2/20/2026

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to Ciena Senior Living Inc's Q4 2025 conference call. Today's call is hosted by Nitin Jain, President and Chief Executive Officer, and David Hung, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments of Ciena Senior Living Inc. Please be aware that certain statements or information discussed today are forward-looking and actual results could differ materially. The company does not undertake to update any forward-looking statement or information. Please refer to the Forward-Looking Information and Risk Factors section in the company's public filings, including its most recent MD&A and AIF, for more information. You will also find a more fulsome discussion of the company's results in its MD&A and financial statements for the period, which are posted on CDAR+, and can be found on the company's website, cianaliving.ca. Today's call is being recorded and a replay will be available. Instructions for accessing the call are posted on the company's website and the details are provided in the company's news release. The company has posted slides which accompany the host's remarks on the company website under events and presentations. With that, I will turn the call to Mr. James. Please go ahead, Mr. James.

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Audra. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. 2025 was a year of long-term value creation for Ciena. We added over $800 million of assets to our platform, ended the year with strong organic growth for the 12th consecutive quarter, and enhanced Ciena's balance sheet with the continued support of the capital markets. We issued nearly $700 million of equity and debt, with each issuance being met with strong investor demand. We also expanded our workforce by adding approximately 2,000 team members, and further deepen our impact in the communities we serve. These achievements have increased the scale and quality of Ciena's diversified platform and positioned the company well for continued growth at a compelling time in Canadian senior living. During the fourth quarter, both operating platforms delivered strong results and contributed a successful finish to the year. Same property NOI increased by 15.4% in the retirement segment and by 5.6 percent in long-term care. Key driver of the double-digit increase in the retirement segment were the continued occupancy increase and rental rate growth. Average same-property occupancy was up by 180 basis point year-over-year and has reached 94.7 percent in the fourth quarter. Following the quarter, monthly occupancy was 95.2 percent in January. The result of CNA's retirement segment also reflect higher care revenue. We apply our expertise in clinical care at our retirement platform, which allows residents to stay with us longer as their care needs change. Beyond the strong same property performance in our retirement segment, we are pleased with the results of the company's optimization portfolio. This portfolio includes assets that are undergoing renovations, changes in service offerings, or the addition of new services. Occupancy increased by 790 basis point year-over-year in the optimization portfolio in Q4, and NOI grew by 22.1%. Our focus on better positioning assets within the local markets is clearly delivering results. Additional key driver behind the strong performance of retirement operations are robust sales platform and focused marketing campaigns. Year-over-year, call center leads grew by over 50% in the fourth quarter, and the number of tours in our properties have increased each quarter in 2025. We also maintain a robust focus on hospital outreach and excellent relationships with healthcare partners in the local communities where we operate. All of these initiatives are expected to drive strong lead generation and future movements. With respect to Ciena's long-term care operations, fully occupied homes with growing wait lists, high revenue from private accommodations, and annual inflationary government funding increases all added to the strength of the results. Ciena's government-funded long-term care operations add significant value to our business and provide stability given that they are largely insulated from market volatility or economic uncertainty. Now moving to slide six. In Q4, we started to see the contributions from two recently completed development projects. We opened our redeveloped long-term care community in North Bay in September, followed by our campus of care in Brantford in October. Large-scale development projects require deep expertise and trusted partnerships. With both in place, we are excited to move forward with our next project, which will be our first in the City of Toronto. Located at our existing Glen Rouge site in Scarborough, it will be Siena's largest project to date, with 448 beds and an estimated development cost of about $250 million. The development yield for this project is approximately 7.5% to 8%. After several years of planning, the significant government funding improvements for projects in the GTA were a key driver for us to move forward. The Glen Rouge redevelopment, which is expected to be completed in 2030, will replace 363 existing beds and add 85 much-needed new beds in the Scarborough community. With this development, we will further modernize and strengthen Ciena's Ontario's platform and support the continued growth of companies' long-term care business. 2025 has been a very active year on the acquisition front. With the acquisition of 10 properties across three provinces, we added nearly 1,800 beds and suites to our asset base. During the fourth quarter, you finalized three acquisitions in Ontario, including Kawartha Gardens, a 192-bed long-term care community, and LaSalle Park, a 123-suite retirement residence, both located in the Greater Toronto Area. In addition, we acquired Highgate, a 213-suite retirement residence in Waterloo, Ontario. These acquisitions added $193 million of assets during the final quarter of 2025, and we carried the growth momentum into 2026. Since the beginning of the year, we added another $79 million through acquisitions. We finalized the purchase of interest in two of our majority-owned properties in Ontario and British Columbia and signed a purchase agreement for the Bartlett, a 129-suite retirement residence in the Greater Toronto Area, for approximately $59.4 million, which will be financed with cash on hand. Ciena's acquisition pipeline remains strong and we are confident to continue our significant acquisition pace in 2026. Moving to our team members, as we continue to grow, investing in Ciena's team members is fundamental to our success. With over 15,000 employees, we recognize the importance of programs that support the company's growing workforce. Ciena's strong culture of ownership and engagement played a key role in the continued reduction in turnover. Average company-wide turnover has reached record level low of approximately 19% in 2025. Along with programs focused on team member development, recognition, and rewards, our initiatives also resulted in the fifth consecutive year of increased team member engagement and further strengthened Ciena's operations. It puts us in a strong position to attract and retain the best in Canadian senior living. We are extremely proud of these achievements that reinforce our belief that if we take good care of our team members, they will provide exceptional service to our residents and support the company's strong operating performance. Our focus on enhancing the work experience for CNS team members and improving resident quality of life is reflected in our most recent accreditation results from CARF, where we maintained the highest achievement status and exceeded every benchmark. This commitment is also evident in the continued improvement in the company's Net Promoter Score, which measures residents' likelihood to recommend our homes. Since introducing this measure at our retirement residences in 2023, scores have increased by well over 30% each and every year. With that, I'll turn it over to David for an update on our financial results.

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Thank you, Nitin, and good morning, everyone. I will start on slide 10 for financial results. In my commentary, in accordance with our MD&A disclosure, I will make reference to our operating results excluding one-time items. In Q4 2025, revenue on a proportionate basis increased by 14.2% year-over-year to $278.4 million. This increase was largely due to occupancy and rental rate growth, as well as increased care revenue in the retirement segment. Adding to the increase were the contributions from our long-term care platform, including higher flow-through funding for direct care, increased private accommodation revenue, and additional revenue from acquisitions and developments completed in 2025. Same property NOI increased by 10.1% to $47.4 million in Q4 2025, including by 15.4% in our retirement segment and by 5.6% in our long-term care segment. In the retirement segment, same property NOI increased by $3 million in Q4 2025 compared to last year, largely as a result of improved occupancy and rate growth. In addition, higher care revenue and maintaining a strict focus on operating expenses supported the year-over-year 300 basis point improvement in our same property operating margin. We are also making good progress with respect to our asset optimization initiatives, which included five assets in the company's retirement portfolio. Q4 NOI in the optimization portfolio increased by over 22% year-over-year compared to the same period in 2024. Effective January 1, 2026, we updated the composition of the optimization portfolio and included two additional assets while returning one asset to our same property portfolio after its successful renovation. Occupancy in this property increased from the low 80% range before its renovation to over 95% today. Based on the updated same property portfolio composition, average monthly occupancy reached or exceeded 95% since last September. In the long-term care segment, same property NOI increased by $1.3 million. Continued improvements in private occupancy were the key driver behind the year-over-year growth. During Q4 2025, operating funds from operations increased by 24% to $34.2 million compared to last year, primarily due to higher NOI as a result of organic growth in addition to contributions from acquisitions and developments completed in 2025. Adjusted funds from operations increased by 19.8% to $27.9 million compared to last year. The increase was mainly due to higher OFFO offset by an increase in maintenance capital expenditures. On a per share basis, OFFO and AFFO increased by 7.5% and 3.9% respectively in Q4 2025. 2025 AFFO payout ratio was 80.7% compared to 83.1% in Q4 2024. This improvement highlights Ciena's strong operating results and the disciplined use of capital the company raised to fund its growth. Ciena delivered consistently strong results throughout 2025. In line with Ciena's 2025 growth targets, same property NOI for the full year increased by 14.3 percent in the retirement segment and by 4.8 percent in long-term care. In addition, CNS strong results are reflected in the company's OFFO and AFFO in 2025, which increased by 27.1 percent and 25.7 percent, respectively, or by 5.8 percent and 4.7 percent on a per-share basis. Moving to slide 12, Throughout 2025, Ciena maintained a strong financial position and balance sheet. We ended the year with over $500 million in liquidity and $1.5 billion of unencumbered assets. We continue to have access to a broad range of capital and demand for Ciena's equity and debt remains exceptionally strong. To support Sienna's growth momentum and refinance our debt, we issued $250 million of unsecured debentures in December, and we repaid our $175 million expiring debenture. With this repayment, the company has no major debt maturities until 2027. We also fully deployed our at-the-market distribution program, issuing shares for gross proceeds of approximately $101 million in Q4. And just yesterday, we announced the renewal of the ATM program. This allows the company to issue another $150 million of shares to finance its continued growth initiatives. We will carefully evaluate each opportunity and continue to finance Ciena's growth in a very disciplined manner. With that, I will turn the call back to Nitin for his closing remarks.

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, David. While the broader economic and geopolitical environment remains uncertain, one long-term trend is very clear. Canada's senior population is set to grow significantly over the next two decades, with the oldest baby boomer turning 80 this year. At the same time, senior housing is already operating at high occupancy levels in most markets, and new supply is expected to remain limited for many several years. Against this backdrop, Ciena's assets increased by nearly 30% with the addition of over $800 million through acquisitions and developments. This has allowed us to add meaningful scale to Ciena's long-term care and retirement platforms, supporting both stability and attractive growth opportunities. With our operating depth, strong balance sheet, and the organizational capability to execute, we believe Ciena is in the early stages of a multi-year growth phase. In the near term, this is reflected in Ciena's growth targets for 2026. We expect same property NOI growth in excess of 10% in the retirement segment and in the low single digits in long-term care. We also expect to continue this company's significant growth through acquisitions and further strengthen Ciena's position in the sector. On behalf of our entire team and our board of directors, I want to thank all of you for this call and for your continued support.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. If you have dialed in and would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad to raise your hand and join the queue. If you would like to withdraw your question, simply press star 1 again. We'll take our first question from Lauren Calmar at Desjardins.

speaker
Lauren Calmar
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Thanks. Good morning, everyone. Just quickly on the same property NOI growth expectations, growth expectations that are underpinning that?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Lorne, and good morning. Our 10% plus is made up of rental growth, care revenue increase, and potential further increase in our occupancy targets. Our rental growths have been quite consistent in the 4% range, and we expect them to stay there. And we will continue to see more care revenue as residents are choosing to stay longer and with us, given that we are not afraid of providing more care with our depth of expertise in long-term care.

speaker
Lauren Calmar
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Okay. And then maybe just starting the growth and optimization portfolio, I think you guys are, what, about 13 homes now. How much NOI upside is there in that portfolio, and how long do you think it'll take to realize that?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Yeah, that's a great question, Lauren. So just to clarify, within our growth and optimization portfolio, we only have six properties within the optimization portfolio. The others are assets that we acquired in 2025. And in terms of the potential, our margins within the optimization portfolio were at around 24%. in Q4, and we would expect over the medium term that they would get back towards our same property margins.

speaker
Lauren Calmar
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Okay. And then I guess the growth is kind of the ones in lease-up and the acquisitions. All right. And then maybe just quickly turning to the Glen Rouge announcement. If I read correctly, I think it is is this development replacing multiple Class C homes?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Correct, Lawrence. So it replaces Glen Rouge, and it also replaces another home nearby and adds additional capacity. We have quite a bit of land on the site, which is difficult to find in GTA. So we have four acres of land at Glen Rouge, so it will be combining two homes and adding additional beds.

speaker
Lauren Calmar
Analyst, Desjardins Securities

Okay, and then maybe just one last quick one. In terms of just how do you plan to fund that development? Will that be on the operating line?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Yeah, we would be looking at some form of debt, whether it's on the operating line, potentially a construction loan, or other form of debt.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay, perfect. Thanks so much. I'll turn it back. Thank you.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

And next, we'll move to Jonathan Kelcher at TD Cowen.

speaker
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst, TD Cowen

Thanks. Just continuing on the Glen Rouge development, fair-sized development, do you envision starting any more developments this year, or is this going to be sort of given the size, it's just going to sort of carry you through for the next few years?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Jonathan. We have two other projects which are getting close to shovel-ready. And so we will look at those. One of the commitments we have is not to have our balance sheet too much into development. So that is something we will continue to manage. We're also not 30% bigger since where we were last year. So we might have a capacity to add another project. But those are some of the things we are assessing, you know, against the potential return of these new developments. So I think too early for us to commit. It's only February. but we might have an opportunity to add another one later in the year.

speaker
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay, and assuming you continue growing, then next year probably for sure, just given that, you'll likely be that much bigger?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Is that a way to think about it? Correct, and also these projects take multiple years. So when we start Glen Rouge, this is going to take two to three years, three years to complete. So if you have two or three projects at the go, we have Keswick, which we expect to complete, in the later half of next year. So when that completes, it gives us more capacity to add something. So for us, there's a bit of a rolling thing of as projects get completed, we'll get started on the new ones.

speaker
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay, and I guess just switching gears on the cash taxes were a little bit lower than we had anticipated in Q4. And I guess part of that's due to the timing of acquisitions. Can you maybe give a little bit of color on that and assuming you're going to be acquiring a similar amount of assets this year, how should we think about cash taxes in 2026?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Sure, that's a good question, Jonathan. You're absolutely right. Our cash taxes got the benefit of the acquisitions of Highgate and LaSalle, which we did close in December of 2025. And so with the acquisition of those two properties, we were able to take a full year of capital cost allowance deduction. and able to get a benefit of around $2 million to lower our cash taxes in Q4 of 2025. I think as we're thinking about 2026, the way that I would think about it is taking 2024, which had no acquisitions, and 2025, which had $800 million of acquisitions and redevelopment, and using a cash tax rate that is somewhere in between those two years. And then, of course, we don't have any kind of forecast in terms of acquisitions for 2026, so that any additional CCA would have to be layered on top of that for potential acquisitions in this upcoming year.

speaker
Jonathan Kelcher
Analyst, TD Cowen

Okay, that's helpful. I'll turn it back. Thanks.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

We'll go next to Mark Rothschild at Canaccord Genuity.

speaker
Mark Rothschild
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Thanks, and good morning. Maybe starting just following up on your comments, so Lauren, to the 10% growth, what is assumed as far as occupancy increase in that, and how much more improvement in occupancy do you think you can get? I don't understand the breakdown in the 10% growth from rent growth versus occupancy.

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Good morning, Mark, and welcome to Sienna's first call for you, and thank you for your for your coverage, the 10%, it is a combination of those three. And your question is very fair on where occupancy can go from here. We are, for lack of a better word, in uncharted territory because 95% occupancy has not happened in retirement before. We continue to believe there is some opportunity to add more, whether that number is 96 or 96 and a half. Frankly, it's a bit too early to tell. And part of it is that at 95% occupancy, we have many homes which are at 100%, 99%. They're running at full occupancy and then a few which are 93, 94. So I would say at this stage, I think saying that we will be around 95% is probably a better answer than to say where it could go from here.

speaker
Mark Rothschild
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, great. And maybe just one more for me. As far as the acquisitions, which... clearly picked up over the past year. Just talk a little bit about how the accretion would look, potential accretion would look on acquisitions in the current environment to the cap rates that you're going to have to pay. To what extent does the cost of equity, you know, what higher share price that you have now helped or is needed for these acquisitions? And also does the fact that you can use partners, maybe earn additional fees, what helps push it into being more accretive?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

I think your answer is in the question you asked, Mark. It's a combination of quite a few of those things. We are very sensitive about partners. We have very few select partners that we continue to work with, including Sabra, which is our biggest partnership, and with Reitman. There we have now two partnerships where it's difficult to find people who think the same way and are aligned, but we fortunately have two partners such as those. So I wouldn't see us... getting big into partnerships just to earn management fees. I think our goal would be to do partnership. It makes strategic sense. End of the day, we are owners and operators of senior living. And, you know, cap rates reflect what is happening in the public market as well. And whenever we underwrite something, we're underwriting it for the long term, so we're very focused on ensuring each property is assessed on a debt-neutral basis because it is always easier to buy something just on debt. So I think it's, for lack of a better word, business as usual. We see a decline in cap rates. We just bought the senior apartment building at 5.75 cap rate, which we would not have done four years back because we were trading differently. But market is recognizing that there is a cap rate differential, and we feel there is still a big gap into where long-term care cap rates are, for example, and what we're seeing in the public space. where a lot of people will assess it in 7 plus, and we haven't found a single long-term care home for sale above 7%. They're more in the 6.5% to 6.75% range.

speaker
Mark Rothschild
Analyst, Canaccord Genuity

Okay, that's very helpful. Thank you so much. I'll turn it back. Thank you.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

We'll move next to Tom Callaghan at BMO Capital Markets.

speaker
Tom Callaghan
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Thanks. Good morning, guys. Maybe just sticking with the acquisition side of things, can you just talk a little bit about the pipeline today and whether or not that's weighted towards one side of the business versus the other? And then maybe just geographically speaking, where are you seeing the most opportunity?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Yeah, no, thanks, Tom, for that question. You know, because we are a diversified company, we operate both in long-term care and retirement. We actually are seeing opportunities in both lines of businesses, and we continue to pursue acquisitions in both lines of businesses. You know, in terms of where we're finding opportunities, they actually are across all the provinces that we operate, Ontario, Alberta, BC. We are quite selective in terms of what we're looking for, but the pipeline remains robust and we continue to be actively looking for opportunities.

speaker
Tom Callaghan
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay, got it. And then maybe just to build on that, do you have a preference, geographically speaking, when you evaluate these different opportunities? Obviously, almost a year ago now, you entered into Alberta. So just how are you thinking about capital allocation from a geographic perspective as you work through these opportunities?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Tom, we don't really have an allocation at this stage, but I guess broadly speaking, Speaking, we have one retirement home in Alberta, which we manage for Sabra. We don't own any, so I think if you buy two, we'll suddenly grow up by 200% there. So we find Alberta to have a lot of opportunity because we're not there yet. We only have four long-term care homes. In Ontario, we have quite a bit of long-term care and retirement homes, but there are also a lot more opportunities in Ontario. So I think it's a bit hard to tell you. For us, the bigger focus is making sure it's a big enough building, the age of the building, the location of the building, the size of the population that is in the market area. So for us, that is more important versus with geography. As David mentioned, the fact we can drive on both lanes on the highway of long-term care and retirement, that has been very effective for us.

speaker
Tom Callaghan
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Makes sense. Thanks. Maybe just last one for me on the expense side of things. Growth is clearly moderated there, agency staffing down materially. And I think you mentioned turnover at record loads in Q4 there. So just how are you thinking about overall expense growth into 2026? And are there areas where you see opportunity for further efficiency gains?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Yeah, I mean, the way we're looking at 2026 is that our operating expenses would be relatively in line with inflation. We think we've done a really good job at, you know, being efficient with respect to our expenses. So I wouldn't say that there'd be a lot more, you know, areas of opportunity, let's say in agency or whatnot. But, you know, we would continue to be very disciplined with our costs and it would grow in line with inflation.

speaker
Tom Callaghan
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Got it. Thanks, David. I'll turn it back.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

And we'll go next to Himanshu Gupta at Scotiabank.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Thank you and good morning. So first on retirement home occupancy, anything on the flu season, how did that impact? How did you handle? And then how's the February or March occupancy looking like?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Hi, good morning, Himanshu. So we are not seeing a huge impact of the flu season. Seasonality, we haven't disclosed February and March results yet. You know, we might see some softness here or there. And I think I would say this would be across the whole year, you know, in question, which was asked earlier, where do we go from here? In our mind, when you're 95% occupancy, you're running pretty close to perfection. So let's say if you have a month which is 94.5, and I'm not foreshadowing what February, March would be. I'm using it as an example. I would think more of it is that this is just, you know, in our mind, you're 94.5 or 95.5. It's pretty close to what 95% occupancy looks like. And the goal is to inch towards an average of 96 throughout the year as you progress because that would be the next milestone, I guess. But we don't think that's more seasonality. I would say that's just more an idea of you have many homes which are running at 100%. If they run at 98%, that's still excellent operations, but it might reduce your occupancy by a few, you know, 10, 20 basis points.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Okay, fair enough. So nothing meaningful as such impact from flu season. Okay, fair enough. And then moving from, you know, stabilized to kind of growth portfolio, How's the lease up coming on the Highgate property in Waterloo? What kind of expectation do you have for stabilization there?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

We don't really get into individual property, but we had a certain expectation from underwriting. Let's say it's 18 months or so to stabilize from 60% to 95% plus. We are well on our way. We had some good early wins on that property. So it's tracking where we thought it would be, if not a little bit better.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Got it. I mean, the reason I ask, is that like a template for your kind of growth portfolio? Like, you know, like the timeframe to stabilize this property from like 65% or 70% to like 95%, like 18 months or so? Like, fair to say that?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

I guess it is fair to say that, but the reality is this is... a one-off, and what I mean by that is the rest of the properties we bought were way ahead in occupancy. The Bartlett is close to 97%. So, you know, if you find something in lower occupancy, yeah, I think that's a reasonable thing that we can potentially get at least a faster, you know, given our scale, if you're buying from an individual owner-operator. But, you know, it really is a mix of things. In Highgate, we think that opportunity exists, but for many others, We bought them at near stabilization, and I think that's a good diverse mix where you have some which are accretive right away, and there's some which will have accretion in 18 months or 24 months, but you will have an opportunity to have a bit extra, which would be the case in high-gate.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Got it. Okay. Thank you. And then on the optimization, I think, David, you mentioned 24% margins in Q4. That's correct. And... Did you give any time frame of getting to that similar to same property margin?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

No, we haven't given any time frames, but what I would say is that we are continually working on our optimization portfolio. Case in point, we had one property that we did significant renovations to, and we were able to get the occupancy from 80% to 95%. And so we've moved that out of the portfolio. Now, that being said, we also moved two in. So we're going to, on an ongoing basis, have maybe one or two movements within the optimization portfolio. But our intention is to get them out of the optimization portfolio as soon as possible.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Got it. Okay, fantastic. Maybe just the last question now. I'm in the popular Toronto Glen Rouge project you announced. I mean, if I look at the development yield, it's very similar to North Bay, or maybe slightly lower than North Bay. While, you know, the government funding has increased significantly in that project in GDA now. I mean, I would have thought, you know, like yield would have been even higher than North Bay. Just can you elaborate? Is there a reason? It's seven and a half to eight here.

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Sure, Himanshu. The whole idea is I think we should expect similar yields, what we saw in North Bay, which was close to 8%. We would see similar for GTA projects. When the funding went up significantly, it wasn't that projects had a 7% yield and the idea was to get them to 10%. The reason government increased the construction funding significantly is that prior to that increase, projects were not viable. Your yields were 4%. So doubling it will get it to 7.5%, 8%. And some of it, it just, you know, this will take a bit longer. You know, the number of beds you're adding new versus old. So that all goes into the math. But in our mind, if you're around in that 8% range, that's probably a good expectation, what you should expect from long-term care projects development, regardless of where they are in the province. And the funding reflects that.

speaker
Himanshu Gupta
Analyst, Scotiabank

Carter, thank you. I have a couple more, but I'll go back in the line now. Okay.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Okay. Thank you, Himanshu.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

We'll go next to Juliana Thornhill at National Bank.

speaker
Juliana Thornhill
Analyst, National Bank

Hey, guys. Good morning, everyone. I just had a question on the guidance. Might I provide something more like Titan? And is this you being cautious or are you kind of more unsure of the improvements in the remainder of the same property portfolio that's unoccupied?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Hi, Giuliano. I wouldn't call it cautious. I mean, this is the beginning of the year. We expect 10% plus retirement, which in our mind is realistic, and low single digits for long-term care. And without getting into is it exactly $600 million, $200 million of development, our idea is that last year was not an anomaly and we should expect a year of growth. So I wouldn't call it conservative or optimistic. I would call it realistic at this stage. And if numbers get better, we will update our outlook at that point.

speaker
Juliana Thornhill
Analyst, National Bank

And would you describe the kind of unoccupied portfolio as similar quality as the already occupied kind of stuff? Or is the pace of leasing going to be similar to what we've seen historically?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, the pace of leasing would be similar. And case in point would be we had one property which we removed from optimization because it got fully optimized. and you put two new in, and there's a chance that something which is running at 95% plus in four years from now might go back into optimization portfolio. Case in point, we have property in Kingston, which is doing well, but we realize there's a good amount of competition. We need to add more care. It needs a much intense renovation, which is hard to do without closing down the suite, so we put it back into optimization, and when it comes back, Our goal is it will get to 95% plus. So some of it is continued occupancy gains in the homes which are not 90%. Some of it might be of homes which are delivering at 95% plus. But we know all of them have a life cycle, especially retirement homes. Similar to hotels, you need to go through renovations at a certain period of time, and we will continue to see that in our retirement portfolio.

speaker
Juliana Thornhill
Analyst, National Bank

And yeah, just going to the optimization portfolio, I'm just wondering, is that win that you had during the year, that 10% kind of occupancy uptake, is that like out of the normal? Can you expect that for the remainder that are in there? Or like over 12 months, that's a pretty big increase. So I'm just wondering if that's what we should expect for what's being moved into there.

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

Yeah, I think that, I mean, it was a significant increase, you know, over the last year. But that being said, I mean, we were working off of a relatively, you know, low base. So the fact that we increased our NOI by 22% year over year was off of a low base. We would expect that going forward, we would continue to have, you know, outsized growth relative to our same property portfolio just because there's so much more opportunity in those properties.

speaker
Juliana Thornhill
Analyst, National Bank

Okay, just the last one that I had is I'm just wondering for the GTA project that was announced, are any of the costs recognized for the land recognized on your balance sheet? And also, where did the incremental bets come from?

speaker
David Hung
Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President, Investments

I can comment on the land, which the land is on existing land for the property that we own. So there is no incremental cost for that. We already own it. So that's just part of our inherent cost.

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

And this project, we put in an application. We have been working on this project for the last four years. So we put in an application for 448 beds four years ago. with the intention one day that things will work out and we will build, and that has happened now. So we had the additional licenses that were given to us to build this.

speaker
Juliana Thornhill
Analyst, National Bank

Okay, so not from a nearby operator.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

That's where it's going. Okay, thank you, guys. Thank you.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

Next, we'll move to Seyram Srinivas at ATB, Cormart Capital Markets.

speaker
Seyram Srinivas
Analyst, ATB Cormark Capital Markets

Thank you, Avrila. Good morning, guys, and congrats on the quarter. You know, most of my questions have already been answered over here, but I just want to ask a quick question on supply. There's a bit of a narrative that, you know, we are starting to see some starts this year with hopes that we'll probably see some buildup in supply towards 2930. Going with your experience on development and retirement, are you seeing economic trends finally pan up to a point where we could see supply take off? And are you seeing supply kind of build up in some of your markets here?

speaker
Nitin Jain
President and Chief Executive Officer

Hi. Good morning. On the question of supply, there was, you know, quite a bit that is coming on supply. I would just maybe talk about four or five different things. One is, as numbers get better, there would be an opportunity to develop, and we just did one in Brantford, which is open, which is a campus of care. But given our demographics, knowing that retirement homes are 95% occupancy, And there are quite a few retirement homes which will get obsolete. We don't own any one of them. The reality is we do need more retirement homes. So I think new supply is not a bad thing, just from a community perspective, because we need more retirement space. We are not seeing massive builds of retirement build. These projects do take a long period of time. So If you and I put our money together and we buy land, I think it's probably 18 months from today to start construction and then 24 months after that for it to open. So even if there was a lot of supply that you're not seeing at that moment, you're three years away from it impacting any part of the market. And again, we have to factor in the demographic change because we are now in a place where baby boomers are coming into Sina Living. And we also have to factor in the obsolete retirement homes, which would no longer be needed. So I think getting new supply is a good thing. It is not coming in fast. The other thing which has changed is we remember buying an 80-bed retirement home for $16 million. So it was a very different cost to build. It was a very different cost to buy. We are now buying properties close to $100 million a home. So it is not a development business for someone who sold something, and now once you get into retirement business, these projects have become complex. They have become bigger. They have become a lot more expensive. So you'll see a lot more sophisticated senior living providers started to build. And for them, they want to make sure the numbers pan out. So I think there will be a lot more discipline than you might have seen in the past.

speaker
Seyram Srinivas
Analyst, ATB Cormark Capital Markets

That makes sense. Thanks, Nathan. I'll turn it back.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you.

speaker
Audra
Conference Operator

And this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

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