10/30/2025

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Q3 2025 ACON Group, Inc. Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there will be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Adam Bregatti, SVP, Corporate Development and Investor Relations.

speaker
Adam Bregatti
SVP, Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for participating in our third quarter results conference call. This is Adam Bregatti speaking, and joining me are Jean-Louis Servant, President and CEO, Jerome Julliet, Executive Vice President and CFO, and Alistair McCallum, Senior Vice President of Finance. Our earnings announcement was released yesterday evening, and we've posted a slide presentation on our website, which we'll refer to during the call. Following comments, we'll be glad to ask and take questions from analysts. And we do ask that analysts keep to one question and a follow-up before getting back into the queue. As noted on slide two of the presentation, listeners are reminded that the information we're sharing with you today includes forward-looking statements, and these statements are based on assumptions that are subject to significant risks and uncertainties. Although ACON believes the expectations assurance that these expectations will prove to be correct. With that, I'll now hand it over to Jerome.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thanks, Adam, and good morning, everyone. I'll now speak to ACON's consolidated results, review results by segment, and address ACON's financial position before turning the call over to Jean-Louis.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Additional information has been provided to help clarify the underlying results, excluding impacts from the fixed price legacy projects and divestitures.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Detailed reconciliation tables are included on slides 16 through 18 in the conference call presentation. Turning to slide three. On a reported basis, revenue for the three months ended September 30, 2025 of $1.5 billion, the highest quarterly revenue in ACON's history. It was up $255 million, or 20%, compared to the same period in 2024. Revenue grew across all our operating sectors with strong performance in nuclear, industrial, and urban transportation solutions. Adjusted EBITDA of $93 million compared to $127 million last year and operating profit of $61 million in the quarter compared to an operating profit of $81 million in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA and operating profit in the third quarter of 2025 were negatively impacted by $21 million in legacy project losses. There were no reported losses on legacy projects in the comparative period last year. Excluding the impacts from the legacy projects and divestitures, as adjusted revenue compared to $1.2 billion in the same period in 2024, and adjusted EBITDA as adjusted at $114 million compared to $127 million last year. Adjusted diluted earnings per share in the quarter of $0.53 compared to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.86 last year. Reported backlog of $10.8 billion at the end of the third quarter was the highest reported backlog in ACON's history, surpassing the previous record of $10.7 billion set last quarter. This level and diversification of backlog is a result of significant efforts through progressive and collaborative procurement models, and ACON anticipates a moderation in backlog growth in the near term, given the current lag of levels. New contract rewards of $1.6 billion were booked in the quarter, compared to $1.1 billion in the prior period. Looking now at the results by segment, turning to slide four, Construction revenue of $1.5 billion in the third quarter was $255 million, or 20% higher than the same period last year. Revenue was higher in nuclear operations from an increased volume of refurbishment, new build, and engineering services work at nuclear generating stations in Ontario and the United States. In industrial operations, primarily from an increased volume of field construction work in Western Canada, as well as revenue growth in the U.S. associated with the Bodell acquisition. and in urban transportation solutions primarily from an increase in mass transit project work driven by a progressive design-build transit project moving from the development phase in 2024 to the implementation phase in 2025, partially offset by a lower volume of LRT work in Ontario and Quebec as several projects near completion. Revenue was also higher in our utility operations from a higher volume of gas distribution work in Canada and electrical transmission work in the United States. partially offset by a lower volume of battery energy storage and telecommunications work. And in civil operations, primarily from a higher volume of major project work internationally, partially offset by lower weather-related volumes of road building work in Western Canada. On an as-adjusted basis, construction revenue was $1.5 billion compared to $1.2 billion in the same period last year, representing a 25% increase. New contract awards of $1.6 billion in the third quarter in construction compared to $1.1 billion in the same period last year. Turning now to slide 5, adjusted EBITDA of $88 million compared to $114 million last year and operating profit of $70 million compared to an operating profit of $90 million last year. On an as-adjusted basis, the adjusted EBITDA for the three months ended September 30, 2025 of $109 million compared to $114 million in the same period in 2024. Moving on to concessions on slide 6, revenue for the third quarter was $2 million compared to $3 million in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA in the concession segment of $15 million in the quarter compared to $22 million last year, and operating profit of $1 million compared to $5 million last year. Lower adjusted EBITDA and operating profit in the quarter were driven by lower operating results from Skyport and from lower management and development fees in the balance of the segment. On slide 7, we brought together the as-adjusted information to exclude the impacts of legacy projects and divestitures to provide insight into the underlying performance of the business. On an as-adjusted basis, revenue for the trillion 12-month period ended September 30, 2025, was $5 billion, compared to $4 billion in the same period last year. Adjusted EBITDA was $338 million for the trillion 12-month period, compared to $348 million in the prior period. For our construction segment, on an as-adjusted basis, adjusted EBITDA was $316 million for the trillion 12-month period, representing As adjusted, EBITDA margin was impacted by lower gross profit in the civil sector, driven by weaker performance on projects in the western region, and urban transportation solutions from lower gross profit on mass transit projects that are nearing completion, have been completed in the prior period, or have moved into the execution phase. Turning to slide 8. At the end of the third quarter, ACON held core cash equivalent of $21 million, which excludes the $370 million of cash representing ACON's proportionate share held in joint operations. In addition, at September 30, 2025, ACON had committed revolving credit facilities of $1 billion, of which $294 million was drawn and $4 million was utilized for letters of credit. ACON has no debt or working capital credit facility maturities until 2029, except equipment loans and leases in the normal course. ACON repurchased approximately 341,000 shares with

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Thank you, Gerald.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Turning to slide nine, ACON continues to build resiliency through a balanced and diversified work portfolio. Over the trailing 12-month period, 47% of ACON's construction revenue was generated from the utilities and nuclear sectors, and over 50% of construction revenue was derived from power-related work programs. which encompasses utilities, nuclear, and also includes power-related activities in AECON's civil and industrial sectors. Last week, Cascade Nuclear Partners, an equal joint venture comprised of AECON, Kiewit, and Black & Veatch, was selected by Energy Northwest to collaboratively complete the design, planning, and construction of the first four of the 12 XE-100 small modular reactors, or SMRs, and their progressive design-build model. The first phase of the project will generate up to 320 megawatts through the delivery of four reactors modules and will be located adjacent to Energy Northwest Columbia Generating Station near Richland, Washington State. This is one of the first SMR projects to be developed in the United States, and we are excited to contribute to its ultimate delivery while also executing on the construction phase of the Darlington new nuclear SMR project in Ontario. We are confident that these efforts position us well to further expand our nuclear business and capitalize on long-term growth opportunities in the sector. In addition, this month, Contrecoeur Terminal Contractors, comprised of AECON and POMELO, completed the collaborative development phase and reached financial close on a design-build contract with the Montreal Port Authority for the Port of Montreal expansion in-water work project in Contrecoeur, Quebec. Balancing growth and opportunity with proper risk management is key to ACON's future success. We continue to maintain balance in our construction and concession segments as we embrace new opportunities to grow in areas linked to the energy and power sectors and in U.S.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

and international markets. Turning to slide 10.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Demand for ACON services across our markets continues to be strong. With a backlog of $10.8 billion at September 30, 2025, the recurring revenue programs continue to see robust demand and a strong bid pipeline. ACON believes it's positioned to achieve further revenue growth in 2025 and over the next few years and is focused on achieving improved profitability and margin predictability.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Three-quarters of ACON's record backlog at September 30th is non-fixed price.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

This compares to just over 50% non-fixed price last year and roughly one-third non-fixed price in the third quarter of 2021. Additionally, our trailing 12-month revenue

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

was 66% non-fixed price, up from 59% in the same period last year.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

We have continued to shift the nature of our backlog and our business over time, including through more collaborative and progressive procurement models, while seeking to reduce risk in our performance and target greater profitability and margin predictability. trailing 12 months recurring revenue of $900 million at September 30, 2025, compared to $1 billion at the same time last year. Recurring revenues are typically executed on a non-fixed price basis, with the majority being over and above our reported backlog figures. Turning to slide 11, on September 2, Thomas Clochard was appointing the Chief Operating Officer role at ACON. In this role, Thomas will work closely with ACON's operational leadership teams across North America and internationally to drive enhanced operational and financial performance in the context of ACON's Safety Always structure.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Turning to outlook on slide 12,

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Revenue in 2025 is expected to be stronger than 2024 due to a record backlog of $10.8 billion. The impact of business acquisitions completed in 2024 and 2025, solid recurring revenue and a strong bid pipeline.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

ACON believes its position to achieve further revenue growth in 2026. In the construction segment,

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Demand for ACON services across Canada and in select U.S. and international markets continues to be strong, with opportunities across all sectors. And in the concession segment, there are several opportunities to add to the existing portfolio of Canadian and international concessions in the next six months.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

The Ontario government

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

recently announced the completion of the Revenue Service Demonstration, or RSD, phase for the Finch West LRT project, a crucial step indicating the system's readiness for operational lounge. The Toronto Transit Commission, TTC, is set to assume full control of the line shortly. This represents a significant accomplishment for ACON and our joint venture partners. underscoring significant progress toward completion. We want to take this opportunity to sincerely thank our teams for their outstanding dedication and hard work in reaching this very important milestone for the project. The Eggington Crosstown LRT officially began its RSD phase in October, and we are continuing to work towards project completion in 2025, alongside our client and the operator. With that, of the remaining three legacy projects, two are currently expected to be substantially completed by the end of 2025, and the final project is expected to be construction complete before the end of 2025, substantially complete as soon as early 2026. The finalization of this project is anticipated to lead to improved profitability and margin predictability. The remaining backlog to be worked off of the three remaining legacy projects was 53 million, or less than 1% of total backlog at September 30, 2025.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

We are very close and are dedicating all

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

necessary resources to drive the remaining legacy projects to completion while pursuing fair and reasonable settlement agreements with the respective clients in each case. Until the three remaining projects are complete and the related claims have been resolved, there is a risk that profitability could be impacted in future payments.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Turning to slide 13. ACON recently completed two strategic U.S.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

acquisitions, Baudel Construction and Trinity Industrial Services. Baudel specializes in capital expenditure projects across the oil and gas, mining, water and wastewater, and power generation sectors throughout the western and southern U.S. Trinity focuses on fabrication and O&M projects for industrial clients, primarily in Texas and surrounding regions. These two strategic acquisitions position ACON with a strong growth platform in the U.S., targeting high-momentum sectors such as energy, power, mining, and water in key geographic markets. Together, the transactions are highly complementary broadening ACON's U.S. presence, deepening local client relationships, and unlocking additional cross-selling opportunities. We are very pleased to welcome the employees of Trinity and Baudel to the ACON family.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Thank you. We will now turn the call over to Analyst for questions.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1 1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. To withdraw your question, please press star 1 1 again. Stand by while we compile the Q&A roster. Our first question comes from Ian Gillies of Stifle. Your line is now open.

speaker
Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

Good morning, everyone.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Good morning, Ian.

speaker
Ian Gillies
Analyst, Stifel

Good morning. I was hoping you guys could perhaps spend a bit of time talking about your capabilities in the U.S. as it pertains to nuclear, your abilities as an agnostic service provider, and how you're thinking about capturing work, whether as a prime contractor or sub.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Okay. I will check this one. I mean, broadly speaking, let's think about our nuclear sector. I mean, it's very strong. We are very happy with the performance. of this sector. You know our Canadian activity. Basically, we have a 100% market share in the rehabilitation market. I mean, the major component replacement in Canada. We are finalizing the last unit at Darlington, Unit 4. We are finalizing the second unit at Bruce out of six, Unit 3. And we have begun work in Pickering. I mean, the four units, five, six, seven, eight. In addition, in Canada, We are part of the small modular reactor alliance team with OPG. Interesting to know, all the refurbishment are CANDU reactors. This SMR is a GI-TACHI reactor. In U.S., we are also progressing in major component replacement with a few clients. We are working with the Federal Department of Energy. And you have noticed the announcement about Cascade for Energy Northwest. I mean, new class, I mean, class four of reactor, high-temperature gas cooled with peppers. It's for the first set of four 80-megawatt reaction with X energy patent. It's very interesting. You have also noticed the team. I think this is one of the strongest teams we could dream of.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Kiwit, Black & Veatch, and ACOG.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

We, at the moment, have something like 1,300 persons working for us in the U.S., related with our nuclear sector. It's not new. You remember that at the end of 2018, I mean, we acquired a small company named Wox now, EconWox. And we have been working in the past to fabricate modules for the AP1000 reactor. And another proves that, as you say, we are technology agnostic. And do GE, X-Energy, Westinghouse. So you... You have heard the recent announcements in the U.S. about the Westinghouse, the U.S. government. We are very familiar with the AP1000 due to the model we have been advocating in the past. We have a cooperation agreement with Westinghouse covering all countries about cost estimation, planning, development, fabrication support, So we are very much plugged in, too, with Westinghouse. So this is where we are at the moment. It's a very dynamic market.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

As usually, we go prudently but steadily. And I suppose...

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Your next question comes from Yuri Link of Canaccord Genuity, Inc. Your line is now open.

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Hey, good morning, guys.

speaker
Adam Bregatti
SVP, Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Hey, Yuri. Good morning.

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Can we just talk a little bit about the Western Civil contracts? I'm curious if those are collaborative in nature, and if so, can you talk about how the pain and gain sharing mechanism in those contracts is kind of working for you as you work through those difficulties?

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah. Hey, it's Jerome here. So the Western Civil, I mean, We're specifically zooming in on a handful of projects across a pretty broad portfolio across ACON. As Jean-Louis noted in his prepared remarks, the majority of the revenue that we're accruing today is based on non-fixed price, but we still have elements of fixed price in our business. And when those work well, they work well. And then when those work poorly, they can have a declining presence on our margin profile. And so these, you know, the Western Civil items under subject here are not part of this progressive or collaborative approach. They'd be kind of like more traditional or older type projects. And, you know, we've deployed teams to support and improve, you know, schedule safety and financial performance. Like we're ending the year, Like, we're near the end of the completion on these things, right? So, our hope is we'll be able to stop talking about, you know, the impact that's having on the overall margin profile and then hopefully kind of arrest the decline that we've seen and the construction as just a margin on a go-forward basis. Like, we're almost there, but, you know, until they're done, they're not fully done. But, yeah, these ones would not be part of that sector.

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

And does that contract structure reflect the fact that they were just not put out to bid under a collaborative framework? And is that more timing related before that kind of became the prevalent contracting structure?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Yes, you're right. I mean, those are rather ancient terms. almost all completed now, and the bidding structure was under a lump sum. So this is where we are with this project. As Jérôme said, I mean, we're not very happy or not happy at all with some phases of the execution, but it's just getting done and all. As I've noticed during a few times, I mean, there's not such a world as everything Lamsom is bad and everything progressive is good. We have other Lamsom jobs that give regular roundups that are progressing perfectly. So we just have to be more and more careful about any project. And we have the organization now

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, and I guess it kind of ties in with that, my next question. Your construction segment trailing normalized EBITDA margin, 6.3% TTM down about 50 beeps sequentially from Q2. Understand what's weighing on it. I get that. I'm just trying as we look to 26 and you know does that number start with a 6? Does that TTM number slide a bit more before it gets better? How do we think about the puts and takes on the underlying profitability of the construction segment?

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Ooh, tricky one, Yuri, because as you know, we don't provide guidance. Maybe I'll position it like this. Part of the change that we've seen in the merchant profile is stems from three specific factors. One is Western Civil. We've talked about it. That is transitionary, so to speak. As that completes and as we burn off the quarters where that's impacted us, we'll hope to see a return that will help create up the margins. Another aspect is in the prior periods, We were in the collaborative design phase on a lot of projects where the margin profile was more supportive. And then now we're in the execution phase. And so we're booking a ton more revenue. We don't want to lose the story here, which is when you have 20% or 25% revenue growth, that's not a bad thing for us. We're quite proud of what the teams have done here, especially in the context of effectively flat construction. and also what we're executing today in general is lower risk. And so we're taking a much more portfolio-driven approach to the way that we assess our projects with a risk-reward balance that I think is a lot more appropriate. So that doesn't answer your question at all, but that gives context to this, which is also not going to answer your question. But the view is we'd like to see – we'd like to arrest the decline in the margin profile and then start bending the curve up. I guess we do the back half of the year here, and we've got to close out these projects before we can be more definitive on it. But the hope here is we'll be able to bend the curve upward next year.

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Can you recall if Q4 of last year had better margins in civil? Like, is it a tough comp?

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah. This quarter was the toughest of all comps, right? Like, last year it was... a stellar quarter and we hope we can get back to these levels. Last year was, I think, like an okay quarter, so I think we'll just have to work at it.

speaker
Yuri Link
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Thanks, guys. I'll turn it over.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. One moment for your next question. Our next question comes from Frederick Bastine of Raymond James LTD. Your line is now open.

speaker
Frederick Bastine
Analyst, Raymond James

Good morning, guys. I don't recall you ever turning to a CEO in my time covering this talk. What made you decide to first establish that position today and second to select Thomas as your CEO?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

I'm very happy to have Thomas as a CEO, Chief Operating Officer. I've been knowing Thomas for the last 20 years. I've been working with him at Vinci. then working with him at Eiffage, and now at Acorn, he has always delivered above the target at FIXTIP. I arrived in 2018 and very quickly discovered that those legacy projects would be a major concern, and that we also had to pivot and push our client towards those progressive models, more collaborative models, I had to be myself the CEO of the company during the first years. We are arriving now at a stage where it is natural for the size of the company. We have now become a much bigger company than in 2018 for the complexity of the market and rapid changes. was now and it is the time to have a chief operating officer at ACON and because I'm working with most of my peers and sometimes competitors team, I can tell you that I really think we have one of the strongest executive team in the market at the moment.

speaker
Frederick Bastine
Analyst, Raymond James

Thanks for that, Jean-Louis. I really appreciate it. Just piggybacking on Yuri's question about margin profile, recognizing that that will inch a bit lower in, as you favor, less volatile and higher quality collaborative work, I would have expected to see slightly more operating leverage in the quarter, considering the big top-line growth you enjoyed. Was that entirely related to the lower margin in Western Civil, or is there more to it?

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

It's a component of it. It's an important component of it. The other part that I think is maybe a little bit of just construction accounting, we're in the opening phases of several large projects that were executed under collaborative models. So I'm thinking the Johnson Nuclear Project. I'm thinking of the Scarborough Project and other large projects, things like Surrey Langley Stations. And on that basis, when you're opening up a project, you tend to book with full contingency baked into your cost profile. And so the natural cadence, the way it should work in a perfect world, is as you move through the percentage completion, you look at how much contingency we'll hopefully be able to release this and then the margin profile ought to improve as you execute well through the back half of it so i think part of it is western civil part of the type of work we're doing part of it's just the phase that we're in today um and all those combined uh have resulted in what you've identified as you know a lack of operating leverage but i think Some will auto-resolve as time passes, and some will be there in its more permanent fixture. Your next question is, what's the various weighting of each component, and I'm not going to give you that.

speaker
Frederick Bastine
Analyst, Raymond James

No, I didn't ask that. Okay. But last for me, just wondering if those Bodell and Trinity acquisitions, can they be used as conduits for your nuclear activities in the U.S., or will these be conducted strictly through United Engineers? Just curious.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

No, I mean, they are not nuclear. Nuclear is a very special word, and it's our nuclear sector. I mean, this nuclear sector in the U.S. now has as boots on the ground in 15 states of the United States. Those are purely industrial. They are different companies, as I said, I mean, very complementary. Borrell may be a little more on project management, organization, and Trinity with a very efficient workshop, I mean, in Texas. They are complementary. They will serve, I mean, obviously, conventional power industry, but they will not be mixed with our nuclear group, which is Beijing in Charlotte.

speaker
Frederick Bastine
Analyst, Raymond James

Thank you for that.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Sabahat Khan of RBC. Your line is now open.

speaker
Sabahat Khan
Analyst, RBC

Great. Thanks, and good morning. Just a bigger picture question around kind of the outlook. You talked about the outlook for nuclear and construction. Can you maybe just talk about nuclear as a percentage of revenue based on your current visibility? It looks like the numbers sort of ticked higher from the low 20% to the high 20%. The backlog is very significant just overall. Maybe what does that mix look like over the next two to three years given your visibility to the pipeline? Thank you.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

I take this one.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Yes, nuclear is growing and is getting stronger. The figures you are putting in your question are the right ones. It's strong, but remember that part of our core strategy is to have our sectors balanced. I mean, we all know that construction is about size. And so we are balanced. what is sure is that Econ has dramatically changed, I mean, during the last seven years because I arrived in 2018. I mean, we're a company, something like 3 billion revenue, more than 70% in civilian pipelines, with a backlog around 4, 4.5. This backlog being more than 70% on fixed price. We are now a company that is getting around the $5 billion of revenue, more than 50% related with power, and more than 70% on non-fixed price. So this has changed the wave. I would say the major trend in construction in the market is related with power. AECON has perfectly with agility being able to adapt to serve this market. So the demand, the future demand is huge in power in generation and in transmission and distribution. So in generation, everybody is speaking about AI data center, but it's not only AI data center. I mean, you have also a lot of conventional data centers. But it's also growing in transportation, I mean, public transportation, private transportation. It's growing, I mean, in buildings. I mean, more and more heat pumps are getting installed. It's growing in factories. You have more and more digital factories that are requiring more and more electricity. So you have probably noticed that the vocabulary changed from sustainability to energy transition and then to electricity transition. electricity addition. I mean, even if it's only half of the projected figures between 2025 and 2035, it's still huge. This is for the generation and for the grid, it's even more important. We know that more than 40% of the grid infrastructure, I mean, are have gone there at the age, I mean, they are at the end of life or have already passed the end of life. So there's a huge work to do there and we are perfectly positioned for that.

speaker
Sabahat Khan
Analyst, RBC

Great, thanks very much for that. And then just looking over to the concession side, there's some commentary in the material here that you are looking at options to maybe add to that portfolio. Is that just referring to the project that you're sort of working on or? Are there other opportunities to get involved with concessions outside of what we know already? Thanks.

speaker
Adam Bregatti
SVP, Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Yeah, for sure. The U.S. Virgin Islands airport redevelopment projects are squarely in that camp. We're hoping to get those done as soon as we can. Still in the collaborative phase, which, again, as you know, is helpful because we're working collaboratively with both the clients, the airlines, the authorities to make sure we've got the right structure and plan in place. So that's taking the time it needs to get to opportunity. So there's always a few things on the go there.

speaker
Sabahat Khan
Analyst, RBC

Great. And then just last one for me on the recurring revenues. It's been a side of the business that's been growing for some time, just on an LTM basis, looks to have moderated. Are you just sort of between projects? Maybe just talk about the opportunity set on the recurring revenue side. That's it for me. Thank you.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, it's just a slide down in some of the progressive design phases where that's more of like a service happy with the level and the growth profile that underpinned it. Almost everything we see there today is going to be in utilities. We strengthened also MSA-based work across nuclear and industrial. We're feeling good about the recurring revenue programs. Just as a reminder, almost none of that stuff touches our backlog. It's book and burn as we go and underpinned by MSA. It's a good business. It's a growing business. the markets were re-operated to help support us as that business continues to grow.

speaker
Sabahat Khan
Analyst, RBC

Thanks so much.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Benoit Poirier of DesArgenes. Your line is now open.

speaker
Benoit Poirier
Analyst, Desjardins

Yes, thank you very much, and good morning, everyone. Jean-Louis, when we look at the backlog, it's now a record level with still many opportunities ahead. Could you talk maybe about the bidding pipeline and maybe the ability to flex up resources in order to sustain upcoming growth?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

As you say, our backlog is record at 10.8, plus the one billion of recurring revenue, I mean, that we don't enter in those figures. How is the pipeline looking like? Strong. In Canada, you heard about all what we call those sovereignty projects. I mean, it's a little more than 100 billion during the next five years. So we cannot dream. I mean, it's not going to be five years. It may be 10 years or 15 years. But even with this, I mean, those are very big amount. and infrastructure, where ACON is strong. As I told you before, the power sector is also going very strong. Are we ready for this? Yes, we are, because this is part of our job at the executive level to recruit, to train, 35, I mean, internally or people, or to make acquisition. I mean, it's not, I hope it was not a surprise for you when we invested last year in United. I mean, because with United, we now have a grip on a group of highly professional engineers related with power. A point that could have been of concern was the nuclear in Canada, and OPG has been extremely smart, I mean, to say the tickering, not too early, not too late. I would say not too early because most of our people were in Darlington. Not too late because those people could go in the United States or in other places to work because they have a very good track record of refurbishment on time and budget. So I would say those major refurbishments require a lot of people. It's going to be a smooth transition. translation of our skilled people from Darlington to Pickering. For the rest, I mean, we are ready. We are ready for what is coming.

speaker
Benoit Poirier
Analyst, Desjardins

Okay. And my follow-up question, when we look, you've been quite successful to diversify away from fixed price. Now, if we look at non-fixed price contract, 60% of revenue, 75% of backlog. How do you see the mix evolving in the next few years? And now that the business has been reshaped nicely, do you see an opportunity to maybe go back smoothly and more fixed price? How do you see the mix evolving between the two going forward?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

It was a decision and a commitment to our shareholders in 2019. to really shift the profile of ACON in terms of fixed, non-fixed. So we inverse more or less, I mean, where we were, 35% non-fixed to 65% non-fixed. This being said, I repeat, there's not such a world where everything fixed is bad and everything progressive is good. I mean, so it will probably stay around this, but in some occasions, I mean, where... we can find some lump sum job with the right size, the right client, and where we have excellent core competency in working on lump sum is not bad. So I would tend to say we want it to be where we are now and we are happy about it. It may fluctuate a little and this is the way we can see the future. I mean, we still have quite a number of progressive design build. I mean, either in development phase or in execution. For example, there are two we don't speak that much about, which is the Red River wastewater plant in Winnipeg or in the Buffalo Pound in Saskatoon. Those are progressive jobs and development and construction phase. So it's more or less the trend.

speaker
Benoit Poirier
Analyst, Desjardins

Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from Krista Friesen of CIBC. Your line is now open.

speaker
Krista Friesen
Analyst, CIBC

Hi, thanks for taking my question. Maybe just to follow up on margins, just as we think about 2026 and beyond, how much should we be considering your overall mix and how that's evolving with utilities business and nuclear, for example?

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

We should be considering it.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Both of those businesses... have margin profiles that reflect the competitive position that we hold in the market, the investment that's required. Remember, utilities tend to have a higher margin profile because there's a fairly significant investment in equipment required. Think bucket trucks, directional drills, like when you see storm response and see the pictures of dust dozens of vehicles lined up with crews working through the night to get power back on. Those trucks need to be paid for on the CapEx line, and so the margin profile needs to reflect it. So I would say that that's likely going to be a factor. However, on the same side of the consideration box, we have work that we're doing where we're being a lot more thoughtful in the margin that's required and the balance that we place in the other sectors. The industrial team does extraordinary work. Their work is in demand. Civil, a lot more things in the nature of tunneling or foundations work. That comes with a strong market profile as well. So I wouldn't say like this is like one side of the house will do kind of like an exceptionally high number. Another side does like something much more poorly. I think it's just more variances around the mean that we're thinking about here. But on balance, in our view, are ones that also come with strong margins. And we have a return on capital void model where we allocate capital to the groups that perform best.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

And so I think it's on us to make sure that we continue to feed the beast where it's performing best.

speaker
Krista Friesen
Analyst, CIBC

Okay, great. And then just on the nuclear business, specifically in the US, as you think out the next couple of years, how do you feel about your capacity and And how much of a priority is it for you to grow your capacity in the US? Thank you.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

We are growing our capacity every month. I mean, in the US, as I say, we are now working in 15 states. We have more than 1,300 people. I think we have very good teams, teams that we have been able to attract. uh an acorn that we're used to work together that are perfectly known by the big utilities uh so i would tend to say so far so good uh i'm happy with the team and the performance of the team i'm also very happy about the the strength uh of the cat group i mean as i say with black and rich and acorn our partnership with Kiwis that we initiated in Canada is just growing nicely, and that's good for us in terms of predictability of our successes in the future.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Thank you. I'll jump back in the queue.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Michael Tupholm of TD Cohen. Your line is now open.

speaker
Michael Tupholm
Analyst, TD Cohen

Thank you. Good morning. As a follow-on to some of the earlier discussion about nuclear, evidently ACON has been very active in the sector for many years, has a very strong resume. I'm wondering if you can speak to the competitive landscape in the U.S., including specifically to what the nuclear skill set among your other contracting competitors in the US looks like in nuclear.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Basically, Mike, as I used to say to my team, there's no free lunch anywhere in the world. What is sure is that we have grown very seriously and steadily our works acquisition. We have been able to attract the right teams and For example, if we speak about the major component, refurbishment, you will probably remember that everything will stop in U.S. during the COVID, and it's just starting now. But we have a lot of lessons learned, a lot of capacity from Canada that we can also push there. So this gives us definitely a kind of competitive advantage because we have been doing those refurbishments, I mean, for the last seven years. now and with a lot of success. In new build, as I've already said, I mean, there's no way we're going to go alone in new build in the U.S. And this is why this partnership, this CASCAP partnership, I mean, is quite good for us. So, yes, it is competitive, but there is a high demand, I mean, from the utilities for new work and refurbishment work. We are happy to have grown during the last years and now to be ready for the patterns.

speaker
Michael Tupholm
Analyst, TD Cohen

That's helpful. Thank you. John, just to clarify, the 1,300 employees working in nuclear in the US, these are ACON employees as opposed to employees that are spread across a joint venture that would involve other contractors? These are specifically your employees?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

There are ACON employees. Energy Northwest has been disclosed last week. We are just beginning to ramp up there. On the other job, we are working alone at the moment. Those are major component refurbishment, all working for the Department of Energy and the Federal.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Part of it is going to be Engineers United. Part of it is going to be full-time staff. Part of it is going to be Craftsman. obviously they would have labor and specialized components.

speaker
Michael Tupholm
Analyst, TD Cohen

No, that's perfect. And I guess what I was hoping to understand, in addition to clarifying that, was how does that compare to the similar number of people or comparable number of people you'd have in Canada right now?

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

It's about a third. Okay. Like a third of the overall, like at the headcount, is based in the United States.

speaker
Michael Tupholm
Analyst, TD Cohen

Gotcha. Okay. And then just one last one. In the outlook commentary you provided, common commentary around your expectations for further revenue growth in 2026, which I don't think should come as a surprise to anybody, but nevertheless, that's new commentary. And I guess I'm just wondering if you can talk a little bit about how you're thinking about 2026, what you see as the key drivers to the revenue growth you expect, any sort of additional detail you can provide for us on that front.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, I'll tackle that one. That's informative. It's based on the backlog that we have in front of us, right? We provide a breakdown of the overall backlog in our materials, and just on the kind of raw facts of $3.7 billion in the next 12 months of hard secure backlog, roughly a billion dollars. The other step backlog is we, you know, it's kind of a secure, you know, we're going to talk to patients, so additional, then if we have, you know, change orders under, you know, negotiation, or we have, you know, we're going to select a subject, you know, and tell us, and we won't put anything in there, and obviously we have enough to understand. I think it's probably just people understanding, you know, are we basically cresting and then going to slide back down, or have we built enough resiliency in the enterprise and think it's really the latter.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Okay. Thank you very much.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, to ask a question, you will need to press star 1-1 on your telephone and wait for your name to be announced. Our next question comes from Maxim Sychev of NBCCM. Your line is now open.

speaker
Maxim Sychev
Analyst, NBCCM

Hi. Good morning, gentlemen.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Good morning, Max. Good morning.

speaker
Maxim Sychev
Analyst, NBCCM

Jean-Louis, just wanted to go back to Nucleus for one second. I mean, given the fact that all the new builds are on a collaborative basis, do you mind maybe providing a bit of a range of potential outcomes just in terms of, you know, how we should be thinking about sort of the upside slash downside handicap on the execution stage of these very large projects? Thanks.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

You are speaking about construction in general, not nuclear.

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

Yes, I mean, it seems obvious now from the past experience that every new build in nuclear is going to be on a progressive basis. Nobody really wants to come back to new build and lump sum. So this gives, I mean, obviously more predictability. All those contracts usually are structured In the same, there is a development phase that can be something like two years. At the end of the development phase, you agree with your client on a target. Then you have a system of deadband, but then you have pain share and gain share. We limit the pain share. I mean, we don't want this to be open-ended, I mean, obviously, so that the margin, I mean, as a as a floor in case there is a pain. So all this makes it a more, I would say, a more predictable and obviously much less risky market. But as I tend to say too, I mean, no free lunch. I mean, we are not the only one trying to offer our capacity. What is true is that we have begun to run probably earlier than anybody else in North America.

speaker
Maxim Sychev
Analyst, NBCCM

And the floor would still imply a positive EBITDA margin, or does it crest kind of below zero?

speaker
Jean-Louis Servant
President and CEO

No, I mean, it's not going to be below zero. I mean, the floor is positive. I mean, it's positive. I mean, this is the end of the pain share. What I say is that we have usually the pain share. We don't accept pain shares that are opening just in case.

speaker
Maxim Sychev
Analyst, NBCCM

Makes sense. Thanks so much for clarifying. And then just a couple of quick ones for Jerome, if I may. So, I mean, on legacy fixed price projects, we already booked kind of $125 million based on sort of the envelope you telegraphed. So, does it mean that, you know, we're sort of done in terms of taking kind of the mark-to-market, or is there still, based on your prepared remarks, some potential, you know, spillover effect depending on how these projects land? I just want to clarify the language exactly. Thank you.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, there's still risk there is the short answer. But I'll also note that it took eight questions before we got to the legacy project. So it feels like we're starting to turn the page. Absolutely, yeah. So look, Finch, as I only mentioned, Finch successfully completed RSD, Eglinton's being worked on, the other project we have, construction completion this year. We're getting there, but until they're done, there's still risk associated with these. Schedules can slip, things can happen. We also need to reach commercial and dispute resolution with our clients with regards to claims. And so I think what we're trying to effectively do is really starting to narrow the outcomes. But you're right to note that we've effectively – we're at 124 or 125 now, and there's still additional risk associated with it. So we don't want to say we're done because I don't think that's a fair representation. If we knew we had more now, we'd just take it, but I don't know. things can change. So, we just got to work through it.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

And we are working through it.

speaker
Maxim Sychev
Analyst, NBCCM

Okay, makes sense. Do you mind just, in relation to concessions, because, again, you are in the development stage of a number of things, and I think the contribution in Q3 was a bit stronger than we expected. How should we think, I guess, about Q4 and maybe 2026, if you can provide any, I guess, parameters there that would be super helpful? Thanks.

speaker
Jerome Julliet
Executive Vice President and CFO

Yeah, so... On the concessions front, a couple things. One is the business in prior periods was supported by some revenue programs associated with the actual construction and management fees being earned on the legacy projects. As that falls away, I think we'll enter into a more normalised environment. So we're now kind of trending down to that level. There's probably more to go and then there'll be a view as to trying to stabilise that out. So we're basically replacing these management fees that are being charged with just more normal O&M style programs. So that stabilizes out the way the future airport additions could work. That would obviously be at some point EBITDA additive to the program, but we likely need to get to the finalization of the commercial terms on that USCIF project to understand the quantum and when that would realize. And then, you know, as Adam mentioned, part of our capital allocation model is we do look at additional opportunities within the concession platform we take kind of this uh the way our head of concessions describe its economics view and so we try to understand you know the impact from concessions on a pure returns basis and it needs to meet our hurdle rates and then in association with that we also have you know benefits on on the construction side of the house where um you know we can basically uh provide effectively a full uh a full destructibility package to clients so um you know it's a broad picture but you know as you noted it's the downtrend is likely to continue just as these legacy projects roll off.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Yeah, yeah, absolutely. Okay, that's great. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

This concludes the question. The Asian SVP of Corporate Development and Investor Relations for closing remarks.

speaker
Adam Bregatti
SVP, Corporate Development and Investor Relations

Thanks very much, Corinne, and I appreciate everyone's attention and participation today. We're happy to take any follow-up questions that you have. Just feel free to reach out.

speaker
Slide Facilitator
Presentation Coordinator

Have a great rest of your day, and go Blue Jays.

speaker
Conference Operator
Operator

Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This does conclude the program. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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