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CGI Inc.

Q42020

11/11/2020

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the CGI fourth quarter and fiscal 2020 conference call. I would now like to turn the meeting over to Mr. Yagi, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Mr. Yagi.

speaker
Mr. Yagi
Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, Julie, and good morning. With me to discuss CGI's fourth quarter fiscal 2020 results are George Hindler, our President and CEO, and François Boulanger, Executive Vice President and CFO. This call is being broadcast on cgi.com and recorded live at 9 a.m. Eastern Time on Wednesday, November 11, 2020. Supplemental slides, as well as the press release we issued earlier this morning, are available for download along with our 2020 MD&A, financial statements, and accompanying notes, all of which have been filed with both CDAR and ADGAR. Please note that some statements made on the call may be forward-looking. Actual events or results may differ materially from those expressed or implied, and CGI disclaims any intent or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. The complete safe harbor statement is available in both our MD&A and press release, as well on CGI.com. We encourage our investors to read it in its entirety. We are reporting our financial results in accordance with International Financial Reporting Standards, or IFRS. As always, we will also discuss non-GAAP performance measures, which should be viewed as supplemental. The MD&A contains definitions of each one used in our reporting. All of the dollar figures expressed on this call are Canadian, unless otherwise noted. So with that, I'll turn it over to Francois.

speaker
François Boulanger
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thank you, Mayor, and good morning, everyone. Let me start by acknowledging that today is Remembrance Day in Canada and in many countries across Europe, as well as Veterans Day in the U.S. I want to recognize all those who have served or are serving in the defense of their nations. Thank you. So let us now go to the Q4 results. Despite the widespread disruptions that the pandemic has caused to world economies, Our results in the quarter demonstrate the resiliency of CGI's business model and the value that we provide to our clients, helping them emerge stronger from this very difficult period. Overall, we are pleased with our fourth quarter results underpinned by strong bookings, profitability, and cash generation. Revenue came in at $2.9 billion, down 1.1% when compared to last year and representing a constant currency decline of 4.5% year-over-year. IP as a percent of revenue was 22% in the quarter, up from 21% in Q3. Revenue increased in transaction-based IP for trade, collections, and insurance, partly offset by lower volumes in our IP engagements related to areas affected by the pandemic, such as lower payroll volumes and travel restrictions. We booked a healthy $3.5 billion in new contracts in Q4, or 119% of revenue, with particular strength in North America. This demonstrates the value of our services despite the pressure on world economies. Adjusted EBIT in Q4 was stable from the year-ago period at $458 million, while EBIT margins increased to 15.6%, up 10 basis points compared to Q4 last year. The year-over-year increase was mainly the result of lower SG&A discretionary expenses, synergies in our infrastructure business, savings from our restructuring plan, and $8.5 million related to IFRS 16. Restructuring expenses were $84 million in the quarter as a result of actions taken in response to the pandemic as we outlined in Q2. We do not expect additional restructuring related to the pandemic at this time. Our effective tax rate in Q4 was 25.4% or 25.5% when excluding non-deductible restructuring expenses. This compares with 25.1% last year and was within our expected range for the year. Net earnings were $252 million for a margin of 8.6%, and diluted earnings per share were 96 cents. Excluding integration and restructuring costs, Earnings were $318 million for a margin of 10.9%, and diluted earnings per share were $1.22 compared to $1.21 in the same quarter last year. We are especially pleased with the continuing trend of strong cash generation. In the quarter, cash provided by operating activities was $492 million, or 17% of revenue, representing an increase of $87 million compared with Q4 last year. This improvement was driven by lower DSOs coming in at 47 days compared to 50 days in the same period last year as a result of better collections and a positive impact from the adoption of IFRS 16. Net debt to capitalization decreased sequentially due to strong cash generation from 28% in Q3 to 24% at the end of September, offering us increased flexibility to execute our build and buy strategy. Turning now to our fiscal 2020 full-year results. Revenue was $12.2 billion. On a constant currency basis, revenue was stable year over year. Bookings for the year totaled $11.8 billion, or 97% of revenues. Our global backlog remained healthy at 1.9 times revenue, or $22.7 billion, the vast majority of which are comprised of long-term managed services engagements. Adjusted EBIT was $1.9 billion, representing a margin of 15.3% for a full fiscal year, up 20 basis points from last year. Then earnings were $1.1 billion for a margin of 9.2%, and diluted earnings per share were $4.20. When excluding acquisition, integration, and restructuring-related expenses, net earnings for the year total $1.3 billion, and earnings per share were $4.89, 19 cents higher than last year, representing growth of 4%. For the full year, operating cash flows were $1.9 billion, or 15.9% of revenues, an improvement of $305 million versus $1.6 billion last year. Throughout fiscal 2020, we made a number of accretive investments, $315 million back into our business, $267 million in acquisitions, and we invested $1 billion repurchasing 10.6 million CGI shares. Looking ahead, we plan to utilize our strong cash position to drive growth in the business. At our disposal are $1.7 billion of cash on hand and a $1.5 billion revolver, which we will use to drive investment in our internal IP, M&A, and share buybacks. With 23 active discussions ongoing and others in the pipeline, we continue to engage with potential M&A targets in order to accelerate both our metro market strategy as well as potential transformational acquisition opportunities. Now I will turn the call over to George to provide more details on the operations, our strategy, and on the outlook for our business and markets.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

George? Thank you, Francois, and good morning, everyone. I would also like to begin my remarks today by recognizing the men and women serving in the military around the world. Thank you for your service and sacrifice. Now I'll turn to CGI's performance for the fourth quarter. Our agile operating model, locally empowered leaders, and global alignment on key priorities has enabled us to protect and preserve shareholder value, despite the continued disruptions created by the pandemic. In the quarter, we delivered on key short-term priorities for sustaining value, including expanding our margin, generating superior cash, maintaining incumbent work, and growing share with enterprise clients. We now see increased client demand materializing in most geographies, The actions we have taken over the last few quarters will enable us to rapidly meet this demand and achieve our plans to return to revenue growth by the second half of this fiscal year. In the quarter, margin expansion was delivered through a combination of operational excellence and business mix. We further reduced discretionary SG&A costs and generated savings from the permanent restructuring actions taken over the last two quarters. As Francois mentioned, these actions are now completed and behind us. Therefore, we expect net earnings to increase on a go-forward basis. The continued shift in the business mix towards longer-term, higher-margin recurring revenue also contributed to the strong bottom line. Managed services now accounts for 56% of total revenue, expanding steadily throughout the year and in line with our projections of renewed client demand for these services. Intellectual property, including SaaS-based solutions, also increased year over year. We generated strong cash from operations, in large part due to lower DSO. This lower DSO is a result of the shift in mix to more managed services and also reflects the value of the services to our clients and the quality of our project delivery. As we shared earlier this year, this financial strength anchors CGI's resilience. And we maintained our incumbency and grew our share with enterprise clients, Representative Wins in the quarter included a new project with a global retailer where CGI's team of proximity-based, onshore, and global delivery consultants will help advance the client's U.S. digital roadmap. A large smart city digitization program for the city of Edinburgh that builds on our existing managed services agreement and expands on it to now include machine learning solutions, advanced analytics, and Internet of Things services. and a new engagement with one of the top five automotive manufacturers in the world to deliver robotic process automation solutions that will optimize hundreds of processes and reduce costs across their enterprise. Now let's review the Q4 regional performance highlights. I'll start in North America. In the U.S., Q4 revenue grew year over year, and bookings were up 40% compared to Q3. reflecting our ability to bring solutions to help clients navigate these dynamic times. Overall, revenue and bookings were strong across all industry sectors this quarter, particularly in government at the federal, state, and local levels. In Canada, revenue and margin were impacted temporarily by the effects of the pandemic, primarily within the financial services sector and in the transaction-based payroll services IP business. Clients, however, reiterated their confidence in CGI through awards of key opportunities, driven by new initiatives in the financial services sector, resulting in a book-to-bill of over 100%, the highest level of Canadian bookings this year. Increased technology intensity in all industry sectors across North America is driving client demand for our end-to-end services. Automation and platform-related services are in particular demand, and are fueling increases in the North American pipeline of opportunities. Moving now to the U.K. and Australia. The team again delivered strong bottom-line results and a book-to-bill of 122%. While revenue is down in the quarter, our pipeline of opportunities continues to be significant, driven by the strength of our work for existing clients in government, national critical infrastructure, and the space sector. Our public sector market leadership position was recently highlighted as the Scottish Borders Council, CGI, and Apple were honored for our public-private partnership. Together, we are creating a world-class digital learning environment for students to reduce inequality, improve academic performance, and boost student employability. And now moving to the rest of Europe. Across Western and Southern Europe, the follow-on economic effects of the pandemic continue to impact our revenue and margins. The SG&A reductions we initiated last quarter enabled us to mitigate the full impact of this disruption to our business. In Central and Eastern Europe, our actions in the last few quarters, as well as strengthening demand from clients, enabled us to improve our margins year over year despite declines in revenue. And in our Northern Europe segments, we again experienced lower client spending for our higher-end consulting and advisory services in the quarter. Importantly, our restructuring actions initiated last quarter have enabled us to adjust to the changing client demand. As a result, we are seeing strong trends in our pipeline compared to this time last year. Despite the renewed pandemic-related shutdowns in some European geographies, we continue to have productive discussions with clients as they reassess their operations and consider ways to rebound post-pandemic. In fact, our pipeline continues to increase, up 20% year-over-year in Europe, based on the relevance of our end-to-end portfolio services. And finally, in Asia Pacific, we delivered double-digit revenue growth with improved margin, demonstrating the resiliency of our global delivery services model and the quality of our Asia Pacific delivery team. Across all geographies, we continue to see increased levels of client demand for CGI's global delivery model, which balances offshore, onshore, and nearshore options for our clients. Turning now to fiscal year 2021, we informed our annual plan from over 1,400 client conversations with an objective to build on our strong foundation and focus on those priorities that will generate new value for all stakeholders with growth through both build and buy. In these planning discussions, each of our stakeholders reiterated that technology is now core to how organizations create value for their customers and shareholders. Response to the pandemic has accelerated this by creating new consumers across every generation now having digital-first expectations that clients must aim to meet. We continue to see tremendous opportunities to help clients transition their quick response digitization efforts into meaningful and sustainable enterprise outcomes. For some, These initiatives will help drive revenue growth, and for others, will help them achieve immediate cost savings. We expect many clients to seek to achieve both of these objectives using a percentage of the cost savings to fund customer-oriented digital initiatives. We firmly believe that the three fundamental shifts in client demand that I outlined last quarter will drive CGI's return to profitable growth. These opportunities include enabling our clients to achieve business agility, to adapt to the future of work, and to reinvent their technology supply chains. These three shifts will continue to generate client demand specifically for managed services and intellectual property. We see this trend in our pipeline, with over 50% comprised of managed services opportunities. In addition, our IP pipeline is up 25% compared to this time last year. While the rebound timelines and business objectives will vary by industry sector and organization, Our diverse presence across the government and commercial sectors in every region positions us well for these three opportunities. Industries that have faced significant hardships like transportation, manufacturing, and oil and gas are now turning to us to help them manage costs and enable resiliency. Although their spend continues to be constrained, we are helping them through our managed services, business continuity, and automation offers. We now see cautious investments returning in other commercial sectors, like communications and media firms, utilities, and even some retailers, as they look to accelerate digitization, rebalance their IT supply chains, and leverage cloud and automation to increase their business agility. We saw a particularly strong trend in our Q4 bookings across financial services, as more banks and insurers resumed some investments in digital channels and technology modernization. And lastly, The government and health sectors have maintained high levels of demand over the last several quarters, as both sectors have been at the heart of the needed support to citizens and societies. Our government clients' confidence in CGI resulted in strong bookings and healthy revenue growth in these sectors year over year. To summarize our fiscal year 2021 plans, we remain committed to executing our strategy through a balance of build and buy growth, while maintaining our focus on creating incremental shareholder value. We plan to accelerate our buy strategy given the strength of our operational readiness and financial capacity. As Francois outlined, we are actively assessing a growing pipeline of potential mergers and are well positioned to move quickly with discipline on the right opportunities. As always, our capital allocation approach will be prioritized to drive profitable growth. Specifically, we will continue to invest back into our business, including in people, IP, and managed IT services contracts. Fund our buy strategy, both transformational and metro market mergers, and buy back our stock to increase returns to our shareholders. In closing, we remain optimistic as we begin our new fiscal year. Our confidence is rooted in our strong positioning strategically, operationally, and financially. CGI has a legacy of resilience. and our strategic aspiration remains to double the size of the company over the next five to seven years for the benefit of all our stakeholders. Thank you for your continued interest and support. Let's go to the questions now.

speaker
Mr. Yagi
Vice President, Investor Relations

Just a reminder that a replay of the call will be available either via our website or dialing 1-855-859-2056 and using the passcode 563-1496. until December 11th. As well, a podcast of this call will be available for download within a few hours. Follow-up questions can be directed to me at 514-415-3651. And operator, we're ready to take questions.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Thank you. At this time, if you'd like to ask a question, press star, then the number one on your telephone keypad. And your first question comes from the line of panels with BMO Capital Market. Please go ahead.

speaker
BMO Capital Markets Analyst
Analyst

Hi, good morning. Hi. George, with Europe entering new lockdowns, how should we think about the near-term trajectory of the era? Could that lead to some near-term revenue pressure, or have people adjusted to remote working to the extent that that shouldn't necessarily be a headwind short-term?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, it's more the latter, Thanos. Clients are reacting very differently now, seven to eight months into the pandemic. They're more prepared. They also recognize the need for technology. And as a result, even with some of those rolling shutdowns that are occurring, we're seeing very few delays, many new initiatives actually continuing. And specifically, you know, it's interesting, in the European clients, the domestic business does take a bit of a hit due to the shutdowns, but our enterprise clients, many are seeing increasing demand in Asia, which they didn't see the first shutdown because Asia was still in lockdown. So, for example, the auto manufacturers in Sweden and Germany, luxury retailers in France, defense manufacturers across Europe, are all seeing increasing earnings, and that's good because that drives some investments. So we're seeing a very different reaction. And the same thing we're seeing in Canada. Manufacturing, financial services, I said in my opening remarks, we're seeing those actually new starts coming up. So despite the obvious health crisis, we are seeing a different reaction this time around, and I don't think it changes anything, which is why you heard some of the confidence in my remarks.

speaker
BMO Capital Markets Analyst
Analyst

And then I think you very often get this question heading into a new fiscal year, so I'll ask it. Just given what you're seeing in the pipeline and some of the puts and takes, would you see a path to double-digit organic EPS growth this year, or might there be some issues that would be that challenging?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, our plans are always to create shareholder value, and so our plan is always to generate that double-digit earnings per share growth growth. in the new fiscal year.

speaker
BMO Capital Markets Analyst
Analyst

Okay, and then one for Francois. Would you be able to quantify the level of government stimulus or wage subsidy contribution in the quarter?

speaker
François Boulanger
Executive Vice President and CFO

Sorry, I missed the start of the question, Tana.

speaker
BMO Capital Markets Analyst
Analyst

Yeah, would you be able to quantify the level of government subsidies or stimulus contribution in the quarter?

speaker
François Boulanger
Executive Vice President and CFO

Well, not more than the months or quarter before, not on the P&L at least. You know, we're in some places we have some breaks on some of the payments, on some of the taxes, especially in Europe, on the payroll taxes. But outside that, in the P&L, nothing out of the ordinary versus the other years.

speaker
BMO Capital Markets Analyst
Analyst

Great. Thanks for the pathway. Thanks, Niles.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Leonard Richard with National Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Leonard Richard
Analyst, National Bank

Yes, thank you. So as we look out to next year, trying to be an optimist here, if we see kind of a rapid snapback in terms of activity, let's assume the vaccine is out earlier, could you guys sort of handle that situation? increase in volume under the current operating structure, or would you need to sort of bring on more people? I'm just trying to figure out how much operating leverage is in the model if that were to happen.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, no, I think I understand the question. Right now, we are planning and expect for continued positive trends as we move through the quarters here next fiscal year and And we even saw that as we moved through the last few months with positive trends in utilization and other key metrics. But it's been a more steady increase. I think your question is, what if there's a more immediate snapback? You know, we already are having some very, very strong pipeline of new hiring that's going on, and I think that's a good positive. I think we'd be able to accommodate, because remember, a lot of our larger managed services deals, we actually bring people on board from our clients, and so that's an automatic where we can meet the demand, and so I would see more of that occurring as well. Okay.

speaker
Leonard Richard
Analyst, National Bank

So we're prepared. Okay. And with respect to your comments on second half pickup next year, I'm assuming that's organic growth, and Can you maybe give us some color in terms of the type of projects that are going to be scaling in that back half? Are those the ones that really you don't need to be on-site as much or the nature of those type of deals?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, well, as you're aware, the whole world has kind of navigated this and pivoted to being able to work some remotely. We've always done some of that through our global delivery model where we have onsite, offshore, and then, of course, the nearshore in between. So I would expect the projects actually to run the gamut, and we're seeing that now. We're seeing systems integration and consulting projects kick off that have cloud migration and enablement, RPA automation, as I mentioned, one of the new wins recently. with the automotive manufacturer, rationalization and modernization, even DevOps and agile methodologies. So we have about 12% of our people on site now. It actually had reached 20% before some of the shutdowns. So I think it's all of the above. Simplification of IT supply chains, some of that, those larger deals, yeah, some of that's done more remotely through global delivery anyway. And then our IP platform, we kind of call them business platforms as a service. Those are driving some of that growth as well. So, again, a lot of positive signs, but it's really the end-to-end services, I would say, that is what we're seeing right now, Richard.

speaker
Leonard Richard
Analyst, National Bank

Okay. And just one last quick one for me. You seem to be a bit more focused on the acquisition side relative to previous quarters. Is that because valuations are starting to come in or – Maybe you can give us a bit of color on that. That's it for me. Thanks.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, well, you know, in the initial response to the pandemic, there were a lot of economic stimulus payments going out to some of the smaller and medium-sized private companies. So they kind of didn't want to move until they understood that landscape. Of course, we wanted to be cautious as well. Yeah, we see that now playing out. Those companies now actually are more motivated, given what's happening in the marketplace. And I would say that those midsize metro market private companies, the valuations are starting to settle and the expectations are starting to settle. Of course, in the public companies, it's still more volatile up and down, and so we'll have to see there. But our financial capacity, and I think the other element there, which is our operational readiness. We really focused on the fundamentals, got the restructuring behind us, So we're well positioned both financially and operationally.

speaker
Leonard Richard
Analyst, National Bank

That's great.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Thank you.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Thank you. And your next question comes from Jason Kupferberg with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Kupferberg
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, guys. I just wanted to start with a question on the bookings in the quarter. Obviously very strong. Looked like it was tilted a little bit more towards renewals vis-a-vis newer than what we've seen historically. But was hoping maybe you can unpack the bookings numbers for us a bit and highlight some of the particular areas of strength that you saw. And I'd love to just hear your general thoughts about that. translating backlog to revenue feels like some of the trends there in the industry are a little choppy right now. So the bookings are a great leading indicator for sure, but just wanted to get your take on conversion to revenue and what that's looking like in your portfolio.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah. So you're right in your assessment that a lot of this is with our existing customers. Not all renewals, though, right? Some of it's add-on work on top of those renewals. And that, actually, to your last part of your question, bodes well because translating backlog to revenue on a booking where you're already working with the existing client and it's just an add-on, some of that work can happen very quickly. And we're already starting to see some of that and some of it are trending. As I mentioned, our utilization has increased throughout the years. throughout the quarter and some of it's related to some of those bookings that occurred throughout the quarter. Nice to see that we are seeing some additional new starts on the financial services side and specifically there, some of that's being driven by our intellectual property. Again, if I just use financial services as an example, wealth IP coming in North America, payments IP in Europe, our trade IP and collections IP globally. So our retail 360 IP, particularly with our new METI merger with some of their IP, is driving some nice bookings. And again, a lot of that is with their existing customers, existing clients, and so that will translate, I think, a little bit faster than the completely new starts. But our pipeline is full of new clients as well. Those tend to move a little slower. But again, we see positive traction in every geography around the world.

speaker
Stephen Lee
Analyst, Fremont James

Okay.

speaker
Jason Kupferberg
Analyst, Bank of America

And then just a revenue question. So here in the quarter, you were down 4.5% in constant currency. I wanted to get a sense of just how that compared versus your expectations. And do you think that this ends up being the trough quarter, and we start to see some reacceleration in the first quarter of 21 as you proceed towards the goal of getting to positive growth in the second half of fiscal 21?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, no, it is what we expected. So because there's a lag in getting some of those projects to start back up, as I mentioned, we see some positive signs, particularly in some of the weaker areas. like I mentioned in the manufacturing specifically, as well as retail, if you take out the MRD just as an industry from those Q4 numbers, we're approaching flat for the quarter over quarter. So that gives you some ideas, so that's why I highlighted some of those as manufacturer's do better and do some of those new starts. Some of the luxury retailers, like I mentioned, given the strength now of the Asian economy, that bodes well for us to continue to move through there. But the bookings and the translation, as you asked, and then those utilization and, you our open position and our hiring in a lot of places. So all that is going to drive as we move through the months and quarters. So it's a long way of saying, yeah, I think we've reached the trough. And I just wanted to give you some color on why we think that and what are some of those positive signs.

speaker
Jason Kupferberg
Analyst, Bank of America

Very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Yep. And your next question comes from the line of Deepak Koshal with TIFO. Please go ahead.

speaker
Deepak Koshal
Analyst, TIFO

Oh, hi. Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Just a couple of follow-ups, George. You talked about strength in the Asian markets. I'm just trying to understand. I can understand how it's translating into improved business for European and North American companies that export into those markets. What are the activities for you guys in terms of local business there and local delivery in that theater? And what's the strategy for that area? Yeah.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, so no, the way we're approaching those markets are not domestically. We're approaching them through those enterprise clients that you just mentioned. So if that market is stronger for, like I said, an auto manufacturer in Sweden and Germany, and they're selling more cars in that market, they're making more investments in their operations in Germany and in Sweden. Same thing for the luxury retailers, et cetera. So we're applying to the domestic markets in Europe and North America, but helping those enterprise clients drive growth in the Asian market. So that's why I mentioned that as an important difference from the first wave of the pandemic.

speaker
Deepak Koshal
Analyst, TIFO

Got it. And so when we think of your five-year plan to double the business, is there a piece in there that involves increasing local sales? Asia-Pacific business or even a return to local Latin American business? I'm just trying to understand what the global strategy is outside of the traditional markets.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah. Well, if you look at the global strategy and really the strategy of CGI as we built the company has always been to merge with like-minded companies that have a presence and understanding of a local market. It's hard to break into a market on your own, and so it would be through that merger and acquisition process. So, and it would probably be in a more transformational. We wouldn't look to necessarily buy a metro tuck-in in one of those domestic markets because that would be counter to the strategy. It would be more of buying a transformational way into one of those markets. And And there it's always looking for the right company at the right time at the right price. But, again, a lot of the enterprise clients will come with some of that work, and that will then follow our clients and their clients into those markets.

speaker
Deepak Koshal
Analyst, TIFO

Got it. And then the last follow-up, just on that basis, when Francois mentioned the 23 companies in the pipeline for M&A, is this kind of global merger type of, idea included in that pipeline, or is this the outside of that immediate pipeline?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

That pipeline right now is mostly on the metro market tuck-ins, but we – so those active ones are mostly in the metro market tuck-in. That does not mean that we're always having discussions and looking at the transformational, but that's not really included in the 23.

speaker
Deepak Koshal
Analyst, TIFO

Okay, got it. Well, thank you for taking my questions. I'll pass the line. Sure. Okay, thank you.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Stephanie Price with CIBC. Please go ahead. Good morning.

speaker
Mr. Yagi
Vice President, Investor Relations

Hi, Stephanie.

speaker
Stephanie Price
Analyst, CIBC

I just wanted to chat a bit on the SAP Outlook a few weeks ago. The company noted an accelerating shift to the cloud with its ERP clients. Just wondering, in terms of CGI, if you could comment on the cloud vendors you're working with the most and how you kind of think about that cloud opportunity over the next couple of years.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, well, as always, we like to stay focused partner agnostic and really make sure that we're providing the best advice to our clients. So the reality is we're working with each of the major cloud providers, helping our clients in their efforts in cloud enablement and cloud migration. So there's not any one. We do have a renewed interest in working with the platform providers, whether it's SAP Salesforce or any of the others in helping our clients best use those platforms. And then, like I said, using our own IP as kind of business platforms as a service, so as a complementary element to that. So we're very active in that market, but, Stephanie, true to our values and our client-first approach, we're working across all of those partners.

speaker
Stephanie Price
Analyst, CIBC

Okay, that makes sense. And just switching over to the U.S. government, just in terms of the government transition that's going on, can you talk a bit about what you usually see in the near term as these transitions kind of go through?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, yeah. So as you might expect, our U.S. team is well prepared and always is looking at the elections as an opportunity to help in the transition. And that transition, we're preparing for this regardless because – There's always a transition that occurs, even if the administration stays, there's always a transition. And I might also add, it goes on at all levels of government. So it extends to the state and local government space. So what we typically see is there's a little slowdown in the bookings, why it was so important for us to increase and bring a lot of those bookings into Q4 ahead of the elections. But usually the transition happens fairly quickly, and as you're probably aware, most administrations have, you know, here's our priorities for the first 100 days. That always requires technology changes as we continue to become more and more dependent on technology for implementing any of those programs. So we're very close to it. and working at, like I said, at every level of government.

speaker
Stephanie Price
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Thanks so much.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from the line of Stephen Lee with Fremont James. Please go ahead.

speaker
Stephen Lee
Analyst, Fremont James

Thank you. Hey, George. Just wanted to revisit your remark about revenue growth in the second half. This is positive organic growth you're referring to or just overall revenue growth?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Well, it's both. I'm talking about organic revenue growth and M&A growth. So it would be both.

speaker
Stephen Lee
Analyst, Fremont James

Okay. And what happens in the first half if we get a vaccine early? Can you also see organic growth in the first half?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, that's why I said buy the second half. We can't predict the exact pace of this. You know, the vaccine... From everything I read, it's going to be a process. So I don't think it's going to be you just turn it on and things happen quickly. But we can't always predict sentiment, and certainly if our clients and that growing pipeline that I mentioned materializes faster, then there's certainly growth will follow. So we'll be staying very close to that, and certainly we'll accelerate if our clients accelerate. Okay, that's helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Yep. And your next question comes from one of the MSLs with Barkley. Please go ahead.

speaker
MSL Analyst
Analyst, Barkley

Hi, thank you for taking my question this morning. I wanted to ask you a question about the impact of the pandemic and kind of the virtualization of the workforce and how that might in turn impact the sort of metro market strategy, which if I understand correctly is sort of based around you know, proximity. Is there any, has there been any rethinking of that strategy or have you seen any impact on the efficacy of that strategy just based on folks working from sort of wherever relative to being embedded potentially like on site in those metro locations?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, no, it's a good question. And as you might imagine, we're focused and very close to that. But, you know, the reality is that although we're very focused and it's one of the the three fundamental shifts that I mentioned in the remarks is really the future work. What we're actually seeing is that as that future work goes to maybe a slightly more remote, permanently remote workforce, it also is providing opportunities for technology to automate more, quite frankly, and make it easier for that workforce to work remotely. Having said that, what we see around the world that the key decision makers are, in fact, back at the office. Most of the CEOs that I speak to from my office are actually at their office. They recognize the importance of having people working together. And so I think what you're going to see is a hybrid model, and so there's opportunities for technology to help the remote workforce, but the proximity model of being close to the decision makers is especially given some of the importance and complexity of the work that we do for clients that technology enables. We don't see a change in that at this point in time.

speaker
MSL Analyst
Analyst, Barkley

Okay. And then a follow-up from me is, could you give us an update on the recent acquisitions, both in terms of the performance and also just any color around cross-selling or cost synergies or anything that may be still benefiting the company as we head into fiscal 21?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, yeah, no, it's a good question. Definitely, if you start with the most recent, the TerraThink merger in the U.S. federal business has been instrumental in some of their growth. And as you saw, they're continuing to grow and had very strong bookings. And that gives us a new channel. So we're seeing opportunities to expand on the work that they're doing. Likewise, we're seeing that with the MIFI intellectual properties. I mentioned that got folded into our Retail360. That's been very fundamental to some of the work and the rebound rate we see on the retail side of the house in France and across Europe, where we now can go full end-to-end from the front office to the inventory in the back office. especially with the remote work that's going on now. That's been fundamental to some of the strength as we go forward. The media work with CISIS, and quite frankly, all of the work we're doing in the space sector, which has been part of the driver for not just the revenue but the margin growth that we're seeing across Europe and in the U.K. So CISIS is going well. Sunflower has been fully – been integrated into our government ERP momentum. And we had, I think I highlighted this a couple, a quarter ago, we saw some wins that wouldn't have happened. They couldn't have done it on their own, but being part of momentum, we had the vehicle to allow that to happen. So that's just a nutshell of some of the more recent mergers. I think I have told you, and we tracked this for Our own board of directors, the performance has been pretty strong, both top line and bottom line, keeping clients but then expanding on those clients as we move forward. Probably the one that's been a little bit more difficult is the Ocando merger. Just given the nature of the work they did coupled with the pandemic, given some of that consulting and advisory services, A lot of those projects were delayed. Having said that, we've re-pivoted those individuals into some of the larger managed services opportunities, given their deep industry knowledge, and actually has positioned us very well. And then we did do one in Canada, Traymore, and that's been very successful as well in helping us navigate some of the new project starts that we have in Canada. So it's been pretty impactful, and that's why we're very interested now with evaluations maybe looking a little more attractive and given our operational readiness and financial capacity to continue to accelerate them.

speaker
MSL Analyst
Analyst, Barkley

All right, terrific. Thanks so much.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Yep. And your next question comes from the line of Daniel Chen with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Daniel Chen
Analyst, TD Securities

Hi, David. If we look at your mix of managed services, like you mentioned, the bookings and the revenue mix from there continues to improve. Just want to confirm that this is a result of a lot of the deals that you had. You said these can take a little bit longer. Just want to make sure that these are some deals that you saw over the last year or two and just starting to materialize. And then as we expect that mix to improve, should we expect margins for fiscal 21 to continue to improve from the current levels? Thanks.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, so a lot of that, I think I mentioned before, those larger deals don't happen overnight. It's a slightly longer period of time to close those deals. And so the good news is we were working on these, preparing for this market 12, 18 months ago, and some of those are those kind of deals. But, you know, they all work at different paces, and so sometimes – a deal comes to us and moves through the process more quickly. The good news is we have double-digit opportunities of these types of larger managed services deals in every single geography in which we operate right now, and so that's the positive. So we continue to follow the, you know, build the pipeline so that we have a consistent deal opportunity set that we can close in any one quarter. Oh, the margin part of your question. I forgot about the margin part of your question. So, yes, as I've always mentioned, the reason we have a 70% managed services, 30% SINC, and 30%, which you saw we also increased by 1%, our intellectual property as a percentage revenue. That gives us the ultimate revenue mix. As we approach that, we should continue to see margins increase as we move through that process.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

And your next question comes from Rob Young with Canaccord Unity. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rob Young
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Hi, good morning. Maybe just a follow-on question to the last one there. the growth that you're expecting to see return in the second half, it seems to me that might be shorter-term consultative type of business. And so could you find yourself in a situation where you've got strong shift toward managed services, but then the buoyancy of return of the shorter term?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yes, yes. The pipeline is up in both managed services, which are very instrumental, but it's also up in systems integration and consulting. So that will help Voya because, you know, we're coming from a market where it was a lot more on the SA&C side. I think we're going to see now we're moving into that managed services side, but the goal is to have both firing, and I think we're moving into that type of a market, which should be good from a growth perspective.

speaker
Rob Young
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

One of the things I think that a Democrat government, if that happens in the U.S., would be potentially an expansion of H-1B visa and maybe some change in immigration rules. Is there any thoughts there on how that might change your view on the local delivery model?

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

No, not really. Less than 10% of our workforce right now works in a visa, so we're close there. given, you know, the various policies that are going around there. I think in any case, our onshore delivery centers expect to be in demand across the U.S. I don't think our proximity model changes much. And of course, we always have that global delivery model, which is in higher demand. And that's why you see the double digit increases in our India operations on revenue, even as we're going through the pandemic. So, So we think we have a very strong offering in the U.S. regardless.

speaker
Rob Young
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay. Last one for me, maybe a little higher level. In the prepared remarks, you mentioned retail just as one of the areas where you had seen some strength. So just one of the areas that seems to be very strong investment-wise technology is the shift towards e-commerce. And so I was just wondering if you could give some highlights on where CGI plays there and whether that is a driver for you.

speaker
George Hindler
President and CEO

Yeah, well, the short answer is yes, it is a driver, and that's why I highlighted one of the new wins was absolutely to help a global retailer get their U.S. e-commerce platform right. And it extends beyond, though, just the ordering. It goes straight through to the delivering, which is where the Menti software is helping us significantly. So we play across the entire spectrum from the front end, straight through to the fulfillment end. Thanks. Yep.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

Again, if you'd like to ask a question, press star 1 on your telephone keypad. And your next question comes from with Desjardins. Please go ahead.

speaker
Desjardins Analyst
Analyst, Desjardins

Yes, good morning. Thanks for taking my question. Maybe one for Francois. In terms of working capital, I don't think we should expect a similar boost in fiscal 21 We expect maybe a more stable working cap. And related to that, would the $1.9 billion cash generated from operating activities be a good run rate estimate for next year?

speaker
François Boulanger
Executive Vice President and CFO

Thanks for the question. As for the working cap, you're right that we had a boost on the working cap by $200 million if you're looking at the financial statement. And, again, that was helped by the fact that we were pretty good this year to reduce the DSO. from 50 days to 47 days. So that was a great achievement by the team to be capable to continue to collect and even reduce the DSO year over year. That said, you know, we're still expecting next year to be, you know, in the high, you know, at least 1.7, 1.6, 1.7, and perhaps even more cash from ops before working cap. And after that, depending on the working cap, can even be higher than that. So we're still very bullish on the fact that we will be capable to generate a lot of cash next year.

speaker
Desjardins Analyst
Analyst, Desjardins

Okay, thanks. And maybe could that prompt you to resume NCIB activity?

speaker
François Boulanger
Executive Vice President and CFO

We are, yes. We are looking at it. If you saw, we did some share buyback even in the October timeframe. and we will look to see how we can come back on the NCIB pretty soon. You'll see that. Thank you.

speaker
Mr. Yagi
Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning. We'll see you for our first quarter results of 2021 in the next year. Thank you all. Thank you. Thank you.

speaker
Julie
Conference Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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