Transcontinental Inc.

Q1 2022 Earnings Conference Call

3/8/2022

spk00: Mesdames et messieurs, merci d'avoir patienté et bienvenue à la conférence téléphonique concernant les résultats du premier trimestre de l'exercice 2022 de TC Transcontinental. Pendant la conférence, tous les participants seront en mode d'écoute seulement. Une période de questions suivra la présentation et des directives vous seront données à ce moment. Nous désirons vous rappeler que cette conférence est enregistrée aujourd'hui le 8 mars 2022. Welcome to the TC Transcontinental first quarter of fiscal 2022 results conference call. During the presentation, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question-and-answer session, and instructions will be provided at that time. As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, March 8, 2022. I would like to turn the conference over to Jan McLean, Director, Investor Relations. J'aimerais maintenant céder la parole à Julien Lapointe, directeur relations avec les investisseurs. Mr. Lapointe, please go ahead.
spk03: Thank you, Julien, and good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to TC Transcontinental's first quarter 2022 results conference call. Before we begin, I'd like to highlight that the earning call presentation, the press release, and the MDMA along with complete financial statements and related notes that were issued earlier today, are all available on our website at tc.tc under the Investor Relations section. A replay of this conference call will also be available on our website after the call. We have with us today our President and Chief Executive Officer, Peter Bruce, and our Chief Financial Officer, Donald LeCavalier. Before I turn the call over to management, I would like to specify that this conference call is intended for the financial community. Media are in listen-only mode and should contact Nathalie Saint-Jean, Senior Advisor, Corporate Communications, for more information or interview requests. Please be reminded that some of the financial measures discussed over the course of this conference call are non-IFRS. You can refer to the MD&A for a complete definition and reconciliation of such measures to IFRS. In addition, this conference call might also contain forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the current expectations of management and information available as of today, and they involve numerous risks and uncertainties, known and unknown. The risks, uncertainties, and other factors that could influence actual results are described in the fiscal 2021 annual MD&A and in the latest annual information form. With that, I would now like to turn the call over to our president and CEO, Peter Bruce. Thanks, Jan.
spk04: Good afternoon, and thanks for joining our call. First, from a safety perspective, we were pleased to see a 7% decrease in the number of injuries in the quarter. In terms of COVID, we continue to take measures to keep our coworkers safe and ensure that no outbreaks start in the plant. In contrast to previous COVID variants, Omicron's impact on our operations was significant. In December and January, we had about the same number of COVID absences as we experienced in the previous 19 months of the pandemic.
spk07: These absences limited our ability to grow our sales and operate efficiently.
spk04: In this challenging context, I'm proud of the way our organization communicated openly with our customers. It is in adverse situations where direct communication and working together to solve issues builds stronger bonds. I'm convinced these relationships position our business for future growth.
spk07: That said, our financial results were below our expectations.
spk04: While we did see small organic growth in packaging, labor shortages limited our capacity and ability to respond to increased demand. This inability to supply combined with labor inefficiencies and a lag in the pass-through of inflationary increases had a negative impact on the business's financial performance. In print, although the virus did impact retail decisions to augment in-store marketing and advertising flyers, the business grew organically 3.5%. This demonstrates the underlying growth characteristics of our in-store marketing and book segments. This growth compensated for labor-related operating inefficiencies and resulted in a solid financial performance. Our media business had another quarter with solid sales and profit growth. Despite a tough quarter, as I speak to you today, the demand remains solid, the level of COVID absences has reduced to pre-Omicron levels, and the pass-through of inflationary increases in packaging is being well executed, all of which causes us to remain confident in the prospects of all three businesses.
spk07: And with that, I'll hand it over to Dan Al.
spk09: Thank you, Peter. Now turning to slide 5 of the earnings call presentation. For the first quarter, we reported consolidated revenues of $690.6 million, an increase of $68 million, or 11% versus last year. This revenue growth was driven by price increases in packaging following the pass-through of higher resin costs to our customers, by the acquisitions of HS Crocker in the packaging sector and BGI Retail in the printing sector. In addition, we generated organic growth in all three of our sectors. Currency translation, mainly from the stronger Canadian dollar, negatively affected revenues by $8.1 million in the quarter. On the profitability front, consolidated adjusted EBITDA was at 89%. million for the quarter, compared with 108 million for the same quarter last year. About half of the difference is due to the Canadian wage subsidy received in Q1 last year, which did not repeat this year. In addition, we had a significant operational disruption related to the Omnicom variant in the months of December and January. Reduced labor availability caused operating inefficiencies that led to lower profitability. Financial expenses decreased slightly from lower debt versus last year. The tax rate was at 24.3%, leading to adjusted net earnings of 35 cents per share for the quarter. Now, moving to slide six for the sector review. In our packaging sector, we recorded organic revenue growth of $40 million. While this was mainly due to the pass-through of higher resident prices, it also includes volume growth of about 1%. This growth reflects our efforts to ensure continued supply for our customer in the face of operational disruptions from labor shortage. This disruption limited our revenue growth from generated higher backlog, but generated higher backlog. Finally, the November acquisition of HS Crocker contributed $15.1 million of revenues. As I mentioned earlier, the significant disruption from the Omnicom variant caused inefficiency and incremental costs that had a significant impact on packaging profitability in the quarter. In addition, we were impacted by the lag in passing through higher costs on many fronts caused by inflation. We have taken action to solve these challenges and we expect to see positive effects during the remainder of the fiscal year, more so in the second half. On slide seven, you can see that our printing sector had another strong quarter with $21 million of revenue growth versus Q1 last year. The acquisition of BGI Retail last year contributed $11.2 million of revenue for the quarter. We also saw strong organic growth, especially in the in-store marketing business. Printing adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $56.8 million compared to $61.1 million in Q1 2021. This is a solid performance in a challenging environment considering that the wage subsidy was close to $9 million last year. The sector's adjusted EBITDA margin for the quarter was at 19.2%, a 10 basis point improvement from last year after excluding the subsidy. Our media business had a good quarter with both revenue and EBITDA growth. Corporate expenses were higher than last year related to non-recurring costs, including the CO transition and from stock-based compensation. Turning to cash flow, we generated $87.9 million in cash flow from operating activities before change in non-cash items and income tax pay. We had a significant working capital usage in the quarter of $64.9 million due mainly to higher inventory, we also had higher cash taxes at $29.4 million compared to $9.1 million in the prior year. Our investments in CAPEX at $34.2 million were in line with last year. These investments position us to capture growth opportunities and will contribute to the achievement of our 2025 Our net debt ratio increased to 2.3 times at the end of the quarter following our capital investments, the acquisition of HS Crocker and working capital requirements and lower EBITDA. We expect the ratio to decrease back to below two times in the coming quarters given our improving profitability and cash flow generation. Despite our investments, we continue to maintain a strong financial position with over $350 million of available liquidity at the end of the quarter. Finally, we distributed $19.5 million in dividends. The Board decided to maintain the dividend at the current rate of $0.90 per share per year, which represents a yield of 4.5% based on yesterday's closing price. This decision was based on uncertainty regarding the economic and geopolitical environments and the continued risk related to COVID-19. As for the outlook, we are committed to deliver on full-year fiscal 2022 outlook despite this difficult quarter. Packaging, we expect to generate organic growth in fiscal 2022. We expect profitability to improve given the actions we have taken and the reduction in the number of absence related to Omnicom. This will lead to an increase in adjusted EBITDA moving forward. In print, we expect volumes to continue to recover. We also expect to see continued growth in our in-store marketing, book printing, and other growth activities. This gives us confidence that we should see higher revenues in fiscal 2022 when excluding the extra week of 2021. In terms of profitability, we expect an increase in adjusted EBITDA for fiscal year 2022 compared to 2021. This excludes the impacts of the wage subsidy and the additional week in 2021. We expect corporate costs at EBITDA level to be around $40 million for the year, despite a higher amount in the first quarter. Regarding the use of cash for the year, as we said last quarter, we will continue to pursue potential acquisitions and invest significantly in our future through our CapEx program. CapEx in fiscal year 2022 is likely to be similar to 2021, contingent on the timing of key investments. We expect our tax rate will continue to be in the mid-20s. We now expect cash taxes to be closer to $80 million for the year, reflecting the higher-than-usual cash tax in Q1.
spk07: On that note, we will now proceed with the question period.
spk00: Merci. Mesdames et messieurs, nous allons maintenant procéder à la période de questions et réponses. Thank you. One moment, please. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now conduct the question-and-answer session. If you have a question, please press star followed by the number 1 on your touch-tone phone. One moment, please, for your first question. And our first question will come from Drew McReynolds from RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk02: Yeah, thanks very much, and good afternoon. A couple for me, you know, obviously a tough quarter, so I'm sure hard for everyone across the board. I guess keeping it at a high level, maybe starting with you, Peter, or maybe Donel, you alluded to packaging margins, you know, in that 16 to 17% range. And I think everyone was certainly well aware of kind of the margin dynamics here in the near term. just want to kind of confirm given all of the kind of moving parts here in terms of headwinds and what you endured through the quarter, you see any change to you know, that kind of medium term target that you've spoken about again at that 15, 17% level. And then secondly, just over to printing maybe if you can provide an update on just flyer volumes and dynamics there. Again, probably an unusual quarter given some renewed restrictions, but where do we stand in terms of the outlook on the flyer side? Thank you.
spk09: First, on the margin side, as we said many times last year, the impact of the risen increase, and again, this quarter, we had a huge impact on the top line and less significant impact on the bottom line, but still we have an impact this quarter. That plays against us regarding margins. To say when we will be back at 16 will be an equivalent of making a call when the PE price, the risen price, will go back to what it was like 18 months ago. And this is not something that we know, that we're aware of today, and we won't make calls on that. But it will get harder and harder to say when the 16% is available. What we're looking for for us now is more to grow EBITDA. And this is where, obviously, the margin is not at the level we want it in Q1, but at the end of the day, the EBITDA dollars are not at the level we want in Q1. In terms of but we definitely still see some impact on, and we saw the impact on Omnicron on the printing side also, and this is mainly on the flyer side, and even on the ISM side. ISM was good in this quarter, but without Omnicron, we were sure that ISM would have been better because there were still some delays, and we had to deal with that. We had employees. We were at difficulties to get in the store. So we were affected on that side, on the printing side, Obviously, we were good overall versus last year, but, you know, excluding Omniterrand, I'm sure we would have been in a better position today.
spk02: And if I can just follow up just on, it's great to see you reiterate fiscal 2022 outlook. You know, I know with a lot of things going on globally and a lot of the inflationary pressures is just bringing, you know, recession into the narrative, you know, obviously not just for your industry, but across all industries. Can you just remind us, Donnell or Peter, we've seen a relatively resilient printing revenue base through the years from Transcon relative to printing peers. Just remind us on the relative resilience on the packaging side, just given, you know, this would be
spk07: potentially a new business going through a little bit of a tougher economic cycle potential. Sure. I'll take that one, Drew.
spk04: So if you look at packaging and if you look at the segments in which we participate, they are pretty inflation, they're pretty resistant to that kind of situation. If you look at things like whether it be pet food, whether it be cheese, et cetera, demand doesn't tend to change during a period of recession. So we wouldn't expect an impact on the business from a volume perspective.
spk05: Thank you very much.
spk00: Our next question comes from Steven McLeod from BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk10: Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Good afternoon. Just had a couple questions. Just on the packaging business, I was wondering if you could quantify sort of the margin impact difference between the resin price inflation and the production inefficiency. Just how much of the year-over-year decline would have been attributable to each of those two factors?
spk09: If you take only the risen impact, it's close to 1.5% the impact in the quarter. obviously affecting because of the price increase on the sell side. And as I said, so there's a kind of a double impact.
spk10: Right. Okay. So still the majority of it would have been the production inefficiencies that you realized.
spk09: Yeah. And don't forget, there's not only the risen that is increasing right now. There's a lot of things that are increasing. So, but yes.
spk10: Right. Okay. Okay, that's helpful. Thank you. And then just in terms of, you know, you obviously got a lot of price in the quarter, roughly, I guess, of the 12% organic, it was kind of 11% price. I'm just curious, as you've seen the resin price come off a little bit or sort of stabilize, would you expect to realize a certain similar level of pricing into fiscal Q2?
spk08: Sure.
spk09: When you said that risen price is decreasing, I agree with that for some of the risen price, but what's the impact you're looking for for Q2?
spk10: I was just trying to gather what the pricing impact you would expect to see in Q2 relative to Q1. I was just saying that it looked like it was about 11% price in Q1. I'm just curious how you see that evolving in Q2.
spk04: What I would say to you is if we look at the pricing, so we start to talk from a PE perspective, I think it's first important to recognize that last year was a year of massive PE increase. And what we've seen in the beginning of this year is the beginning of a decrease from a PE perspective. It's important to understand that to ensure that our customers were well serviced, we built inventories over the last year. To ensure that we're in a position when raw materials were scarce to be in a position to supply And that give it give us some advantage and ensure we were in a good position to supply our customers That said the disadvantage of that was that we had some more expensive inventories and weren't able to take advantage of the decrease in raw materials of P specifically in this quarter and going forward we would see the advantage in future in future quarters and assuming pricing stays the way it is. It's also important to know that beyond PE, we also buy other raw materials, whether that be polyester or foil. And those, in contrast, increased significantly in the latter part of last year. And their impact on us in the quarter was significant. And the timing of pass-throughs was such that it was an impact on us in the quarter. And beyond that, I'd add it's important to appreciate that we're in a period of inflation and other items. So whether that's inks, whether that's labor, whether it's other consumable products, whether it's electricity, we see all those things going up. And they did have an impact on us in the quarter. And so I think what's important to appreciate about the quarter is that we had yet to see the benefit of PE going down. And I would say that we have work to do to ensure that we pass through other raw material increases on a timely basis. We have about 75% of our packaging business is contracted. The 25% is non-contracted. We need to be acutely aware of increases and ensure that we pass them on on a timely basis.
spk08: Okay, that's a lot of great color, Peter. Thank you.
spk10: And then maybe just finally, you kind of alluded in the press release to a significant increase in the demand backlog. I'm just curious if there's a way you could sort of frame that for us in terms of, you know, you're seeing that in specific end markets, and is there a way to sort of quantify what that might potentially mean in terms of volumes? Sure.
spk04: We see it in specific end markets in both print and packaging. And what we can say is that that strength gives us great confidence that we'll continue to grow over the rest of the year. So we had segments in which, to give you an idea, we went from backlogs of two weeks to 12. And so we're in a position where we know that we have the volumes available, and it's up to us to produce them on a timely basis.
spk08: Okay, that's great. Well, thank you very much, guys. Appreciate it.
spk05: Thank you.
spk00: Encore une fois, pour poser une question, appuyez sur l'étoile suivie du numéro un. Again, to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one. Our next question comes from David McFadgen from Cormark Securities. Please go ahead. Your line is open.
spk01: Okay, thank you. A couple of questions. So first of all, assuming resin sort of stabilizes here, would you be done on the pass-throughs by the end of Q2, or do you see that lingering into Q3 and beyond?
spk04: Assuming there are no further increases to be done or pass-throughs within Q2.
spk01: Okay. And with the price of oil skyrocketing, Do you imagine that resin will start to move up again?
spk04: When you look at it, it doesn't really follow oil. It follows natural gas. And so we'll see how the Russian situation impacts that in terms of a cost. But currently, we haven't seen a significant impact. And it's also important to consider that it's also a supply and demand situation. And the expected that depends on what happens from an economy perspective going forward Should we go into recession and other areas of the economy not? Demand resin then resin supply will will go up and and pricing will adjust accordingly So I don't want to forecast what's going to happen But that said that that's the key element from a PE perspective In terms of things like polyester, more attached to oil, and it has been going up significantly over the past month. And I would expect if things continue in the way they are, that could continue.
spk01: Okay. So we're partway through Q2. Is the packaging business already back on track now? It's, you know... Most of the Omicron absences are behind you. Is that a good way to think about it, that sort of back on track now?
spk04: The way I would look at it is first in terms of from a sales perspective, I would say we're in a much better position to supply. So, yeah, we're back at a point where we have the absences at a pre-Omicron level or a historic COVID level. So in terms of that, yes. In terms of the other element I'd say is in terms of getting inflationary costs passed through, I think that'll take us longer than reestablishing our sales pattern. So I think from a cost perspective,
spk01: So, I mean, you talked about backlog being up quite a bit. So would you expect 2022, the packaging revenue to be the same as before the Q1 experience so that you'll make up for it in the back half of the year? Or do you think that it's probably going to be a bit lower than your expectations prior to this Q1 experience?
spk04: Well, I'd say at this point in the year, what we're confident in and we're committed to is ensuring that our profit for the year is better than last year's. And our expectation is that sales will continue to grow the rest of the year, year on year.
spk01: Okay. All right. Okay. That's it for me. Thank you. Thanks.
spk00: In the Sambre, please have all the questions. Mr. LaPointe, there are no further questions at this time.
spk03: So thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call today, and we look forward to speaking to you soon.
spk00: Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes the conference call for today. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect your lines.
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