2/8/2022

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the TMX Group Limited Q4 2021 Financial Results Conference Call. At this time, all lines are in listen-only mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct a question-and-answer session. If at any time during this call you require immediate assistance, please press star zero for the operator. This call is being recorded on Tuesday, February 8, 2022. I would now like to turn the conference over to Paul Malcolmson. Please go ahead.

speaker
Paul Malcolmson
Head of Investor Relations

Well, thank you, Operator, and good morning, everyone. I hope that you and all of your families are staying well and safe. Thank you for joining us this morning for the full year and fourth quarter 2021 conference call for TMX Group. As you know, we announced our results late yesterday, and a copy of our press release is available on TMX.com under Investor Relations. This morning, we have with us John McKenzie, our Chief Executive Officer, and David Arnold, our Chief Financial Officer. Following opening remarks, we will have a question and answer session. Before we start, I want to remind you that certain statements made on today's call may be considered forward-looking. I refer you to the risk factors contained in our press release and in reports that we have filed with regulatory authorities. And with that, I'd like to turn the call over to John.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Well, thank you, Paul, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us today for our discussion of TMX Group's Q4 and full-year 2021 financial performance. And on behalf of all of us at TMX, I want to wish you the very best of health to everyone listening this morning. Now, as Paul mentioned, we announced our results last night, and shortly, David will take you through the fourth quarter in detail. But first, I'd like to focus my comments this morning on TMX Group's performance for the full year 2021, updating you on the progress we have made in our efforts, both internally and externally, to strengthen TMX's ability to drive success for our clients and to make markets better. And I also want to outline our top priorities as we continue on into 2022. Now, 2021 was a tremendous year for TMX, marked by strong performances and major accomplishments across our business areas, as well as important progress in strategic initiatives. Before I get further into our operating results, I want to acknowledge a common and crucial element in all of TMX's successes, our people. Throughout the year, and in every facet of our business, TMX's team of professionals demonstrated an unwavering commitment to our clients and stakeholders, rising to meet the increased demands, and the day-to-day challenges of a busy market, all while navigating the realities of work and home life during the pandemic conditions. Our business achievements are people achievements. And speaking on behalf of TMX's senior leadership, I want to thank all of our employees for their outstanding efforts. Now, to our results for the full year. TMX generated record revenue of $980.7 million, an increase of 13% from 2020. Our diluted earnings per share agree 22% or 21% on adjusted basis compared to the year end, December 31st, 2020. TMX's impressive performance in 2021 reflects significant contributions from across our business areas, including capital formation, derivatives trading and clearing, and trade port, and stands as powerful evidence of TMX's ability to serve the diverse needs of our dynamic and global client base. Our total operating expenses increased 9% from 2020, and this is largely due to the inclusion of expenses related to AST Canada, including acquisition and integration costs. The year-over-year increase in expenses also reflected higher headcount and payroll costs, including merit increases, as well as higher costs related to our short-term employee performance incentive plan, given the strong operating results for 2021. Now moving to our business areas. Revenue from capital formation was $257.7 million, an increase of 36% from 2020, largely driven by an increase in the number of issuer financings and financing dollars raised on Toronto Stock Exchange and TSX Venture Exchange. It was a record-setting year in terms of deal-making activity and new listings on our equity markets. Our total financing dollars raised by issuers totaled $56.9 billion in 2021, a 33% increase over 2020, and led by continued growth in our largest sectors of technology and mining, with total dollars raised up 70% and 33% respectively. The highlights from 2021 included some new all-time records, including 177 new listings on Toronto Stock Exchange, excluding graduates, a 17% increase from 2020. 36 corporate IPOs on TSX, triple the number from 2020, and sustained momentum in the innovation sector, which includes companies in clean tech, biotech, and renewable energy, with an overall record 110 new listings on TSX and TSX Venture and $23 billion in overall capital raised. Inside the numbers, the face of Canada's equity markets continues to change. Our stock list has never been so diverse, with companies of all sizes and stages of maturity from a broad range of sectors offering compelling opportunity for investors. And the foundation of our market has never been stronger. On TSX Venture Exchange, the world's leading public venture market and the bedrock of our unique ecosystem, issuers raised more than $11 billion in financing across more than 1,800 transactions during 2021. Leading the way in TSX Venture Financing's bisector were innovation and mining, with $3 billion and $6 billion raised respectively. A strong public venture market is a key element of our two-tiered public company ecosystem. and a differentiating feature of Canada's capital markets. These early stage companies across all sectors are amongst the most innovative in the world. And no market in the world does a better job of nurturing and clearing a path to long-term success for small cap growth companies than the Canadian public venture market community. We celebrated 36 graduations from TSX Venture to TSX during 2021, the most since 2011. Since 2000, more than 700 companies have graduated from TSX Venture to Toronto Stock Exchange, and these Canadian-grown success stories make up 21% of today's benchmark S&P TSX Composite Index. TMX continues to expand the reach and raise the profile of our markets beyond our borders and through our targeted business development program. On a combined basis, TSX and TSX Venture rank third amongst our global exchange peers by the number of new international listings in 2021. We welcomed 49 new issuers from the United States and other regions of TMX focus, like Israel, Australia, and South America. These companies operate in a variety of sectors, including technology, mining, life sciences, and renewable energy. And the addition of new listings from large cap companies and big name IPOs to early stage juniors and capital pool companies builds our markets stronger and deeper and enhances our value proposition among global investors. Canada's markets are among the best in the world. They are deep and diverse. They are fair and liquid, innovative and responsive. But our markets are not static and must continue to evolve. And TMX is committed to working in collaboration with our clients and stakeholders to innovate and adapt our offerings to make markets better and ensure we retain our competitive edge into the future. Now, turning to derivatives. Revenue from trading and clearing was $142.5 million, up 13% from 2020, driven by a 14% increase in revenue from Montreal Exchange and CDCC. 2021 was a year of significant growth for Canadian derivative markets. Total volumes on MX increased 29% compared to 2020, highlighted by strong performances in some of our signature Canadian benchmark products, including the BAX contract, where volume grew 21% year over year. We also saw a significant growth in investor interest in some of our developing product areas, with volumes in single share futures up 91% and equity options up 35% from 2020. MX continues to adapt its suite of products to meet investor demand. In November 2021, we launched the 30-year Government of Canada Bond Futures Contract, adding another liquidity point to our futures curve by complementing the two, five, and 10-year contracts. The new 30-year contract is designed to facilitate hedging from longer maturity instruments and to create more cross-market trade opportunities. And in keeping with the cross-market theme, Amex took a major step forward in its global expansion plans with the September launch of extended trading hours to sync with the Asia Pacific time zone. An initiative that began in 2018 with trading on London time, extended trading hours on Montreal Exchange, directly connects us to the world's premier financial centers enabling sophisticated, modern investors in all time zones to trade Canada on their time. The initial response to Asia-Pacific hours has been very positive. Despite the challenges the pandemic poses in terms of business development halfway across the world, and our daily volumes during the new session have averaged approximately 6,000 contracts in the opening months. And combined, Amex's European and Asia-Pacific extended hours sessions accounted for approximately 6% of total MX volumes traded during 2021. Looking ahead to next year, in response to growing demand for risk management products in the crypto space, MX is working towards introducing a cash-settled future product designed to enable investors to hedge cryptocurrency investments. And our team continues to examine ways that we can enhance the overall MX client experience and augment our market-making program to attract more retail trading. Now, moving on to trade points. We are pleased to report double digit growth during the year with revenue of 150.6 million, a 10% increase compared to 2020. Growth was driven by a 7% increase in average number of total subscribers and also included 2.1 million in trade signal revenue from the acquisition in June. Over the past weeks and months, volatility has again gripped global energy markets. Natural gas supply shortages in Europe and parts of Asia coupled with increased demand as economies build back towards pre-pandemic levels of activity, have driven energy prices to record highs. And Tradeport's tailored product plays an important role in energy markets, especially in uncertain conditions, equipping clients with data and analytics capabilities to make informed trading decisions. Our network offers a key access point, connecting traders, portfolio managers, and analysts to over 40 execution venues, across power and natural gas markets. In response to rapidly evolving global energy markets and the ongoing transition to renewables gathering momentum, Traport continues to explore opportunities to diversify its client offering and expand into new asset classes and geographies. In addition to a stellar year from a performance perspective, 2021 was also a very important year for TMX in terms of progress made in our four strategic priority areas. Accelerating growth. across the enterprise and our business areas. Enhancing our talent and culture by investing in our people and our purpose to make markets better and empower bold ideas. Activating TMX as a vocal proponent to advocate for smart policy measures to ensure Canada's markets maintain our competitive edge. And integrating environmental and social governance and sustainability objectives and initiatives into TMX's corporate and business objectives and priorities. As discussed on our Q3 call, we appointed Michelle Tran, a respected TMX veteran with deep connections across our client community as the new president of TMX Data Links. And just two weeks ago, we once again tapped into the depth of expertise and wealth of experience with the organization to point Tim Babcock as the new vice president and head of TSX Venture Exchange. Tim has more than 20 years of experience with TSX Venture. His knowledge and expertise in regards to all aspects of the business and community coupled with his leadership skills, positioned him and the TSX Venture franchise for ongoing success. It continues to be an exciting time for TMX. Filling these roles and others from inside our organization demonstrates our commitment to nurturing talent and developing exceptional leaders. And it stands as compelling evidence that we are on the right track in establishing a high-performance working culture. Now, in addition to our Q4 financial results last night, we were very pleased to announce an 8% dividend increase, from 77 cents to 83 cents per share, payable on March 11th, 2022 to shareholders of record at the close of business on February 25th, 2022. This is the fifth increase in TMX Group's dividend in three years and demonstrates our proven ability to generate increasing cash flows over time and over different market conditions. We remain committed to executing an effective long-term growth strategy, serving stakeholders in our markets across the world with excellence throughout all market conditions and continuing to deliver value to our shareholders. And with that, let me turn the call over to David.

speaker
David Arnold
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, John. Good morning, everyone. It's good to be back in the office again. So let's turn to the fourth quarter results. The fourth quarter was another exceptional quarter for us, with 15% revenue growth and 24% growth in both diluted and adjusted diluted earnings per share. There were revenue increases from across all our businesses, with the exception of equities and fixed income trading revenue, which was down due to lower volumes when compared to the high volumes of Q4 2020. On the heels of our strong revenue growth, operating expenses increased 20% over Q4 of 2020, mainly driven by costs related to our acquisitions of AST Canada and TradeSignal. After adjusting for these two acquisitions in 2021, Organic revenue growth was 11% this quarter, and operating expenses, excluding AST Canada and TradeSignal, were up 8%, driven by an increased investment in growth areas of our business and yielding yet another quarter of positive operating leverage. Our 24% earnings per share growth in the quarter, as mentioned earlier, was primarily driven by higher revenue, as well as an increase in our share of income from the Boston Options Exchange. After another strong quarter, and lower income tax expense in the quarter compared with Q4 of 2020. This quarter, there was a 3.9 million reduction to income tax expenses, of which 2.9 million, or five cents per basic and diluted share, related to a reversal of a deferred tax asset written off in 2017, which we adjusted for in 2017, so have applied consistent treatment for that this quarter. Partially offsetting these earnings increases were higher expenses in the quarter which included integration costs related to AST Canada of 2.8 million or 4 cents per basic and diluted share, as well as higher net finance costs driven by the higher interest expense related to the issuance of our Series F debentures back in Q1 of 2021. Turning now to our businesses, and I'll start with those that saw revenue increases in the quarter. Revenue and capital formation grew by 33% this quarter, including approximately $8.6 million of revenue related to AST Canada, which accounts for approximately half of the growth. Excluding AST Canada, revenue in the quarter grew 16% in capital formation and was primarily driven by higher initial listing fees in the quarter when compared with Q4 of last year. Sustaining listing fees increased in the quarter, reflecting an increase in the market capitalization of issuers as at December 31, 2020. Additional listing fees also increased in the quarter due to increases in both the total number of financings and the total financing dollar raise. The increase or the increases on TSX reflected a 52% increase in the number of additional listing transactions billed at the maximum listing fee of $250,000, partially offset by a 6% decrease in the number of transactions billed below the maximum fee when compared to Q4 of last year. Now, looking forward to 2022, the market capitalization of issuers listed on TSX increased from 3.4 trillion at the end of 2020 to 4.2 trillion at the end of 2021. The total market capitalization of all issuers on TSX Venture Exchange increased from 78 billion to over 102 billion over the same period. Now, we estimate that these increases in market capitalization on TSX and on TSX Venture should result in an increase in sustaining listing fee revenue of approximately $3 million in 2022, or a 4% increase compared to last year, since the vast majority of the increase in market capitalization came from those issuers at or above the maximum sustaining listing fee on TSX. Turning to derivatives trading and clearing, this quarter's revenue grew by 24% from when compared to Q4 of 2020, While volumes on the Montreal Exchange increased by 46% compared to Q4 of last year, there was lower revenue per contract, reflecting changes in both client and product mix. In the past quarter, there was an increase in high-volume traders' trading activity, which yielded lower revenue per contract. In addition, the volume increases was partially driven by contracts with lower yields, including single-stock futures, which made up 15% of total volumes in the quarter, compared with 7% a year ago. Revenue in our global solutions, insights, and analytics segment was up 8% over Q4 of 2020, with increases from both TradePort and DataLynx. Revenue from TradePort was up 10% in Canadian dollar terms, or 11% in pound sterling. The increase was driven by a 9% growth in total subscribers in the quarter, compared with a year ago, and an $800,000 of revenue contribution from TradeSignal which was acquired on June 1st. Organic revenue growth in Trayport in Canadian dollars was therefore 8% when compared to Q4 of 2020. Revenue in our traditional data business grew by 6%, driven by increases in usage-based quotes, professional and non-professional subscribers, co-location, feeds, benchmarks, and indices. The average number of professional market data subscribers for subscriptions for TSX and TSX Venture products grew 7% in the quarter compared with last year and subscriptions on the Montreal Exchange were also up by 7%. The higher revenue was partly offset by an unfavorable impact of approximately $700,000 from a stronger Canadian dollar relative to the US dollar over Q4 of 2020. Revenue from CDS was up 11% in the quarter reflecting higher depository, event management fee, international, as well as clearing and settlement revenue when compared with Q4 a year ago. The increases in revenue were partially offset by higher rebates and lower network fees. The revenue increases in the aforementioned businesses were partially offset by equities and fixed income trading revenue, which decreased 4% in a quarter compared with Q4 of 2020. This decrease was driven by a 9% decline in the overall volume of securities traded on our equities marketplaces. Trading volumes of TSX securities decreased by 6% in the quarter, while volumes on TSX Venture Exchange and TSX Alpha Exchange decreased by 17% and 6% respectively. There was also a decrease in fixed income trading revenue, reflecting lower activity in swaps in the quarter. These decreases were partially offset by higher yields on all of our equities marketplaces in the quarter when compared with Q4 of 2020. So turning now to our expenses. Operating expenses in the fourth quarter increased by 20% compared to Q4 of last year. There were approximately 13.3 million of expenses in Q4 relating to AST Canada, including 2.8 million of integration costs, $1.5 million related to the amortization of acquired intangibles, $1.3 million related to the transition services agreement with AST, and $900,000 of acquisition and related costs. Operating expenses excluding AST Canada increased by 8% in the quarter compared with Q4 of last year. The higher expenses reflected higher headcount and payroll costs, increased short-term employee incentive plan costs, higher legal fees, as well as increased recoverable expenses. These increases in costs were partially offset by lower severance costs of $2 million, lower long-term employee performance incentive plan costs of $900,000, and $400,000 of acquisition and related costs related to AST Canada in Q4 of 2020. We expect integration costs of AST Canada of approximately $20 million over the 12-month period from September 1, 2021 to August 31, 2022. These integration costs are expected to generate total revenue and cost synergies of approximately 8 million, which will be substantially achieved by the end of 2024. In addition, we expect at least 2 million of these cost synergies in fiscal 2022. Looking at our results sequentially, revenue increased 21.1 million, or 9% from Q3 2021 to Q4 of 2021. This was driven by higher revenue and capital formation, equities and fixed income trading and clearing, CDS, derivatives trading and clearing, and global solutions, insights, and analytics, partially offset by slightly lower other revenue. Operating expenses increased 14.3 million, or 12% from Q3, due to higher severance of 2.8 million, higher software license and maintenance costs of 1.8 million, and higher short-term employee incentive performance plan costs of 1.2 million. There was also approximately $13.3 million of expenses included in Q4 2021 related to AST Canada as mentioned earlier. These increases in operating expenses were partially offset by lower long-term employee incentive plan costs when comparing Q3 to Q4. Commenting on our balance sheet, in the fourth quarter of 2021, we spent $18.6 million repurchasing $140,000 of our common shares under our normal course issuer bid program. A debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio was 1.7 times at the end of the quarter, and we also held over 341 million in cash and marketable securities at the end of the quarter, which is about 136 million in excess of the 205 million we target to retain for regulatory and credit facility purposes. Now, as John mentioned earlier, our board approved a quarterly dividend of 83 cents per common share, payable on March 11th to all shareholders of record as of February 25th. In 2021, we paid out 42% of our adjusted earnings per share, which is at the low end of our targeted power ratio of 40 to 50%. With the increase to 83 cents in Q4, we will pay out 47% of our adjusted Q4 EPS, which is slightly above the midpoint of our target power ratio and positions us well within our range as we look forward to 2022. And now I'd like to turn the call back to Paul.

speaker
Paul Malcolmson
Head of Investor Relations

Thanks, David. Operator, could you please outline the process for the question and answer session?

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, we will now begin the question and answer session. Should you have any questions, please press star followed by one on your touchtone phone. You will hear a three-tone brown acknowledging your request and your request will be pulled in the order that they are received. Should you wish to decline from the billing process, please press star followed by two. If you're using a speakerphone, please zip that handset before pressing any keys. One moment, please, for your first question. Your first question comes from Nick Prebe with CIBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Nick Prebe
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Okay, thanks. So one thing that stood out in the quarter was that it looked like an abnormally strong period for subscriber growth, particularly trader subscribers at Tradeport. Is there any additional color you can provide just on what you saw specifically in Q4 and whether you see that momentum carrying into 2022?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, good morning, Nick, and it's a great question. So I don't know if you recall this, but this is certainly something that we've talked about in the past is sometimes you can see quarter by quarter a disconnect between subscriber numbers and the revenue impact as we sign new agreements or as we renew or extend agreements. And as we've talked through the last number of quarters, we've been continuing to add new clients to Tradeport all through 2021. And that client demand for Tradeport has continued to be strong. I mean, you can expect that the market conditions around energy and energy trading is actually a strong demand driver for more people to use Tradeport. So not a surprise to us that we're seeing that lift in subscribers. And look for that to drive revenue in the future as those contracts renew as we see the full revenue impact, things like that. So that's the way to think about it. It's continued strong growth and demand for the Tradeport platform.

speaker
Nick Prebe
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Okay, got it. And then just one other question for me. As we continue to see year-over-year earnings growth, you continue to structurally de-lever as well. So I guess in that context, can you give us a bit of a read or an update on what you're seeing, if anything, on the M&A landscape?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, we're happy to. So, I mean, strategically, it all derives from what we're doing in terms of trying to grow those core parts of our franchise. We've talked about growing data analytics, trade port, more services for issuers, et cetera, et cetera. So we continue to be very active in terms of looking at new opportunities. And even in 2021, when you think about what we actually executed, while they were smaller in size than a trade port, our execution of Trade Signal, our execution of AST Canada, were meaningful in terms of moving those strategies along. And we did some comparisons to ourselves, to other exchanges around the world, and we were at pace or better in terms of the numbers of deals we actually executed and closed. So we are actively continuing to look at those kind of opportunities. Our balance sheet's in a very strong position to execute on them and expect us to continue to actively look for things that will accelerate the strategy that way.

speaker
Nick Prebe
Analyst, CIBC Capital Markets

Okay, that's good for me. I'll pass the line. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Etienne Record with BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Good morning, Etienne. Etienne, good morning.

speaker
Etienne Record
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

First, on the Montreal Exchange, could you comment on initial market reception to the launch of the 30-year interest rate product, as well as trading volumes in early 2022, given the recent you know, rising bond yield backdrop.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, I'm happy to. And certainly the reception to the 30-year product has been strong because keep in mind when we're bringing a product like that to market, we're doing it with client demand up front. It's one of the approaches we're doing to all product launch around MX is interacting with clients. And so it's always there to solve a problem for clients so that we know there's actually going to be active issue in it. Offhand, I don't know directly in terms of the volumes we're seeing in the early stage, but we're positive in terms of the launch so far. And the overall client support, I actually think we just released our MX volumes for January in the last day. So let us get back to that in terms of what that actually looks like for January, but I believe it's continuing that same positive trend.

speaker
Etienne Record
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Okay. And on to report, so an interesting development in Q4 seems to be the shift towards exchange-traded products in European natural gas trading. So I guess the first question is, do you see this on-exchange shift as permanent? And the second part is, should natural gas trading become increasingly consolidated? How do you make sure that subscribers remain engaged with the trade port platform?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

I'm so glad you asked that question because it really is an area that we want to give a lot more clarity to the users and to the investors. As a background piece, the largest natural gas contract in the world is Henry Hub Contract, which is exchange traded primarily through ICE and CME. Trayport subscribers actually use Trayport to get access to U.S. pricing so they can actually do benchmarks for other products that price off them. And so what you've seen in this period of real high gas volatility is is not a shift in trading to things that are on exchange, but strong growth in those contracts that also have a big exchange component to them. But that's also where we wanted to remind people that Tradeport provides access to about 40 different venues. And any trader that's trading through Tradeport is often trading both contracts that may be exchange traded, brokered, a combination, or both. So it's not just to access a single product. on exchange or in a brokered world. So that's what the value of the Trayport solution is. It's really aggregating multiple products around multiple markets. And the increased liquidity in some of these products only just brings more people to the market. Even for a client whose primary objective was to potentially trade a product on an exchange, Trayport as a front end still provides an important service to them in terms of being able to provide that data, that front end connectivity, the access to clearing, things like that. So I really appreciate you asking that because I think it's a bit of a mythology that if something is just exchange traded, there's not the same value for Tradeport, where Tradeport actually continues to provide value because it gives access to all the other products in the ecosystem that that trader cares about.

speaker
Etienne Record
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Great. And lastly, just again on capital deployment, given the recent pullback to tech valuations, are you seeing more opportunities that could match your return hurdles relative to three months ago?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

We were seeing opportunities all through 2021 and into 2022 as well. And certainly we are looking at things actually right now. And remember, it's going to be a combination of both value to shareholders, appropriate return hurdles, but also quality of the business, our ability to integrate it, scale it up, and drive growth with it. And those are really key factors. So one of the biggest limiters on any transaction is Is it a quality business that we can scale up and grow? Just because it's technology or data doesn't mean it's going to drive our strategy. That's the number one thing that we're looking at. Is it going to drive our strategy? David, anything you want to add to that in terms of our capital deployment?

speaker
David Arnold
Chief Financial Officer

The only thing I'd add, John, is as we continue to stress, and this is key at the end, is we're looking for inorganic and organic growth at the same time, things that we can invest in internally, and you've seen that with some of our initiatives around Asia Hours, adding additional products to 30-year as an example, which you asked about. And then, yeah, we're looking for, you know, value, but also things that obviously accelerate the growth of our strategy, as John said.

speaker
Etienne Record
Analyst, BMO Capital Markets

Great. Thank you for your comments.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Graham Writing with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

Hi, good morning.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Good morning, Graham.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

Maybe just some color. Dave, it's probably for you just on the expense outlook. Just how much ability do you have on the expense side to manage any inflationary pressures? And also, if any of your business lines normalize in 2022, I'm thinking capital formation and maybe equity volumes or whatnot, how much of an ability do you have to manage expenses to sort of offset and maintain or push against negative operating leverage?

speaker
David Arnold
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so that's a great question and thanks for asking it, Graham. So for us, let's start with where you ended off there, right? For us, it's about positive operating leverage, growing revenue at a higher rate than we're going to grow our expenses. Obviously, we've indicated in the past that We really try and keep our expenses flat, plus inflation. It's really kind of our guidepost. But as we always show when we show you our numbers, we have to adjust for acquisitions in-year. So AST Canada is a good example in capital formation. Looking at those numbers in absolute reported perspective, they're higher year-over-year. When you adjust for that, it gets into the more normal range. I'm not going to be able to guide you anymore other than we do have several levers within the business. You know, we look to, you know, organize our operations in the most effective manner. And from time to time, we take opportunistic moves to manage expenses to either be flat or slightly up with inflation.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay. Understood. And then you made... reference, John, about a cash-settled crypto futures product. I guess you would probably need regulatory approval for that. Is that process currently underway? Any color estimate when this product could potentially be rolled out?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Unfortunately, I can't give you a time estimate today because it's something that we're actively in the works with. Like other products on MX, it's based on where we see demand and client interest for products that they are looking at. Anytime we bring a new product to market on the AMF, we do have a regulatory process, but it's quite streamlined in terms of the regulator. The AMF has worked well with us over the year to create a process where we can effectively bring products to market quickly with the appropriate client demand and clearing regime and risk management tools around that. So that's all the basics in terms of how we launch products. But it is really based on getting the product right with the needs of the client. There's another area, just for an FYI, because we've heard it, and we'll get this question from other folks as well. We are seeing it with the large dealer community as well in the Canadian market that are looking at how do I provide crypto tools or crypto assets to their investor base. And so that's part of our active dialogue as well, is what can we do within the capabilities of the exchange, the capabilities of our clearing system, our trusts, franchise to be able to provide more of those products and services to the brokerage clients so they can extend them to their investors. So I think that it should come as no surprise. This is where we've generally been on the front end of innovation in the marketplace, you know, first market to launch crypto ETFs as well and expand those usage. So this is a natural place for us to be active. So, I mean, at this stage, because we're at those product discussions, I can't give you firm timelines as to when we would come to market, but wanted you to know that it's something that we were actively working on.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

Okay, great. And just my last question then. I think you mentioned you're looking at renewable opportunities at Tradeport. What can you elaborate there? Is that bringing in products onto the platform or launching new products? Or is that an M&A perspective? What are you looking at? Yeah, I mean, there's two things.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

There's two things. So, I mean, we actually do already make renewable power available on the platform, and we're always looking to continue to expand that. And that, again, is driven by client demand. So trading renewable power points, within the mix of the energy mix that we trade. But the interesting piece that we're working on is other things around clients being able to manage their environmental footprint. And really, this is the voluntary carbon market we're talking about. So you think about TMX as an example. We committed last year to being net neutral, to net zero. We achieved that in 2021 through carbon offsets. But when you look to how do you do that on a more permanent future basis, You get into where can you create the market for buyers and sellers of carbon offsets so that firms like us can manage their exposures down to net zero. And then how do you create the capability and the facility to trade those exposures, to balance your load, to balance your need, things like that. So that's actually what we're working towards with Trayport to be able to put that on screen with key partners that are the experts in the industry around voluntary carbon. And we think that it's both in a product extension that helps both Treyport clients that are deep in the energy market, but quite frankly, issuers on TSX and TSX Venture who are some of the biggest both producers and consumers of carbon credits. So it's an area where we want to continue to be on the front end in terms of being a marketplace leader in supporting environmental products and sustainability for our issuers and our clients.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

Excellent. That's it for me. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Jeff Kwan with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jeff Kwan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Hi. Good morning. Just first question was on the MX. You talked about, I guess, the impact of high-frequency traders in terms of on the revenue per contract traded. Just wondering what that proportion of volumes are coming from that kind of constituency in Q4 and how that would have compared to the year prior period.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Sorry, Jeff, we're not in the same room, so we're always looking to who's taking the question first. We don't have that period comparison offhand, so we actually will follow up on that piece for you. In any pieces in terms of the mix, it's both that combination of high frequency trading activity, but also just the product mix. If you look at what were the largest product growth areas for MX in 2021, over 30% in equity options, 90% in single stock futures. Those are lower-priced products than the large fixed-income futures or index-based futures. So it is that combination, but we'll follow up on the data sets in terms of the high-frequency impact in terms of year-over-year.

speaker
Jeff Kwan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, and then just maybe within that, are there certain products on the MX's platform that they tend to trade more relative to others?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Well, certainly, I mean, some of the highest-volume traded products are things like the Canada government bond, the BAX Futures. those large fixed-income products. And we've got very large growing volume in things like the five-year, the two-year now. We expect the 30-year as well. Those fixed-income products tend to be higher premium products. But as you know, we've talked about this in the past, to bring new products to market and really drive growth, we will use rebate incentives to drive them. They've been extremely successful in terms of adding liquidity to the platform and creating the position for long-term growth. So that does in the short term or quarter by quarter impact some of the pricing of those products themselves. But to the earlier question we had earlier on around strength and demand for fixed income product, given the fixed income products are tending to be more premium price products and you look at rate volatility coming, demand for more trading there, that's an area that we would anticipate being strong in 2022 as you get more rate trading, Bank of Canada making changes, et cetera, et cetera. That will lead to more trading growth in those products, which tend to be the premium price products.

speaker
Jeff Kwan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay. And just my other question was just on the new issue pipeline, how you feel about it today or what you're seeing today and how that's trended over the last quarter or two?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

I mean, certainly what we've seen in January activity was a little softer than where we came out in December. But the new issue pipeline continues to be very strong. So we still continue to have 1,500-ish potential issuers in our pipeline that we're active in dialogue with. And one of the data points I'll share with you in terms of the success around 2021 is of that new issue activity in 2021, approximately 50% of it was companies that came from our pipeline. So companies that we had been building relationships with over years before they came to market. So with our deal team, our deal team throughout Capital Formation, who has worked extensively through this period, they continue to be in active dialogue with potential new listed issuers to come forward. And even if you look at the statistics for January alone, while we're not seeing the same level of financing dollars that we had in, say, December, we're actually still continuously growth in new issues on Toronto Stock Exchange. So that demand continues to be there. What I would anticipate as we go through into 2022 with changes in market values is some continued shift in terms of where are some of the sectors that are getting the biggest activity. And so while we all realize that values in the tech sector have come off from their highs last year, there's still strength in other sectors like financial services, diversified industrials, mining, and actually renewed in strength in the energy sector, given the strong pricing around gas and oil. So there's a lot of positive indicators for financing across a number of sectors. And this, candidly, what's been really positive for our marketplace over the last number of years, it's become so much more diversified that we can have strength and capital raising in different market conditions because of different strengths in different sectors.

speaker
Jeff Kwan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

And sorry, may I just add one final one, just When you used the word pipeline, you talked about 1,500 issuers in active dialogue, about half of the issues. I think it was half of the issues in 2021 were ones that came from the pipeline. When you say pipeline, are you referring to companies that are non-issuers right now that, you know, may IPO or essentially list at some point? Absolutely. It's okay. So when you talk about it's not including existing issuers where I know you don't have as much line of sight when you're they may look to do capital markets transaction.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

No, this is around net new issuers.

speaker
Jeff Kwan
Analyst, RBC Capital Markets

Okay, got it. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, as a reminder, should you have any questions, please press star 1. Your next question comes from Jamie Gloin with National Bank. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Thanks. Good morning.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Morning, James.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

First question is around the Tradeport platform and the growth in trader subscribers. You mentioned that the increased attention to the gas and energy markets has driven or in part driven some of that increase. How would you respond to the view that perhaps that increases maybe some cyclicality in the platform should these markets come off again as they tend to swing in volatile directions? Should we look at Tradeport as being a more cyclical business at this point, or how would you respond to that?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

I think, Jim, if you look at the history of Tradeport over time as we bring on new clients, it's largely sticky. So as clients start to deploy the platform throughout it and see the value of using it across their trader community, you don't generally see material drop off from that. What we normally will see is as clients renew with us, and I think you know all clients on multi-year agreements, when clients renew, they're usually adding seats as opposed to stepping back. Now, we did have two years ago as we came into COVID, Now, we had some client renewals where they actually trimmed some of the excess seats. And if you recall, we had some moderation in terms of the actual trader growth, but didn't impact revenue because these are all enterprise agreements. So while we've expanded with some clients, we may have been adding more seats. If there is more than they need in terms of a change in the mix, That doesn't necessarily mean a material change from a revenue standpoint because it is all about what's the enterprise value of that client. So the history on TradePort would suggest that it's actually fairly sticky in multiple market cycles.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, great. Appreciate that. Looking at the AST transaction, results seem like they're pretty down the fairway from what we would have expected. Is there anything, can you dig into that business in a little bit more detail, what was driving some of the revenues this quarter? Customer acquisitions, penetration of that market in terms of market share. What more can you tell us about the AST transaction in Q4?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

In terms of Q4 AST, let me start in terms of the business pieces, and David can jump in on some of the transactional elements. The integration and bringing the business together is going positively. What you're seeing is the strong client participation in the product. We've had clients that, under our ownership now, are happy to extend with us, material clients doing multi-year extensions. It's very early stage to talk about kind of net new blue chip client acquisition there because we really need to complete our integration work, which we're going to get largely done middle of next year in terms of being able to operate on shared systems and go out to clients with shared capabilities, shared call center, all those types of things in terms of selling the combined value proposition. So, you know, have a couple quarters patience with us on that piece as we put the businesses together. But the value proposition is there. It's very strong. We're seeing the client renewals we expect. And what we are seeing in terms of the potential as we go into next year is the opportunity for rate moves. So if you recall, we've talked in the past that there's been very limited revenue within both the AST business that we acquired in 2021 and even in the core TSX Trust business we built in terms of the net interest income that we would generate from holding cash for participants, corporate actions, transactions, those types of things. in a near-zero rate environment. So as we start to see rates move, and David, you can talk to us, I believe we provided some sensitivities around this to give you some guidance, this is a meaningful upside to the business in 2022. Go ahead, David.

speaker
David Arnold
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, so I think the key thing for me, James, is that a couple of things in our disclosure to pick up on is one is we anticipate getting all of our cross-success synergies or substantially all of them by the end of 2024. and last quarter we had earmarked 2025. So that's positive news. The other thing is we're going to realize $2 million at least of our Synergy savings this year, 2022. The integration is going well, as John mentioned. The client satisfaction, which we measure internally, has continued to rise, which is a good indication of an integration going well.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, great. Next question is a bit more, I guess you can answer it in a few different ways, but just thinking about pricing power and your latest thoughts around that in terms of looking at the sustaining listing fees, you know, only a 3% bump there despite the much larger increase in market cap of the companies. And then also on the capital formation side, or additional listing side, the max listing fee hasn't budged in a few years. What are your updated views on addressing price and power in some of these transactional elements?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

It's an area that I believe we've got more opportunity, Jim. And certainly, if you think about the different parts of the franchise, we are We are priced competitively in things like capital formation if you benchmark us against other marketplaces around the world. So it's an area we're going to continue to look for both opportunities and risks if we have any in there. And I would expect to see us do more in that space. In other parts of the franchise like equity trading, that really is market competitive. There's multiple marketplaces in Canada and the U.S. Our pricing is comparative with those. So I wouldn't see the same type of opportunity areas in that area. But even in some things where we've historically not had changes in the past, we are making changes and we have in 2021 and or will in 2022 around some of our market data products. You know, we do some pricing when we do renewals on Tradeport. So there are areas throughout the franchise where I believe we continue to have pricing opportunity. But I do want to be strategic about how we execute it. We're not going to do, you know, broad base X percent increase across franchise. We're looking at, you know, where do we have competitive opportunities that fits with our value proposition to make change. and we are actively looking across the franchise for what those are.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Great. And in that context of competitive dynamics, can you share any initial views or any thoughts around the entry of CBOE into the Canadian marketplace with now a couple of transactions over the last year? Have you noticed any changes in the competitive dynamics that they're bringing to the Canadian marketplace?

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

No, candidly, no. But at this point, they'll still need to file with commissions what their intentions are in terms of being an exchange operator in Canada. What we expect, and we will be quite active in this, is that when small markets start in Canada, they often have kind of a lighter touch from a regulatory standpoint. Marketplaces like CBOE or NASDAQ before that are large, sophisticated global players. We do expect them to be held to the same regulatory standards that we hold to, that we hold for market quality in Canada, and we expect that for these competitors as well, and on that basis, we expect we can compete very well with these. We've got a great product and service offering, and we are very close to the clients, so I expect we will be a very strong competitor.

speaker
Jamie Gloin
Analyst, National Bank Financial

Okay, and last one for me also, sort of thinking about new exchanges, Box has recently announced a new exchange using blockchain technology, BSTX. Are you able to talk about your, or TMX, I mean, the interest in Box Holdings, and what are your views of that marketplace in the U.S.? Is there some opportunities to bring that to Canada? Are there further capital allocation opportunities? possibilities for that business, maybe some broad comments around what you see for that new exchange down.

speaker
John McKenzie
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, so I mean, you would have seen from our disclosure that we are, you know, our position in Box is expanding in terms of our overall ownership, our voting position. So we really are at the early stages of moving from being a portfolio investor in the business to having a larger role in the strategic direction that we would do through the board of Box because it is an independent entity with multiple shareholders engaged in it. So that is something that we're going to be looking at in 2022 through the Box board where we participate, the management of Box in terms of what's the strategic direction in terms of continuing to capitalize on the success in the U.S. market. And it's been successful. I mean, this is a business that over the last number of years has grown from kind of 2% to 3% share of the U.S. option trading market to 5% to 6%. And you're seeing that flow through in our share of those results. The Box Digital offering is one that's actually been active in the works with the team there for a year plus in terms of looking for a model to expand into digital that fits with what the SEC is comfortable in kind of a regulated token space. So it is still early stage. I would classify it almost as this is experimental to see if we can actually use the capabilities of an exchange with the emergence of some demand on digital offerings to create marketplace opportunities. And that's the way I would think about this. This is actually exploratory, and it's something that we can build on if there is client success around it. Now, within our Canadian market as well, continue to look at opportunities to how do you reach deeper into companies that are privately financed companies. And so that could be in digital offerings in the future, but it also can be in services. So the services that we provide through trust are ones that we've talked about are extensible to private companies. And then the service we launched last year, TMX Links, our partnership between ourselves and Catapult, is a digitization or an electronification of private placements for private companies. So it's another way to service in those companies. So it is an area that we're actively looking at. I expect over time that digital tokens or digital securities are going to fall into the realm of regulated securities just like anything on exchanges. That's going to be the purview of where the SEC is likely to go, where the OSCs are likely to go, to ensure that investors are getting the same protections regardless of the instrument they're using to invest in. And we are well set up to support that. So whatever it is that issuers are going to want to list in the future and traders are going to want to trade, we will be able to do it through our platform one way or another. Great. Thanks very much for the call.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

My pleasure. Thank you. We have a follow-on question from Graham Riding with TD Securities. Please go ahead.

speaker
Graham Riding
Analyst, TD Securities

David, the $8 million in AST synergies by 2024, are those all cost savings or is that a mix of cost and revenue? It's both. 50-50 or you're not in a position to sort of flush out what's what? It's a good question, Graham, but not in a position to do that. Okay. That's it for me. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions at this time, Mr. Malcolmson. You may proceed.

speaker
Paul Malcolmson
Head of Investor Relations

Well, thank you, operator, and thank you, everyone, for listening today. If you have any further questions, the contact information for media as well as for investor relations is in our press release, and we'd be happy to get back to you. Stay well and stay safe, everyone.

speaker
Operator
Conference Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes your conference call for today. We thank you for participating and ask that you please disconnect your lines. Have a great day.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

Q4X 2021

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