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11/7/2025
and welcome to the NHI's third quarter 2025 earnings webcast and conference call. At this time, all participants are placed on a listen-only mode, and a question and answer session will follow the formal presentation. If anyone should require operator assistance during the conference, please press star zero on your telephone keypad. And please note, this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Dana Handley. Dana, the floor is yours.
Thank you, and welcome to the National Health Investors Conference call to review results for the third quarter of 2025. On the call today are Eric Mendelson, President and CEO, Kevin Pascoe, Chief Investment Officer, John Spade, Chief Financial Officer, and David Travis, Chief Accounting Officer. The results, as well as notice of the accessibility of this call, were released after the market closed yesterday in a press release that's been covered by the financial media. Any statements in this conference call which are not historical facts are forward-looking statements. NHI cautions investors that any forward-looking statement may involve risks or uncertainties and are not guarantees of future performance. All forward-looking statements represent NHI's judgment as of the date of this conference call. Investors are urged to carefully review various disclosures made by NHI and its periodic reports filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the risk factors and other information disclosed in NHI's Form 10-Q for the year ended December 31, 2024, and Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2025. Copies of these filings are available on the SEC's website at sec.gov or on NHI's website at nhireet.com. In addition, certain terms used in this call are non-GAAP financial measures, reconciliations of which are provided in NHI's earnings release and related tables and schedules, which have been furnished on Form 8K to the SEC. Listeners are encouraged to review those reconciliations provided in the earnings release together with all other information provided in that release. I'll now turn the call over to our CEO, Eric Mendelsohn.
Thank you. Hello, and thanks for joining us today. We had a solid quarter highlighted by the transition of seven properties to our SHOP portfolio. which resulted in consolidated shop NLI growth of approximately 63% compared to the prior year's quarter. We also announced our first shop acquisition for $74.3 million, effective October 1st. We've surpassed last year's investment total with more deals expected to close this year, and we're working on a strong active pipeline that should generate similar or higher returns external investment activity in 2026. We're raising our guidance for the third time this year. Our updated guidance represents over 10% NFFO per share growth at the midpoint, which would be the strongest annual growth since 2014. The momentum at NHI is building. We are well positioned and laser focused to capitalize on the generational growth in the senior housing industry over the next decade. As I noted last quarter, we have methodically invested in creating a strong foundation across all of our disciplines that will allow us to significantly expand our presence in private pay senior housing where we see the greatest risk-adjusted returns. We've onboarded 11 properties and two new operators to the SHOP platform in just the last few months. Combined, the recent additions should more than double our annualized shop NOI from approximately 5% to 10% of total adjusted NOI. Through strong organic growth and continued acquisitions, our current view is that our shop NOI should more than double again in 2026 to at least 20%. We've taken corrective measures in the same store portfolio. and are confident that it returns to double-digit growth levels in 2026 as it did in 2024 and through the first half of this year. This portfolio has been an important part of our development as we are starting to ramp up the SHOP platform. As we evaluate new opportunities, we're placing a high priority on operators and assets with solid trailing performance that should lead to more consistent and exceptional multi-year NOI growth. The pipeline activity indicates that acquisitions will be a meaningful component of our growth profile for the next several years. We have announced investments of $303.2 million so far this year and currently have approximately $195 million under signed LOIs, which we expect to close in the next few months. We have a large incremental pipeline of active opportunities entirely focused on senior housing, including a significant number of shop deals. The balance sheet continues to be supportive of our ample capital needs. Our net debt to adjusted EBITDA at 3.6 times is below the low end of our target range, and we have available liquidity of over $1 billion. We believe this low leverage and strong access to capital creates a real competitive advantage as we're able to move quickly and with limited closing risk. Touching briefly on the NHC rent negotiation, we disclosed last night that NHC has notified us of their intent to renew the master lease for one five-year term commencing on January 1, 2027. Management and the special committee are currently reviewing the effectiveness and legality of NHC's notice. Before turning the call to Kevin, I'd like to conclude to say that NHI is in a great position with several levers to pull both internally and externally that we expect to drive exceptional long-term FFO per share growth. The third quarter benefited from some non-recurring items, but we believe the core remains strong and well-positioned to create sustained shareholder value. The industry tailwinds are gusting, Our financial health is peak, and we have invested in the people and resources necessary to scale our future growth. Kevin.
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