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spk05: morning ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the mountain province diamonds third quarter 2022 earnings conference call at this time all lines are in listen only mode following the presentation we will conduct a question and answer session if at any time during this call you require immediate assistance please press star zero for the operator this call is being recorded on wednesday november 9 2022 i would now like to turn the conference over to mark wall president and ceo please go ahead
spk06: Thank you and good day to everyone who's dialed in to listen to our Q3 results call. My name is Mark Wall and I'm the President and CEO of the company. Also present on this call is Steve Thomas, our CFO, Reid Mackey, our Vice President and Head of Sales and Marketing, Matt McPhail, our Chief Technical Officer, Dr. April Haywood, our Chief Sustainability Officer, and Dr. Tom McCandless, our Vice President and Head of Exploration. The team will be available for any questions that you may have. Firstly, I'd like to draw your attention to our cautionary and forward-looking statement. This presentation will be posted on our website for anyone who needs additional time to review this statement. Mountain Province is a Canadian diamond producer, mining Canadian diamonds to the highest standards of corporate social responsibility, and that is something that we continue to be proud of. We own 49% of the Gadget Clay mine in the Northwest Territories, with De Beers owning the remaining 51%. We operate with a joint venture agreement with a four-person management committee, two from De Beers and two from Mountain Problem. We've appointed De Beers as the operator of the asset, and that has resulted in the operating systems of De Beers and Anglo-American being applied to the assets, including the high standards of corporate social responsibilities. In addition to the 5,025 hectares of joint venture ground containing the existing mining operations, Mountain Province is the 100% owner of more than 113,000 hectares of highly prospective ground that surrounds the Gatcha Clay Asset. We refer to these grounds as the Kennedy North Project. The first thing to say about Q3 is that there was a fatal accident at the mine where our colleague Max, who is employed by a maintenance contractor on site, was fatally injured while conducting maintenance activities on a haul truck. Attending Max's funeral was absolutely heart-wrenching, and I'll state the obvious, the fatalities have no place in our industry and must cease. Anglo-American and De Beers have undertaken an exhaustive investigation to avoid a similar incident with regards to this type of equipment anywhere else in the world, and the site management team are laser-focused on ensuring a safe workplace. During Q3, our Chief Sustainability Officer continued to advance work around any opportunities that may exist to utilise the properties of the Kimberlite Rock, which hosts our diamonds, to capture CO2 and sequester it indefinitely in that rock. This work is very interesting and we will continue to advance it. On the sustainability side, I'm happy to say that the Gatcha Mine Team awarded 12 scholarships to the top Northwest Territories graduates from Aurora College's Early Learning and Child Care program. These scholarships fill an important funding gap for part-time students living in the Northwest Territories who are ineligible for government funding because of their part-time status. The miners made a total commitment of $216,000 over the life of the scholarship program in its efforts to support the health and well-being of Northwest Territories children and communities. Turning to the third quarter operational and financial results, I'm pleased to report the highest quarterly revenue in the company's history of more than $110 million and a quarterly adjusted EBITDA of $54.1 million. Production recovered in the third quarter to 1.452 million carats on a 100% basis, a 22% increase on Q1 2022, and a 15% increase on Q2 2022. The action plan that was put in place during Q2 remains under implementation and is working. You will have seen that Autun's mine remains a challenge, primarily due to the availability of heavy equipment operators in Canada's north. There is a strong focus on both hiring and retention of operators to improve mine's own results. And with run of mine stockpile, in excess of 1.8 million tonnes sitting on the pad waiting to be fed to the plant, there is no production impact from the low ore tonnes mined. While Steve will cover off the year-on-year increase in cash costs specifically, it is pleasing at the same time to see that cash costs of production is trending below the bottom of guidance range, primarily due to plant availability and utilisation being better than expected early in the year when the impact of COVID-19 was significant as reported at the time. I was on site the week before last as a part of a joint operations review with De Beers Senior Management and where we continued to review further opportunities to manage costs and optimize production. On the exploration front, the company previously reported successful interim drilling results for the Hearn Northwest Extension at Gatcho Quay, intersecting kimberlite in 60% of the 14 holes drilled, with the longest intersection reaching 114.5 meters or some 375 feet. The Hearn kimberlite is one of four kimberlites being mined at Gatcho Quay. We've been in discussions with De Beers around the best way to progress this discovery while considering the underground potential of what appears to be a large ore body, and an ore body that we know quite well as we've been mining it via the Herne Pit. This discovery is testament to the prospectivity of the Goucher Quay and Kennedy Lands, where a large ore body can sit right next to an open pit that we've been mining and remain undiscovered for so long. We'll be issuing a summary press release of our full 2022 exploration program in the coming weeks. I'll now hand over to our CFO, Steve, to take you through the financial results.
spk00: Thank you, Mark, and good morning, everyone. Q3 has seen continued strong operational performance in terms of revenue earned, cash generated, and adjusted EBITDA. But notably, with a significant increase in the strength of the US dollar during September, That had a material impact across several elements of the income statement, which I will highlight. A significant additional event in the reportable subsequent period was the announcement in October that the company has executed a non-binding term sheet with certain existing note holders, which along with other sources of cash will replace the existing notes due to expire on 15th of December this year. This is a significant development for the company designed to recapitalize the company and underpin its financial stability. So all numbers I discuss are in Canadian dollars unless stated otherwise. I will start with an overview of financial highlights for the three and nine months ended 30th of September 22, a quarter which saw record revenue earned, but saw a net loss for the quarter driven largely by unrealized foreign exchange impacts. Record revenue for the quarter came from a combination of higher carrots and strong US dollar sales price. Carrots sold were almost 50% above the average for Q1 and Q2, whereas US dollar per carrot was 20% below Q2, due mainly to product mix, and I will expand on that shortly. Increased sales reflect an increase in both plant grade and ore tons treated, which were up 9% from Q2 and 15% compared to Q1, reflecting the success in targeted improvements across the operation. The increase in ore tons mined in Q3 by 30% compared to the average for the first six months of the year enabled the ore stockpile to grow by 39% over the quarter to almost 1.9 million tons. The company held two sales during the quarter, selling at an average of 104 US dollars per carat, which, allied with a stronger US dollar than in the first half of the year, equaled 137 Canadian dollars per carat, which compares to $167 per carat in Q1 and Q2. The reduction in the US dollar per carat price reflects the mix of goods put forward for sale in Q3, which if put on a like-for-like basis per Q2, indicates Q3 prices were 2% higher than in Q2. For the nine months ended 30th of September, the average sales price of US$119 per carat compares to 72 US dollars per carat for the first nine months of 2021. During Q3, the company sold 805,000 carats, some 218,000 above Q2 2022, but 222,000 carats below the comparable quarter in 2021. For the first nine months of this year, total sales were 1.9 million carats compared to 2.35 in the first nine months of 2021. The first nine months of 2022 saw all tons treated equal to the amount treated during the same period in 2021, but with average plant grade at 1.71 versus 2.08 in 2021. In respect of performance during the year to date, Q3's throughput at 8,978 tons per day compares favorably to an average of 8,050 tons per day for the first six months of the year. An average plant grade in Q3 at 1.78 carats per ton has increased marginally from an average of 1.68 achieved in the first half of the year. This performance results in Mountain Province's share of diamonds recovered to the end of Q3 at 1.9 million diamonds, 17% below last year's equivalent figure of 2.3 million carats. Against this level of activity, we have seen cash costs of production per tonne of ore produced, excluding deferred stripping, increased from $103 per tonne in Q2 2022 to $109 per tonne in Q3 2022. This reflects the consumption of more expensive fuel purchased on the 2022 Winter Road being consumed now. For the nine months year to date, the average cash cost per tonne of ore treated stands at $110 per tonne, consistent with the first half of the year, but some 18% higher than the comparable cost of $93 per tonne for the same period in 2021. During 2022, despite global inflationary pressures, the operation has done well to manage cost and other than the fuel cost increase experienced in Q1 of 2022 and the added investment in COVID prevention measures and staff attraction initiatives, costs have been managed close to plan. Turning to an overview of the balance sheet, there has been a significant increase in cash on hand at the end of Q3, up $50 million from the close of Q2. reflecting sizable sales in July and more so in September. Driven in large part by this cash movement, working capital has increased by $31 million compared to Q2, with a smaller increase than the cash explained above, the cash movement explained above. That has been offset by a reduction in inventories, an increase in accounts payable, and secured notes payable in Canadian dollar terms. Within the reduction in total inventory during the quarter, incorporating the normal fluctuation in rough diamonds passing through the sales process, and the steady reduction in consumable stock purchased on the winter road, Q3 has seen a significant growth of the ore stockpile by a further 530,000 tonnes compared to Q2 2022, and that is in line with the strategic mine plan. Your stockpile itself is valued at the lower of cost and net realisable value on the balance sheet, and at $56.3 million, compares to $44.5 million at the end of Q2, and only $18.2 million at the end of Q3 2021. For the senior secured loan notes, Although 16.9 million U.S. dollars were bought back below par in Q3, the translation of the U.S. dollar balance of 273 million dollars at the quarter-end closing exchange rate of 1.38 equals 378 million Canadian dollars, compared to 373 million Canadian dollars in respect of the $290 million outstanding at the end of Q2. Note that after the quarter end, we bought back a further $15 million of notes below par, leaving a balance of $258 million currently outstanding. In respect of the junior credit facility, the company drew a further US$15 million to bridge temporary working capital needs, which included payments made to De Beers for bids for fancies and special carrots that we won. As with the secured notes, the outstanding balance for Q3 of US$25 million was translated at a higher closing rate of 1.38%, than the translation of the 10 million outstanding at Q2 at a closing rate of only 1.28. In respect of other material liabilities on the balance sheet, being the warrant liability and the decommissioning restoration liability, there was little change in the assumptions used to fair value those liabilities compared to those used in Q2, resulting in a minimal change of 54,973,000 in those closing balances. Lastly, on the balance sheet, the deferred tax liability which arose due to the impairment reversal that took place at the 2021 year end has increased throughout the nine months year to date as the generation of taxable profits continues to utilize the available tax pools. Now diving into operating results. As per Q1 and Q2 2022, revenue in Q3 includes the sale of the additional fancy and special diamonds acquired from De Beers through the competitive bid processes held in Q2 and July. The cost of the diamonds acquired from De Beers sold in the period are accounted for through the acquired cost line and for Q3 equaled $8.1 million, and for the nine months here today equals $21.3 million, compared to $10.6 million for the comparative nine months period in 2021. These goods contributed to the overall operating income margin of 40% for the nine months ended 30th of September, which although appreciably higher than the 30% margin earned for the comparative period in 2021, is below the 43% margin earned in the first six months of 2022, that being achieved through the higher average selling price in that six month period. Revenue earned in Q3 includes also proceeds from De Beers for our shares of fancies and special goods sold to them in September. $110 million Canadian dollars in revenue was earned in Q3 and $293 million for the first nine months of the year, compared to $94 million and $224 million for the same period in 2021. Driven by this revenue performance, the company generated in Q3 $44.7 million in earnings from operations, second only to Q2 2022, which was at 51.4 million and significantly above 35.5 million earnings in Q3 of 2021. For the first nine months of the year, earnings were $138.9 million 70% higher than in the first nine months of 2021. Despite this performance, for the reasons explained earlier, Q3 saw a loss before income tax of $1.4 million versus an average income of $28 million in Q2 and Q1 2022, and $8.8 million in Q2 2021. Q3 2021, driven largely by the aforementioned higher US dollar FX rate in place at the end of the quarter. It is worth re-emphasizing the point I raised in Q2 results call that the impact of changing foreign exchange and interest rates will continue to generate material changes in net income from period to period given the scale of the underlying U.S. dollar denominated liabilities on which they are calculated. And that is what has arisen in Q3. Specifically, the loss in Q3 reflects the impact of translation of the U.S. dollar denominated second lien loan note and junior credit facility and the associated accrued interest, less the U.S. dollar denominated bank balance. all at a closing rate of 138 compared to the opening exchange rate of 129. This results in a foreign exchange loss of $26.3 million. The equivalent FX loss arising from the strengthening of the US dollar during Q2 was 11.7 million and compares to an FX gain of 4.2 million in Q1. Driven by the same strengthening of the US dollar, Q3 saw an unrealized derivative loss of $3.7 million arising on some of the foreign currency hedges placed earlier in the year, as the Q3 closing exchange rate exceeded the future participation rate on those hedges. We will know in due course whether this loss is realized or reverses dependent upon the applicable rate at the future settlement dates. Q3's net loss after tax of $7.2 million equates to a loss of $0.03 per share on a basic and diluted basis compared to 11 cents per share in Q2 and Q1 and 4 cents per share in Q3 of 2021. For the nine months ended 30th of September 2022, the company has generated 19 cents per share compared to $0.18 per share for the same period in 2021. In conclusion, Q3 has seen strong results in respect of cash generation, operating income and adjusted EBITDA, achieved through increased volume of sales and robust prices, albeit comparatively lower than in the first half of the year. During the quarter and in early October, the company paid down US dollars 32 million of the loan notes below par. And with the significant announcement regarding the plans to refinance the balance of the second lien debt, the company is well positioned financially to capitalize on the continued strong fundamentals prevailing in the market. Thank you for your attention. And with that, I will now pass the presentation back to Mark.
spk06: Thanks, Steve. I will cover the diamond market and macros with Reid Mackey, who's on the call, our Head of Sales and Marketing, available for questions at the end of this call. Mountain Province's unique sales strategy demonstrated its resilience during Q3. We saw a stabilisation of the market with an average price for the quarter of $137 Canadian dollars per carat. Adjusting for the mix of goods sold on a like-for-like basis, we saw a 2% increase in average price per carat relative to Q2 of this year and sales very well attended with key competition metrics 20% higher than previous years. In the diamond market, we see one headwind and two tailwinds. The headwind being inflation and the extent to which inflation will slow sales at the retail end of the pipeline. It is unclear at this point what the impact will be, with American Express commenting that the US consumer continues to look very strong, while others citing higher than normal polished diamond stocks are being more cautious. On the Taiwan side, we see China has been held back from its normal purchasing behavior by extended continued COVID-19 lockdowns. The pent-up demand of Chinese consumers will be released at some point, and recent positive signs seen in China's financial markets may be a lead indicator of this. We also know that Russia's invasion of Ukraine has had a disruptive impact on the rough diamond market. Despite sporadic reports of Russian rough entering the market, this supply is considered severely interrupted. Efforts to halt the supply of Russian diamonds to the US continues, with most major retailers and industry bodies having declared publicly their buying policies that prohibit the purchase of Russian diamonds. This has led to increased branding efforts in the industry around source differentiation, and origin-based marketing of diamonds, which highlight the positive stories behind our diamonds and their Canadian provenance. Lastly, turning to our strategy and closing remarks, our strategy remains the same as previously discussed. On Optimise the Business, we continue to work on production recovery and opportunities to manage costs in an inflationary environment. On Drive Sustainable Development, the team continues to work hard to identify potential opportunities around carbon sequestration while undertaking its first ESG materiality assessment and continuing to contribute to the well-being of our communities, including the scholarship program discussed earlier. On the capital structure, we've announced the non-binding term sheet for a private bond instrument to replace our current seniors secured second lien notes with a coupon of 9% with an original issue discount of 97 cents. The notes being replaced, we know, were an 8% coupon with an original issue discount of 97.992 cents. Achieving a 9% coupon in today's market is quite remarkable, and I thank our largest shareholder, Mr. Dermot Desmond, for his continued and meaningful work support of the company. With regards to extending the life of the mine, the Hearn Underground Extension is a fantastic discovery and potential opportunity to extend the life of the Gaucho Quay mine. On Find New Mines, we executed a strong program in 2022, a summary of which will be released in the coming weeks. We found multiple areas of kimberlite where we believed there would be kimberlite. and additional work is required to prove out these targets. It's been an eventful Q3, where much has changed as we work through a poor start to the year, along with the COVID-19 outbreak in Q1 and Q2 on site, through which the mine remained open and production continued. A tremendous amount of work has been done by our board, by our bondholders, and our CFO and management, to achieve the non-binding term sheet that we are working diligently on closing. We are working towards a year-end with the objective of having a company that is refinanced on favourable terms with record earnings and a new discovery in Herne Deeps, which together create a company with a bright future.
spk03: Management will now be available for any questions.
spk05: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. We will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a three-tone bump acknowledging your request, and your questions will be pulled in the order they are received. Should you wish to decline from the pulling process, please press the star followed by the two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift your handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from Paul Zaminski with PZDA. Please go ahead.
spk01: investment in the mine would be and how I guess you consider that with the other options of developing that the Kennedy asked and maybe how you look at that going forward.
spk03: I'm sorry, Paul, it's Mark here.
spk06: From my end, that was extremely choppy. I only got a very small part of that. Perhaps, Matt, did you hear the question?
spk02: Oh, we heard the same as you, Mark, but I think it was around development opportunities and how to prioritize. But perhaps, Paul, could you repeat your question?
spk01: Yeah, sorry about that. I think you've got it. Just, yeah, regarding, you know, prioritizing maybe, you know, underground investment, how you kind of look into that in the medium and longer term versus the potential to develop Kennedy. And I guess just what the timelines for that could look like. Sure.
spk06: Thanks, Paul. That was much clearer the second time. So prioritization is always the trick in these things. I will say that The difference with what we have with the Hearn ore body is that it is right next to an existing open pit. It is right next to existing infrastructure, process plant, et cetera. So while the most likely mining method would be some form of underground mining method, which is a bit different to what's being done now, those The Hearn extension is attractive because of its proximity. Location matters. I'll say at the same time, we're looking at and talking about with our partner how it is that the Kennedy deposits, specifically Kelvin and Faraday, may fit into a longer mine life and a different mine life that also contemplates potential underground extraction methodologies where the Faraday II ore body specifically, which produces very, or would produce very nice diamonds, high quality, but would be an underground, largely an underground mine, might fit in to the whole picture. So the picture has become much more interesting with the discovery of the ore body at Hearn. And as we work through the timeline on how we would come at that ore body. It also opens up potential opportunities to re-look at Tuzo underground, where the large underground portion of Tuzo is actually very good grade, and how that would fit together potentially with the Kelvin and Faraday deposits. I hope that answers your question.
spk03: Yeah, that's very clear. Thank you very much.
spk05: Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one.
spk03: There are no further questions at this time.
spk05: Please proceed.
spk02: Matt, do you have any questions? I have a series of questions from the webcast that I'm going to read out. The first question comes from David Sharkey of Kalem Renewables. It relates to inventory. The stock of rough diamonds of 55 million Canadian at the end of Q3 are valued at cost. What do you estimate is the unrealized profit in stock of diamonds at the end of Q3 so that one could see the real overall working capital figure is available to cover outstanding bonds?
spk00: Matt, Mark, if it's okay, shall I step into that question? As much as I understand the question in terms of we necessarily value those rough diamonds we have in the sales pipeline all the way from the Yellowknife facility to Antwerp, At the lower cost and realizable value, we're obliged to do that. And it is not proper practice to disclose what the potential future sales value of those diamonds are because you're getting into speculation about what they might be. We stick in the financial statements and the MD&A largely to historical data, to facts. So we have the cost as a fact. We have what we've sold diamonds at historically as a fact, but we don't project to what that future sales price might be for goods going through the process. And the same goes for the oil stockpile, exactly the same. Value at the lower of cost in NRV, report cost. That's what you'll see in our balance sheet. And don't speculate because there's a long journey to go from that stockpile through to the eventual selling price. So we won't be disclosing that.
spk02: Okay, I think that was a fulcrum answer. I'm going to read out another question from Mr. Sharkey. The question reads, the current share price completely undervalues the company with the bonds extended. Would you agree with this firstly? And if so, what is the plan to get the market to recognize NPVD's inherent value to increase the share price? I think, Mark, that's a question for you.
spk06: Sure. Thanks, Matt, and thanks, David. We've been at investor conferences. We were recently at the Denver Gold Show. We'll be in London again in a few weeks. And this is one of the things we're talking about. We've done some work that we present at investor conferences that says that if you look at Mountain Province Diamonds on a straight NAV per share basis, we come up with $2.40 If you look at what an analyst report that was recently produced has a target of $1.42. So there's a bit of a split there. But regardless, we believe that this company is undervalued. And up until now, there's been a lot of focus on the debt refinance. That's been a real overhang for the share price. We believe that... The collaboration of our board, our bondholders and management have come up with a good solution to that that we will be executing in due course. And that will be a positive for the share price. So we will continue to be out there to be communicating with investors that we believe that the company is undervalued at its current share price.
spk03: Okay, excellent.
spk02: One final question from Mr. Sharkey is, why have the sales value per carat of the Kennedy assets for Faraday 1, 3, Faraday 2, and Kelvin not been updated since 2018, and is the plan to incorporate the Kennedy assets into extended mine life mine plan at De Beers at Gatcha Kway? Mark, I can take this one if you're okay with that. So the updating of prices of the Kennedy assets, meaning the average expected sales price per carat, we've done some work internally. We need to stick with the rules of disclosure within the TSX, which would require a technical report to accompany a public update to those prices. uh right now and again that's not a free or uh effortless endeavor but management is is weighing our options for 2023 and it's likely that we're going to undertake that full plan in the new year so uh that's what we're working towards right now and on including the assets in the uh life of mine plan at gacha quay i think mark partially answered it when he talked about gk underground now the truth of the matter is that those assets As combined with a potential underground mining scenario at Gacha Kwe, together Kennedy North and Gacha Kwe Underground are synergistic. They are more valuable together than alone. So we see that as a potential path and an incremental positive in the last kind of 12 months to including the Kennedy assets into the life of mine plan. And it's something that we're always striving to include and have De Beers' ear on on their inclusion in the future. That's the end of David Sharkey's questions. I have some other questions from the webcast. The first is from Derek Ballendine of TD Wealth. And the question reads, Mark, congrats on the quarter. Now that you have the refinancing behind you and the company is generating significant cash flow, I'm hoping you could give me a better understanding of how you'll be allocating that cash flow and what are your priorities?
spk06: Okay, thanks, Matt. Thanks, Derek. Nice to hear from you. I would say that front of mind is paying down our debt while balancing growth opportunities that are accredited to the company. This company has the opportunity to be a profitable long-term producer with tremendous prospectivity, but we're also very focused on effectively managing our debt position in order to unlock that. So debt is certainly front of mind while, and similar in some ways I think to Paul's question, we need to balance that with the opportunities that through a lot of work in 2022 are before us in order to create a profitable long-term company. I hope that answers your question.
spk02: Okay, great. And then one final question from the webcast from Daniel Michael, a private investor. What amount of this quarter's sales were from the fancies and specials, one through bidding against the beers, and then a second part to the question, if the proposed refinancing goes through, can you share your plan to pay down the debt? I think we've kind of answered the second part of that question, Mark, in your answer to Derek, but I guess the amount of sales from this quarter that were from fancies and specials. Reid, do you have a figure you can pull on that?
spk04: I don't, unfortunately. It hasn't changed much compared to previous quarters. We've obviously had a high representation of fancies and specials continually in our sales, but maybe that's something we can get back to them online. with an actual figure of the fancy and special broken out.
spk02: Yes, fair enough. I think that's kind of a normal course. I have a figure here that I've just pulled up of 5.4 million in proceeds Canadian on the 110 total.
spk03: There you go. Thanks, Matt. Yep.
spk00: Steve here, just to add that as I spoke to, we do disclose the cost of acquired diamonds, which is specifically those fancies and specials won through the big process. And that cost of sale is mapped to the revenue earned in the period. So to the extent that we purchase diamonds in a previous period that then are sold in future periods, we endeavor to match that cost of acquired diamonds to the revenue. So it's not meant to be a dollar-for-dollar match, but we do give the running disclosure of all of those cost of fancies and specials acquired which will be sold in future with an appropriate margin. Thanks.
spk02: Okay, Operator, that's all the questions I have from the webcast.
spk03: All right, there are no more questions at this time.
spk06: Okay, well, thank you very much for everyone who joined to listen in. And we look forward as a team to briefing you further at the end of our Q4. Thank you.
spk05: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines.
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