2/20/2025

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Oceana Gold Corporation Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2024 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in a listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If anyone has any difficulties hearing the conference, please press star zero for operator assistance at any time. I would now like to turn the conference call over to Rebecca Hennar. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rebecca Emery
Vice President of Investor Relations

Good morning and welcome to Oceana Gold's fourth quarter and full year 2024 results webcast and conference call. I'm Rebecca Emery, Vice President of Investor Relations. We are joined today by Jared Bond, President and Chief Executive Officer, Marissa Meeker, Chief Financial Officer, David Landano, Chief Operating Officer Americas, Peter Sharpe, Chief Operating Officer Asia Pacific, and Craig Debrie, Chief Exploration Officer. The presentation that we will be referencing during the conference call is available through the webcast and on our website. I would also like to remind everyone that our presentation will be followed by a Q&A session. As we will be making forward-looking statements during the call, please refer to the cautionary notes included in the presentation, news release, and MD&A, as well as the risk factors set out in our annual information form. All dollar amounts discussed in this conference call are in U.S. dollars. I will now turn the call over to Jared for opening remarks.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Rebecca, and thank you all for joining the call today. We're very pleased to report strong Q4 results, with the strong production in the quarter driving delivery of a number of records. Record quarterly and half-year production at hail. Record quarterly and annual net profit for the company. And record quarterly and annual free cash flow for the company. I'd like to view the year through the lens of our five pillar strategy. From a production perspective, we finished the year very strongly in line with the updated guidance. In addition to a production record at Hale, we also had a much improved fourth quarter at Waihi, our best quarter in three years. And at McRae's, the team delivered record annual throughput without any large investment of capital, which underpinned its strong year. The DDPO team had a number of operational issues in the period. but they're doing a great job of addressing them and positioning that business for long-term success. Culture really matters as the results of Oceana Gold are delivered by its people. And to this end, I was proud to see that our employee engagement scores increased significantly in 2024 to above average levels in our industry, assisted by a number of company-wide programs. This high level of engagement helps explain both the strong performance and our confidence for delivery in the years ahead. In terms of sustaining and growing our business, we released yesterday our updated annual reserve and resource estimates. And I'm really pleased to share that we increased our reserves by 27% net of mining depletion and increased the average grade of those reserves. This was driven by outstanding exploration results at both Hale and Ferry Kirraponga, including an initial mineral reserve declaration at Ferry Kirraponga. Together with record average realized gold prices, strong production performance, and the ability to convert most of the higher prices to the bottom line, Oceana Gold generated a record $245 million of free cash flow in 2024. And to be clear, this is real free cash flow. Operating cash flow minus all investing cash flow, such that what's left over is available to reduce debt, pay dividends, and return capital to shareholders. That $245 million of free cash flow represents around the 15% after tax yield on the enterprise value of Oceana Gold, which is a great return for investors. So what do we do with this free cash flow? In line with our capital allocation framework, we strengthen their balance sheet by repaying in full our revolving credit facility and getting into a strong $192 million net cash position. Shareholders now own 100% of this business, which is well positioned to grow. And in line with our capital allocation framework, we also delivered shareholder returns via our dividend, by actively using our share buyback program, and through a 60% increase in the share price, which meant we were amongst the top performers in our peer group. Yesterday, the Board of Oceania Gold approved a doubling of the annual dividend and approved up to $100 million of share buybacks in 2025. Specifically as it relates to the fourth quarter, we produced 12% more gold at a 10% lower all-in sustaining cost per ounce than the previous quarter. Hale, Macraes and Waihi all delivered higher production at significantly lower unit costs. This delivered a record quarterly net profit and record quarterly free cash flow. with a free cash flow margin for the quarter of $984 per ounce. It was really pleasing to see our ability to convert most of the strong gold price to the bottom line. And as you know, gold prices have increased further since. Most importantly, our fourth quarter was a safe quarter. We continue to progress our safety improvement plans. Our people have worked hard to deliver the operational and financial results we're reporting today, and we are all committed to this being done safely. I'll now turn the call over to Marius, who will discuss our 2024 financial results in more detail.

speaker
Marissa Meeker
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Gerard, and good morning, everyone. As you can see, Q4 and 2024 was a continuation of a trend of significant improvement period on period. The quarterly revenue was a record, taking our annual revenue to another record of $1.3 billion. Our EBITDA for the quarter delivered a strong 58% margin. Adjusted earnings per share of 15 cents for the quarter was a 67% increase on the prior quarter. And for the year, we achieved an adjusted EPS of 29 cents. Operating cash flow per share was 64% higher for the quarter. In Q4, we generated an additional $147 million of free cash flow. bringing the total for the year to $245 million, a record for the company. And that was on the back of an average realized gold price of just over $2,400 per ounce. This record free cash flow was achieved after investing roughly 75% of our capital in opening up new open pit phases, adding underground phase positions, advancing new projects, and investing in our exciting exploration targets. Looking at 2024 from a broader perspective, you can see we've come a long way since 2021, systematically generating free cash flow, reducing our debt, and strengthening our balance sheet. In line with our capital allocation framework, reducing our debt was a key priority for 2024. I'm very pleased to confirm that we repaid $85 million on the revolving credit facility in the quarter, bringing the outstanding balance of that facility down to zero. A growing net cash position of $192 million allows us to be confident that we can continue to advance our exciting exploration and growth opportunities and to improve shareholder returns. Our balance sheet is strong, and yesterday our board committed to double our current dividends. In addition, we also bought back $16 million worth of shares in Q4, bringing the total value of shares bought back since July to $24 million at an average price of $3.79 Canadian per share. We intend to continue paying our dividend and purchasing shares under the buyback program in 2025, all in service of maximizing shareholder value.

speaker
Gerard

I'll now pass it over to David to discuss how. Thank you, Marius, and hello, everyone.

speaker
David Landano
Chief Operating Officer, Americas

Pale produced record gold production in the fourth quarter with over 75,000 ounces, which contributed to a record annual production of 213,000 ounces. Production performance was in line with our original guidance expectations, as well as the profile of decreasing oil in sustaining cost that we expected throughout the year. Four-quarter oil in sustaining cost was $12.87 per ounce and $16.28 per ounce for the full year, which was also in line with our original guidance ranges. During the quarter, we benefited from a one-gram-per-ton increase in feed grade as compared to the third quarter, mostly due to the higher-graze mine from Ledbetter Phase II. Looking back at 2024, I need to acknowledge the incredible work the team has done to safely ramp up the horseshoe underground operation. We ended 2024 having mined over 400,000 tons, and with a full year of production coming from underground in 2025 and beyond, we will continue to provide stability to the existing open pit operation for many years to come. Much of our exploration drilling in 2024 was focused on infilling and expanding resources that have the potential to be mined from underground. We have had great success at Horseshoe and additional successes drilling Leadbeater Phase 4. Higher grade results from this drilling will contribute to the ongoing trade-off study we're doing to determine if the final phase of Leadbeater can potentially be mined from underground. I look forward to sharing more with you on that study as it progresses. I will now turn the call over to Peter to discuss the Asia-Pacific operations.

speaker
Gerard

Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone.

speaker
Peter Sharpe
Chief Operating Officer, Asia Pacific

During the quarter, the DPO delivered gold production of approximately 20,000 ounces and copper production of 3,100 tons. Production continued to be impacted by the lower mining rate in the Breccia Ore Zone, as a result of the stope redesign and reschedule discussed in detail last year. The fourth quarter was also impacted by a number of severe weather events, including four typhoons during the month of November, resulting in unprecedented amounts of water falling on the property. I'd like to emphasise that while we recognise that the reduced mining rate in the Breccia Ore Zone has a negative impact on the average grade mine of underground ore over the next two years, The overall benefit for the DDPO operation from this change is very positive, as it ensures that we can continue to work this area of the mine safely, as well as ensuring that we maximise the overall resource and gold bounce recovery, providing an overall net benefit in the medium-term five-year horizon. In response to the recent weather challenges experienced in late 2024, A number of critical actions have either already been completed or in progress of being completed, and they include additional mobile pumping capacity to the underground, an upgraded groundwater system capacity system, as well as installation of backup high voltage power capacity for the underground pumping system. Progress towards reaching our targeted underground mining rate of 2.5 million tonne per annum by the end of 2026 remains intact and we will release an updated technical report in 2026 that outlines that in a mine plan. With our proactive plan in place, we remain confident in DDPO's long-term value. McRae's delivered another strong result during the quarter, producing approximately 38,000 ounces of gold. All was predominantly mined from Innes Mill 7 open pit and Golden Point underground, improving grades to the mill compared to the previous quarter. Remarkably, the site continues to push for improvement on the margin, and the optimisation work that has been ongoing in the process plant since early 2023 helped drive record throughput of 6.6 million tonnes for the year. We are continuing to make strides towards extending the mine life of this asset while maintaining industry-leading low mining unit costs. We're incredibly proud of the team at McRae's for continuing to strive for operational excellence And I hope that the dedication to this came through when we took analysts and investors to the site in January. Why he produced around 18,000 ounces of gold in the quarter, the best quarter on record since Martha Underground began operating again in 2021. When we brought analysts and investors, we were able to demonstrate the complex nature of mining and share some of the learnings we've had in the last four years of mining. I'm proud of the work the team has done to persevere, and the fourth quarter results is a testament to what Waihi can be capable of when we are effective at extracting those remnant stoves. The remaining costs of $1,557 per ounce is also significantly below what we've seen from Waihi recently. This demonstrates the leverage the operation has when it has a strong production quarter. 2024 was an exciting year for the way team as we delivered the 43 yes and an initial reserve at Farrakhan underground PFS highlighted the opportunity to continue our mining operations in the why he region for at least another 15 years generating strong returns for our shareholders in early March we expect to submit our application for the why he North government for approval via the fast-track approves prices Our expectation is that we will be permitted by the end of 2025 and able to start construction towards Farrakura Ponga Underground in 2026. In the meantime, our board has approved $45 million of project spending so that the project is shovel-ready by the time we receive those approvals. We're very excited by the future at Waihi and the strong end to 2024 and the generation of free cash flow at sites makes the future both near-term and long-term very bright. I'll now turn the call to Craig to discuss our exploration.

speaker
Craig Debrie
Chief Exploration Officer

Thanks, Peter. As Gerard mentioned, we increased our total mineral reserves by 27% this year to 6.2 million ounces of gold, net of mine depletion, the most reserves we've held on our books to date. This is a brilliant track record of reserve addition, replacing 16% more than we mine on average on an annual basis, replacing more than 5 million ounces over the past nine years at an all-in cost of around $49 per reserve ounce. This includes the first-time reserve addition of 1.2 million ounces at 9.2 grams per tonne gold from the high-grade Farrakhiruponga ore body of Waihi. We also increased our measured and indicated mineral resources this year by 8% to 8.9 million ounces as a result of additions at each of our mine sites. Notably, the majority of the reserve and resource additions during the year are a direct result of new ounces discovered through drilling, with conservative reserve and resource pricing of $17.50 and $19.50 per ounce, respectively. providing plenty of upside to today's gold price. These outstanding results are testament to both the quality of deposits we have within our portfolio and the talent and skill of our exploration team in discovering these exciting opportunities. Looking ahead to 2025, we expect continuing building of our exploration success. At Farakiruponga, We'll continue drilling from surface to extend the existing resource on the EG vein, which remains open in all directions and is our highest priority exploration opportunity. With the new fast track approvals process, we hope to obtain access to additional drill pads and drills. This will allow us to accelerate the rate at which we complete drilling of the WKP system, including the very highly prospective T-stream and western veins, in 2026 and beyond. At Hale, we continue to increase underground reserves on the back of exploration success. Horseshoe remains our most advanced near-term target where we remain focused on expanding the reserve based on significant results returning from extensional drilling. In parallel, we're continuing to advance through drilling compelling earlier stage targets. On the back of excellent results at the Dipio, our priority is to continue drilling panel three in support of the upcoming pre-feasibility study and the planned increase in underground mining rates. In addition to the in-mine drilling, we have several other highly prospective porphyry copper-gold targets scheduled for drilling within our FTA permit. These include Napatan, where we identified shallow copper-gold mineralization last year, True Blue, which is an offset extension of the Dedipio mine, and DeFox, that has returned encouraging results in historic drilling. Finally, at McRae's, we have a significant opportunity to increase resources that could support further mine life extension. As discussed in detail during our recent analyst site visit, shear zone hosted deposits at McRae's span over 11 kilometers of strike. Our plan here is to convert inferred resources across a number of these deposits in support of pit pushbacks that optimize our mine life at today's gold price. So in total, we'll be investing more in exploration and discovery in 2025 than we have for many years. So I look forward to these new results and sharing them with you as they come to hand. I'll now turn the call back to Gerard. Thank you.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Craig, and thank you and your team for a simply outstanding year of value creation. Looking forward, we maintain a strong multi-year outlook with around 20% growth in gold production from 2024 levels by 2026. This is all organic. In 2025, I will progress waste stripping of stage three of the Leadbetter open pit during the first three quarters, to unlock high-grade ore from the pit by the fourth quarter. This higher level of stripping and of harder-than-expected ore is one of the main drivers of higher oil-sustaining costs of hail and the company in 2025. 2025 production at the Dipio reflects the impacts of the Breccia stope redesign and resequence and the reality of dealing with the elevated water table for much of the year. At McRae's, our 2025 plan includes some mine plan optimizations versus the previous technical report in response to much higher gold prices. These optimizations allow us to mine in a way that gets the most of the gold resource. So we're spending more capital at McRae's, stripping and fleet component replacements work to unlock this value capital. Waihi's 2025 production guidance is based on the strong performance from Waihi towards the end of last year and our increasing confidence in remnant mining. As was the case in 2024, we expect total gold production for 2025 to be slightly back half-weighted. Our activities and investments in 2025 underpinned the 20% growth in gold production in 2026, principally coming from uplisting gold production from Hale and McCrae's, resulting from full access to high-grade ore from their open pits. Beyond 2026, we will continue to pursue growth via our organic growth projects, like Palomino at Hale or Ferro Curiponga at Waihi, or open pit cutbacks at Macraes, all of which we will advance over the coming few years and expect to be able to fund from internal cash generation. This is the primary driver of the increase in growth capex in 2026. This morning, we announced the addition of Stephanie Loder to our board of directors. Stephanie is a highly experienced geologist and mining executive with a track record in mining, mineral exploration and project development. I'm confident that her experience and contributions will add value to Oceana Gold and our shareholders. We also announced yesterday that David Londono, Chief Operating Officer of Americas, has decided to move back to Colombia in order to be closer to his family. His last day with Oceana Gold will be the 4th of April 2025. David's been a valued member of Oceana Gold since he joined Hale in 2021, and has guided Hale through operational improvements, permitting of the underground expansion, and most recently, delivering the Horseshoe underground mine into production. Since the start of this year, Matt Warner has been our asset president in charge of Hale, leading day-to-day operations. Matt's been with Oceana Gold for over two years, and I've worked with Matt for 13 years, and am confident he will take Hale into its next phase of performance uplift and growth, and he's made a great start. Matt will report to Bhubanesh Malhotra, our Chief Technical and Projects Officer, who will permanently assume David's executive accountabilities of the Hale Gold Mine. For those of you who haven't met Bhubanesh, he's a deeply experienced mining executive with over 25 years of experience. He's been with Oceana Gold for around 12 months, and prior to that, he was with Rio Tinto in a number of global roles for 18 years. I'd like to take time while David is here on the call to thank him for his significant contribution, both to Hale and the company more broadly, and to wish him and his family all the very best in his move back to Columbia and in his future endeavors. Thank you, David. In summary, Oceana Gold has delivered a strong quarter and year, resulting in significant free cash flow generation and returns to our shareholders. We remain committed to safely and sustainably running our operations, so that our workplaces are safe for everyone working there and good for our host communities. Delivering on our commitments will allow us to consistently generate strong free cash flow, enable us to reinvest in our exciting growth projects, maintain a strong balance sheet and return capital to our shareholders via our dividend and buyback programs. We remain very well positioned with significant opportunities to deliver attractive growth and shareholder returns in 2025 and beyond. I'll now turn the call over to the operator and open up the line for any questions.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have a question, please press the star followed by the one on your touchdown phone. Questions will be taken in the order received. Should you wish to cancel your request, please press the star followed by the two. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. Once again, that is star one should you wish to ask a question. Your first question is from Wayne Lam from TD Securities. Your line is now open.

speaker
Wayne Lam
Analyst, TD Securities

Yeah, thanks, guys. I guess first question, just wondering on the 2026 guidance, it seems like there's been a haircut on production to where the updated guide is in line with last year's prior 2025 outlook. So just wondering what's driving that, You know, just based on the 2024 hail mine plan, hail was doing 300,000 ounces the next couple of years in 26, 27, which would be over half the guide. So just wondering if there's been a reset in expectations that those two years won't be quite as big of an increase at hail versus prior expectations.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, hi, Wayne. Thanks for the question. Yes, hail is one of the drivers of the moderation in Outlook. And principally, that's a consequence of that delay in stripping that we experienced this year in relation to 2026. It's just kind of got a carryover effect. You'll see the gold is still going to be mined, but just over a longer period of time spills into later years. Also, we're dealing with harder ore than we expected, and that's been the revelation recently. this year. Both the quantum of hard ore but also the intensity of that hard ore has slowed our mining rate and also our processing rate. We're processing less tonnes than we expected as a result of that hard ore. Obviously getting the most gold out of the ground and getting the most gold out of the ore is our primary driver of value creation and both the rate of getting it out, and then also the rate of processing has slowed as a result of that harder oil. We also have the lower effects of DDPO. As Peter mentioned, that high-grade oil from the Breccia Stoke, which we originally expected to get out over a three-year period, as a result of that change in mine sequence, it's now coming out over a longer period of time. I know it sounds like it's a dint to the near-term profile, But the benefit of it is that we're going to get it all out with a high degree of confidence. So it is actually the right thing. And then WAHI is a little lower as a result of what we thought versus the prior year as well. Well, versus its technical report. So if you look at the technical report of WAHI, the latest technical report, has the updated outlook, which is, I think, around 60,000 or 70,000 ounces, whereas the previous technical report that underpinned the outlook was a high level.

speaker
Wayne Lam
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay, great. Yeah, thanks for that, Culler. And then maybe just on the reserve update, I had a couple questions. First, at the Dipio, it seems like you got a lot more tonnage, but a 20% haircut on grade. I'm just wondering if that's being driven by the redesign, since I thought that it was just a resequencing of stopes. And then just wondering with the $250 increase in gold price assumption, just wondering if we should have expected a greater sensitivity on ounces at Hale and McRae's? Just trying to understand how to think about the update and how much offset to depletion was driven by the higher gold price.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, well, I mean, the gold price assumption change had a very little effect overall. It had a minor positive effect, I think, of around $1. 110,000 ounces of the uplift, but the primary driver of the uplifting reserve edition was through the drill bed. But I'll let Craig answer that question as it relates to DDPO.

speaker
Craig Debrie
Chief Exploration Officer

Craig? Thanks, Jared. So, Wayne, could you just come back with the second part of that question, please? Was it the reduction in total ounces there at DDPO?

speaker
Wayne Lam
Analyst, TD Securities

Yeah, just wondering in terms of the drivers of the increased tonnage and the lower grade.

speaker
Craig Debrie
Chief Exploration Officer

Yeah, so it's simply a matter of what Jared described in general. It's those, the ounces are there, but the grade, the tonnage is increased. So it's had a reduction in the grade, but total ounces have remained similar.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

But Wayne, as I heard your question too, the Breccia redesign has not altered the reserve. All that Breccia high-grade ore is still in the reserve. We actually have a greater degree of confidence of getting it out. That didn't alter the reserve. The additions, I think, to the DPO were through the drill bit, down towards the bottom of the ore body.

speaker
Wayne Lam
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay, understood. And maybe just last one at WAHI. The PFS I think you guys recently put out had production in 2025, much similar to what you guys had produced in 24. And just wondering what's driving your increased confidence in the remnant mining where the 25 guide seems to be a step change higher versus the most recent tech report.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, good spot, Wayne. It is higher. A nice bit of good news. And that's just born of the confidence that we have in that improvement in remnant mining that Peter spoke about. Look, it has been challenging over the last two years. But if you look at the last quarter and the last four months of last year, the team were extracting ore at grade at a rate higher than it has ever been achieved since Martha Underground started in 2021. So it is actually a reflection of confidence in the performance of Waihi to deliver higher than what we expected when we prepared the technical report, which is getting on about eight months ago from the first induction of assumptions for it.

speaker
Gerard

Okay, great. Thanks. Thanks for taking my questions. And to David, thanks for everything and wish you the best of luck.

speaker
David

Thank you. Your next question is from Ove Habib from Scotiabank.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Your line is now open.

speaker
Ove Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thanks, operator. Hi, Gerard and Oceana Gold team. Congrats to the team on a solid Q4. A couple of questions from me. A couple of questions have already been answered. I'll move on to just in terms of the guidance provided, CAPEX was higher than our expectations. If you can give us a little bit color in terms of the CAPEX being higher going into 2025, is that mostly hail and the stripping at Leadbetter? And then part two of that, good to see production increasing in CAPEX falling off in 2026. Does the 2026 CAPEX include the CAPEX for WKP?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, thanks for the questions, Ovaeus. If I'm thinking about a bill, the cash costs of the company year on year are broadly unchanged, which is good. The driver of the increase in oil and sustaining costs primarily comes from stripping, primarily at hail, for the reasons mentioned. We're just into lead better for longer. And we have higher ore and that harder ore increases the cost of mining it somewhat. We also have more stripping and more fleet maintenance replacement costs at McRae's. That's actually helping us unlock a longer term production profile for McRae's. So a good investment of capital there. And then, so that's the all in sustaining cost element. And then from a non-AIC, the growth capital, we have $40 million applied to WKP advancement for the reasons that we outlined in December. And we have about $7 million going into Palomino development. And then we have higher exploration at all sites. We're spending more money on exploration at all sites in 2025 than we've done before. And then on a multi-year basis, In 2026, WKP is about $100 million of capital. That's in line with what is in the technical report. And Palomino will be spending around $45 million. So the big step up in capital is overwhelmingly funding our organic growth profile.

speaker
Ove Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, got it. Thanks for the color on that, Gerard. And just kind of sticking with Hale, again, you've been having good results, exploration results at the bottom of Leadbetter. Palomino is looking like the next mine to be mined by Underground. When will you start being comfortable to talk about Leadbetter as an Underground contributor?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yes, great question. We continue to drill. We have a lot of analytical work working on the trade-off between whether Ledbetter 4 is going to be best done by underground mining methods or from an open pit. And towards the end of this year, likely this time next year, we'll be unveiling the outcomes of those findings and sharing it via an updated technical report for Hale.

speaker
Ove Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Got it. And then just quickly moving to McRae's, I think Wayne was asking this question. I mean, at the site trip, the key takeaway was that there's opportunity to increase the mine life at McRae's. Does the gold price that you are using now for the reserves sufficient to start adding the mine life, or do you need to see additional exploration upside before starting to give us more color on how the mine life is improving?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Oh, no, we don't have to update, do any more. Don't have to update the price. And there's a big gap between our reserve price and our resource price and current spot or even some of your moderate outlook from a mine planning perspective of the gold price. So, you know, the investment in stripping, the mine plan's been changed. We're doing a little more stripping. And because we expect to be mining for longer, we're doing more. We're doing about four or five truck rebuilds next year. to basically keep that fleet capable of mining at McCrae's for longer. But no, it's not driven. We don't need any increase in reserve to warrant that increase in investment. Got it.

speaker
Ove Habib
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, that's it for me. Thanks for taking my questions. And again, also wanted to say all the best to David. Hope we cross paths in the future.

speaker
Gerard

Thank you, Mike.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question is from Cosmos Chu from CIBC. Your line is now open.

speaker
Cosmos Chu
Analyst, CIBC

Hi. Thanks, Jared and team, and all the best. Maybe my first question is on DDPO. As Peter mentioned, and Jared, you mentioned as well, there's reduced mining at the higher-grade retro stoves and for water management as well. It sounds like it's been factored into your guidance for 2025 and also 2026. But it sounds like it might be a two-year sort of issue. Did I listen correctly? And if that's the case, should it improve beyond 2026?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, I mean, I'll have a go. And then, Peter, feel free to add anything. The main driver is the Breccia Stoke redesign, right? In the near term, when you take the percentage of high-grade ore and lower as a percentage of the overall feed mix, that has a moderating effect on the near-term production profile. But again, because of the change in mining method, we're now much higher confident of getting it all out. So it's a good business and value-oriented decision to do so. You'd have to wait for the updated technical report, which Peter spoke of. That's going to come in this time next year. We'll be looking to share it where you'll see the benefits of drilling. You'll see the benefits of that uplift in the underground feed rates to the mill. As again, Peter mentioned that we remain confident that by the end of 2026, we'll be at that 2.5 million tonnes per annum, which is above the 2 million tonnes per annum we were doing prior to the rainfall events. And that has a big impact on the production profile. So to answer your question, over the next two years, you've probably got the profile of DDPO reflected in the guidance. But beyond that, we remain confident that the uplift in mining rate will give us a net improvement in overall production from DDPO because of that great uplift of feed to the mill.

speaker
Cosmos Chu
Analyst, CIBC

If Peter's got nothing else to add, maybe I can move on. Maybe moving to hail. As you mentioned, you're encountering harder ore. Jared, are you looking into longer-term solutions to deal with this harder ore, optimizing drilling patterns or adding equipment? Is there anything that you can do with it?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, look, I mean, just the first order of business is just increase the density of explosives, just increase your fragmentation, right? So that increases your explosives costs, but that's the first order of business. We had an additional crushing capacity there for a period. We trial the crusher. We will continue to look at that. We slowed the rate of processing down to get greater recovery because, again, we want to get the higher recovery levels. We did get higher recovery in the year. But no, this is something that isn't rocket science. It's just the reality of what geology has given us. And so we remain confident that we'll be able to get the highest recovery of the gold from the ore mine. But it has just slowed the rate of growth. I'd also say that the near-term effect of the change in stripping profile means that a lot of the benefits of this opening up of Leadbetter 3 are experienced in the years after 2026 as well. And we have really good access to Leadbetter 3 or once we complete the stripping campaign in 2025, in about the third quarter, And that's what's one of the primary drivers of the uplift in 2026. And we'll continue to have that benefit and higher grade production from hail in 2027 as well.

speaker
Cosmos Chu
Analyst, CIBC

That sounds great. And then maybe that leads in well to my next question here, Jared. You know, Leadbetter Phase 3, you should get a full year's worth of contribution in 2026. Can you remind me how long, you know, Leadbetter Phase 3 is? expected to contribute, and when's the transition to potentially Leadbetter Phase 4?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I think it's about three years, Wayne. Sorry, three years of Leadbetter 3, and then we get into the decision of Leadbetter 4. So it'd be around 2028 you're looking for that decision to have been affected and reflected in your mining.

speaker
Cosmos Chu
Analyst, CIBC

We do look the same, Wayne and I, so you're not mistaken. So maybe I'll ask a question that Wayne might ask. In terms of guidance, your cost guidance for 2025, there's an increase from last year. 1900, 2050 announced. Last year was 1777 announced on sustaining costs. What kind of inflationary levers have you factored into your numbers? And where are you seeing the highest inflation? I guess, for example, in the US, there might be inflation, but you don't really get the benefit in terms of a weaker foreign currency. So help me understand what you factored in.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, well, the most driver of the cost is activity-related, right? So if you do more stripping... and that that stripping is of hard or all, that's the primary driver of the cost. And then likewise at McCrae's, a great investment in stripping and that fleet replacement. So the primary driver of the increase is activity. You're right, Cosmos, that the currency inoculation of hail does not exist. It's a US dollar business, US dollar costs. By contrast, New Zealand dollar and the Philippines peso, you'll see their currencies have softened against the US dollar and that gives us a nice bit of protection against local inflation. Inflation is real. We have inflation of around 4% to 5% in labor and that plays out to about 40 odd percent of our overall cost base. And that rate of inflation in labour varies according to the skills that you're acquiring. And in our industry, and this is not new news in our industry, there is a shortage of skilled tradespeople. And what we do find is that filling skilled trades roles is year on year a little more expensive and above the average rate of inflation. But, you know, we do have... best to recruit and retain our own, but when we have to supplement those with contract labor, that comes to us at a higher cost.

speaker
Cosmos Chu
Analyst, CIBC

Great. Thanks, Jared and team. Those are the questions I have. Thanks for answering my questions.

speaker
Gerard

Thank you, Cosmos. Appreciate it.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Once again, that is star one. Should you wish to ask a question? And your next question is from Mike Parkin from National Bank Financial. Your line is now open.

speaker
Mike Parkin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Thanks, guys, for taking my question. Just to follow up on Cosmos and Wayne's kind of comments around hail and ore hardness, is it like the underground mines are all in this harder ore in the bottom of the open pits? Like, do you have a sense of what percentage of your reserves are impacted by this need to kind of tighten up last patterns? Yeah. slightly higher mining costs to address the ore hardness?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

I think it's primarily open pit. The ore hardness has been the surprise. The hardness of the ore from underground has not been as a surprise and is not the issue. I think this is a great opportunity for David on his final conference call to answer that question as well. David?

speaker
David Landano
Chief Operating Officer, Americas

Hi, Mike. Yes, it's mostly the upper pit, and what we found in Level 2 is that the amount of hard ore that we found was bigger than we did in Level 1. So we expect the same thing to happen in Level 2 and Level 3. So the quantum is in the bottom of the pit and in the high-grade ore.

speaker
Mike Parkin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay. Okay, that's... No real surprise at the end there, Pam. That's great. Thank you, and David, all the best in your future endeavors, or hopefully you get to put your feet up and enjoy a drink.

speaker
Gerard

Thank you, Mike.

speaker
David

Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

There are no further questions on the phone lines. We will now proceed with the webcast question. Rebecca, please go ahead.

speaker
Rebecca Emery
Vice President of Investor Relations

Thanks, Operator. One question coming from online. Could you please talk through the guidance for DeDivio? Wouldn't we be expecting much higher production versus this year, given the higher 2 million tons per annum underground mining rates and hopefully lower impact of storms?

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks for the question. Yeah, the story of increasing the underground mining rates remains intact. We expect to be at the 2.5 million tonne per annum mining rate by the end of 2026. The primary driver of the change in production is the reshaping of the timing of the feed from the high-grade Gretscher zone. That's the high-grade ore. And the uplift in tonnes that will come through that 2.5 million tonnes will be from the lower-grade monzenite stoves. This monzenite is still higher grade than the stockpiles, But because if you take out the feed percentage, which I think is around 20% of the feed that was going to come from the pressure zones, that gets moderated. That's what moderates the overall rate of production in the longer term from the DDPO. But we still do expect that that uplift in mining rate to have a net positive effect on the production from the DDPO.

speaker
Rebecca Emery
Vice President of Investor Relations

That concludes the questions from the webcast. I'll now pass back to Gerard for closing remarks.

speaker
Jared Bond
President and Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks, everyone, for dialing in. Again, a big thank you to David Londono for three and a half years of tremendous contribution to Oceana Gold. Wishing him the best. Thanks, everyone, for participating and have a wonderful day. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, the conference has now ended. Thank you all for joining when we all disconnect our line.

Disclaimer

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