Russel Metals Inc.

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to our 2024 second quarter results call for Russell Metals. Today's call will be hosted by Marty Jurowski, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, and John Reed, President and Chief Executive Officer at Russell Metals, Inc. Today's presentation will be followed by a question and answer period. At that time, if you have a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. and I would like to turn the meeting over to Marty Jurowski. Please go ahead, sir.

Great. Thanks very much, operator. I appreciate it. Good morning, everyone. I'll provide an overview of the Q2 2024 results, and if you want to follow along, I'll be using the PowerPoint slides that are posted to our website, and all you just need to do is go to the investor relations section, and it's located in the conference call submenu. If you go to page three, you can read our cautionary statement on forward-looking information. So let me start with a little bit of perspective on Q2, as I think that there's just probably three or four summary observations that I'd like to start off with. One, we performed exceptionally well, not just this quarter, but relatively consistently over the past several quarters, even though there's been a lot of steel price volatility. Over the past quarter alone, the benchmarks for sheet and plate have come off by 17% and 12% respectively compared to Q1, but our consolidated revenues are in fact up. I think this is the most recent example of how we've taken a lot of volatility out of the business. Second, there's been a lot of behind-the-scenes work by the company in preparing for the Samuel acquisition, which is expected to close in mid-August, and I'll discuss that in more detail in a few minutes. But a big thank you to the internal team who've worked exceptionally hard to get us through the competition bureau process, as well as some heavy lifting in terms of integration planning. Third item, there have been a lot of behind-the-scenes initiatives in addition to the Samuel acquisition that provide us with a springboard for our other initiatives. One, we've got a whole bunch of CapEx and facility modernizations underway, and I'll go through those later in the discussion as well. We've also made a bunch of changes to our capital structure, our debt structure, with the new unsecured bank deal and the redemption of our legacy notes. So again, puts us in a very good position going forward. Lastly, we are fairly active in the quarter on our share buyback program, as we have the capital structure flexibility to both invest in the business as well as opportunistically return capital to shareholders. So with that being said, let me start with the details of the materials here and we can start on page five. As said earlier, we've seen a lot of underlying steel price volatility over the past while as both sheet and plate prices came down during the quarter. That said, there appears to be a floor for sheet with the recent price hike in the past day or so. And when we take the price environment into account with our business, it appears that Q3 will be a bit of a transitionary quarter, as the price and margin compression that occurred in the early part of Q3, along with having fewer operating days in Q3 due to summer holidays, will negatively impact our Q3 margins and bottom line results, but with margin recovery expected into early Q4, and then into 2025. On the supply chain inventories, they bounced around a bit, but remain in a similar zone over the past few months. In addition, there are a number of producers who have scheduled maintenance coming up over the next couple months, and that should moderate production for the industry. Lastly, demand has been steady across our businesses. On page six, we have a snapshot of our historical results. The key takeaway for all these charts and these metrics is that over the past few quarters, we've generated pretty steady results. If we look across some of the various charts going from the top left, revenues were up a bit versus Q1, have been running at around that $1.1 billion per quarter mark for several quarters. EBITDA was $86 million, EBITDA margin was 8% and EPS was 84 cents a share. All of these were similar to up slightly versus Q1. Our annualized return on invested capital came in at 19% again. In looking at the public comps that have already reported, we remain an industry leader on that metric. Lastly, in terms of capital structure, we have net cash of 237 million versus net debt of almost 500 million at the end of 2019, so plenty of dry powder as we look at continuing with our various initiatives. Going into more detail with our financial results on page seven, From an income statement perspective, I covered several high-level items on the previous page, but a few other items to note. Revenues of $1.1 billion was up 1% from Q1. This was in spite of the downward pressure on steel prices. Gross margins both in dollars and percent were down 1% from Q1, but EBITDA, EBIT, and earnings were all up slightly as it reflects the variable cost nature of our expense profile. Our Q2 results were impacted by a few non-operational items. Stock-based comp was an $8 million recovery versus nil in Q1. The Samuel acquisition integration cost, legal costs were another million dollars, and we had a million dollars in non-recurring cash charge for the write-off of the deferred financing costs on the redeemed 6% notes. From a cash flow perspective in Q2, we generated $6 million from working capital We had an increase in inventory, which is mostly a timing issue, with an inventory pickup in our steel distributor segment. And I'll go through that in a little bit more detail in a few minutes. And that was offset by a decline in AR and an increase in accounts payable. Share buybacks were active with 1.5 million shares for $56 million before tax. That being said, this was the first quarter where the federal government's buyback tax came into effect, and that cost was a little over $1 million. We increased our dividend in June to $0.42 per share, and that equated to $25 million for Q2, and we've just declared the next quarterly dividend to remain at $0.42 and is payable in mid-September. CapEx of $24 million was in line with our tracking to be around $100 million for 2024 as our key discretionary projects continue to advance. From a balance sheet perspective, we are in a net cash position of $237 million. In the quarter, we redeemed $150 million of the 6% notes. In July, we put in place a new unsecured bank facility with no borrowing-based restrictions and investment-grade financial covenants. The remaining $150 million of notes, the 5.75% notes, become par callable in October. Our liquidity is $768 million at the end of June, which is before the completion of the new bank deal in July, which added another $150 million to our available liquidity. Our book value per share continued to go up in spite of the share buyback program and is now $28.22 per share at the end of June. On page eight, we show our EBITDA variance analysis between last quarter and this quarter. For the service centers, the volumes were up from Q1, but our margins were down. There was also a $5 million reduction in operating costs, which is a function of our variable compensation that toggles up and down with our financial results. Energy field stores was down slightly, as was steel distributors. In the other bucket, there was an $8 million favorable impact from lower mark-to-market on stock-based compensation and also the seasonal recovery at our Thunder Bay terminal operations. If we go to page 9, there's our segmented P&L information. For service centers, revenues declined slightly as prices were down, but volumes were up. And I'll go through some of these metrics in a little bit more detail on the next page. In our energy field stores, we are continuing to see really solid performance. Q2 revenues were up. Margins came down slightly, resulting in earnings being down slightly, but the business remains pretty steady, and as you can see, and as the margins have remained at around that 25% level. Distributors' revenues were up, margins and operating profit were down. The logistics improved for product coming in from overseas suppliers, which led to higher volumes and revenues in the quarter, but that higher activity was offset by lower margins in parts of that business. On page 10, we are showing a deeper dive on the metrics specifically related to our mental service center business. The top right graph is the past five years of tons shipped. And in Q2, our volumes were up 2% versus Q1, reflecting pretty steady takeaway. And as we benchmark ourselves against the volume from our other publicly traded comps on a same-store basis, our 2% growth in volume demonstrates market gain in the quarter. On the bottom left graph, we have the revenue and cost goods sold per ton. On revenue per ton, our price realizations decreased by 4%. while cost of goods sold decreased by 1%, which resulted in a decline in margins that is showing on the bottom right chart. Going into Q3, as I mentioned earlier, we expect average margins to be down versus Q2, as the margins at the end of the quarter were lower than the average for Q2. And this should self-adjust as we get that price stabilization, as I was talking about earlier. On page 11, we have illustrated our inventory turns. This chart shows the inventory turns by quarter for each segment, energy in red, service centers in green, and steel distributors in yellow, and the black line is the average for the whole company. Overall, our inventory turns remain pretty steady at the 3.9. By sector, our service centers remain strong at 4.6. Our energy field stores came up to 3.6 from 3.2, while steel distributors declined slightly to 2.3 from 2.4. On page 12, we have the impact of inventory turns on inventory dollars. Total inventory was up slightly compared to March as there was a pickup in our distributors segment due to overseas logistic issues that I previously mentioned. This should continue to streamline through the early part of Q3 as product arrives into Canadian ports and then moves on to our customers. On page 13, we have the overall impact on capital utilization and returns. Our capital deployment remained at just over $1.4 billion. More importantly, our returns continue to be industry-leading with last 12-month return on invested capital of 19%. Page 14, just probably an update on our capital structure. And there have been a number of changes during Q2 and also subsequent quarter end. In July, we closed on our revamped bank deal. Our bank group has recognized the significant evolution in our credit profile, and we now have a more traditional investment-grade type bank structure that has no borrowing-based formula, is unsecured, and has flexible financial covenants. The new bank deal was upsized by $150 million from the previous deal, and this gives us ample liquidity to call the $150 million of 5.75% notes that become par callable in October. With the redemption of those notes, the already completed redemption of 150 of 6% notes in Q2, and the modernization of our bank structure, we'll have removed all the legacy elements of our former debt structure, and we now have a very clean slate going forward, which gives us significantly more flexibility. Lastly, our equity base per share continues to grow, as you see on the right-hand chart, in spite of our share buybacks. And this chart on the right shows our book value per share of $20.22. which is $1.81 per share increase since this time last year. On page 15, we have an update on our capital allocation priorities going forward. And some of these I'll dive into in more detail in a second. But given our strong balance sheet, it really remains a multi-pronged approach to do a variety of things that make good common sense and good economic sense. From an investment perspective, we're seeking average returns over the cycle greater than 15%, as already discussed, and we've delivered well above that target. The ongoing opportunities are threefold. We are continuing to identify the value-added project opportunities, facility modernizations. We have five underway that are tracking for completion at various times towards the end of this year. And I'll go through a bit of an update on this front in a few minutes. And then in terms of acquisitions, we are targeting to close the Samuel acquisition on August 12th, and we are continuing to explore other growth opportunities from acquisitions. For returning capital to shareholders, we adopted a flexible approach. In May, we announced the 5% increase in our quarterly dividend to take it to 42 cents per share, and we have declared another 42 cents per share for the dividend that will be payable in September. For the NCIB, we are very active in the quarter with 1.5 million shares acquired for $56 million. That equates to $38.08 per share for this quarter. And if we roll back to August of 2022, when we first put our share NCIB in place, since that time we've acquired about 5 million shares, which equates to about 8% of our shares outstanding at an average price of $36.30. We expect to continue to utilize the NCIB on an opportunistic basis. On page 16, just given a longer term context around some of those topics, returning capital to shareholders, top left graph, you can see the dividend profile over an extended period of time with the just announced 42 cents per share per quarter that will be payable in Q3. And we'll continue to regularly revisit the appropriate dividend level to take into account our capital structure earnings profile, as was done when we lifted the dividend in both May of 2023 and in May of 2024. On the bottom left chart, that's where we have the quarterly NCIB activity since we put it in place in mid 2022. It does illustrate that we don't have a hardwired or fixed approach to the program, but view it as an opportunistic way to buy back shares. And we've been more aggressive at certain price points than others, including this past quarter. On the bottom right chart, the impact of the NCIB has been a gradual reduction of our shares outstanding over the past two years. that has resulted in that 8% reduction in our share accounts. On the top rate chart, the aggregation of the dividends versus the NCIB over the past year shows a relatively balanced approach. Not the same quarter to quarter, but over an extended period of time, it's been relatively balanced. Over the past 12 months, we've acquired a little over $100 million of our shares, and the current run rate for our dividends tracks to around $99 million per year. Note that also what's interesting is the cash outflow for our dividends has remained consistent around $24, $25 million per quarter as our share buybacks have offset the per share increase in our dividends. On page 17, I have a bit of an update on the Samuels acquisition. As I said earlier, we have a targeted close date of August 12th, so that's not too far away. And again, I'd just really like to repeat my appreciation, John and my appreciation to all the folks internally and frankly the coordination with the folks at Samuel as well in getting ready for this transaction closing. It's a complicated transaction in terms of transitional planning and there's been an awful lot of effort from a whole series of folks at Russell in getting ready for this position. So the deal structure itself has remained unchanged but there are two updates. One, since we announced the deal, Samuel's inventory has come down by about $40 million, and you can see that into the chart below where it went from $154 million at September 23 to $114 million, which was the latest balance sheet at June 30 of this year. And the deal structure was set up so that the purchase price moved up or down on a dollar-for-dollar basis with any changes in working capital. As a result of the sizable reduction in inventory, there will be a direct reduction in that element of the purchase price and moves us forward in terms of our goal of trying to right-size the capital invested in this business. For administrative simplicity, we also elected to not assume most of the accounts payable component of working capital. Again, it's really an administrative and not an economic impact. As illustrated on the chart, at September 30th of 2023, that represented about $46 million dollars. Therefore, a closing will not take over that liability, and it will be in a position to then just rebuild that accounts payable in normal course, which will be a source of cash flow for us in the first few months. Again, it's really an administrative reason that we've done that, and it really doesn't have any impact from an economic standpoint. On page 18 and 19, I want to provide an update of our facility modernization CapEx projects And we've historically talked a lot about the value added projects that we're doing, but a big part of our CapEx investments is also related to these facility modernizations. And in some ways, not are they only going to be facility modernizations that enhance our product flow, improve logistics, provide health and safety benefits, but they also give us the space as we want to put in more and more value added equipment into some of these facilities that were space-constrained in the past. On page 18, there's some recent pictures of the Greenfield project in Saskatoon. It's well underway and we expect to be moving in later this summer. The project involves relocating our business to a new industrial park in Saskatoon that has much better logistics, improved facility layout than our previous locations in the city. But equally important, It'll also be freeing up some value from the real estate at our legacy location. And this type of scenario is sort of illustrative of some of the other alternatives we are considering with our legacy real estate in other locations. On page 19, there are four facility modernizations in our U.S. operations. Each example is taking an existing footprint and adding a sizable expansion to accommodate the growth in volumes as well as accommodate the opportunity to add some of the value-added equipment. It's also interesting to note that two of these four projects are locations that came by the Boyd acquisition. And one of the important things that we look for in acquisitions is the opportunity to strategically deploy incremental capital to growing those acquired businesses. And the example in Joplin and Little Rock are perfect examples of growth that came through those acquisitions. Page 20 is a chart that we've not shown before, but I think it illustrates the significant change in our portfolio over the last couple years. And we've discussed in the past how our actions have reduced the volatility of our operating results and have raised the floor through the cycle. And the top graph, it's a little bit busy, so let me walk you through it in a second. And it's a snapshot from 2020, and each of those dots represents represented each of our business units that we had at that point with one access being gross margin and the other access being return on net assets. And what's also interesting is 2020 was a very difficult year from an economic perspective being at the front end of COVID. So it was a really great year to test how businesses can perform. All businesses do reasonably well in up years. It's really a question of how they're doing in a down year. So that's why when we look at stuff from 2020, it provided us a frame of reference for how challenging some of our businesses were. The red dots represent the business units that had experienced challenges and were frankly a drag on our results and where remedial action was required. And all of those business units, those underperforming business units, have been fixed or monetized in one way or another. So there was an awful lot of listing attached to it. But when we talk about the changes in our business, It was a whole series of actions. And again, using this snapshot back to 2020, you can see the impact of what those did to drag our results in 2020 and have since been course corrected. In addition, we've invested in our core operations through acquisitions like Sanborn, Boyd, Alliance, and shortly Samuels, as well as the CapEx initiatives that we've talked about many times in the past. And so it's continuing to reinvest in those opportunities that add to our green dots and at the same time that we've dealt with those problematic business units as illustrated by the red dots. The impact of all those initiatives is somewhat illustrated in the bottom chart, where this past cycle has resulted in stronger earnings during the up cycle, modest use of working capital during the up cycle, and lower earnings downside in situations where steel prices encountered the volatility that they've encountered over the past few quarters. So in closing, on behalf of John and other members of the management team, I'd like to express our appreciation to everyone within the Russell family for your contributions. In particular, many people have really stepped up and provided significant leadership and demonstrated the commitment and teamwork as we continue to make inroads in advancing the business. So operator, that concludes my introductory remarks. If you'd now please open the line up for questions.

Certainly, sir. Ladies and gentlemen, as stated, if you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by 1 on your touchtone phone. Also, should you decide to withdraw from the question queue, you will need to press star followed by 2. And if you're using a speakerphone, please lift the handset before pressing any keys. Please go ahead and press star 1 now if you do have any questions. And your first question will be from James McGarrigle at RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.