5/1/2025

speaker
Lisa
Conference Operator

and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the EXCO Technologies Limited second quarter results 2025 conference call. At this time, all participants are in listen-only mode. After the speaker's presentation, there'll be a question and answer session. To ask a question during the session, you'll need to press star 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press star 11 again. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Darren Kirk, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead.

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Lisa, and good morning to all participants. Welcome to Exco Technology's fiscal 2025 second quarter conference call. I'll begin with an overview of operations, followed by our CFO, Matthew Posno, who will review the financial details for the quarter. Afterwards, I'll address our outlook before we open the call for questions. Before we begin, I'd like to remind everyone of the cautionary notes included in yesterday's news release and on page two of the presentation we posted to our website. These notes are applicable to today's discussion. Firstly, I'm very pleased with our performance this quarter, which featured record consolidated revenues, record revenues for our cast and extrusion segment, and consolidated EBITDA excluding restructuring charges among the highest in EXCO's history. We achieved these results despite challenging market conditions, including sharply reduced automotive production volumes in both North America and Europe, as well as ongoing tariff uncertainties. Throughout the quarter, we continued investing in our future by enhancing operational efficiency, driving innovation and leveraging recent strategic investments to capitalize on favorable market opportunities. In our automotive solutions segment, the modest sales decline significantly outperformed broader reduction in vehicle production volumes. This resilience was helped by exceptionally strong U.S. SAR figures as consumers accelerated purchases ahead of impending U.S. tariffs. New program launches, favorable exchange rate movements, and the restocking of accessory inventories that had reduced in prior quarter also helped our results. These factors coupled with a favorable product mix helped maintain segment EBITDA margins around 12% despite increased pressure in Europe and restructuring charges, which largely reflect proactive headcount reductions as we further streamline operations and emphasize automation. In our casting and extrusion segment, We saw strong sales for new high-pressure die-cast molds, rebuilds, and additively printed inserts, although order intake for these products was softer. Demand for consumable die-cast components and extrusion-related products rebounded from the previous quarter to levels broadly consistent with the prior year. Capital equipment sales also remained relatively stable as our customers continued to focus on productivity and efficiency improvements, a core strength of our cast fuel operations. Margins in the casting extrusion segment were lower year over year despite significant improvements at recent greenfield facilities, primarily due to restructuring charges. These charges negatively impacted results this quarter, but have positioned us for immediate cost structure improvements moving forward. Additionally, we experienced higher cost and operational disruptions related to the outsourcing during the installation of new heat treatment equipment at our largest extrusion dye facility located in Michigan. We remain committed to achieving greater scale and efficiency from our recent capital investments and saw encouraging progress this quarter. Notably, Castool's facility in Mexico continued to ramp up effectively, our heat treatment operations performed exceptionally well, and our Halix operations in Europe delivered profitability improvements that outpaced local market conditions. Matthew will now provide an overview of the financials.

speaker
Matthew Posno
Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Darren. Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Consolidated sales for the second quarter ended March 31st, 2025 were $166.1 million compared to $163.8 million in the same quarter last year, an increase of $2.3 million or 1%. The impact of foreign exchange rate changes increased consolidated sales $8.8 million in the quarter. Consolidated net income in the second quarter was $6.4 million or basic and diluted earnings of $0.17 per share compared to $8.1 million or $0.21 per share the same quarter last year, a decrease of net income of $1.7 million, or 21%. Net income this quarter included $2 million, or 5% on an EPS basis, of after-tax restructuring charges compared to less than around 1% EPS the prior year. The consolidated effective income tax rate was 33.7% in the quarter compared to 22.8% in the prior year quarter. The change in income tax rate in the quarter was impacted by geographic distribution, foreign tax rate differentials and losses that cannot be affected for tax accounting purposes. The automotive solutions segment reported sales of $82.9 million in the second quarter, a decrease of 2.9 million or 3% from the prior year quarter. Foreign exchange rate changes increased segment sales in the quarter $4.8 million. Second quarter sales were modestly below the prior year level but increased 15% sequentially Results in the quarter were favorably impacted by strong seasonally adjusted annual rates in North America, reaching 17.7 million units in March, as well as inventory restocking of accessory products driven by the strong SAR performance. However, despite the favorable performance, the global automotive risk market continues to be negatively affected by global tariff uncertainty, recessionary risks, environmental regulatory changes that may affect future production, and reduced consumer confidence. Nonetheless, supportive factors include the potential for lower interest rates, continued resilience in vehicle sales, an aging vehicle fleet, and higher OEM incentives. The automotive solution segment reported pre-tax profit of $7.8 million in the second quarter, a decrease of half a million dollars in the prior year quarter. Second quarter segment pre-tax profit increased sequentially 65% over the first quarter. Variances in the period profitability were due to lower sales volume, product mix shifts, and rising labor costs in all jurisdictions. Labor costs in Mexico have been particularly challenging in recent years and are seeing added pressure in fiscal 2025 given the significant rise in wage levels. In reaction to these challenges, the company incurred incremental restructuring costs of half a million dollars in the quarter. These restructuring actions will help the segment deal with current production levels more efficiently and provide a strong base for future profitability when the market improves. The casting and extrusion segment reported sales of $83.2 million in the second quarter, an increase of 5.2 million or 7% from the same period last year. Foreign exchange rate movements increased segment sales by $4 million in the quarter. Demand for casting and extrusion products recovered in the second quarter as sales increased 17% from weak conditions in the first quarter, due primarily to December holiday shutdowns at our customers. Extrusion tooling sales were stable in the second quarter, reflecting the diverse end markets this group ultimately supports, which include building and construction activity, automotive, sustainable energy, transportation, recreational vehicles, and electrical components. In the die-cast market, which primarily serves the automotive industry, order flow for new molds and associated consumable tooling has declined as automotive manufacturers continue to put new product development and production on hold, in part due to the current political risks. That being said, sales for large molds were very strong in the quarter as a high number of dies were shipped. While overall quoting activity remains decent, sales of die cast products in the short term will be impacted as the automotive industry reacts to global tariffs, economic uncertainty, and lengthening vehicle refresh cycles. Demand for EXCO's additive 3D printed tooling continues a steady contribution as customers focus on greater efficiency with the size and complexity of die cast tooling continuing to increase with the rising adoption of gigapresses. Management is developing the benefits of its Castell Greenfield locations in Morocco and Mexico, which provide the opportunity to gain market share in Europe and Latin America through better proximity to local customers. The casting and extrusion segment recorded $4.5 million of pre-tax profit in the second quarter, a decrease of $1 million from the same quarter last year, and an increase of $800,000 from the first quarter fiscal 25. Pre-tax profit reduction is primarily due to incremental restructuring costs of $1.6 million incurred during the second quarter, mainly related to headcount reduction activity. Excluding the impact of the restructuring charges, segment pre-tax profits improved marginally. The underlying pre-tax profit improvement was due to program pricing improvements, favorable product mix, and efficiency initiatives across the segment, including the ongoing use of lean manufacturing and automation to improve productivity through standardization and waste elimination. In addition, volumes at Castile's heat treat operation continue to increase, providing savings and improved production quality while efficiency initiatives at Halex are progressing. Offsetting these cost improvements were ongoing losses at Castile's greenfield operations, albeit with good improvement demonstrated. We remain focused on standardizing manufacturing processes, enhancing engineering depth, and centralizing critical support functions across our various plants. These initiatives have reduced lead times, enhanced product quality, expanded product breadth, and increased capacity which will contribute to profit improvements. EXCO generated cash from operating activities of $8.7 million during the quarter and $3.1 million of free cash flow after $4.4 million in maintenance fixed asset expenditures. This free cash flow, together with the company's cash balances, was used to fund fixed assets for growth initiatives of $4.1 million $4 million of dividends, and $900,000 to repurchase shares under a normal course issuer bid. EXCO entered the quarter with $18 million in cash, $100 million in bank and long-term debt, and $51 million availability in its credit facility. EXCO's financial position remains strong. As such, the company's balance sheet and availability on the existing credit facility provides continued support for our strategic initiatives. Our strong financial position, combined with our free cash flow, creates a foundation for management to pursue high-value growth capital expenditures, dividends, and other opportunities that may arise. That concludes my comments. We can now transition back to Darren to discuss the company's outlook.

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

Thanks, Matthew. So turning to our outlook. From a macro perspective, industry analysts forecast vehicle production declines of roughly 9% in North America and approximately 5% in Europe in calendar 2025, driven by the tariff impacts. U.S. SAR is expected to decline to around 15 million units in 2025. Given the growing uncertainty surrounding global trade policy, particularly around tariffs, we withdrew our fiscal 2026 financial targets this quarter. Although we made significant progress toward achieving these goals since their initial announcement in fiscal 2021, the unpredictability of tariff implementation and scope particularly regarding the United States, makes it impractical to reaffirm our previous financial objectives at this time. Nonetheless, we believe the strategic initiatives underpinning these targets remain solid and achievable over the longer term. Our greenfield investments, new program launches, organic market growth, and consistent track record of market share gains should all contribute to meaningful growth and margin expansion as market conditions stabilize. Importantly, we anticipate that products complying with United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement rules of origin will remain tariff exempt over the long term. Nearly all of EXCO's North American sold products meet USMCA compliance standards, positioning us favorably amid ongoing trade policy shifts. Furthermore, our substantial manufacturing presence in the US for extrusion dyes and large mold ensure that we remain well positioned should tariff application broaden beyond our current expectations. And should elevated tariffs persist, particularly against non-compliant jurisdictions like China, EXCO stands to benefit competitively relative to global peers. We are also encouraged by broader North American macro trends, particularly industrial reshoring initiatives. These trends should bolster demand for both extrusion and high-pressure die-cast tooling, core competencies of EXCO. The alignment of policy-driven reshoring efforts, structural automotive industry shifts, and EXCO's strong market positioning give us confidence in our long-term outlook despite near-term challenges. That concludes my prepared remarks. I'd like to sincerely thank all my EXCO colleagues for their hard work, innovation, and unwavering commitment to maintaining a safe work environment. I'll now turn the call back to Lisa for Q&A.

speaker
Lisa
Conference Operator

Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press star 11 on your telephone. You'll also hear that automated message advising your hand is raised. Also, please wait for your name and company to be announced before you proceed with your question. One moment for the first question. And our first question will come from the line of Dave Ocampo of Comark Securities. Your line is open.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

Thanks, operator. Darren, Matt, good morning. Just first question here, just completely understand the pulling of the 26 guidance, just given the uncertainty. But I am curious, when you do speak to your customers and hear about their order schedules, how much visibility do you guys have into the next quarter? Is it status quo right now until we get a change either for the good or the worse relating to tariffs?

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

Yeah, good morning, David. I'm going to say at this point, there's not a lot that has changed from a visibility perspective. You know, things continue to be relatively normal for now. We do expect, though, that the longer that the tariffs stay in place, that the more likely things are to shift. It's just that we haven't seen it to a material degree yet. Now, I will say that on the large mold side of the business, we have seen a slowdown on order intake that will impact the next couple of quarters. I'm going to say is not entirely driven by tariffs. There's some cyclicality there that is going to bite. Longer term, you know, we still remain extremely bullish on high-pressure diecast, and we are seeing a lot of growing activity on the quoting side of things. So, you know, this is one of these things that it'll play out through the next quarter, you know, but, you know, things could change rapidly depending on what happens to tariffs on an overall perspective.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

Yeah, it makes sense. And you called out China and how they're certainly being targeted by the US, but a lot of your competitors for the large mold division are from China. Are you starting to see more of your customers starting to have more conversations with you as they look to kind of shift their supply chains to more Western mold suppliers like yourself?

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

That's exactly right, David. We are seeing a lot more conversations and about what we can do in North America to reduce the dependence on China for the whole industry. And we really feel that this is kind of going to demonstrate the value of the investments that we've made in particularly our high-pressure die-cast operations, but across our whole tooling group where, you know, we've built the capabilities up to handle kind of giga-type molds and increase volume. And so to the extent that we end up in a situation where China has – you know, tariffs, not even at the 145% level, but even something lower, that our competitive position should improve dramatically.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

Okay, and then just two quick ones just for Matt. A couple million dollars of restructuring this quarter. Is there any more that gets leaked into future quarters, and how should we be thinking about the payback on those actions that you've made so far?

speaker
Matthew Posno
Chief Financial Officer

I think our payback is going to be... less than 12 months, I think, from a lot of what we've seen. And I'm going to say we're considering other things. It really depends on where the market is and, you know, operationally how things are reacting.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

Okay. And then just a last one here. It may have come up in your prepared remarks, but just thoughts on CapEx, given the uncertainty. I know there's a bit of growth CapEx in the quarter, but do you guys think plan on pulling back some of your capital plans, just given all the uncertainty?

speaker
Matthew Posno
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, we have certain capital that is committed. I think last quarter we kind of said we think a CapEx would be around, you know, $40 million. I don't anticipate us hitting that level. It could be $35, $40, could be less than $35. I do know that, you know, we're already in the midst of discussions for future CapEx. And as we talked about even last year and heading into this year, We do see our CapEx being much lower. I mean, some of the stuff we have right now, it's committed, so we have to kind of complete it. But we are looking at anything discretionary and next year for sure because we spent so much. I don't want to say we're at maintenance mode, but we're getting close.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

Sorry, what is the maintenance CapEx for your operations on an annual basis?

speaker
Matthew Posno
Chief Financial Officer

It could be 20 plus or minus, you know, 10%.

speaker
Dave Ocampo
Analyst, Comark Securities

That's perfect. Thanks a lot, everyone.

speaker
Lisa
Conference Operator

No problem. Thanks, David. Talk to you later. Thank you. One moment for the next question. And our next question will be coming from the line of Nick Corcoran of Acumen Capital Partners. Your line is open.

speaker
Reese McCauley
Analyst, Acumen Capital Partners

Good morning. This is Reese McCauley on the line for Nick Corcoran from Acumen Capital. A few questions from me. Have you seen OEMs change their production schedules in response to tariffs?

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

Good morning. Not materially at this point. I mean, there's certainly been some shifts for sure. But in terms of those shifts and the impact on our products and demand, it has not been material at this point. But kind of going back to my previous answer, I would expect that to change if there's no further adjustments to the tariffs through the quarter.

speaker
Reese McCauley
Analyst, Acumen Capital Partners

Great, thank you. And then this kind of touches on the other question too. Just to confirm with the US government imposing higher tariffs on China, has this made your extrusion products more competitive? Or do you believe they will?

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

So with regard to extrusion, we don't actually get or have a lot of competition from China. The nature of the extrusion business is such that lead times are so short, kind of seven to nine days typically, that China is not able to compete effectively in that market anyway. But with respect to high-pressure die-cast molds in particular, lead times are much longer, kind of in the six-month range. time frame, typically. And so China has been a significant competitor there for a number of years. And, you know, the broader perspective on trade policy, which I think the U.S. is really addressing this, and that's the subsidized nature of all of these Chinese products that are making their way to the U.S., is really being demonstrated here. And to the extent that that plays out anywhere near where the tariffs are positioned today, that'll be very helpful to our high-pressure die-cast operations for a long period of time.

speaker
Reese McCauley
Analyst, Acumen Capital Partners

Great, thanks. And this is the last one from me. To touch on M&A pipeline, has it changed at all since your Q1 release?

speaker
Matthew Posno
Chief Financial Officer

Our M&A pipeline? You know... I think we've said before, Exco is not an M&A company, but we're always looking for the right strategic fit that meets our vertical integration or our current skill sets. So I'm going to say no. I don't think we've changed our philosophy. We're just very selective and we want to continue to be so. I mean, now might be a good time to find some... gems, but we're not changing our philosophy being more bullish or less.

speaker
Reese McCauley
Analyst, Acumen Capital Partners

Great. Thank you. That's all for me. I'll pass the mic. Okay.

speaker
Lisa
Conference Operator

Thanks. Thank you. This concludes today's Q&A session. I would like to turn the call back over to Darren for closed remarks. Please go ahead.

speaker
Darren Kirk
Chief Executive Officer

Well, thanks, everyone, for joining us on the call today. We look forward to speaking to you again next quarter when hopefully we'll have a lot more clarity and certainty over the tariff policies and directions. So we'll talk to you then.

speaker
Lisa
Conference Operator

Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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