8/6/2019

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Good morning and welcome to the Bausch Health second quarter 2019 earnings conference call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. Should you need assistance, please signal a conference specialist by pressing star then zero on your telephone keypad. After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. To ask a question, you may press star then one on your telephone keypad. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. Please note this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Art Shannon, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Global Communications. Please go ahead.

speaker
Art Shannon
Senior Vice President, Investor Relations and Global Communications

Thank you, Andrew. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our second quarter 2019 financial results conference call. Participating on today's call are Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, Mr. Joe Pava, and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Paul Herendine. In addition to this live webcast, a copy of today's slide presentation and a replay of this conference call will be available on our website under the investor relations section. Before we begin, we would like to remind you that our presentation today contains forward-looking information. We would ask that you take a moment to read the forward-looking statement legend at the beginning of our presentation as it contains important information. This presentation contains non-GAAP financial measures. For more information about these measures, please refer to slide two of the presentation Non-GAAP reconciliations can be found in the appendix to the presentation posted on our website. Finally, the financial guidance in this presentation is effective as of today only. It is our policy to generally not update guidance until the following quarter and not to update or affirm guidance other than through broadly disseminated public disclosure. With that, it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Joe.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Thank you, Art, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. I'll begin with the second quarter highlights before turning the call over to Paul Herendien, our CFO, to review the financial results in detail and update our 2019 guidance. We'll then review the segment highlights and our positioning for the future and how we plan to drive long-term shareholder value before we open the line for questions. Beginning with slide four, Our strong second quarter results demonstrate that our team's efforts to pivot to offense continue to gain traction. With 3% organic revenue growth, the second quarter of 2019 was the sixth consecutive quarter of total company organic revenue growth. B&L International and Salix, which now represent 80% of our total revenue, grew organically by 6% on a combined basis. This was B&L International's 11th consecutive quarter of organic revenue growth, and Salix reported more than $500 million in total quarterly revenue for the first time. Our most important products, or our top 10 products, grew organically by 13% in the aggregate compared to the second quarter of 2018. And our continued focus on improving operational efficiency through Project CORE is expected to deliver more than $75 million of operating profit during 2019. Moving over to the right of slide four, Trulianth, a constipation IBS treatment that we acquired last quarter, is off to a great start. It generated $17 million of revenue in its first full quarter since our acquisition. We continue to launch new products as well, including Lodamax S-Fem in April, Duopri and Ultra multifocal lenses in June, and our Occuvite eye performance vitamins in July. Finally, we continue to strategically manage debt and allocate capital. We generated $339 million of cash from operations during the quarter. We increased R&D spend by approximately 24% in the second quarter. We refinanced $1.5 billion of 2023 senior unsecured notes. In year-to-date, as of August 6th, we have used $550 million to reduce the debt by approximately $350 million, complete the acquisitions of Trulance and Delcanatide, and license Amicelamon for development and commercialization. Overall, a very strong quarter, thanks to a great team effort. and the continued engagement of 21,000 employees of Bausch Health companies who are truly motivated to launch new products, improve operations, and keep delivering on commitments to help improve patients' lives. With that, I'll turn it over to Paul.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Joe. Turn to slide five, and I'll start by walking down the top-level P&L, and then I'll provide some color around our results. As Joe said, we had a good, solid quarter with 1% reported revenue growth and 3% organic growth versus Q2 of 2018. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $880 million, up 1% compared with Q2 of 2018. So we put a good first half on the board, and we're raising our revenue in adjusted EBITDA guidance. More on that later. Assuming FX stays where we are today, at the midpoint of our revised guidance, we would report about 1% revenue growth for the full year 2019 versus 18. That's pretty good considering the $180 million growth drag from LOEs we've absorbed in the first half of the year and the expected $213 million expected in the second half. So 3% organic revenue growth overall versus Q2 2018, with 2% of that coming from net price and 1% from volume. That's company-wide. Salix led the way, up 12% organically, despite the loss of exclusivity for Euceris. B&L International continued its string of organic growth quarters, up 4%, with four of the five subsegments posting growth. Orthoderm declined 13% organically, mainly due to LOEs, while Diversified declined 7% organically. Company-wide adjusted gross margin improved by some 50 basis points versus Q2 of 2018, with approximately 30% of that improvement coming from better operating efficiency in our global supply chain. I'll give a tip of the hat there to Dennis Asheron and his team for that. And the balance of that improvement was from a shift in mix to higher margin products. Adjusted selling, advertising, and promotion expense increased $20 million on a reported basis, with the biggest drivers being the addition of the 100 sales reps and associated promotional spend in connection with the Trulance acquisition in the Salix segment, and increased spend in B&L International to support growth products, including Lumify, our iVitamin, Zocuvite, and Prezavision, BioTrue One Day, and our Ultra Lenses. Adjusted G&A was down $10 million, or 6% on a reported basis, mainly due to reduced corporate support costs offset a bit by an increase in our IT costs. Our Chief Information Officer, Chuck Hoyt, and his team are underway in the process of transforming our global IT systems and infrastructure to support our future growth. R&D was up 23 million or 24% on a reported basis as we continue to build out our R&D organization and construct a portfolio of projects under development to protect our existing product franchises and to provide the fuel for longer-term growth. A quick note on how R&D appears in our segment P&Ls. R&D shown in the segment P&Ls reflects only the direct costs directly associated with those segments, mainly external clinical costs. To help you think about how you might allocate R&D to the segments, here's a couple of factoids for you. Our 2019 guidance suggests company-wide R&D will be in the range of 5.3% to 5.4% of revenue. As we look forward and think about how our current level of spending in R&D as a percent of revenue might be allocated across our segments in the future, B&L International may be at roughly the company-wide average as a percent of revenue, Salix may be higher than that, Orthoderm less than that, and Diversified much less than that. That could change as we evolve, but based on where we are today, I think that color might be helpful. So, despite the increased selling, advertising, and promotion expense to support growth brands and higher R&D costs, our adjusted EBITDA rose 1% on both a reported and constant currency basis. That's good stuff. While we continue to believe that adjusted EBITDA is our most important profitability performance indicator, I know that some of you also focus on adjusted net income, and there are a couple of items of note below the operating lines. First, as we continue to use available cash to reduce debt, then predictably, interest expense declines and acts as kind of an adjusted net earnings accelerator. It's the P&L manifestation of the enterprise value shift from debt to equity every time we reduce our debt. From Q2 of 2018 to 19, our interest expense declined $26 million. The other item of note is our income tax rate on adjusted earnings, roughly 8% this quarter versus 12% in Q2 of 2018. The combination of those two items result in adjusted net income being up 13% on a constant currency basis in Q2 of 2019 versus Q2 of 2018. Turning quickly to the segments and starting with the B&L International on slide six, 4% organic growth was driven by 1% by price and 3% by volume. Just a couple of items of note. In terms of dollar contribution to growth, the global consumer business was up a solid 5% organically on strong sales of our iVitamins, Presavision, and Octavite, and our redness reliever, Lumify. The growth in consumer was all volume-driven as realized prices were down slightly. Global Vision Care was very strong, plus 8% organically, the eighth consecutive quarter of growth for the Global Vision Care business. The growth dollars in Global Vision Care came roughly equally from within the U.S. and internationally. Growth in Global Vision Care was all volume as realized net pricing was flat. That's across the segment. Note that in the U.S., over the last couple of years, we have been using discounting strategically while partnering with independent optometrists and eye care retailers. and that was to regain momentum and increase share. It's working, and under Joe Gordon's VATIC leadership, the U.S. vision care business has grown in dollar terms for eight consecutive quarters. We've ratcheted back our use of discounting, and in Q2 of 2019 versus 18, our realized net pricing in the U.S. decreased only slightly versus Q2 of 18, while volume was up significantly. Good stuff indeed. The growth drivers in the segment for the quarter were the BioTrue one-day family, our silicon hydrogel daily disposable aqua locks in Japan, and our ultra family of silicon hydrogel lenses, particularly outside the United States. Our international pharma business grew 4% organically, which benefited from solid performance mainly in Canada, Eastern Europe, and in the Middle East, and that was mainly Amun in Egypt. Global op, though, declined 1% organically, impacted by a decline in low to max due to the loss of exclusivity. That was offset by Zolta growth and strong performance in international markets. Global surgical grew 2% organically, driven mainly by growth in our international businesses outside the U.S. Down in operating expenses for B&L International, you can see the increase in selling, advertising, and promotion expenses that I talked about earlier. On to Salix on slide 7. Salix was up 12% organically. That's excluding the $17 million of revenue from Trulance that was acquired earlier this year. Syfaxia was a star, up 21% overall. Volume was up 8%. That's in line with the growth in TRXs. Improved gross net spreads, excuse me, gross net associated with our project core added about another 7%. And the net impact of the January price increase after the associated contractual increases in rebates added another plus 6%. The flow-through benefits of our project core activities on Xifaxin that have improved our growth to net for the brand will likely be a bit of a growth tailwind through Q3 of this year, but I expect them to moderate in Q4 and beyond. Glumenta has continued to do well despite the loss of exclusivity for the brand. Our proactive management of the brand through that loss of exclusivity resulted in our seeing excellent realized net pricing in the quarter in a marked uptick in volumes. A word of caution here with respect to Glumetza. As we move into the back half of 2019, we fully expect a significant drop in realized net pricing through Glumetza, especially in Q4 and beyond. Down in Salix operating expenses, you see the impact of the acquisition of Trulands in the 29% increase in selling, advertising, and promotion expenses. On to Orthodermatologics in slide eight. Overall, segment revenue was down 13%. As it continued, and I would say impressive, growth of Solta could not overcome the impacts of LOEs in the medical Durham business. In Solta, as we rolled out Thermage FLX in the Asia-Pac region, the demand was even stronger than we had forecast. It was a big driver of the 44% organic growth over Q2 of 2018. In medical Durham, the $36 million impact of LOEs, including for Elidel, Solidine, and Zovirix, overwhelmed the $4 million pickup in the balance of the portfolio. Turning to slide nine in the diversified segment, our generics business benefited from launches of authorized generic versions of Eucyrus and Eladil, and our team continued to capitalize on competitive supply issues. Our dentistry business continues to face reimbursement challenges from payers, particularly for Arrestin, and our neurology business absorbed an LOE impact of 30 million versus Q2 of 2018. As a reminder, our diversified segment is not expected to grow. We manage the assets in this segment to maximize cash flows over time, and the 7% decline in revenue for the quarter is consistent with that goal. Note that we selectively promote some of the products in this segment where we believe that the durability and duration of the brands enables us to earn appropriate returns on those promotional investments. I'm talking about products like Welbutrin, Aplenzin, and Migranol. You see that selling, advertising, and promotion expense increased versus Q2 of 2018. That's why. I'd say these activities aren't as high profile as, say, promoting Zyfaxan or Lumify, but they are value generative nevertheless. For example, the Plensin was up 62% compared with Q2 of 2018. The neuro business had been run by a talented colleague named Yolanda Barnard, and she delivered excellent results for us. And that earned her the shot to move over and now head our U.S. OptoRx business. On to the balance sheet on slide 10. If you look at the balance sheet from the end of 2018 to June 30th, 2019, year-to-date, we reduced total debt by some $250 million. I'll point out that we also recently paid down another $100 million of our debt. So year-to-date to today, that reduction in 2019 is roughly $350 million. Turn to slide 11 in our cash flow. Our cash provided by operating activities in Q2 totaled $339 million. This was higher than we expected due to some serendipity in the timing of some cash receipts at the end of the quarter. I'm bringing this up because we said in the past that Q2 and Q4 are expected to be weaker cash generation quarters due to the clustering of interest settlement dates in those two quarters. About one-third of our cash interest settles in each of Q2 and Q4 and about one-sixth in Q1 and Q3. The higher cash generated in Q2 due to the fortunate timing of cash receipts was We'll take the top off of some of our cash generation in Q3, but we are still on track to generate between 1.5 and 1.6 billion in cash from operating activities in 2019. On to guidance on slide 12. We're raising our revenue guidance by 50 million across the range and for adjusted EBITDA by 25 million across the range. Most of the other guidance items are unchanged, except that we revised our guidance for gross margin to roughly 72% based on where we are at the halfway point, and we increased the estimate for share-based comp to $110 million. On slide 13, you see the guidance bridge. Since we last provided guidance back in May, FX improved at the revenue level by $10 million. We increased our expectations for revenues for the LOE assets by 20 million and increased our expectations for our base business by 20 million. The change in the LOE estimate was based on our moving out the date for appraisal to Q4. At adjusted EBITDA, we raised guidance by 25 million across the range, and that was driven by 10 million of incremental profit from the LOE assets and improved profitability in our base business. Before I turn it back to Joe, I think it's worth taking stock of where we are today and how we're positioned for the future. We've made significant progress in reducing the quantum of our debt. We're down some $8 billion since Q1 of 2016, and in managing our upcoming maturities. As Joe loves to say, that gave us the freedom to operate to put our company on the right path. We've now posted six consecutive quarters of organic revenue growth, which, considering the sheer volume of LOEs, we've had to work through is quite an accomplishment. We have laid the foundation to enable the company to capitalize on its competitive strengths and deliver consistent growth of organic revenue, profits, and cash flow. That started with reorganizing our businesses and putting in place a strong commercial leadership team. Then we took a hard look at our operating expenses, eliminated the ineffective costs, and allocated additional resources where we could drive growth. To ensure that we can grow organically, we've increased our spend in R&D. So today, with the great progress we made in dealing with our capital structure and with the magnitude of the LOE impacts decreasing, we believe that we're a company that can grow at mid-singletary rates over time, is highly diversified with positions of competitive strength in each of our core businesses, and enjoys an efficient global tax structure that enables us to convert a large percentage of earnings into cash that can be used to shift enterprise value from our debt holders to our equity holders. We've come a long way since 2016. Joe? Thank you, Paul.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Another great review. Let's go through some of the highlights in our B&L International segments on slide 14. First, this segment delivered 4% organic growth, as you can see in the chart. The second quarter's organic growth was driven by an increase in volume, particularly in global consumer and global vision care. In looking ahead to future growth drivers for this business, we believe there are megatrends that have the potential to drive demand for eye care products in the years ahead. One of these megatrends, myopia, or nearsightedness, is increasing to an epidemic level. Importantly, myopia is also a risk factor for glaucoma, macular degeneration, and retinal detachment. And this, unfortunately, is a global trend. Nearly 40% of North Americans are now affected by myopia, and the number of cases have doubled between 1972 and 2004. In Europe, 42% of adults between the ages of 25 to 29 have myopia. almost twice the rate of the 55 to 59-year-olds. And we're seeing a similar trend in Eastern Asia. 87% of individuals born after 1997 in Hong Kong have myopia, compared to 30% born prior to 1950. Bausch & Lomb's integrated eye care platform is well-positioned to provide products that improve the lives of those with myopia, including corrective lenses, over-the-counter ophthalmic products, surgical offerings, and prescription treatments. Turning now to global consumer on slide 15, our iVitamins, OcuVite, and PresVision grew by 13% organically in the second quarter on a combined basis, driven by brand extensions. Lumify continues to outpace expectations, having achieved a weekly market share of more than 35% just one year after launch. In the Regenus Reliever category, Lumify is the number one physician-recommended product and the number one eye drop on Amazon. E-commerce continues to be an important channel for our global consumer products, as the second quarter of Amazon data demonstrates, with 83% growth compared to the second quarter of 2018. On to slide 16, new products are driving 8% organic growth in vision care. Internationally, we saw significant growth in Japan, China, and Russia. And in the U.S., VisionCare had its 21st consecutive month of market-leading growth. If you look at the chart on the bottom left, you can see Bausch & Lomb's estimated U.S. contact lens growth of 13% in the second quarter compared to the industry average of approximately 8%. Globally, B&L grew by 8% compared to the industry average of approximately 5%. I want to highlight one new launch product that is helping to drive this growth. Ultra Multifocal Contacts for Astigmatism. Breaking new ground, this product is the first multifocal toric lens available as a standard offering in fit sets, rather than as a custom order. Now available in the U.S., The ultra lenses allow for a seamless transition between distances, and given the limited options for the 32 million people in the U.S. who have both astigmatism and presbyopia, we believe these lenses will have a strong market position and significant growth opportunity. Turning now to slide 17, Salix had a great quarter, delivering over $500 million of revenue for the first time, driven by Sifaxin, which had its highest quarterly reported revenue to date. Compared to the prior year quarter, TRX for our promoted brands all grew nicely in the second quarter. Syfaxon was up 8%, Trulance grew by 31%, and Relastore Oral was up 12%. Our team also resolved two important intellectual property matters. The court upheld the validity and determined that activists infringed on our patent-protecting Relastore tablets, and we resolved the appraisal IP litigation with two out of the four paragraph four filers. Finally, we anticipate some near-term developments that are expected to be catalysts for this business. These include three new indication development programs for Rifaximin and a cardiovascular Holter study readout for MSL Mod that we are expecting around the year end. On the right, we show our approach to expanding and diversifying the GI business. At the base of our portfolio are promoted products, including Trulance, which we recently acquired. Building on that base, the SALIC team has had a number of additional initiatives that we expect to help grow this business over the longer term, including new indications for rifaximin, emicellamide, which is an S1P modulator for the treatment of ulcerative colitis, bilcanitide, an investigational compound, which has demonstrated proof of concept in treating multiple GI conditions, an investigational treatment for NASH, and finally, an over-the-counter probiotic. Overall, we're pleased with the progress in our GI pipeline, and we're looking forward to a lot of activity over the next 12 months. I want to talk some more about Xifax on slide 18, given its record quarter of 21% reported revenue growth. As Paul discussed earlier, this growth was primarily driven by volume and proactive steps to improve gross to net. We're seeing strong script growth with TRX is up 8% versus the second quarter of 2018, and up 6% versus just the first quarter sequential of 2019. The primary care field expansion is delivering. New Rx's in primary care grew by 16% in the second quarter versus the prior year quarter. You can see the quarterly TRX trend on the right, which shows the TRX growth since the primary care team was added in the first quarter of 2017. And in the second quarter of 2019, SIF action was up approximately 13% in the non-retail channel compared to the prior year quarter. On to slide 19, Trulance continues to perform well relative to the 2019 guidance we gave last quarter. In the first quarter of promotion since the acquisition, Trulance TRX has grew by 31% versus the prior year quarter and by 7% over the first quarter. Leveraging SALIC's existing GI and primary care relationship for Trulance, we have further integrated Trulance with our larger ZyFax and Salesforce. As we've shown on the bottom right, we had about 100 reps detailing Trulance in the first quarter. We added another 100 sales reps in the second quarter. And as of this month, we've increased that number to approximately 500 sales reps promoting Trulance. We also increased GI and primary care targets by more than 65% in the second quarter and increased reach and frequency to healthcare providers by more than 60% since the acquisition. Our team has also done an excellent job in improving market access. Commercial coverage has increased to approximately 86% and unrestricted access is right around 47%. We also added 2.4 million covered lives across five regional plans since acquisition and improved coverage for roughly 7 million federal lives through the TRICARE program. Overall, we are very pleased with Truliant's performance. Moving on to Orthodermalogics on slide 20, while we reported a total segment organic revenue decline in the second quarter, The performance of our aesthetic business has been outstanding, up 44% organically, driven by the strong launch of Thermage FLX. Another highlight is Dermatology.com, our cash-paid prescription program, which is gaining traction. We recently announced that the program will be available at more than 9,500 Walgreens U.S. retail pharmacy locations by the end of this month. We expect approximately 15 products to be available through the dermatology.com channel before the year end and to launch e-commerce and telemedicine on the platform in 2020. We see a real opportunity for orthodermalogics to be a leader in delivering predictable access to prescription dermatologies at predictable prices. Again, in that segment as a whole, we're pleased that new products and aesthetics are driving the transformation of the dermatology business. You can see the progress we're making in the graphs on the bottom of slide 20. Here we've shown the percentage of revenue from global SOLTA-based business in green and new products, including the Thermage SLX, which are shown at the timeline at the bottom of the slide in blue. Beginning in 2017, revenue from global SOLTA generated approximately 15.2% of total segment revenue. In 2018, global SOLTA and new products contributed 18.3% and 7.7%, respectively, of total segment revenue. And in the first half of 2019, global Solta revenue had grown to 21.7%, and new products generated 23% of total segment revenue. So with nearly half of total segment revenue being driven by global Solta and newly launched products, we're moving the right direction and expecting this trend to continue. On to slide 21, early feedback on Duopri has been very positive. First and foremost, the ovary is a topical treatment you can keep using until your skin is clear, per your healthcare provider instructions. This is a key differentiator. Many healthcare providers recognize the benefits of topical product that does not have the duration limitation of other treatments for psoriasis, which is a chronic disease. We're seeing strong momentum in product demand. In the fifth week post-launch, we delivered more than 1,650 prescriptions. Duobree's managed care value proposition is compelling. It has the potential to delay some patients from switching to more expensive biological treatments, which could result in overall healthcare savings. In terms of reimbursement coverage, Duobree has more than 30% of covered lives at launch, and we are projecting approximately 75% of covered lives 12 months post-launch. Based on early data, we remain very optimistic about Duobree's potential. When you combine do-over-ease efficacy as a treatment with its potential to create significant cost savings for managed care, we believe there is an enormous opportunity for this product. On to slide 22, I'm happy to report that all the Significant 7 products have now been launched. And in the first half of 2019, Significant 7 revenue increased by 76% versus the first half of 2018. On slide 23, we present our perspective on how the company is positioned for future growth and how we plan to drive long-term shareholder value. First, building on the points that Paul made earlier, we continue to improve and de-risk our balance sheet. We've reduced debt by approximately $8 billion since the first quarter of 2016, and we are successfully managing our maturity profile. Next is growth. We have overcome the primary loss of exclusivity challenge facing the business, and any way you look at it, we are now growing. The second quarter was our sixth consecutive quarter of total company organic growth. Finally, investment. Our growth is not coming at the expense of tomorrow. We are investing in future growth drivers. We've increased R&D spend, and we're getting new products approved and launched, while also strengthening our new product pipeline through business development. We have invested and continue to invest in sales teams to drive commercial growth. Our Syfaxion primary care sales team is delivering growth, and we're deploying 500 sales reps behind Trulance as a new driver for our Salix business. We're also expanding our Syrisis sales force with Sleek, Reholy, and Duovery. And we are continuing to build out Solta's geographic footprint. For these reasons, we believe that Bounce Health is well positioned for the future. To wrap up, slide 24 summarizes the expectations for 2019 that we set forth at the beginning of the year. To review, first, we expect to grow both organically on a reported basis. Second, we expect strong cash flow from operations. R&D is expected to grow by approximately 10 percent. The significance of revenue expected to approximately double in 2019. Project Core is expected to deliver more than 75 million operating profit in 2019. And finally, we've raised our guidance for the year. With that, Operator, let's open up the line for questions.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask a question, you may press star then 1 on your telephone keypad. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. If at any time your question has been addressed, and you would like to withdraw your question, please press star, then two. At this time, we will pause momentarily to assemble our roster. The first question comes from Chris Schott of J.P. Morgan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Chris Schott
Analyst, J.P. Morgan

Great. Thanks very much for the questions. I guess my first one is, can you just talk a little bit more about pathways to further deliver the business? I guess it seems to me with the strong organic performance we're seeing and the Alcon spin shining a light on the B&L business, One of the primary hurdles to your valuation further re-rating is the company's leveraged position. So I guess it's just how much of a priority is it for the company to find ways to accelerate the deleveraging process beyond just organic growth? And do you see pathways to do that? My second question was on the gross margin performance. We obviously saw a very strong first half result. But if I look at the year, I think you averaged 73% the first half of the year. Your guidance is 72%. What's driving that step down in the second half? And maybe some comments about how we should think about the gross margin trends over time, given the 72% kind of baseline we're seeing in 2019. Thank you.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks for the questions, Chris. It's Paul speaking. I mean, you hit on the, you know, surely the primary way that we expect to deliver is through growth of organic earnings and then prioritizing the free cash flow generated to the reduction of debt. You know, certainly we're now allocating more dollars to R&D, you know, so we're not starving the business in order to be able to maximize cash flow in the short term, but we are allocating R&D dollars in order to, as I said in my prepared remarks, ensure that we can drive organic growth over the much longer haul. That's the primary path that we're going to go down and that's what we'll be sticking to. With respect to the growth profit margin, we had communicated that in the first quarter, we put up a really strong number and we indicated that that would not persist through the whole year and expected it to come down and At that time, we maintained our guidance. We did put up a good, strong first half, and so instead of having a range that I think was the lower end was I think 71.5%, we said it's going to be circa 72%, and that's reflective of we put a half year in the books, and we continue to do well with our efforts to manage it. You need to keep your eye on the LOEs that are going to hit in the second half. It's over $200 million of LOEs that we expect to hit in the second half of the year. And those are, by and large, very high margin products that are, from a mixed perspective, going to drive that down.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

I think Paul did a great job answering. The only thing I would say is compliments to Paul and Will Woodfield, our treasurer, who've just done a great job with our debt structure and given us this freedom to operate and As we generate cash, we're putting it towards either this debt payment or allowing us to look at some M&A opportunities. So to me, that's still the most important way we're going to reduce, is grow our EBITDA to reduce our overall leverage. But good questions and good answers.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Thank you. Next question. The next question comes from Akash Tiwari of Wolf Research. Please go ahead.

speaker
Akash Tiwari
Analyst, Wolf Research

Hey guys, a few questions. So looking back at Zyfaxin in 2018, it was up over 20% year over year. A third of that was volume, a third of that was project core, and a third of that was the price increase. By that math, you've been able to realize a pretty large amount of your WAC price increases for Zyfaxin historically, and it looks like you've realized about 6% for the January increase recently. Do you have any comment on what's allowing you to do that and how we should think about the net realized price contribution on Zyfaxin going forward? Next, you've previously stated that your SIBO trials for Zyfaxan will be run via the 550 dose. Today's slides don't make that explicitly clear. What formulation will you use for your SIBO trials? And can you talk about the commercial opportunity for this indication over time? And then lastly, we noticed the corporate allocation for SG&A decreased from 86 million to 71 million year over year. Can you talk about what drove that decrease and how much operating leverage is there internally to reduce this corporate allocation spend over time? Thanks a lot.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Akash. Three really good questions. Let me start with the question around Xifax and how we're able to improve that gross to net, which has the appearance of us gaining via price. If you look back at 2018, we talked a lot about the steps that we took at the beginning of 2018 in non-retail channels where we reduced some discounting that was just frankly not – a great play by the prior regime to enter into those agreements. And when they came up at the beginning of 2018, we simply didn't renew and made better deals in non-retail channels. Those are clinics. Those are hospitals. It's mainly clinics and other groups that buy directly. And that was a big driver through 2018 versus 2017. The other thing, if you recall, at the end of last year, you know, we substantially sucked down the pipeline inventories for all of our products. And, of course, IFAX is a big product for us. That assisted us in improving our gross to net by not having the same requirement for our pools. with respect to a product like Xifaxan, and not just Xifaxan, but Xifaxan, Aprizo, Euceris before it went generic, Glumetza, really across the board. But you were specific to Xifaxan, but it really was across the board that that helped as well. And we've continued that on into 2019. And so as we clean things up, We're just getting the realization of a lift in gross to net, which is helpful. We called out the impact of the January price increase because we certainly don't want to give the impression that that growth is a result of us raising prices in the system. What we're doing is we're better managing our gross to nets, not just with Zypaxon, but across the board with many of our products. That's all part of that project core. We've been quite successful with it. Joe, you want to take the SIBO trial? Sure.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

The only thing I'd say, the last part of what Paul said too, is just on these coupon copay cards, we're just trying to be smarter about where we put those so that where we're putting them, we're getting the gross to nets that we think are appropriate that are helping to grow the overall revenue. That's what Project CORE is all about. CORE stands for Cost Optimization Revenue Enhancements And that's why we're doing it. On the question on the SIBO clinical trial, you are correct. We had previously talked about the 550 milligram dose on that. I think at this point, the best way I'll say it is that we've got some very interesting things going on with our SSD formulations, with our controlled release SSD or immediate release SSD. We have some very interesting things going on. with the ERR and then an additional formulation. So, we're looking at a lot of different ways to try to improve on this. And importantly, not just have a new formulation, but to have better efficacy for the patient that needs the IBSD or SIBO indication. So, Look for us to have more to say about that, but I just want to let you know that we are not stopping just with what we have. We are looking at new ways to deliver Sifaxan and get a better patient response on the efficacy side. So we'll have more to say about that when we actually launch the trial, but just know that we're investing behind Sifaxan as our largest product and looking at all the opportunities in front of us for new formulations. Paul, you want to take that last? corporate SG&A comment?

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, sure. I mean, the corporate SG&A, I called out my remarks. I think what we're doing is we're trying to be much more effective in the dollars that we deploy to what I'll call enabling activities. Those are, you know, non-customer facing activities back in the home office. And so, overall, quarter to quarter, we were down, you know, 10 million bucks, which is not a lot, but we are very focused on that you know, being efficient there. I also did call out and point out that going the other way, we are investing more in our IT and IT infrastructure. This is an area that if you go back, you know, four, five, six years as the company came together through a series of acquisitions, perhaps they did not invest as much behind that as we might have if we'd been here then. We're fixing that now. We've put together a terrific team, and we're supporting them with funding that will enable us. So you've got that going up, and that's why I called it out. But more importantly, the balance of our enabling functions, we're being as efficient as we can, because unless somebody can tell me different, enabling functions typically don't drive revenue. Thank you.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Operator, next question, please. The next question comes from Umar Rafat of Evercore ISI. Please go ahead.

speaker
Umar Rafat
Analyst, Evercore ISI

Hi, thanks so much for taking my question. I had one for Joe and one for Paul, if I may. Joe, would you be open to a large cash flow deal, even if it's not exactly a growing asset, perhaps a bunch of assets in China, etc.? Would you be open to something like that? And while you're at it, can you quantify for us the size of your China business today and what percentage is RX? And Paul, I don't know how to ask, but I should ask anyway. The question is, I've kept getting questions on whether you may possibly consider retirement near term. So I was curious, have you looked into renewing your contract beyond August? Do you still like Joe? Do you still like Scott?

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

We like Paul too much. Good one. Let me start with the first question, and Paul will be kind to contemplate your comment back. So, Umar, on the question of large cash flow deals, I think the best way I can answer that is that we are driven to drive long-term shareholder value. We'll continue to think of all options that will drive that long-term shareholder value. So if it's a cash flow or other things, that's clearly something we always look at relative to anything that can help us, especially if it's a large cash flow that would allow us to improve our overall leverage and the business as we would grow EBITDA. So anything that we think has the opportunity to drive shareholder value, we would do that. On the question of China, ballpark, our China business is approximately $400 million of sales. The majority of it is in obviously the eye care business. I remind you that we are the number one player in contact lenses. We're the number one player in eye drops in China. as the two primary areas of our importance there. Paul, do you want to answer your comment?

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Yes, sure. Yeah, thanks for putting me on the spot there. You know, when I joined, I mean, it was the question to say, well, we want a contract, and we settled on a three-year contract. Correct me if I'm looking at Christine, our general counsel. I think it automatically renews and just keeps right on going. The last couple of years, the comp committee has seen fit to provide me with incremental incentives to stick around in terms of equity. So as long as I'm having fun and I feel like I'm adding value, I'm intending to stick around.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

And you are adding value. Next question. The next question comes from Annabelle Samimi of Stiefel. Please go ahead.

speaker
Annabelle Samimi
Analyst, Stiefel

Hi, thanks for taking my question. So I want to ask about dermatology. Joabri clearly seems to be launching more rapidly than the others. Is it coming at the expense of the other psoriasis products? Are these launches now enough to offset some of the sizable pressure that you saw in this new dermatology environment? Do we get to see growth of the business again? And then if you could help us with dermatology.com. With the addition of Walgreens, do you expect to see these increased volumes offset by pricing, or do you now get the benefit of both volume and better pricing? And so if you could just help us understand the dynamic there between the volume and the pricing. Thanks.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Okay. A lot of good questions there. First and foremost, we're very pleased with Duopre and what we're seeing over approximately 1,650 prescriptions per week. And if you see what we're able to do here, during the quarter, we were able to grow Salique versus a year ago. Salique was up approximately 267% versus last year. The sales have essentially doubled. So that's clearly going in the right direction during the quarter. The Brihali prescriptions are right around that 1700 level. it's still holding its own, so it's not coming just simply replacing, do-over is not simply replacing Brihali. We're still able to hold Brihali as well. So we think the overall dermatology business is going in the right direction. We absolutely had some LOEs, as I mentioned on the call, that we had to work our way through. But overall, probably the best thing I can say about our dermatology business is The strength of duovere and what it's doing for psoriasis patients for the patient, for the physicians and the prescribing gives them new alternatives for topical, which is what most of them are looking for for the treatment of psoriasis. And then importantly, our ability to help lower the cost to manage care if patients can delay the need for biologic are all the reasons why we think this is going to truly transform the business model for us in dermatology. And you're seeing it. You're seeing it when I put the slide together that showed how the new products plus the growth in Solta are today somewhere in that 45% to 50% of our overall business. That's really transformation as clearly as we can show it. On the second part of the dermatology.com, having an additional 9,500 stores to represent the dermatology.com and have a place where we can have a place situation where there's no issues of cash pay is what's going to happen there, number one. Number two, it gets a very predictable price for the patient, so there's no variations on that. They all get a very predictable price. There's no prior authorizations for the physician required. That's clearly another important part of what we're trying to accomplish with our dermatology.com. And, of course, as we have these additional outlets, it gives us even more places where the patient, it's more convenient for patients. So predictable access for patients, predictable price for patients. Physicians get the formulation they prescribe, the branded formulation they prescribe. We think it's a winning combination, and we're adding more products to it for the future.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's Paul. I want to jump in on this as well. I want to recognize Bill Humphreys and his team because Yeah, this is something new. This is not something we said, oh, look, somebody else did it and we're going to go out and do it. And I think that the progress that we're making, it's coming step by step by step. But at this point, we currently have nine brands that we have in the cash model. We are targeting 13 to 15 by year end and a bunch more coming at some point beyond that. We've got products like Altrino, Aldara, Effudex, locoid cream, Retin-A, I'm not going to get them all because I can't remember them just from memory. But Bill and his team, they've done a great job of conceiving this, putting in place the way that we can have a cash model that's effective, using it with Dermatology.com and the addition of all those doors with Walgreens is absolutely a help in us making progress on this side. I think it's going to change the way some of these drugs are delivered to patients for the benefit of everybody.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Operator, next question. The next question comes from Greg Gilbert of SunTrust. Please go ahead.

speaker
Greg Gilbert
Analyst, SunTrust

Thanks. Good morning, guys. I have a few. Paul, I want to make sure I understand the gross to net benefit on Dufax and what you're suggesting going forward. Should we expect another seven percentage point benefit in third quarter, something less than 4Q and then nothing thereafter? That's the first question. Secondly, on Duobre, Joe, obviously you got a label that you were wishing for, but are payers in any way trying to limit refills or duration or would you not know yet? And then lastly, going back to the China question, are there any sort of dynamics there you'd like to highlight for us in terms of the structure and size of your business and good things and bad things going on in China that we should be aware of. Thanks.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Hey, Greg, it's Paul. I'll take that first with respect to the gross assets on ZyFax. I'm not going to guide and say, oh, yeah, with 700 basis points in Q2 versus Q2 of 2018 and say what it will be in Q3, but I think it will continue to be a strong benefit to the brand in Q3 and then significantly less in Q4 and beyond as we kind of put all of the improvements where we're lapping the improvements and it just kind of goes away as a growth driver. And then we'd be limited to what can we generate in terms of unit growth? I mean, the TRX growth, is still high single digits, and the team, Mark McKenna and his group, are doing a great job there. And secondarily, there may be the opportunity for a little bit of price as well.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

On the question on Duobre, first and foremost, thank you for your comment on the label. I absolutely agree. The label is truly outstanding. I'd invite everyone on the call to take a look at the label, especially compare it to other previous high-potency corticosteroids labels. The most important comment I can say on the label, which I think is critical, is that for the first time, physicians can use a high-potency corticosteroid product in combination with a retinoid that allows the physician to treat to clearance rather than be limited by a certain duration. We think that's a very important comment. The second comment I'd offer on the question of managed care, we did a budget impact model in managed care that shows that for every million lives that are in a health regional plan, by putting Duobrion's formulary, they can save between a million to four and a half million to $5 million per year by putting duovir on the formulary. And essentially, the simplistic way that I would say that, it allows a patient to use a topical product for a longer duration to potentially delay the need to go to a high-priced biologic, which may be in the $50,000 per patient per year type of range. So that's clearly, we think, the real benefit. We haven't seen any limitations on refills at this time. I wouldn't expect that because the reality is For every time a managed care plan keeps a patient on duobury, that's one less patient potentially that would extend or go towards a biologic, which some patients are going to need biologics, but clearly we think often we'd be able to keep patients at a much lower cost of therapy. We're talking in the range of $50,000 for the biologic, less than one-tenth of that for the duobury. On the question of China dynamics, I think I would simply say that China clearly is the biggest, the number one player in the overall contact lenses business. Ballpark, you know, looking at the vision care business and contact lenses, it's about a quarter of the business for us is coming out of China as a percentage of our overall vision care business. So clearly it's important to us. But I think relative to our eye drops, that's the other place we're number one in China. So we feel very good about both of those. And we don't see any real big, it's not exactly part of your question, but I will say we don't see any major constraints that's happening at this time based on all of our production for the eye drops is based in China. So we're producing locally in China.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, I mean, so you probably saw, it's Greg, it's Paul again, you probably saw the, you know, the action with the Juan recently. Yeah, but I just point out that's all taken into account in our guidance. It certainly was not helpful to us. Yeah, but it's all baked into our guidance as well. And the other thing I'd say that's good is when people think about, you know, tariffs in the trade situation is a good chunk of, again, to rebuttrous the point, A good chunk of our lenses are manufactured in Waterford, Ireland, and we have our consumer facility, our system facility, to our other facility in the U.S. We have in Milan that can supply product to China. So while we are impacted, it's all taken into account within our guidance, and, you know, it's been manageable so far. I guess we can't forecast how much worse it could get, but so far, so good.

speaker
David Amselum
Analyst, Piper Jeffery

Thanks.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

I've heard your next question, please. Thank you. The next question comes from Jason Gerberry of Bank of America. Please go ahead.

speaker
Jason Gerberry
Analyst, Bank of America

Hey, good morning. Thanks for taking my questions. A couple here. So just first, maybe, Joe, what's the – I realize it's early, but what's the general opportunity in your mind for Amicela Mod in the S1P space, just given there are a number of competitors ahead of you aiming to improve upon the CV safety profile? of different drugs in that class. And then my second question, just thinking about the significant seven sales and guidance for the full year, can you talk a little bit, it looks like there's about $100 million in first half revenues generated by SIG7 products. How do you think about that second half step up? Is it mainly just Duobre? Are you expecting to get good revenue conversion on Duobre in the back half? Thanks.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Okay, so a couple good questions here. We think it's an important opportunity for us. We absolutely understand that there's a cardiovascular question that we are going to address. We are going to address it with a Holter study, a QT study that we are going to start and get accomplished by approximately end of the year. So we'll get that either positive or negative. We'll get that question answered very quickly and get that behind us so that we can go forward. On the area of what we view in terms of a benefit of amisalimod. We clearly believe that it has a longer half-life, which could equal better dosing, but we've obviously got to do the phase two trials that we talked about to try to find out what exactly the opportunity is for us there. On the question of significant seven in 2019 guidance, we feel very good about where we are. First half, approximately $120 million or thereabouts. But more importantly, accelerating up 76% versus the first half of 2018. So we think we're right on the right track to be approximately $300 million. So we need to grow a little faster, but clearly we are right on track with what we expect for the launches, especially now that we've got Dual Free in the marketplace, the Aqualox product in Japan. So all of them are now launched and going in the right direction. Very pleased with the results.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Operator, next question, please. The next question comes from David Reisinger of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.

speaker
Sushant
Analyst for David Reisinger, Morgan Stanley

Hi, it's Sushant on for David Reisinger. I have two quick questions today. Could you please discuss the vision care business momentum going into the second half, including key drivers ahead? And could you also talk about some of the cash flow swing factors to note in the second half? Thank you.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Okay, I'll take the first vision here and then Paul can do the cash flow. Clearly, what's happening in our vision care business, we have very strong growth with our BioTrue, with our Ultra, so it's new products generated. But if you look at the data that we presented in the chart, you can see quickly that we are outgrowing the market. If you look at our performance in the U.S., Bausch & Lomb contact lenses being up approximately 13%, market being up about 8%. Does it globally? Bausch & Lomb being up about 8% versus market up about 5%. So clearly, we are taking share mostly behind the success of our new products as being the number one factor. Longer term, though, I've got to repeat this because I think it is truly environmentally a big issue. There is a megatrend that the incidence of myopia is continuing to Unfortunately, we all spend too much time. Those of you who have got four screens in front of you right now and looking at your phone and computers, we're spending a lot of time on screens and even kids are spending time on computers, iPads, et cetera. That is, we believe, one of the problems, less time outside. This myopia epidemic is something that is real. You can't see a doubling of myopia in 40, 50 years. and call it genetic, it has to be environmental. And we think it's the screen time and time kids spend indoors with video games versus outdoors playing with sporting activities. So we think it's real. We think it's going to be a mega trend that's going to continue to drive it. And I'm delighted to say that as we look at myopia and our work, we have over $100 million of product sales, not including the lenses, directed towards helping to try to improve the lives of patients with myopia. So we are very excited about what we think the opportunity for us with the most integrated eye care platform we have on how we can help these patients. Paul, you want to take the second part about cash flow?

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. As I mentioned, we have our guidance that we expect to have cash flow generated from operations in the range of 1.5 to 1.6 for the year. If you're thinking about the second half of the year, call your attention to a couple of the slides. It's the other financial information. You look at it year-to-date and compare that back to the guidance. A couple things to point out. The contingent consideration of milestones year-to-date were 22. Full year is expected to be 50. The restructuring other is 32 so far. Year-to-date is expected to be 50. a little bit more to come. CapEx has actually weighted towards the second half of the year. We are 109 through June 30th. The guidance was for 275, so that's a fair amount more. And that is reflective of us continuing to ramp up the activities for the production of daily silicon hydrogel lenses for launch in the U.S. and also in other markets as well. So those are The ones I would call out, I'll say it again, though. Remember that Q3 should be a stronger cash flow quarter, should be a stronger cash flow quarter because of less interest that settles during Q3. And then Q4 is a little weaker because of interest that settles in Q4. So those are the things I point out from a cash flow perspective.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Operator, our next question, I'm probably out of time for just about two more questions.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Thank you. The next question comes from David Amselum of Piper Jeffery. Please go ahead.

speaker
David Amselum
Analyst, Piper Jeffery

Thanks. I had a question about consumer eye care. So on Lumify, nice growth in market share. I wanted to get your thoughts on where you think peak share can go here. I mean, there's several other competitors. There's also private labels. So Where does this product, in your view, go in terms of its share? And also, if I may miss this, if you can give us what the net sales were on Lumify for the second quarter. And then the second part of the question is just on e-commerce. You cited e-commerce growth for the product. I'm wondering if you can elaborate on how you're thinking about e-commerce broadly and uh for the the consumer eye care portfolio and how much of that is factored into your expectations for growth over the next uh few years thanks so you got a lot of questions there and i'll try to hit them all but um where do i think lumify is going um i i start with a very simple metric

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

We believe we have the best product for patients that need a product like Lumify for redness relief in that we deal with, from a patient point of view, a product that does not restrict the arterial blood flow to the eye. It deals with the venous blood flow, which I don't know about how you feel, but if I had a family member friend, I'd always not want to restrict arterial blood flow to someone's eye. So we think we have a better way of treating this than any other product out there, bar none. That's why we think we're getting the number one recommendation from physicians to use Lumify. So that, we think, is going to be an important driver of our future success. The revenue in the quarter ballpark of over $11 million was the revenue for Lumify in the quarter. So we're very pleased with where that's going and the direction of the growth there for us on Lumify. On the question of e-commerce broadly, we think that the team led by Joe Gordon is just doing an outstanding job and also Tom Appio internationally on what we are doing with our overall consumer business. The two of them have come up with programs and initiatives both here in the United States and globally to help drive our business. I mean, if you look at the performance of Preservision, OcuVite, those vitamins are doing very strong, and we think that's how a large part of it is tied to this need for better products for ocular, say, eye health. So that's what we're planning to do. We're planning to launch more of these line extensions. To be absolutely clear, we've launched Lumify, but look to us. to look at not just Lumify treating the redness in the eye, but also putting a combination product out there with Lumify plus either an antihistamine or other product to make sure that we not only help the redness, but also the allergic eyes. So look to us to come out with more things in the future that help expand this category and help us to grow it beyond where it is today.

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Yeah, it's Paul. A couple of factoids on the consumer business. I mean, you know, that consumer business is, if you think of it in relation to our entire business, it's like 17%, 18% of our total business. It is the largest contributor to the B&L International segment. Very important segment to us, and I think being really well run by Tom Appio internationally and Joe Gordon in the U.S. We're really doing well.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Operator, we have time for the last question. Yes, that last question for today will come from Louise Chen of Cantor. Please go ahead.

speaker
Louise Chen
Analyst, Cantor

Hi, thanks for taking my questions. So first question I had was with respect to capital allocation. I was wondering if you could give us an update on what you're thinking there. And then second question was just on the timing of new opportunities for Zafax, and I know you talked about it earlier, but just curious if you'd give us some timing. And then last one is just on Trulance. When do you see this increased promotional effort really hitting its stride, and what do you think peak sales for this product could be? Thank you.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Well, you want to take the capital allocation portion first?

speaker
Paul Herendine
Chief Financial Officer

Sure. Yeah, I'll start on the capital allocation. I mean, first, you see it in our results. I mean, we are spending more in R&D, and that's a function of us. And now that we have our legs under us, ensuring that we can drive organic growth here into the future. So we're increasing our spend in R&D. We are increasing our spend in CapEx, which in the vision care business is kind of another form of R&D. If you think about what's left over after when you have free cash flow, the waterfall is prioritize that reduction of debt owing to our high leverage. And then secondarily, if there are opportunities where we can tuck in acquisitions that fit right on top of our core businesses, we would very seriously entertain that. I think you saw that with the Trulance acquisition earlier today. earlier this year, but it's pretty straightforward. We're investing in our business, and then to the extent that we generate cash, we're using that to repay debt. And then if we see great opportunity, we'll go ahead and take advantage of that for business development in our core areas.

speaker
Joe Pava
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

And then on the second part of your question, the timing for the new opportunities on SyFaxon or Faxomin, We look to have the OHE, acute OHE study in the end of this year in terms of getting data from that. I remind you that there's approximately 156,000 hepatic encephalopathy hospitalizations in growing numbers, so clearly it's an important opportunity. But most importantly, that will also just give us some good indications for dosing on the SSD opportunity. Beyond that, we talked about the SIBO patient enrollment beginning in the first quarter of 2020. That's always another good opportunity for us. That's going to be predominantly a Phase II trial to give us some more information on dose ranging, but we expect that's a couple years away, two, three years away for actual clinical trial results in terms of actually being able to have an opportunity to get an approval or something like a SIBO trial. But remind you that the big opportunity with the SIBO trial is there's 17 million patients in the United States with IBSC. There's actually, when you think about SIBO, it's just an important opportunity in terms of total number of patients out there. And then we also have a trial for post-operative Crohn's. That's about 780,000 patients with Crohn's disease. About 75% of them will need surgery in their lifetime. And unfortunately, about 70% will have recurrence of symptoms within one year. We view that as a trial that we will start in the first half of 2020. We think that's approximately a three-year duration to get to something like approval approximately in terms of the timeframe. So we're really excited about where we're going with the Cyfaxin trials. We think there's some great opportunities for us. And the final question on Trulance. You know, I always say that for any new sales force, when they take up a new product, they have usually a three to six months to hit the ground running. But I will say for us, what we believe we now have is the best IBS platform. If it's IBSC, IBSD, together with what we have with SyFax and plus Trulance, we believe the sales reps can hit the ground very quickly. These are the same sales reps that have just done an outstanding job in primary care and the growth of IBSD. So I would always say three to six months to gain traction. But between us, I'm excited to see that this is a great team. They've done great things in the past. I look forward to see their results in the future. That concludes our comments for today. I thank everyone for joining us today and look forward to hearing any additional questions that you may have in the near future. But thank you for joining us. Have a great day, anyone. The conference has now concluded.

speaker
Andrew
Conference Operator

Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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