11/5/2025

speaker
Operator

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to Maple Leaf Foods' third quarter 2025 financial results conference call. As a reminder, this conference call is being webcast and recorded. Please note that there will be a question and answer session following the formal remarks. Instructions for participating in the Q&A will be provided following the conclusion of the formal presentation. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Omar Javid, Vice President of Investor Relations at Maple Leaf Foods. Please go ahead, Mr. Javid.

speaker
Omar Javid
Vice President, Investor Relations

Thank you and good morning, everyone. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that some statements made on today's call may constitute forward-looking information, and our future results may differ materially from what we discuss. Please refer to our third quarter 2025 MD&A and financial statements and other information on our website for a broader description of operations and risk factors that could affect the company's performance. We've also updated our third quarter investor presentation to our website. As always, the investor relations team will be available after the call for any follow-up questions you may have. With that, I'll turn the call over to our president and CEO, Curtis Frank.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Omar, and good morning, everyone. It's great to be with you today to share our third quarter 2025 results. Joining me on today's call is David Smales, our chief financial officer. I'll first speak about the business developments from a strategic and operational standpoint, then Dave will provide a more detailed summary of our financial results, and I'll return with a short summary to close out our call here this morning. This quarter marks a historic moment for Maple Leaf Foods. On October 1st, we completed the spinoff of our pork operations into Canada Packers, one of the most significant portfolio transformations in our company's history. Canada Packers is now an independent public company focused on delivering premium, responsibly produced pork to the world. Maple Leaf Foods now operates as a purpose-driven, protein-focused and brand-led consumer packaged goods company with a bold vision to be the most sustainable protein company on earth. We will maintain a strategic relationship with Canada Packers through a 16% ownership stake and an evergreen supply agreement will ensure long-term security of high-quality, sustainably raised pork supply. Before diving into our business commentary, I want to take a moment to acknowledge and to thank the entire Maple Leaf and Canada Packers teams who have executed with focus and resilience during this period of intense business transformation. I'm incredibly proud and grateful for their dedication, passion, and living expression of our Maple Leaf values. We also wish the Canada Packers team continued success as they prepare to host their first earnings call as an independent public company a little later this morning at 9.30 a.m. A transaction such as this naturally introduces some additional complexity to our financial reporting for this particular quarter. The third quarter represents the final period in which Maple Leaf Foods will report total company results for our pre-spinoff combined business. that are inclusive of the pork operations. Accordingly, David and I will speak to the total company results, which include Canada Packers, as well as to the continuing operations of the CPG business, which exclude Canada Packers. Additionally, we have provided pro forma financials for Maple Leaf Foods going back eight quarters to support comparability and transparency as we transition to our new reporting structure. Given the increase in financial reporting materials, our goal is to keep the key messages clear, simple and focused on what matters the most. To that effect, four headlines serve as our key takeaways from our quarter. First, we delivered another very strong quarter of results for the total company, highlighted by exceptional top line growth and significantly improved profitability year over year. Second, our year-to-date total company performance through the end of Q3 was firmly on a run rate to deliver in line with our previously announced full year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $680 million to $700 million. Third, the composition of these results inside the quarter played out a little differently than we had anticipated, given a rapid and sustained increase in raw material markets. This dynamic benefited profitability in our pork operations, while driving input cost inflation and short-term margin pressure in our CPG business. And finally, we remain on strategy, and we are tracking well against our priorities for the year. Underscoring the strength of the quarter was total company sales growth of 8%, and adjusted EBITDA increasing 22% to $171 million. Our adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 140 basis points to 12.6% as compared to 11.2% last year. Our continuing operations also delivered solid results with 8% sales growth and 110 basis points of adjusted EBITDA margin expansion to 11.1%. We continue to view our 8% revenue growth, more than 2x the CPG market growth rate in Canada, and 3x the CPG market growth rate in the US as an exceptional outcome that underscores the resiliency and the durability of our proven growth strategies. This momentum also drove market share gains in prepared meats, plant protein and poultry, led by double digit growth in our prime poultry sustainable meats brand. That said, while we delivered year-over-year margin expansion from an EBITDA perspective in our continuing operations, we also experienced short-term margin pressure on a sequential basis, driven by the rapid and sustained increase in raw material markets that I noted earlier. During the quarter, when compared to Q2, key inputs such as pork trims increased by over 70% in a very short period of time. It is quite normal in these periods of rapid inflation to experience temporary margin compression due to the lag time in flowing through price increases to recover costs. These situations are common in CPG and we know how to respond effectively. In response, we are taking decisive actions to mitigate these effects and to improve profitability looking forward. Firstly, To address the input cost inflation, we have initiated pass-through price increases in the CPG business. Given the timing of these inflationary impacts and the extended lead times required by retailer policies for all CPG companies during the holiday season, these price increases will fully materialize in the first quarter of 2026. Second, with the spinoff now complete, we are advancing the next phase of our Fuel for Growth initiative. Last week, we announced a second wave of SG&A reductions designed to streamline operations, enhance cost discipline, and align resources with our strategic blueprint. These changes are now being implemented across several areas of the business, including manufacturing, and will result in a leaner organizational structure and further cost efficiencies in 2026. And third, with the separation of Canada packers, our previous natural hedge against rapid fluctuations in pork markets is no longer available. As you know, all CPG food companies experience some degree of quarter-to-quarter margin movement, the driver of which is simply normal lag times in executing pricing action, which can vary at certain times of the year and in certain market segments. Going forward, we believe we will have to modify the tools we use in an effort to reduce that quarter-to-quarter movement as much as possible. Our continued success as a purpose-driven, protein-focused, and brand-led CPG company will depend on the disciplined execution of our proven growth strategies. These include investing in our portfolio of leading brands such as Maple Leaf Schneiders, Greenfield, and Maple Leaf Prime, to grow the core business, leveraging our leadership in sustainable meats, expanding our geographic reach into the U.S. market, plugging what makes Maple Leaf unique into our customer strategies, and accelerating the pace of impactful innovation. On the innovation front, this was an especially exciting quarter as we once again demonstrated our capability to shape the next generation of Maple Leaf brands and products. We were very pleased to announce the launch of two meaningful new brands, Mighty Protein and Moussaphir. Mighty Protein positions Maple Leaf to leverage the growing protein moment that is upon us, offering healthy, high-protein fuel on the go. Consumers are seeking lean, nutrient-dense, complete protein in convenient formats, and that is exactly what Mighty Protein delivers. It is a poultry-based, high-protein meat stick providing 12 grams of complete protein per serving with only 110 calories. It is gluten-free, sugar-free, and made with poultry that is raised without antibiotics or added hormones. Mighty Protein will be available in three distinct flavors across major mass retail, online, and convenience channels. Mustafir, which means traveler, expands our presence in the frozen food section of the grocery store with South Asian-inspired protein-forward dishes designed for today's busy households. South Asians represent Canada's largest and fastest-growing demographic, and millennials and Gen Z are driving escalating demand for global flavors and convenient meal options. Moussafir offers a variety of globally-inspired flavors in familiar formats and ready-to-eat meals, including vegetarian and poultry-based options such as burgers, nuggets, and savory bites, all prepared with traditional ingredients. Together, Mighty Protein and Musafir demonstrate the strength of our innovation engine and the momentum behind our CPG growth strategy. As we said last quarter, we are not only brand builders, we are brand creators. Greenfield and MENA have proven this approach, and Mighty Protein and Musafir represent the next step in that journey. These new brands, alongside over 50 products that we have launched this year, exemplify our commitment to translating consumer insights, disciplined execution, and our unique capabilities into compelling growth platforms for the future. With the historic transaction complete and a strong financial and strategic foundation in place, our focus now turns fully to the future. While our previous consolidated 2025 guidance no longer applies following the completion of the spinoff, our 2025 priorities are clear and remain unchanged. We are focused on delivering strong revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth, generating healthy free cash flow, and using it to strengthen the balance sheet. We are not providing updated guidance for the remainder of the year, as that would imply quarterly guidance. However, we do plan to update our long-term guidance framework in the months ahead. As a diversified protein CPG company, armed with a bold vision to be the most sustainable protein company on Earth and supported by thousands of passionate Maple Leaf people, we have never been better positioned to take on the future. Leading in protein, one of the most attractive segments of the global food market, which continues to grow at approximately two times the rate of population growth, provides us with tremendous strategic opportunity. As we look ahead, we are ready to capitalize on this growing consumer demand for protein. We operate in a large and expanding total addressable market, and our strong portfolio of leading protein brands is our advantage. We've established proven revenue growth platforms Our margin expansion program is well underway, and we remain differentiated by our bold vision and our clear focus on shareholder value creation. It's an exciting time at Maple Leaf Foods. With that, I will now pass the call over to Dave to walk you through the financials.

speaker
David Smales
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Curtis, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin with a brief overview of our total company results. before turning to a discussion of continuing operations, cash flow, and balance sheet. On a total company basis, sales were $1.36 billion, an increase of 8% compared to last year, while adjusted EBITDA increased by 22% to $171 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin improved by 140 basis points to 12.6%, compared to 11.2% in the third quarter last year. A strong top and bottom line performance for the total company was driven by robust profitable growth in both our CPG business and pork operations compared to a year ago. As Curtis noted, the overriding factor in the quarter for total company results sequentially with the benefit to pork operations from strong market conditions while the CPG business experienced the opposite side of this through higher raw material input costs in prepared foods. Turning to continuing operations, sales were $1 billion, an increase of 8% compared to last year. Prepared food sales increased by 5.3%, driven by the impact of inflationary pricing taken earlier in the year, along with improved product mix in the quarter. In poultry, Sales were up 15.7% due to improved channel mix with growth in both retail and food service volume, as well as pricing impacts. Adjusted EBITDA for continuing operations increased by 19% to 112 million in the quarter versus the third quarter of last year, with adjusted EBITDA margin improving 110 basis points to 11.1% compared to 10%. profitability improved in both prepared foods and poultry, supported by favorable mix, efficiency gains, and the benefits from the investments in our London Poultry and Bacon Center of Excellence facilities. These gains were partially offset by input cost inflation in prepared foods, including a 40% increase in pork belly prices and a 50% increase in average pork trim prices versus the same quarter last year. This resulted in a timing impact on margins in the quarter due to the standard lag required to execute appropriate pricing actions. To address this, we have initiated price increases with benefits expected during the first quarter of 2026. SG&A for continuing operations increased by 4.7 million in the third quarter compared to last year, driven by higher variable compensation costs. partially offset by a higher level of consulting fees incurred in the third quarter last year. Earnings from continuing operations for the quarter were $23.3 million, or $0.19 per basic share, compared to a loss of $1.8 million, or $0.01 per basic share, last year. After removing the impact of the non-cash fair value changes in derivative contracts, startup and restructuring costs and items included in other expense that are not representative of ongoing operations, adjusted earnings for continuing operations represented 21 cents per share for the quarter, compared to a loss of one cent per share in the third quarter of 2024. On a total company basis, capital expenditures totaled 27.8 million for the quarter, compared to 25.8 million in the third quarter of last year, and $77.7 million year-to-date compared to $65.6 million last year. Total company free cash flow was $46 million in the quarter and $378 million over the last 12 months, reflecting the robust performance of the business and disciplined capital spending and following on from the $385 million generated in full year 2024. This strong free cash flow momentum was reflected on the balance sheet with total company net debt ending the quarter down by 242 million versus a year ago to approximately 1.35 billion and down from a peak level of 1.8 billion during our large capital project investment phase. In line with our stated priorities, our leverage ratio remains well within an investment grade range. with a total company net debt to trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA ratio of two times at the end of the quarter compared to 2.1 times at the end of the second quarter of 2025 and 3.1 times a year ago. Upon closing the spinoff on October 1st, Maple Leaf repaid $389 million of debt. We also remain focused on disciplined capital allocation executing on our NCIB in August to repurchase approximately 250,000 shares. And yesterday, Maple Leaf declared its fourth quarter dividend. When combined with the dividend announced by Canada Packers yesterday, the total exceeds the pre-spin quarterly dividend paid by Maple Leaf Foods and reflects our prior commitment to the first post-spin dividends that Maple Leaf and Canada Packers combined would be at least equal to the dividend level immediately prior to the spinoff. I'll now turn the call back to Curtis.

speaker
Omar Javid
Vice President, Investor Relations

Okay, thank you, Dave.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Before we move to questions, I want to take a moment to bring it all together. This was truly a historic quarter for Maple Leaf Foods. We successfully launched Canada Packers as an independent public company, and at the same time delivered another very strong quarter of results. Our combined third quarter performance for the total company, 8% revenue growth and over 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, reflects the continued strength and the resilience of our business. In our continuing operations, we have achieved 8% year-to-date sales growth, a 26% increase in adjusted EBITDA to $358 million year-to-date, and a 180 basis point improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin to 12.3% year to date. That's an outcome we are all proud of, especially given that our sales growth is materially outpacing the North American CPG market, and our margins continue to show strength relative to our protein industry peers. We're also fully aware that we have work to do to recover the sequential margin pressure we experienced this quarter, and we are taking decisive and proactive actions to restore that momentum. Stepping back, the big picture is clear. We are on strategy, we are executing against our priorities, and we are building momentum for the future. Lastly, I want to thank the entire Maple Leaf team for their dedication, resilience, and hard work. Delivering a major spinoff, strong financial results, and two new brand launches all in one quarter is an extraordinary accomplishment and I couldn't be more proud of what we've accomplished together. With that, operator, please open the line for questions.

speaker
Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star key followed by the number one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a prompt that your hand has been raised. Should you wish to decline from the polling process, please press the star key followed by the number two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, while we assemble the queue. Your first question comes from Mark Petery of CIBC. Please go ahead.

speaker
Mark Petery
Analyst, CIBC

Yeah, thanks. And good morning. Maybe first, just on the top line strength, we saw some sequential deceleration in prepared meats, but acceleration in poultry. Could you just give some color on that? How much of that is pricing? And then maybe just some detail on sort of the volume and mix components.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, for sure. Good morning, Mark.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thanks for the question. We were, as I noted in my comments, especially pleased this quarter with the sustained top line growth that we experienced, you know, relative to our CPG peers in North America, relative to our, you know, our pure protein peers continue to see a very, very solid outcome at an aggregate level. It was a function predominantly of positive mixed benefits. and price. Recall that we took some level of pricing in Q2. Turned out that wasn't adequate. We have to take some steps forward, obviously. And also, the volumes were relatively flat, but important to note inside of that that our branded volumes were quite positive. You noted in prepared foods that the prepared meats component has slowed, and there's a couple of important nuances inside of that. Prepared foods includes our prepared meats and our plant protein business combined, now that we've consolidated a plant protein. And we actually saw what I would, you know, what we view as pretty strong growth in the prepared meats business on the top line. I grew at almost 6%, which implies double digit declines in plant protein in line with the category. And that's kind of exactly what happened. So, you know, very strong growth on the prepared meat side as well at nearly 6%. In poultry, you would have noted in our supporting materials that the revenue growth was in and around 16-ish percent. And that's really a function of the positive benefits of the London poultry investment really starting to shine through in a material way. Operationally, everything's obviously on track. It's been an incredible startup. We're through that phase. And the ability now to get more product into a value-added tray with a brand on it is really showing through in Better Mix. We did have increasing allocations as poultry demand continues to be strong in the Canadian market and allocations are growing alongside of that. So that drove some positive volume impact. And then we also saw the benefits of our sustainable meats business. Our prime RWA brand in particular was quite strong in the quarter. We saw, you know, double digit growth in the sustainable meats component of poultry. which was also positive and you know you could do 16 maybe structurally as a little on the high side but there's no question that poultry continues to be a growth category for us and one that's very positive so all in all uh it was a really a really great outcome on the top line yeah okay i appreciate that color and then just to follow up um you know you obviously highlighted the pressure from the higher input costs could you just give some more detail on the price actions you've taken

speaker
Mark Petery
Analyst, CIBC

some context on how you expect Q4 to be impacted versus what you felt in Q3? And then will those be fully implemented for Q1 or will there also be some spillover effect to Q1? And obviously, this is pending, you know, how the cutout trends from here.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I mean, there's some moving parts inside of that, as you're well aware. But I think, you know, the headlines would be, first and foremost, we don't offer quarterly guidance. So we didn't provide an outlook for Q4 specifically, but I do feel as though adding some color is important. In Q3, the headline would be pleased with the progress year over year from a margin point of view, added more than 100 basis points of margin. So that was, again, very positive, very constructive, and shouldn't get lost in the overall narrative. We did see sequentially, as we noted, I think, with full transparency that there was a sequential headwind mostly due to raw material input costs, and that impacted us on a sequential basis. As we look to Q4, I think the headline would be expecting kind of more of the same, would be similar market conditions overall, would probably be the best headline I could give you for Q4, similar market conditions overall. We have taken steps to proactively restore the margin On a sequential basis, that includes, but isn't limited to, includes taking price increases effective Q1. Those take effect, Mark, in and around the very first week of February. So, you know, think about that as impacting Q1 in a, you know, most of Q1, I think would be the headline. And we fully expect to get back right on track after that.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. Appreciate all the color and all the best. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Martin Landry of Stiefel. Please go ahead.

speaker
Martin Landry
Analyst, Stiefel

Hi, good morning, guys. I just want to go back to the comments on Q4. You know, you take a lot of effort to highlight the fact that raw material are rising, have risen fast. But I'm not too sure what will be the impact on your margins for Q4. You know, the previous answer was not too clear for me anyways. Just, you know, do you expect margins to be under pressure on a year-over-year basis in Q4?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Martin.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

As I noted, we expect similar conditions in Q4 than Q3, which would imply similar types of margin pressure in the fourth quarter as we experienced in Q3. The remedy for that is advancing our pricing forward, and we're doing that now. We've communicated that to our retail customers and our retail partners now, and that will be in place for February. There's a normal period of time that all CPG companies face over the holiday season that's upcoming, where the retailers implement It's essentially a blackout policy to protect and preserve the holiday season, so you won't see price changes for all consumer packaged goods companies, all consumer packaged goods food companies through that time period. That window reopens on February 1st, and we're taking steps to improve our pricing in February.

speaker
Omar Javid
Vice President, Investor Relations

Okay.

speaker
Martin Landry
Analyst, Stiefel

It's not easy to read between the lines, but you're saying that you expect similar market conditions. Your profit margins expanded on a year-over-year basis in Q3. So when you say similar market conditions, is that what you imply?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

When I say similar market conditions, I'm implying we'll have sustained margin pressures in the fourth quarter, like we did in the third quarter.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Okay.

speaker
Martin Landry
Analyst, Stiefel

And then just to talk about your new brands that you've launched, I understand these are available right now in Canada. Can you talk a little bit about the distribution you have currently and then how that may expand on a go-forward basis?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

On the two new brand launches?

speaker
Omar Javid
Vice President, Investor Relations

Yes.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I can. Actually, Martin, the one thing I would add on the margin side that you might want to consider as a follow-up on our team can help as well is to explore the relative margins that we have in the business, even under sustained raw material pressures, as compared to our protein peers. And our team would be happy to follow up with you and kind of walk you through our view of that, because I think it might be helpful and informative. On the two brand launches, we're really excited about Mighty Protein and Musafir for very different reasons. I kind of dug into that in my opening comments. Both are being incredibly well received in terms of they're both being launched into the market in real time right now to start this fourth quarter. So they'll start to show up on grocery stores in the short next couple of weeks. And the distribution support has been very, very strong. They'll be broadly distributed. You know, we tend to have really great coverage across all of our brands in the Canadian retail market. These are Canadian brand launches, and they will be incredibly well distributed throughout the Canadian market. Mighty Protein actually being a shelf-stable product also gets us access to some alternative channels where we traditionally haven't had as much penetration. Things like convenience could be gyms, convenience locations, areas where shelf-stable products are more prevalent. So it actually expands our distribution reach. And that's another reason why we're so excited about that product. Incredibly on trend, taking full advantage of the protein moment, which we don't view as a fad. We view as foundational to the human diet and two brand launches that we're really, really excited about. And we have a history of being able to scale up brands in the Canadian market. Last quarter, we highlighted two very important ones, I think, in Mina Halal and in our Greenfield Natural Meat Company offering. And these are just the next two brands that we're launching in our large portfolio. And we're probably equally, if not more excited about them.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Super. Thank you and best of luck. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Michael Van Alst of TD Cowan.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead.

speaker
Michael Van Alst
Analyst, TD Cowan

Good morning. So I just wanted to follow up one more time on the Q4 pressures and margin pressures. I mean, I fully understand the timing delay and passing on higher costs. The one thing I wanted to ask you about, though, is We obviously came into the quarter with much higher pork costs, but we've seen a big drop off, a big seasonal drop off in the hog price over the course of November. So can you explain how early you lock in prices for the quarter, your cost for the quarter, sorry? And if the hog prices and therefore the pork cutout were to stay at the current levels, for the rest of the quarter, would that create a reasonable amount of relief to the pressures that you saw to start the quarter?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

There's a few things that matter inside that question, Mike. Firstly, good morning. You know, there is a lag effect in terms of when those cost benefits flow through. So, you know, the effects of early of late Q3 spill into Q4. The benefits that we'll see in Q4, hopefully as markets come off, hopefully, we'll experience in the first quarter and so on. There's a combination of risk management programs, the pricing lags that naturally take effect, and the time it takes for those meat costs to flow through into the P&L. So that's one component that I think is important. The other thing is the composition of the cutout in technical terms matters, but really what that means is the cuts of meat that carry the increases are really important. And the cuts that go into the prepared meats business, things like trims and bellies have been particularly impacted. So you have to look beyond the cutout to the individual cuts that are affected from an inflationary point of view. And that's important. And then the last thing I would note is it's not just pork inflation that's impacting the business. And I know we've talked about that a lot, particularly given the communication importance of this quarter with the separation of Canada Packers and the moving parts between the two companies. But beyond pork inflation, we're seeing a situation, I think, as you're well aware, where beef inputs are at all time highs. Turkey in real time is being impacted by the avian influenza implications in the North American markets. Poultry demand is strong and markets continue to be strong. So all competing proteins have relative strength all at the same time. And it's really the combination of those inflationary effects that impacted the third quarter. And I think we'll continue to impact Q4. And as I said, it's normal in CPG. You feel inflation. There's a normal amount of lead time to flow increased pricing through against that inflation. And we'll do that in the first quarter. Other than that, I'll resist the temptation, as I always say, to give you quarterly guidance, because I think that would be inappropriate at this time. But That just gives you some further context for why we're saying we expect similar market conditions to persist into the fourth quarter.

speaker
Michael Van Alst
Analyst, TD Cowan

Okay, great. That's helpful, Curtis. And then you also touched on or teased us with some comments about how you plan to modify some tools and use them to minimize costs. the volatility quarter to quarter. Can you provide some examples of how you may do that going forward and I guess why you weren't doing it previously?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, well, we have a great question. Thank you, Mike. An important reminder for me to talk about. We have been doing them previously. So, you know, there are three things we're doing in response to the inflationary impacts we're feeling. We've talked about the pricing changes, and that's one that's important. Always important in these inflationary environments to manage our costs to the best of our ability and you would have heard me comment in my remarks earlier that we've taken the next step in our fuel for growth playbook around cost reduction and we're completing another SG&A reorganization actually in real time here in the last week or two and it's continuing on. So that's number two is managing our costs in an effective way. The third question, which is the one you asked, is what steps can we take that we're not taking today to improve the stability of our margins kind of quarter to quarter? I would start by noting, and this is very important context, that all consumer packaged goods companies in food, virtually all of them in food, have some level of quarter to quarter margin movements embedded in their business. All food CPGs have that. We do too. This just happens to be a quarter where that was clearly evident. There are three things, Mike, that we're exploring given the separation. And we did have a bit of a natural hedge between the pork business and the prepared foods business. I think it's important to be transparent about that. We knew that was obviously going to be disrupted. That's not necessarily new news, but this quarter just happened to illuminate the significance of that. The three things that we're studying only to see if there's something we can do different beyond what we're doing today. Our number one, our pricing mechanisms, you know, how much is on formula relative to list price, how we manage our deal and feature pricing inside of any particular quarter. And I think it's just good hygiene to explore those pricing rhythms and pricing mechanisms. So we're just stepping back in that area. The second is the role of physical hedges, meaning using physical inventory as a natural hedge in the procurement function. And, you know, there are implications to storage and things like that that we're evaluating and studying. And then the third is the efficiency and the efficacy of our derivative hedges, our financial hedges. And of course, in pork, you hedge hogs, not individual cuts of meat. So there isn't always a straight line to perfect efficiency and we're stepping back to study our effectiveness in that area. It doesn't mean we don't deploy all three of these mechanisms today. It does mean that we're taking prudent steps to evaluate whether there are further opportunities to kind of manage the quarter to quarter movements in margin. There will always be some. There is in all CPGs. These steps won't be perfect, but we do believe there's potential that they could be helpful.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Great, thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Vishal Sridhar of National Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. With respect to the pricing, it seems like Q3 had margin impact related to commodity inflation. You anticipate Q4 will as well, and then part of Q1 will. So it just seems like a very long lag. I'm wondering if there's something about Christmas that's causing you to not be able to take pricing quicker than you otherwise would have, or should we anticipate in an inflationary environment it could be upwards of a six-month lag?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Michelle. Thanks for that. That's an excellent question. I appreciate that, and I appreciate you asking and giving me the opportunity to clarify. Normal lead times in consumer packaged goods are about 12 weeks, about? depending on the channel, maybe even 8 to 12 weeks. Christmas, the holiday season, is a unique time. And it's a unique time because it has abnormally longer lead times. And all CPGs face those abnormally longer lead times over the holiday season. All CPGs. We are one of them. And that's because retailers have policies where they don't accept price changes over the holiday season. And the first date they allow after the holidays is February 1st. And that's when we're moving forward. So it's an abnormally long period of time. We acknowledge that. And we're simply operating within the normative rules that apply equally to the industry.

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

Okay. With respect to the product launches and the 50 new products that you referenced earlier in the call, Given that this is a new spin-out, I'm having difficulty understanding the magnitude of this. Is this a regular year? Is this something strong? What should we expect from that growth initiative in terms of numerical quantification to help us quantify how meaningful this is?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

On the two brand launches, Michel? On the two brand launches?

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

Yes. Just in total of your innovation pipeline and how significant I anticipate that to be as I look forward.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

You know, we included a couple of slides in our deck, and that might be the materials that you're referencing. The first slide was just demonstrating the fact that we've put out more than 50 items into the market this year. And then the next two, obviously highlighting the two new brand launches. And those are there. for a reason. And I would start by saying, if you took a little bit longer lead time, and we were backed up to a certain extent, given the implications of the pandemic, and the fact that not a lot of innovation went out the door in the pandemic and the early parts of the post-pandemic economy. And we're now getting back into, I would say, above average rhythm of launching products into the market. I mean, keep in mind, Maple Leaf's a company that has 8% revenue growth. And when you compare that to the broader consumer packaged goods market, to our peers, it's very, very strong. And our desire and goal and commitment is to keep that level of growth sustainable well into the future. So when you're looking to quantify the impact of these, this is what great CPG companies do. They launch items, they launch items that have the potential to be impactful. Some of them simply aid in the sustainment of the current trajectory of growth some of them tend to be more incremental where you move outside of core categories and into into new adjacent categories that's why we're excited about the meat stacks opportunity in particular because it's an adjacency but i would think about these more as you know this is a business that's growing above mid single digit levels you know at or above mid single digit levels of growth we want to sustain that these are the types of activities that we're taking to sustain that level of growth this combined with our leadership position in sustainable meats Our U.S. growth platform that we continue to be excited about. The brands we launched last quarter that we highlighted like MENA and Greenfield. The core brands that we have in our portfolio that are number one and two brands in the category Maple Leaf Schneiders, Maple Leaf Prime. You know, when you pull all that together, that's the very reason that we're experiencing the outsized growth rates that we are in the market today. And these brand launches are intended for us to continue that level of success. Okay.

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

With respect to SG&A, the SG&A initiatives that you have coming in Fuel for Growth, is there an ability for you to give us some sort of magnitude of the benefits I should anticipate in 2026?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we will at some stage. I think that would tie into our 2026 outlook, which we understand there's a desire to understand and will come after this particular call. What's important to note is even in the last quarter, we did pick up 50 basis points of leverage in our SG&A rate as a percentage of sales. So you're starting to see the benefits of some of the reorganization work that we've done shine through. And there's more work coming, obviously. But that will all be embedded in terms of the 2026 benefits of things like our SG&A work, the procurement work that we've already completed. the work we're doing from a manufacturing point of view, that will have a multi-year benefit. You can expect to see that when we provide more clarity on our 2026 outlook.

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

Okay. And sorry, just to jump back to the pricing comment and the pricing coming in in Q1. So is that pricing that's coming in for Q1 reflects the situation today? If the commodity continue to escalate, at what point is there a cutoff such that Q1, you won't be able to pass on the entirety of the price subsequent to that date, that February date that you mentioned. And this commodity impact may linger into Q2 or Q3. Obviously, we don't have the history to gauge MFI's RemainCo vulnerability to these commodity swings. So I want to be able to try and get that in future quarters should commodity prices continue to run.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

We're pricing for all the known inflation we have today. That's essentially what the market expects. um kind of allows for um it's very difficult to move forward and price for what we don't know um so you know we'll we'll continue to adjust our pricing as required moving forward um if it's required but at this stage we're very confident that we've included all the known inflation that we have in the business very uncommon that that would linger michelle for for several quarters very uncommon um what we don't know is the consumer response to new pricing in the market and the volume impacts that come with that. And that will certainly play itself out over time. Very important to have the number one and two brands in the category and the type of marketing and innovation support that we do have in inflationary environments like this.

speaker
Vishal Sridhar
Analyst, National Bank

So to ask my question another way, if the inflationary environment continues to the end of the year, your pricing in February will reflect the commodity price today. Did I characterize that correctly? Would that work?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes. Okay. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Your next question comes from Irene Attell of RBC Capital Market.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead.

speaker
Irene Attell
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Thanks, and good morning, everyone. I want to come back to consumer behavior. And, you know, obviously we're hearing a lot of discussion about yesterday pet values, the term uneven. We're hearing a lot about value seeking behavior. And in the release, you noted promotional spending was up or was a factor in both poultry and prepared foods in Q3. So I was just wondering what you're seeing out there and also what the retailers are kind of demanding or asking for in terms of promotional support.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Irene. I would view the headline for the consumer environment as stable, but cautious. And the caution is a result of all the things we know about today, ongoing inflation, some of the geopolitical attention that exists in today's world. And as a result, value seeking continues to be a key theme. That hasn't changed quarter over quarter from our perspective, and it's certainly a key theme. Where we're excited is where we're positioned in the market. to offer value to value-seeking consumers, I think is really, really positive. Number one, we're a protein-focused company at a time when protein demand is very strong and growing. Our leading brands allow us to have capabilities across all value segments in the grocery store, whether that's our leading premium brands, our RWA brands, or some of our regional value brands, which give us an opportunity to compete in different areas of our categories and across different parts of the grocery store. We have a scalable growth platform in the U.S. that we're obviously excited about that gives us some level of growth support. And our leadership in sustainability and sustainable meats continues to kind of differentiate us in a really positive way. You know, you combine those things with the innovation that we're putting out and feel really good about our ability to compete and grow inside of what's clearly a difficult and continues to be challenging consumer environment. That will be tested in the first quarter when we take additional inflationary pricing and continue to be really confident that the volume response will be positive. I mean, we did our intake pricing in the second quarter from an inflationary point of view. So it's not like we didn't see this inflation coming, just the magnitude and the duration exceeded our original forecast. And now we're coming forward with another wave. And the volume response in the last quarter has actually been pretty positive. Like the branded volume growth was up this past quarter and i view that as as a success story that's great thank you and just on the trade promotion piece of it would you say that it's sort of normal levels above normal levels right now oh no still still um still more promotional still above um you know kind of quote unquote normal levels irene still above there's still more promotional support required to get the volume and the market share outcomes that we're seeing. And that's, to a certain degree, one of the reasons why you're seeing strong growth, 8%, and margins that are pressured somewhat in the short term. You take the combination of the inflation and the consumer environment, those two things combined are really what's putting pressure sequentially on the margin. But again, on a relative basis, really happy. On a year-over-year basis, really happy. From the top-line perspective, really happy. Needs to own the fact that we've taken a step back sequentially and we need to get that back on track.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Understood. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Our next question comes from Etienne Ricard of BMO Capital Markets.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead.

speaker
Etienne Ricard
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thank you and good morning. As it relates to the U.S. business, what sales performance are you seeing in this geography And how would the pricing power differ between Canada and the U.S., given I believe the U.S. tends to be more sustainable meats?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, that's a very important point. I'll answer the second part first. We're obviously a much smaller player, both in terms of our brand presence and our absolute size in the United States market. But what gives us pricing power in the U.S. is our meaningful point of difference in sustainable meats. We've got a leadership position in the sustainable meats segment, while small portion of the United States market growing rapidly. We're growing inside of that. So that gives us pricing confidence. And I don't think, given the inflationary support that's very clear that exists today, that we'll have any problem in a material way of passing that through in the U.S. market. So that brand leadership position gives us that level of support in sustainable meats, which is a competitive difference and continues to be positive. We did see positive growth in our prepared meats business in the U.S. this past quarter, and we expect that to continue.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you very much.

speaker
Operator

Our next call comes from John Zamparo of Scotiabank.

speaker
Operator

Please go ahead.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you. Good morning. I wanted to follow up on trade promotions and specifically the seasonality. But I think in the past you've said that Q3 is typically the peak. Is that still the case? And I don't suspect you'll quantify a year over year change in Q3, but whatever that number was, do you expect it to remain similar in Q4 on a year over year basis? Yeah, I don't think you'll see a material departure Q4 versus Q3 from the promotional intensity and frequency that exists in the business. It tends to shift. Summer tends to be hot dogs and sausages. Winter tends to be ham and bacon. And the peak season throughout the holiday season. So the category dynamics change, but from a materiality perspective, it's not significantly different between Q4 and Q3, I think, in the new business. Okay. Thank you for that. And I wanted to ask broadly about price elasticity and from consumers at the current time? I know there's a lot of uncertainty here. You don't have a crystal ball, but it doesn't seem like you're seeing trade down based on your comments about branded sales and RWA. But I wonder if just the general context of the consumer environment makes you think differently than you otherwise would. And it's early in Q4, but any signs that you've seen any change there?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, we've seen a margin impacted by

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

um higher levels of um promotional intensity for certain that that's happened for certain otherwise we think we'd be operating you know at higher levels of margin than we are today even higher than we are today um so so that's played out um and i don't expect that will change materially in the quarter ahead okay uh and lastly on on the buy canada theme It's always tough to measure this, but I wonder what you can say about what you thought the impact was in Q3, and is it fair to say we're seeing a more moderate impact in Q4? I think so. Like you say, it's very difficult to quantify the impact. We'd like to think there's positive tailwinds in that area. There's lots of pride in all things Canada these days, as I think there should be. Very difficult to quantify, and I would suspect it's moderating. been in the camp squarely that from day one, we should expect that that will be momentum that's maybe a little shorter-lived than we would all like. And at some point in time, it would moderate. And I think what you're seeing here in terms of our growth is a less by Canada and more really solid execution of what are proven growth strategies in the market, proving to be resilient, durable, effective, and growth strategies that we think will take us well into the future. Okay, thanks for that. And sorry, just one more. On the long-term guidance framework that's coming near term, I assume you don't want to steal its thunder, but any sense of what investors can expect? Is it likely to focus on a specific margin target or are you leaning more towards an overall growth algo? Anything you're willing to share at this point? Not much I'm willing to share. I think it's premature. We're in the process right now, and this is normal in our business. We're normal at this stage. Our 2026 budget gets presented to our board in the month of December, along with our forward-looking strategic plan for the future. And the outcome of that dialogue, discussion, and approval and alignment process will ultimately guide our communications around guidance. So I think it's premature today, but you should expect us to be coming forward with that in the short coming months ahead.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Understood. I'll leave it there. Thank you very much. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

Just a reminder, if you wish to ask a question, please press star one. Your next question comes from Michael Van Alst of TD Cowen. Please go ahead.

speaker
Michael Van Alst
Analyst, TD Cowan

I just want to follow up actually on the top line growth, which has been impressive this year, even if it is slowing a little bit as we kind of cycle tougher comps as well. But the two new brands that you're launching, can you talk about the addressable market for these? if you don't have a specific number, maybe something relative to the MENA and the RWA, for example?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, the Mustafir brand, MENA is probably a good proxy, Mike, in terms of the total addressable market. A very fast demographic opportunity in the Canadian market. But what's interesting, and we commented on Gen Z and millennials having a really interesting having a real and sustained interest in global food flavors, and maybe less of a propensity to cook from scratch. And those two things combined, the desire for more diversity in flavor offerings, more diversity in food offerings, but in a prepared meal occasion, makes the total addressable market for Moussafir maybe even larger than the halal opportunity. So I would say equal to or greater than what we've seen and experienced in MENA halal, without putting a number around it. I'd have to spend some time doing that. I haven't, but I could. On the meat snacks opportunity, you know, this isn't your normal kind of meat stick. Number one, it's not refrigerated. It's shelf stable. Number two, 12 grams of protein at 110 calories is a really awesome nutritional benefit for people who are looking for healthy protein on the go. And that's a large and very rapidly growing opportunity. a total addressable market. What's exciting about meat sticks is the ability to, number one, have success in our core business, which would be the retail environment, but also extend distribution into alternative channels, health food stores, convenience locations, gas and convenience locations, drugstore offerings, which obviously, as you know, are large and growing, gyms, workout facilities, You know, the shelf-stable reach makes the distribution opportunities much more material. And we're already having success in gaining distribution in those areas. So I'm excited to, you know, looking forward to report out a little bit more news around the success. Right now, we're just getting the product into the market. And our supply is selling out quickly, which is always a very positive outcome in a product launch. And I'm sure we'll get some positive updates along the way.

speaker
Michael Van Alst
Analyst, TD Cowan

Great, that's helpful. And last question, with leverage down at two times now, what's the plan for free cash flow next 12 months? And given the weakness in the share price, is it your intention to be active on your NCIB?

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

David, maybe you'd cover this one.

speaker
David Smales
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, morning, Mike. Similar to... Curtis's comments around outlook for 2026. Obviously this view of capital allocation and how that aligns with our view of the next 12 months all kind of wrapped up together. What I can say is consistent with what we say in the outlook, we intend to continue to build on the track record of growth in the annual dividend that is a key focus for us. We are evaluating those future capital allocation opportunities with a desire to return capital to shareholders. And we're just working through the strategy for that, timing for that, the quantum of that, but that will all be wrapped up in the guidance we give going forward. As well as our view that the share price is undervalued today. I talked about this last quarter. Nothing's changed in our view today post the spin. And so all those factors will be things that we're considering as we lay that out going forward. But I'm not going to talk to specifics today, but it is a very active conversation.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Is there anything preventing you from buying back stock this quarter?

speaker
David Smales
Chief Financial Officer

Obviously, we've been in a blackout period up until now this quarter. There's nothing in and of itself presenting any obstacles to implementing share buybacks when we're outside a blackout period. We are mindful of the Butterfly structure, and that has some restrictions around it, but as we demonstrated in August, we have some flexibility to operate within that. And that's all part of the algorithm we're working through right now as we decide on the right strategy going forward.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

All right. Thank you.

speaker
Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back over to Mr. Frank.

speaker
Operator

Please continue.

speaker
Curtis Frank
President and Chief Executive Officer

Great. Thank you for joining us today. It was obviously a historic quarter with the completion of the spinoff of Canada Packers. There was lots of complexity required in our reporting this quarter. We tried our best to simplify the key themes for you that are of most importance and appreciate your patience in taking the time to walk through with us today. On the surface, it was a very successful quarter, 8% growth on the top line, a significant improvement in our adjusted EBITDA, And our focus moving forward is obviously on sustaining the growth momentum we have in the business and continuing to create value in a way that's inspiring and enduring. And we're looking forward to speaking with you next quarter. So thank you and have a great day.

speaker
Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's conference call. Please thank you for your participation.

speaker
Operator

You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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