Saturn Oil & Gas Inc.

Welcome to Saturn's third quarter 2025 results conference call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode, and the conference is being recorded. After management's remarks, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To join the question queue, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. Should you need assistance during the conference call, you may signal an operator by pressing star then zero. I will now turn the meeting over to Ms. Cindy Gray, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Cindy.

Good morning, everyone, and thanks for attending Saturn's third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Please note that our financial statements, MD&A, and press release have been filed on CR Plus and are available on Saturn's website. Some of the statements on today's call may contain forward-looking information, references to non-IFRS and other financial measures, and as such, listeners are encouraged to review the disclaimers outlined in our most recent MD&A. Listeners are also cautioned not to place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, since a number of factors could cause the actual future results to differ materially from the targets and expectations expressed. The company undertakes no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise, unless expressly required by applicable securities law. For further information on risk factors, please view the company's AIF, filed on CDAR+, and on our website. Also note, all amounts discussed today are Canadian dollars, unless otherwise stated. Today's call will include comments from John Jeffery, Saturn CEO, Justin Kaufman, our Chief Development Officer, and Scott Sanborn, our Chief Financial Officer. I'll now hand the call over to John.

Thank you, Cindy. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for taking the time to join us today. I am pleased to share some additional context around our third quarter results. which reflects another consecutive quarter of our performance as we continue to execute on our blueprint strategy. The Q3 production averaged over 41,100 barrels a day and exceeded our previous guidance as well as analyst consensus, which had us just over 40,000 barrels a day. We also beat guidance on a BOE operating cost in Q3, which came in at $19.24, below the $20 per BOE annual target. This past quarter also showcased Saturn's ability to be nimble. our commitment to allocating capital to the highest potential return opportunities. Given the uncertainty and volatile commodity price environment that prevailed in the quarter, we elected to reduce our original $300 million development capital budget by 18% to approximately $255 million and pivot our focus towards opportunistic tuck-in opportunities. These tuck-ins offered more attractive capital efficiencies than drilling, under $16,000 per flown barrel. Reallocating capital to M&A allowed us to increase production while preserving the value of our existing assets by not drilling them at a time when prices were weak. How we view this is when prices are stronger, we can always go back and drill those wells, but we won't be able to execute on these deals at this pricing level. Further, by coring up in areas where Saturn has strong development success, we can leverage our size, scale, and existing infrastructure. which allows us to optimize production, reduce costs, and enhance the performance of the assets. Our first token acquisition included an asset package in southeast Saskatchewan that was approximately 4,100 BOE a day, comprising just under 70% liquids, for a total consideration of $63 million. These acquired assets have an estimated 255 gross company-identified locations, including open-hole multilateral development potential in the Midale and Torquay. The asset features high working interest, optimization, and cost reduction potential, along with extensive opportunities to consolidate facilities and batteries. As Justin will expand on, this package is strategic for Saturn. It expands our runway of open-hole multi-lake drilling locations, which are among the highest rate of return wells in our development program today. With the second tuck-in, which closed in October, we acquired a private company operating in central Alberta. located within Saturn's greater Pemina-Icardium area, for total consideration of approximately $22 million. In addition to its 1,300 barrels a day of low-decline current production, Saturn gained over 80 internally identified drilling locations in Icardium, Glauconite, and Blue Sky development, enhancing our operation in the area. Our operations team has already started digging into these assets to identify cost synergies, optimization opportunities, and streamlining potential. The nature of our conventional asset base had allowed us to be very opportunistic by being able to stay nimble and pivot quickly when market conditions require. We are unique from other peers who are developing resource plays where they can cost tens of millions of dollars with lead times that can take several quarters or even years to plan and execute. With our assets, we can respond and adapt quickly to dynamic market conditions. As a result of production ads from the acquisitions, along with our strong drilling results to date in 2025, Saturn remains on target to exit the year with the production range of 43,000 to 44,000 VOE a day, which will represent a new production record for the company. We are committed to value creation and continue to use share buybacks as an effective way to return capital to shareholders and drive equity value over time. Our team believes a combination of ongoing share buybacks coupled with tuck-in acquisitions, contributes to growing production per share, adjusted funds flow per share, and free funds flow per share. For example, August 2024 to today, we have bought back nearly 16 million shares in the open market through the NCAB and SIP, returning approximately $36 million to shareholders. Over a similar time frame, we have also increased our production per share by 22%. I'm extremely proud of the team who continue to give 110%, putting in the hard work needed to advance Saturn's goals and deliver compelling value for our shareholders, while prioritizing safety to ensure that every one of our employees makes it home safe at the end of every night. I'll now pass it over to Justin to expand on our capital program and development highlights in the quarter. JK, over to you.

Thanks, John, and good morning, everyone. As John mentioned, Saturn made the decision to shift a portion of our 2025 drilling capital to M&A during Q3, as we identified two tuck-in opportunities that would compete for capital in the prevailing commodity price environment, and which we could acquire for attractive metrics. Our Q3 production does include new volumes from the Southeast Saskatchewan tuck-in acquisition, but it also showcases our ongoing tight curve outperformance, plus the start of our drilling program after spring break-up, which supported the guidance beat. Our Bakken open-hole multi-lab program and conventional spearfish development wells coming online in Q3 contributed to another quarter of strong results. Saturn invested $87 million of capital in Q3, with $58 million of that directed to drilling and completion activities, including 29 gross wells, 23 of which were in southeast Saskatchewan and six in central Alberta. We also directed $17 of undeveloped land, which we believe will unlock 60 new open-hole multilateral locations, representing five years of drilling inventory to an additional rig in southeast Saskatchewan. Our open-hole multilateral locations in southeast Saskatchewan offer some of the shortest payouts and highest potential returns among our undeveloped locations, even in a softening oil price environment. Several of our open-hole falcon wells ranked as Saskatchewan's top 10 best performing wells over the last year. Most recently, our 1621 well was ranked as a top 10 well in the province in September for monthly oil volume and daily oil rate. This is a testament to how prolific these wells continue to be. We are excited about the potential we see with this program and our open hole inventory currently represents about 15% of the 2500 total identified locations in our portfolio. The open hole multi lab portion of this portfolio is essentially doubled every year for the last three years, as we continue to progress this exploitation technique to other plays. Most recently, we continued this expansion into the spearfish play, where we became the first and only operator in Canada to have drilled in an open-hole multilateral spearfish well, and now we have drilled three of them. Our third spearfish well at 16.05 came online during the quarter with an IP30 rate of 330 barrels a day. This is about three times our internal estimate type curve of 110 barrels a day. These initial strong results support our plans to drill four additional Spearfish open-hole multilateral wells next year. Building on this success, we are planning two open-hole multilateral reentries into the Midale in Q4 with up to six legs each. This would represent the first ever Midale open-hole multilateral reentry wells ever drilled. These wells are expected to be drilled on land acquired through the southeast Saskatchewan More broadly, we expect to allocate up to 35% of our 2026 development capital to our open-hole multilateral program, including plans to drill our first of two Torquay open-hole multilateral wells. With this, we expect to be the most active open-hole multilateral driller in Saskatchewan next year. And if oil prices further weaken, we can shift more capital to this program, positioning us to generate compelling returns and robust economics, even in very weak price environments. In addition to our open-home multilateral development, we continue to advance the criminal water flood in Saskatchewan, where we currently have five active injectors. In late October, we received regulatory approval to convert another two producers into injectors, which not only support base production, but also fuels future repressurized development locations. Investing in water floods is part of Saturn's ongoing strategy to mitigate declines and enhance our long-term sustainability. In Alberta, we finalized the drilling and completion of our three-well Monty pad featuring three-mile extended reach laterals. These wells are the longest laterals on record to ever be drilled in the Cape Bob area. The north well on this pad has the most productive days and is already exceeding tide curve expectations. The south two are still cleaning up, but based on reservoir quality observed while drilling, we do expect similar results once they've reached peak production. Finally, I'm proud to share that ever on record during the quarter, drilling to 5,090 meters measured depth on a single draft, achieving well completion from surface casing to total depth in only 4.8 days. These best-in-class results are another example of Centre's commitment to enhancing efficiencies while operating safely and responsibly. With that, I'll hand things over to Scott for an overview of our financial results.

Thanks, Justin. Saturn demonstrated continued resilience this quarter despite a challenging price environment, with WTI prices falling 14% over the comparative 2024 period. Operationally, the company continued with its success, producing over 41,100 BOE per day to earn revenue over $235 million, driving adjusted funds flow of $103 million, or $0.54 per share, compared to $94 million, or $0.46 per share, in the third quarter of 2024, a 17% increase on a per share basis. The integration of the company's most recent tuck-in in southeast Saskatchewan, which closed on July 31st, has been seamless, with our production mix remaining consistent at 81% oil and liquids compared to 83% in previous quarters, reflecting the 67% oil and liquids awaiting from the acquired asset. Our team continued to focus on operating cost reduction initiatives, realizing year-to-date net operating expense per VOE of 1904 down from 1930 on a year-to-date basis per year. Our third quarter net operating expense per VOE of $19.24 reflects the increased field activity following a seasonal low period due to spring breakup in prior quarters, consistent with increased capital expenditures and associated workover costs. Satter maintains its annual net operating expense target between $19.50 and $20 per VOE. During the quarter, we returned $12 million to shareholders through a normal course issuer bid and substantial issuer bid. Subsequent to Q3, we returned an additional $4.6 million via the NCIB. As John mentioned earlier, we successfully bought back nearly 16 million shares, representing approximately 8% of the shares that were outstanding at the time we launched the first NCIB in August of 2024. With a combination of tuck-in acquisition activity in Q3, the restart of our drilling program in July after spring breakup, and movement in foreign exchange rates, net debt at September 30th was $783 million. Over the past five quarters, Saturn has repaid just under $135 million Canadian, or US$95 million, on the principal outstanding balance of our notes by making a regular 2.5% quarterly amortization payments, as well as the open market purchases we did at a discount earlier this year. To provide a more meaningful leverage ratio, we are presenting our net debt to adjusted funds flow on a pro forma figure that incorporates the impact from our Southeast Saskatchewan tuck-in assets, resulting in a net debt to pro forma annualized cash flow to from an EBITDA in line with guidance. Saturn maintains strong liquidity and financial flexibility with $34 million of cash on hand at quarter end plus an undrawn $150 million credit facility and an uncommitted accordion feature that allows for the expansion of additional $100 million, giving us up to approximately $250 million in total. Looking out to year end, we are expecting Q4 capital expenditures to range between $60 and $70 million with average production between $42,000 and $43,000 BOE per day. while our December exit approaching 44,000 BOE per day. This reflects our fourth quarter drilling program and new production from the Central River to Tuckins, which closed October 20th through the end of the year. Saturn anticipates releasing our full 2026 budget and guidance mid-December. That concludes our formal remarks, so I'll thank everyone for joining us and hand the call back to the operator to begin Q&A.

Thank you. We will now begin the question and answer session. To join the question queue, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. You will hear a tone acknowledging your request. If you're using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing any keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then 2. Our first question comes from Adam Gill at Ventum Financial. Please go ahead.

Hey, good morning, guys. One question for me, as we go into 2026 in a bit of a softer oil price environment, how are you thinking about prioritizing production maintenance versus buybacks versus net debt reduction? Thank you.

Yeah, thank you, Adam. So it's a constant kind of battle. So we're always looking to deploy our capital, whatever can get us the highest rate of return. So We're going to go into the year most likely when we do set guidance, most likely just to maintain flat production. Meanwhile, the NCIB is likely to continue. However, should we find M&A opportunities that pose a higher return than drilling our own land, as you've seen us do in Q3, I think what we'll do is likely reduce our capex to fund those acquisitions. We really like that strategy in that not only does it leave our reserves in the ground, But if we're able to acquire some of these assets at a discounted price due to this commodity, that's something we really like. We get all those reserves. Generally, we get production online that's a lower decline at a better capital efficiency than drilling our lands. And again, we can save our locations for a higher oil price. So that's just something that we're always watching. And again, if we can monitor that and get the highest price, the highest return on our capital, but that's where you're going to see us continue to do.

Sounds good. One quick follow-up, just on terms of declines, what do you think your decline would have been through a 100% organic drilling program coming into 2026 versus doing the tuck-in acquisitions that you disclosed in Q3?

Yeah, and that's a great point as well. So, again, by acquiring mid-life cycle assets, as is our blueprint, you're getting assets with a much lower decline. Obviously, a new well has a much higher decline. So should we have spent all that capital on CapEx instead of doing the M&A? I think we would have been around the 23%, 24%. However, this would be closer to that 20%, 21% now with these two acquisitions and the reduction in CapEx.

Okay, great. Thank you. Thank you.

And our next question today comes from Janie Somerville at Roth Canada. Please go ahead.

Excuse me. How did the 330 barrels a day from the spearfish multilineral compare to the previous two wells that you drilled? And why was your type curve only 110 barrels a day? So what I'm trying to get at is, what are the chances that this is just a fluke rather than a significant technological breakthrough?

Well, I will pass it over to Sylvester Zonciak to elaborate a little more on that. But I will say, I think generally Sly will agree that that was more of a risk type curve. But I'll pass it over to Sly.

So while we're pleasantly surprised with 330 barrels a day, the 110-barrel-a-day type curve was a risk number. So we've done modeling, we've looked at analogs, but we do have limited data coming into the spearfish in this specific zone for the first time. So this is better than our two previous wells. The type curve would have been closer average to the two previous wells. So while we can expect 330 barrels a day every time for IP30, we do expect going after, we saw good signs over drilling. So we're expecting to see strong results go forward. Again, it might result in a slight right up in our tight curve. But again, that tight curve represents an average. And as we learn more about this play, as we drill more wells, we'll refine that as we go. But we're confident in our inventory for 2026 and beyond.

That's helpful. Thank you. Can I follow up as we think about potential reserves bookings? from everything you've been doing both organically and acquisitions, but in particular with regards to multilaterals, can you maybe talk around the reserve booking potential? I'm not clear as to the extent to which the locations, I think you're indicating like 375 multilateral locations currently. But I don't think all of those were booked at year end 2024. And I don't know to what extent that number, that estimate has increased since year end 2024. Thanks.

So corporately, you know, we try and be conservative in that we only book what we have strong confidence in. And as we've expanded our open hole multi-leg drilling, that will allow us to further increase our booking. We definitely did not have those booked. But we are lucky because Sylvester actually does our reserves as well. So can you give a little color in what we had booked going into last year, going into this year, and what we could expect going into next year? Absolutely.

It's a well-timed question as we're going through our 2025 year-end reserves process right now. And as John said, we were a bit conservative, but also not knowing to the extent which we'd be drilling in the next five years, which remember with reserves, you need to maintain that line of sight development and also balance the inventory that you can drill. We have close to 2,500 locations internally that are viable and that we like, but unfortunately, we just won't drill them in a five-year development plan. And so, for reservers, we must honor that. So, that's why last year, we only had 1,115 booked locations. Looking ahead to this year, we will see growth in that number, and we will see growth in our open-hole multilats as we drill more and have line of sight to drilling those in the coming year and within the next five year-end will be. We were only in the 20s last year for open-hole multi-lasts, so quite conservative, but it did honour our pace of development. Now, as we drill more and have multiple rigs drilling open-hole multi-lasts, we will see an increase in that number, and as we go through this process, that will become apparent in the next couple of months.

Thanks. Sorry, really quickly, I missed the number of multi-lasts that you had booked last year. Did you say in the 20s?

Yeah, last year we were in the 20s in the Balkan, and we only had three booked in the spearfish. So, again, we had only drilled at that time one last year. So us and the reserves auditors weren't prepared to book tens or hundreds of those spearfish. But now that we've drilled two more and have a line of sight to four this year and beyond, we'll see that number grow.

Very helpful. Thank you very much.

Thank you. And our next question comes from Abby Podwarven with Sculptor Capital. Please go ahead.

Hey, guys. Congratulations on another strong quarter. With regards to your reserve report, since we're already in November, have you been talking to your auditors around getting better credit for a slightly higher or above type code performance?

Yeah, again, I'll hand over a slide here in a minute, but what we don't want to do and what we've been successful in doing thus far is we've never had to take a write-down on our reserves. Again, maybe we are a little conservative in our approach, but what we'd rather do is have them come in a little more on the conservative side, beat expectations, and grow our reserves instead of getting in a position where you're overbooking and then having to take write-downs. But I will pass it over to Sylvester to comment

add to that, John, is that the type curve represents a field-wide average. So we're not just looking at a localized pool, especially in Sophie, Saskatchewan. We're taking our results from the past year, as well as recent years, as well as our peers and competitors in the area. So our outperformance speaks to our technical team's ability to deliver on those results, as well as the quality of our reservoir and inventory. So while there is potential, and we do look at this year over year, so I shouldn't say Every year, our type curves are reviewed. We look at the well results. We look at our remaining land base, and we do reflect our remaining inventory. So, the fact that we've outperformed speaks well to our technical team and to the quality of assets and reservoir that we do have, but we are honoring the field and pool averages. So, we will look at that. We do look at that every year. It's not stagnant. They get looked at year over year, and you might see some changes. But we also want to honor what our remaining inventory is, not just within the next year, but again, within that five-year book period on our group reserves.

And I think the best example of that is one of the fields we've been in the longest would be the Viking. And the Viking, for almost five or six years in a row now, I believe, that type curve has increased. field so again it's uh in the more time we spend this field the more data points we have the more confidence we get and that allows us to take uh to take higher higher estimates on those wells again the viking is the best case because uh you know we were beating type curves consistently for six years in a row and in each one of those six years you've seen that type curve come up um so again something that that hopefully we can continue these great results in our other fields and you'll see that similar trend

And, John, remind me, for Viking, how much above the type curve are you right now? I mean, when I say type curve, I mean the type curve that you got credit for in your reserve report last year.

So this year we have actually deferred a Viking program. Again, in favor of with this commodity price and the relatively higher declines you get in the Viking, we deferred that in favor of some of these tuck-in acquisitions. The last Viking program that we executed on was last year. I think we were 22% that had a type curve there. So strong, consistent results, which is what we like. But again, as a type curve comes up, year over year, you're beat on that. will eventually decline until you're at type curve. And that's the point. It's not just to beat the type curve, but eventually land on it. So you're booking properly. You're executing accordingly. But yeah, so no Viking results so far this year. But in the past, we have managed to beat our expectations, even with those expectations rising year over year.

Got it. Would you mind sharing some color on hedging? I'm curious how hedged you are right now and if there is any changes to the hedging philosophy internally.

Yeah, absolutely. I'll pass that over to Scott to have a couple comments. I will say, I think this will make this part of our corporate presentation moving forward. We have been really lucky this year. in that the three times we have added hedges were the three highest oil prices we've seen in the last 10 months. But as far as the amount hedged and where we're at with that hedge book, I'll pass it over to Scott. Hey, Abby.

Scott here. Yeah, so currently right now we're 50% hedged on a 12-month basis on oil and liquid volumes. We've actually been pretty active on the gas front as well. So we're seeing 50% and 7% of gas between 280 and 350, makes up a small proportion of our production, but still there nonetheless. Thereafter, we're about 20% for the following six months. So we're pretty active in the market. As John mentioned, we did take the opportunity this year to hedge at the peaks of oil in early January and again in August. And we layered on some subsequent hedges in our financial statements as noted yesterday.

Got it. And one last one for me. What's the base decline across all the assets, the entire portfolio right now?

Yeah, so I think going into 26, you should see our decline. Right around, I would think that 21, 22% kind of depends on if it's an annual average or specific to, say, January 1. But I think we're going to be somewhere in that low 20s would be a great number to use.

Thank you. Thank you.

Thank you. And that's all the time we have questions for today. So this concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect your lines. Thank you for participating, and have a pleasant day.