookings, you know, other than recurring. But, yeah, it's the slowdown in the capital deployment and the capital rate. So, again, CRE as an investment area continue to raise capital in Q3, not at the same pace as Q2, but there still is new capital flowing in. So that is really what's driving the bookings is as our clients take a pause and get their, you know, the significant amount of dry capital that they have on the sidelines deployed before they go raise new funds.

speaker
Forberry

Yeah, and Daniel, just maybe to add to Jim's comment, what we're really looking at this year is consistency in our bookings and the fact that we're maintaining an above $20 million range kind of demarcation. As you know, as we've talked about several times, Bookings is a creditor recurring revenue model when you have low churn, and so it's a positive indicator for us, at least in the light of the market. And in light of what we're seeing happening across the sector, we're maintaining a very consistent level of bookings.

speaker
Daniel Chan

That's helpful. Thank you so much.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Yuri Link with ConocoAugenuity. Your line is open.

speaker
Yuri Link

Hey, good evening, guys. Just back to the REVS acquisition. I mean, the last few acquisitions you've made have been very focused on bulking up your analytics and data offering. And this one, maybe I'm wrong, but this one appears to be more of a professional service business with maybe some tech. So my first question is, is there any change in strategic tact here with this acquisition? And secondly, just in terms of valuation, I mean, it seems based on what you paid for it, that would be at the very low end in terms of the valuation multiple that most people put on the analytics business. So how do we think about that going forward?

speaker
Jim Hannon

Right. The REVS business and the VMS business, the incremental contribution margin from both sides, so whether it's our legacy base or the new base, it looks at a similar profile to data analytics margins. So, these are very tech-heavy expert service businesses, which allow for significantly higher margins than other types of services business because of the amount of leverage we get out of the tech. And as we've been saying, and as the REPS team has demonstrated, There's leverage in acquiring not just wage arbitrage with a global service center approach, but really talented people in those markets to complement our teams. So it's that combination of GSD and technology deployment and that technology being embedded in the client workflows that make these businesses very sticky mission critical and high contribution margins. So for every incremental dollar, a significant amount drops to the bottom line.

speaker
Cheryl

Okay.

speaker
Jim Hannon

So, Yuri, to your point on the multiple that we paid, that's why we are we feel quite good about this acquisition. It was the right timing in the right market conditions to pick up an absolutely fantastic asset. And as far as strategic change, there's absolutely no strategic change. It's selling advanced analytics into the most sophisticated investors in commercial real estate, and that is our install base for VMS, and that is the REV's install base.

speaker
Yuri Link

Okay. How did you come across REVS? Were they a competitor? Was this a business that was put up for sale and any color on that? Was it a competitive auction type situation?

speaker
Cheryl

REVS has been a formidable competitor for years.

speaker
Jim Hannon

The teams have known each other. My team, the legacy team, has had a greatly spread for the reps team over the years. And as we said, they've been able to take parts of the market that have been complimentary to us. So we've had our swim lanes. yeah it's it's complimentary we've known the business for quite a while and they were running through uh they did run a process to sell it out of situs to carbon out okay i'll turn it over thanks your next question comes from the line of kevin with scotia bank kevin your line is open

speaker
Kevin

Hey there, good evening. Just another question on REVs. I know you run across them quite often. I'm trying to think of some of the differences, though. Daily valuation, do they target different types of CRE assets in any way, different verticals? Is there anything in their business that might you know, VMS has some seasonality in your business. Is there anything in their business model that might sort of smooth out some of that seasonality? I'm just trying to think of any other differences of them versus you.

speaker
Jim Hannon

The REPS team, it's back to the markets that they've been winning in, and pension funds is a specific area where the REPS team has been quite successful versus all this. The daily evaluation, again, is skill sets that we've been automating and that they've done a great job building out. As far as the asset types, there's overlap because we both focus on everything other than really residential, except where residential represents a commercial real estate asset thesis. But besides that, there's overlap. Our court, if we look at our top, let's say, 30 clients, and we look at their top clients, there is a different asset mix in the client portfolios. But the fundamental of performing valuations, both companies covered that.

speaker
Forberry

Yeah, Kevin, they're heavily recurring revenue model as well too that have long-term contracts with clients as well to address your issue in regards to smoothing out seasonality.

speaker
Kevin

Okay, that's helpful. Kind of to my next question, so does their recurring revenue then, like your recurring revenue is a mix of Argus and then VMS, so theirs would look, like essentially like your VMS business, what you would define as recurring revenue in that regard, correct?

speaker
Jim Hannon

Correct, which is long-term contracts. On the seasonality, the question there is, You still, like, the REVS will have a similar profile where you have your annual valuations that will provide a spike in Q4, let's say, versus a Q1. And then the second quarter, you know, the June 30th quarter, you have your semiannuals. So you can follow the quarters and see, you know, year-end, and mid-year you are going to, you know, we will have higher volumes. So as we've talked about the business, we've talked about price times volume times frequency, and frequency for both businesses increases in Q2 and Q4.

speaker
Forberry

Q2 and Q4, okay.

speaker
Kevin

And then I guess for modeling, if we're looking at that recurring revenue line that was sort of, you know, down a little bit quarter over quarter, as we think about to your next, the next point there on, on Q4, some seasonality. Does that, you know, should it pick up? I guess another way to think about this question is, is there a way for us to think about your recurring base, the split between Argus and then, and then VMS, just trying to get some comfort around, you know, sort of how to think about like a good base for the business. And then you layer on VMS on top of that. Any, any color there? Yeah.

speaker
Jim Hannon

The, the, Argus looks like a business where it's straight by month. And yeah, the Q4 is exactly the answer to the last question, which is, in Q4, we're going to see frequency spike up for VMS. The thing to keep in mind is as their seasonality rates, these are fully recurring revenue models. They do have seasonality, but the retention, the stickiness of these offers in VMS, whether it's our VMS business or the REV's new business, these are highly, highly sticky businesses with, you know, net retention rates over 100%.

speaker
Kevin

Gotcha. Okay. Understood. Just the last one for me, then, as we look to 2024 and the cloud migration, you've got about just under 30% of the way to go. How do we think about just the strict, you know, uplift just strictly from the remainder moving to the cloud in terms of any sort of pricing just before upsells or the, you know, other data analytics, you know, offers on top? Just is there any Can you help us understand how much more you could get in 2024 just on the migration of cloud alone? Thanks.

speaker
Jim Hannon

The cloud migration for a standard client, so if they're paying basic maintenance, they're We've had maintenance pricing increasing over the years. So they're probably in that $1,500 to $2,000 range per user. And the cloud will drive, again, depending on the lifecycle of the client. At this point, it'll drive about a 50% increase per user. Um, for so you mathematically, you get the 30% left, but, um. Yeah, I'm trying to not do that. We're not, we're not getting guidance for 24. so. I'm trying to get as much color on that, but obviously we, we have the. The adoption curves worked out, wouldn't cross over, wouldn't slow down in growth from cloudless. But as I said in my earlier remarks, that transition will take us all the way towards the end of 2024.

speaker
Kevin

And are the big chunkier ones closer towards the second half? Is that how to think about it?

speaker
Cheryl

Yeah, they're spread out.

speaker
Jim Hannon

There's a couple that the contract expires in 2025, but those clients are already talking to us because they're partners in their ecosystem. Most of them have moved already, so they get into compatibility issues. They can't get the same collaboration functionality that they get. If they're not, you know, if they're not in cloud, they can't collaborate with others in the ecosystem as efficiently. So, we expect that, like I said, the majority of it will be complete in 2024.

speaker
Kevin

Okay. Got it. That's helpful. Thanks a lot. I'll pass the line.

speaker
Operator

Your next question, it comes from the line of with . Your line is open.

speaker
Steve

Great. Thank you. Good evening. Lots of great color so far, so thank you. But I just wanted to follow up on a couple of things, specifically as it relates to REVs. You know, I was wondering if you could give just a little bit more color around strategically what parts of the market does REVs give you access to that you otherwise wouldn't have been able to conquer on your own given the strength of your existing VMS platform. Like, I'm just trying to understand what sort of the client crossover is, or more specifically, what part of the market you can get to. You mentioned pension funds, but I thought you already had a handful of pension fund clients already. So just hoping to get some more color on that.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Yeah. So Steve, the key takeaway here is that, as I said, our VMS business, the Rev's VMS business, Is extremely sticky because it's in the workflows of those clients. And they're building out there there. The rest team has a fantastic roadmap for technology going forward that. We'd say right now, I'd say we'd have the advantage. They're building out a platform. We're building out the APP. There's opportunity in there to converge, to get some synergies out of the two businesses. But it's some of the functionality, like we talked about, such as daily valuations, where they are ahead of us. And when you get into some of the state-run pension funds, those types of areas, the REPS team has an absolutely fantastic reputation. It's hard to displace them or overcome that on new business. And it was To the earlier question we got, given the multiple of the business and the synergies, it was the right time to try to put these businesses together.

speaker
Steve

Okay, okay. Are you able to give a bit of sense of what the revenue synergies could look like?

speaker
Jim Hannon

As we said, I'm not going to give the exact number that we've baked in to our thesis, but if you just go to our overall strategy, the advanced analytics strategy that we've been discussing is targeted at our VMS client base. Gives us a broader base to take the new capabilities that we're building and cross sell into. So this is the reps. Client persona is the exact persona prevents analytics as. separate companies we wouldn't necessarily been offering the advanced analytics uh to the rest client base although many of them are are artist enterprise clients so there's a synergy there in the office performance platform but this is all about expanding our client base so that we can bring the advanced analytics into both customer mixes.

speaker
Steve

Okay, I see. I see. Okay, thank you. And then just in terms of the funding behind the deal and just some of the math, could you just give a little bit of color or maybe something offline, but just around what kind of rate there's associated with the incremental uh leverage you're taking on and then and then do you have a number for what your proforma net at the epidemic look like i know you said it's below a certain level but i'm just wondering if you can if there's anything to be more specific

speaker
Forberry

Yeah, so we have a very strong syndicate partner group associated with our covenant. So our pricing remains relatively similar to what we have existing for the duration of our term, which again, speaks to the confidence that the lenders have in our model and the partnership that we have with them. So it was very favorable on our part to be able to maintain existing contract through the duration of the contract.

speaker
Cheryl

Okay.

speaker
Steve

And then I'm sort of pro forma not to do that. Like we're looking at a number kind of in three and a half times range. Is that reasonable?

speaker
Forberry

Yeah. As Jim mentioned, you know, our covenant allows us to go to four and a half times And even when you factor in our own working capital requirements in Q1, we're going to be well below the four and a half times. We're going to continue to have our focus on free cash flow generation. We have a very strong organic growth model. The acquisitions are agreed into our growth, and so we're going to be able to deleverage very quickly back to roughly the levels that we're sitting at now. over the course of the next 18 months.

speaker
Steve

Okay, great. And then I'm just going to shift gears entirely to tax. And just wondering if the Ontario cycle timing sort of weighed on the numbers this quarter, and it sounds like it's going to continue. Can you just remind us how big Ontario is of the tax business?

speaker
Forberry

It's about... It's a good portion of the Canada revenues, and it's a portion, at least a double-digit portion of total tax revenues. With that said, we have a position across many different provinces across Canada, which allows us to balance off the offsets that you may see in a particular cycle, but for sure it is a meaningful part of our Canada number. But we've got a very strong position in the U.S. There's a lot of white space for us to continue to grow there. And obviously, as we get deeper into the renewal, into the new cycle within the U.K., we're going to continue to build on that base as well, too. So from a portfolio perspective, despite the fact that Ontario is being pushed out, you know, we do have offsets across the portfolio that give us comfort to be able to manage it from a global tax portfolio perspective.

speaker
Steve

Okay, that's great, thank you.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Steve, the other thing we've done is our folks in Ontario have been fantastic about working across the other provinces. So as we're seeing growth in Western Canada, we've been able to accordion our resources up and down based on the cycle that any one of the provinces is in at any given time.

speaker
Cheryl

Okay, great. Thank you. Your next question comes from Alana Richard with National Bank Financial.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead.

speaker
Revs

Yes, thank you. I had a question on the bookings. Last quarter when you had the nice rebound in bookings, I got the impression here that you felt reasonably confident that the business sort of had normalized a bit. So I'm just trying to understand what has sort of happened that – We've seen a bit of a reversion in bookings. You know, I get that there's a bit of volatility, but it seems to be a bit more pronounced than we had been expecting.

speaker
Jim Hannon

I think if you go back and you look at the, my and Pavan's comments, you'll see that we, you know, there was, we think Q1 completely was an overreaction. In Q2, there was a lot of exuberance that we were absolutely saying, it's the same market, guys. And in Q3, it's the same market. There's lumpiness to big contracts in the timing so that when you do the quarter over quarter versus a prior year, right, this is kind of going back to the old world of term contracts in software. Where you, you know, boom, you'd have a big 3 year contract and you would have a big 3 year or 5 year contract and you would. That's kind of the bookings story here. We feel like we've been in the same environment since March, like, clearly March with SVD changed. the trajectory of CRE. But in Q2, we said it feels the same as it did in March, and we're saying in Q3, it feels the same. So we're in that price discovery mode. Bookings are lumpy. And That lumpiness gets masked when there's a tremendous amount of capital flowing into commercial real estate as an asset class. when there isn't a lot of new capital coming in, you can see the lumpiness a little more clearly.

speaker
Forberry

Yeah, and maybe just to add to that again, just as a point of reference, I think that it's the consistency in our bookings number that we've seen over the course of the nine months that gives us confidence that clients are still committing pricing, locking in resources for our services, and so it's really the consistency in our total bookings levels that continues to be a level of comfort. Again, in a recurring revenue model where you have a high level of client retention and you have mission-critical solutions that you're offering clients, Bookings are out of it. It's just a matter of timing of deployment. Right.

speaker
Jim Hannon

We don't publish a backlog number, but the way to academically think about this is our backlog for VMS has continued to increase nicely.

speaker
Revs

Okay, thanks. That's helpful. Obviously, we're still trying to get a better understanding of this REV business. Is there, or can you talk to any degree of, you know, customer overlap? Because obviously you've got a broad portfolio, so, and I know that, you know, part of the strategy or the revenue synergies potentially, but maybe talk about that.

speaker
Cheryl

If you're asking is there revenue breakage because of overlap, there's not.

speaker
Jim Hannon

other than Revs itself was a smaller artist client, because artist is the standard in the industry, as you know. But the client bases are very complementary. Do we have common clients? We do where we might serve different portfolios at the same client. But again, the revenue is all additive. Okay.

speaker
Revs

And then what's been sort of the growth rate of REVS over the past, you call it three or five years? I mean, can I get a run rate to get some historical perspective on that business?

speaker
Cheryl

It's double digit teams. Okay, so basically the current run rate that you published. Yep. Okay.

speaker
Revs

All right, thank you.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Clearly, like, as capital was flowing in, you know, they had peaks as well, but their business is growing similarly to ours.

speaker
spk04

Thanks, Richard.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Paul Trevor with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

speaker
Paul Trevor

Oh, thanks very much. Good afternoon. Just want to switch gears to Forbury for a couple questions. Could you, you know, there's no disclosure on the size. Can you sort of put the magnitude of it in perspective for us?

speaker
Cheryl

Yeah, Paul, it's a smaller acquisition.

speaker
Jim Hannon

It gives us a nice ARR bump, but sort of this way, it's below the materiality threshold of what we would but we would disclose.

speaker
Forberry

I think we published there about, we had counted around in the 30s, so it should be the relative size of scale, but they've got a pretty good base of clients in the Asia Pacific, Australia region that was very attractive to us.

speaker
Jim Hannon

It's a similar profile to our Rethink acquisition on the tax side.

speaker
Paul Trevor

Okay, that's helpful. We can help ballpark it. This strategy, so it gives you the Asia-Pacific footprint. How do we think about the product integration strategy? I mean, you migrate those customers eventually over to Argus Cloud. You run it separately. How do you think about that?

speaker
Jim Hannon

The APP allows us to take various applications and tie the data sets together. So where we have the data rights with clients, we will be able to ingest the data into the APP. One of the features that is made for very successful in the region is a simpler user interface. So you can think of it, AE and for very kind of like Excel, where I'm sure Microsoft can make changes to the interfaces of Excel, but you have so many users who they know how to go in and work with the application. So we're not going to be forcing clients to make any drastic changes other than through our knowledge graph technology, which we picked up with the Reonomy acquisition, we'll be able to connect the data across the various applications. For the last, I've been here now going on three years, when I came into the analytics business. Each year, we've looked at the investments required to have a fit-for-purpose product, making AE fit-for-purpose for the Australian market. And each year, we've deprioritized because ForBerry was so formidable in the region that by the time we did the development, built the functionality, built the go-to-market, got through the sales cycle, sold through Forberry, this has made tremendously more sense to just acquire the leader in the market.

speaker
Paul Trevor

That's good perspective. Just last question, just in regards to REVS, just trying to look up more information on it. Is that the same business that Citus acquired in 2014, the one that was founded in 1931?

speaker
Jim Hannon

I don't have that history at my fingertips. Sorry, Paul. As you guys can see, it's been a busy week here.

speaker
Paul

Yeah, it would have been founded about 20 years ago, but it's been in the market for about a decade.

speaker
Paul Trevor

Okay, that's helpful.

speaker
Cheryl

I'll send you the link to the website if that helps. Yes, thank you. I'll post the link.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Gavin Fairweather with Cormac Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Gavin Fairweather

Oh, hey, good afternoon. Just on RADS, curious, when you modeled it, to what extent were other kind of cost synergies between the two organizations or, you know, enhancing the margin of your existing BMS business through kind of scale and their efficiency? Like, to what part of, to what extent was that part of your investment thesis?

speaker
Jim Hannon

There are synergies, particularly in system development. As I said, some of the REV's future roadmap is absolutely fantastic. And we're looking forward to bringing that together as the REV's team was building out what they call BMS Next. And as we were building out the next generation of the BMS platform on the ATP for us. So there's absolutely synergies there. This will accelerate our GST because they, again, built a fantastic team there. So that brings us forward as far as having scalability. And we're leveraging the GST across all of our businesses. particularly the tax business has a special focus for us right now on leveraging more offshore capabilities.

speaker
Gavin Fairweather

Got it. And just a quick maybe clarification. Can you just help us understand kind of the process to close? I think you said first half of next year.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Yeah, so again, one of the things, so we have our own estimates. This deal obviously is going to need regulatory approval, so there's no joint planning that we can do with the REPS team until we clear regulatory hurdles. Even to the point where the client data We had to keep it a clean room, so where our market-facing folks and even myself and Pavan can't really rip through their client base, but our VMS team on anonymized basis was able to go through all of that. And obviously, our legal teams have been through all of the customer contracts at a named basis. But we're not at the point where we can do joint planning on synergies or go to market until we get that regulatory approval behind us.

speaker
Cheryl

Got it. That's it for me. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Christian with Ace Capital. Christian, your line is open.

speaker
spk11

Hi, good evening. I'll ask one more question on REVS. You just touched on the acquisition closing in the first half of next year. Some of the plans occur after that. But as we think about the integration, the business models, the pricing strategies, is there a big lift to get everything under one umbrella at Altus? Is that the plan to integrate branding to go to market? Or do you envision keeping the entities sort of separate, owning their own domains, portfolios for the first bit until there's a more natural sort of integration.

speaker
Cheryl

Great.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Thanks, Christian. It's again from We can't really lay out go-to-market plans or certainly are not factoring in pricing at this point until we get through regulatory approvals and then we can start looking at those types of items. What is really attractive to us again is being able to upsell

speaker
Cheryl

the REVs based with advanced analytics.

speaker
spk05

Okay, that's helpful.

speaker
spk11

And I'll ask one more question on the core business. When we think of the model, price times volume times frequency and zero in on volume there, is it safe to assume, you know, the number of assets is flattish with a lack of transaction activity or slightly down, you know, quarter to quarter or How is that trend? Is there any party to provide around that direction there?

speaker
Jim Hannon

Our number of assets are up because we do have bookings from earlier in the year and prior years that have, you know, those assets are coming online. So it's not at the same growth curve that it was over the last couple of years, but the number, the total number of assets that we're servicing in the quarter is up and on an annual basis is still up significantly. That's great.

speaker
spk11

That's great to hear.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Thanks for taking my question. Our revenue continues to grow based on prior bookings, and will continue to do so for the foreseeable future, because we are still adding bookings each quarter.

speaker
Forberry

Yeah, it's really, Christian, just to hear price times volume times frequency, there's really a frequency implication as it related to this order. Versus last quarter. First and last quarter. Correct. Correct.

speaker
Jim Hannon

Because you have the mid-year valuations that you don't get in Q3. We expect that to pick up in Q4.

speaker
Cheryl

Just from a volume and a frequency basis.

speaker
spk05

Understood. Thanks for clarifying.

speaker
Jim Hannon

So, Christian, hidden that from a different angle, when transactions aren't occurring, our clients are also not taking their asset accounts down, right? There's natural attrition puts and takes as our clients trade portfolios. But in general, this is why we use the word resilient so often around our revenue model. The clients aren't reducing artists' seats. They're not adding at the same level, but they're not reducing. We have the cloud conversion that will continue through 24. And on the VMS side, as clients hold those assets, they need valuations on them. In some cases, frequency evaluation is going up as LPs want to understand the market better.

speaker
spk05

A lot of factors at play. Thanks for all the color, and good to see volume turning in that right direction.

speaker
spk04

Thanks. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Scott Fletcher. Scott, your line is open.

speaker
Scott Fletcher

Hi, good evening. The margins at REDS look like they're strong at over 30%. Can you give us an idea of how those levels compare to your VMS business? And if they are stronger, what do you attribute that strength to, and can you replicate it going forward?

speaker
Jim Hannon

We have more scale in our business. Let me put it that way. So, our margins are a bit better. What I really focused on, what I've been focused on with the analytics business since I got here is incremental contribution margin leverage. And that's what I'm saying, when I look at that from my history and data analytics and the deployment of technology that we have, our incremental leverage looks like your standard P&L. So think about standard gross margins for a data and analytics company. That's what the VMS margin profile looks like.

speaker
Cheryl

So there's opportunities to combine, lift the margins, absolutely.

speaker
Jim Hannon

And as the market comes back, that's where we'll see accelerated marketing expansion.

speaker
Scott Fletcher

Okay, thanks. And then I just want to finish by re-asking a question earlier in the call that I think I might have missed. Can you give us an idea on a pro forma basis how much of the analytics recurring line is EMS versus the Argus Enterprise business? We'll break that up. Okay.

speaker
spk04

Okay.

speaker
Steve

all right your last question comes from the line of status again with bmo your line is open oh great i just had a quick follow-up um just in terms of the purchase price you talk about uh there's an acquisition related tax benefit um is that something you expect to realize immediately and i guess how much visibility do you have into that coming to fruition

speaker
Jim Hannon

That's a present value number that we're showing so that, you know, EBITDA is not an exact proxy for the cash flow implications of this deal, which is why we thought it was important to at least give a flavor for what the tax step-up benefit was going to be for us.

speaker
Cheryl

Okay. That concludes the Q&A session. I will now turn the call back over to Jim.

speaker
Jim Hannon

All right. Well, we appreciate everyone being on the call. It's been an exciting week here at Altus Group. For our new colleagues, I'd like to say welcome. We're really excited. We're looking forward to getting both of these acquisitions closed. Great set of questions from the analysts tonight. Thank you. And I hope you appreciate that we do have a regulatory hurdle. To clear, and then I will be able to provide additional clarity once we get past that, and we can really start joint planning with the rest team on the for very side. It's not just the recurring revenue that we picked up. It's that. Absolutely fantastic reputation in the Asia region. It's a lot of our existing North American clients have operations in that region and use Forberry. So we're really excited to pick up that team. And it's not just the financials. But it's a great product team that will complement the skill sets of the great technologists that we already have in office. So thank you very much for your time. And I look forward to speaking to all of you soon.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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