10/23/2024

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Hi and welcome to the presentation of SwedenCares Q3 reports, led by our CEO Håkan Lagerberg and CFO Jenny Graflind. We are pleased to have production manager John Kane joining us with the presentation during today's webinar. And as usual, we will have a Q&A after the presentations, so please raise your hand if you have any questions and we will answer them in the end. Over to you, Jenny and Håkan.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Thank you very much. Warm welcome to everyone joining us today for the Q3 2024 reporting. Starting off, 9% organic growth, a bit lower than we want to be, and it was impacted by negative growth of Garmin NatureVet, and as most of you know, that's the biggest entity of our group, so a big impact on us, but we still delivered 9% organic growth, and as I wrote in the report, the rest of the group together delivered 30% organic growth. So actually a fantastic quarter for many of our group companies. Looking at the overall pet health market, solid growth in major markets where there are reports and a bit of a pickup in M&A activities compared to a year ago. and it's been, I will come back for our case. We have ongoing discussions, but it is a bit challenging with the, with multiple still in this industry. Where there's been most activities in M&A, not so surprising, it's been in North America, US predominantly, and that's also, as you know, the biggest markets in the world. For us, looking at our channels, a very good bounce back for the veterinary sector. The veterinary sector has been a bit slower for us in the first half of the year and now coming back to really nice numbers on all markets, basically. Online still very strong and despite the effect the online sales on Amazon and HVAC had on us in this quarter, we see a very strong growth on our online activities. Pet retail a bit slower and that's for all markets, but still growth, but slower than the other two. Looking at our ESG initiatives, we've been working with some efforts to increase the recycled plastic content in our products, in our tubs, basically. And we have had very good discussions with the suppliers on both continents and also For our branded products, it's easy to take some big steps going forward here, but we've also had very fruitful discussions with our major product manufacturing and private label partners. Also started, made some lifecycle analysis on products that we have in the group and hired a sustainability focused controller, just joined us. So we are beefing up our capacity and our efforts and we will, as we presented Laszlo Varga presented at our last call, we will be presenting our goals, sustainability goals in Q1 2025 that will be measurable. Finally, as we presented before the Q2 reporting, we acquired Medvan, the Canadian veterinary distributor that joined the group as of 1st of August. It has been a very smooth process getting the team to join us and already seen some good results. collaborations between the group as expected. It's been a partner of ours for some years distributing RxVitamin brand in Canada. So we knew the team very well. So no surprises there on the negative front, only on the upside. So over to the numbers and Jenny.

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Yes, like what I said, we have another record quarter and 9% organic growth. There was a significantly weaker US dollar, which impacted the growth with a 3% currency impact. Our operating growth margin increased with 14%. It's almost at 58% and that's compared to 54% last year. Our EBITDA is 136 million. and a margin of 21.2%. That's 1.4 percentage points lower the margin that we had last year, but it's about the same value. We continue to decrease our net debt to EBITDA. It's now at 2.2 compared to 2.9 one year ago. And our operating cash flow was really strong for the quarter. We had 125 million and we have 193 million of cash when we closed Q3. Okay, some highlights on the revenue, the growth margin and EBITDA. So the North American segment was down year over year, and it was heavily impacted by NatureVet. But due to very strong growth in the US production segments, they grew by 59%. The North American region was at 2% growth. Europe very good strong growth and 30% in the rest of the world, we had a declined and this and that's due to the fact that we had a material farmer delivery in Q3 last year, but the rest of the brands had grew with about 10%. Our growth margin is stable at the 50% for the last four quarters and that's in line with our expectations. In the quarter, there's been an increased spending in marketing, both in value and as percentage of sales. The increase is the reason why we don't see an increase of the EBITDA margin, which this quarter is lower than last year. It's lower than previous quarters and is significantly lower compared to where we want to be. The increased marketing spend is linked to the major digital platforms, and there are several reasons why this has not had a positive impact on sales. And I will go through them. So the number one is that we have increased spending in NatureWeb for Amazon, and we can see that Amazon grew with 13% for the quarter. However, at the moment with Amazon, we work with a partner which has decreased their inventory. So while the Amazon sales out the door grew, we have a decline in our sales compared to Q3 last year. So this increased marketing spent that we had this quarter basically had a double hit on us. Second, in the UK, we have taken over the Amazon sales in-house. And that also means that we also do the marketing ourselves. And this is actually the first quarter we are really back with the sales volume and Taking over the marketing, we need to tweak it a little bit to make sure that we find the right levels. And third and last, it's also in the UK where we have increased the marketing spend for NutriVet. And this has not had the expected result we wanted on sales, mainly due to a slower veterinary channel. So this is the reason behind the lower EBITDA margin. Let's go and talk about cash for a little bit. We had a positive change in working capital this quarter. With 22 million, we had lower inventory, lower receivables. In addition, we have paid acquisition of MedVent. That was about 28 million. And we have also been able to decrease our external debt with 50 million. So we had a very good cash conversion, 93% for the quarter. In addition to that, we have now about 80% of our US cash is now included in our cash pool. And we have also initiated a cash pool in Europe. So this will continue to enable us to have a lower cash level. And then we can, just like we did this quarter, we can use our cash for investments and to decrease our debt instead. Our net debt to EBITDA continues to decrease. It's down 23% compared to one year ago, and we expect it to continue to decrease. The first nine months of the year, revenue is now close to 1.9 billion. 10% growth, and that's including 1% acquired growth and a negative 1% for exchange impact. EBITDA is at 415 million. That's an increase of 15% compared to last year. And margin has also increased from 21.2% for the first nine months to 22.2% this year. Rolling 12 months. Nice trend. We are now at 2.5 billion for the rolling 12 months and 550 in operating EBITDA. And product split. As you can see, there's a small decrease of nutraceuticals and that's our largest category. And the reason behind that is the decrease of nature vet, as we talked about. Pharma, still a small category, but very nice, strong growth. And we continue to expect that to ramp up. Dental, also fantastic growth of 50%. This is mainly the Protoplat Gov and a few other dental products, but it's mainly Protoplat Gov. And the main contributors here are the Protoplat Gov powder and the soft juice, which are quite newly launched. However, it's quite nice to see that even the other dental products, so products that we produce to other partners have had a strong growth. And that's positive to see that this important therapy area is growing. If we look at some of our brands, Innovet stands out. That's our Italian entity. That market has been growing at a healthy 9%. However, we are growing much faster than the market. We've grown 22% of this in Italy, which is nice. The decrease that you can see in the private label, that's mainly due to this lost private label customers that we had at Naturevet, which we spoke about in the report. Rylis, it's the new acquisition that we completed in the beginning of the year, which continues to grow, quarter by quarter.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Okay, looking at the different regions that we have. As Jenny said, a very small increase of the sales in North America. And we all know after our presentation, the main reason for that, negative growth in Nigam and HVET. Other group companies had a strong quarter. I won't repeat all of the Amazon, the numbers that Jenny said, but what I would like to say is that concerning the private label customer, that was a big retail chain that completely closed down one brand. And we have the, let's say last and the biggest order for 2023 was delivered in Q3 last year. And we are back on discussing with that partner launch. They will most probably launch a completely new brand. And we are in discussions about that. But that will be for. Concerning the Amazon sales, we are now in agreement with our partners. So from 2026, we will be running it ourselves, just like we do in the UK and like we do for a couple of brands with the PetMD platform. So that means that we will get full top line sales and also more control of the spend and not only spend, but the activities that we do. But I would like to stress that we have a very good partnership currently, and we are very involved in the in the marketing, how it's been done. And that's been really good this quarter to see that our new organization working with that together with our partner has grown the Amazon sales for NatureVet by 13% this quarter. In the veterinary channel, as I said, it's been a really good comeback. It's both from production manufacturing, our major veterinary customers there, and also for our own brands. We finally see a good payback on the efforts we have with big partners. We have big partners. let's say exclusive partnerships with MWI and Patterson for a couple of our brands. And we've seen good results with that in Q3. And one change that will be going forward is that we will be taking back the online efforts for those brands from Q4 this year, because that's one one area where our partnerships hasn't really delivered the way we wanted to. So we have agreed with our partners that we will take back the sales online for both Stratford and Animal Farm. So our team is very thrilled about that. Online Strong, PetMD, Proden Plakoff, Rylis. Rylis, a new category for us this year, has been delivering really well. And we continue to build out that organization as well. On the more negative note, but with a good ending, was the two hurricanes that hit Florida in September and October. And we have a big operation in the Tampa area. They were hit by both hurricanes. And our manufacturing capacity facilities in Jupiter with video were hit by one of them, the last one in October. But fortunately, I can report that due to great leadership and team efforts, we managed to have minimal damage on our facilities and more importantly, no No people in our organization were hurt. And we solved the most critical periods by, of course, closing down and making sure that everyone was safe and sound at their homes. So a good ending to a troublesome situation. Okay, looking at Europe, continuous like they've done all year. really, really strong growth, 30% growth in Q3. And they are now up to 23% of our total group revenue. Growth in all entities except for NutriVet, as Jenny said, there was a bit softer. My speculation, as I wrote in the report, is that where we've seen the bit softer market has been from the bigger veterinary chains. And I think they are... occupied with the ongoing antitrust investigation that is in the UK. But that's my speculation that no one has wanted to tell us that. But what we can see at least is that the underlying demand in the pet health sector from pet owners is definitely not slowing down because our online efforts for other brands that we have in the group and also our online And we have our own DTC web shop for NutriVet and that has been performing really, really well. So no real issues there. Finally, as Jenny said also, that we now see some really nice effects of the transformation that we did, bringing back the Amazon sales for predominantly Proden Black Off and some other brands from Amazon to Fulfilled by Amazon. And that means that we get the top line sales and also we get more control of the marketing. And we just need to tweak it a bit from a bottom line perspective, our marketing efforts. But we see a really, really good effect on the programs that we have launched. So the growth was really good in the quarter. And mentioning some product launches, our Italian company Innoveth has launched a completely new concept or revamped a best-selling line in in the joint category in Italy with really good results. And they have just started launching it. And as Jenny said, the Italian market is one of the markets where we get the best data from the animal health sector. And it's been an impressive growth this year in Italy as a whole market, 9% now in Q3. And Innovate delivered 22% in Italy and 17% counting all of the international actions as well. So we've been doing really, really well. Our efforts when it comes to e-com continues. We work more with influencer and marketing for a couple of our brands, launching exclusive collaborations with Suplus as we've been discussing and presenting. So excited to see about that. We're actually shipping, have been shipping products to Suplus now in October. So it didn't affect the Q3, but the team here has been working hard with it. And overall, we... we just keep on, let's say, becoming better and better when it comes to online. So we're excited about that. And our, let's say, group team are helping out to more group companies than before. We have more capacity and also the interest from group companies to be getting some help is very good. Net sales for the rest of the world, that's still a small portion of our sales, 2% of our sales, down 28%, but as Jenny said, it was an Asian pharma development project that was multi-multi-million dollar. invoicing in Q3 last year. And those are, I mean, lumpy projects. They are invoiced in certain milestones. So, but looking at the rest of our international sales grew by 10% and the markets that did best was Proden Plakov, as usual, RX Vitamins, NatureVet and Nutavet delivering growth to the group. Looking at different regions in the world, Asia continues to be good, except for China, but I'm happy to say that we will ship an order again to China for proton plaque off in Q4. So we have received that. So it's picking up again. But China is still slow. The sentiment in China is tough. And we are preparing a couple of more brands to enter into China. But it's both due to regulatory. It takes time. But also from a marketing perspective, let's say, timing perspective, we have chosen to be a bit more cautious with China and that we probably won't be launching any new brands in China in Q4. It will be in 2025 when we feel it's the right timing to do it. South America is continuing to deliver really well. Chile and... Your guy Brazil and also Central America with Mexico and really good growth and and looking good for going forward as well. And look at the prior priorities 2024 no big difference from last time basically growth profitability and lowering debt level that that that continues. So that's really we will we are really focused on and the ending. on a good path for 2024. So we are very focused on delivering predominantly a stronger profitability in Q4 than Q3. And also, as I said, looking at the, we don't give, let's say, forecast for individual companies, but I can definitely say that the Amazon sales to our partner in Q4 will be stronger than in Q3. And what we've been working a lot with, not me that much, but the excellent team that we have in our NatureVet team, they've been working really hard, as I presented previously, that they are focusing entering the big box retail 2025 and onwards. So we are in very final stages with a couple of important partners and And I will report to the market when that happens, if in the queue for reporting or whenever it happens, perhaps not as a single press release, but still, we will communicate what happens in this important channel for us. And we were also, I said that we were evaluating a move from external to internal concerning manufacturing online sales. specifically the online sales using the PetMD platform. And we are moving forward with that. So for a couple of brands that have been working either with a partner or some other setup, we will be utilizing in North America the PetMD platform more for our smaller brands. excited about that. Product launches and development. I will present in the Q4 reporting about all the product launches that we do because we do a lot every quarter and that's perhaps something that the market doesn't really realize that we are very effective in launching new products and and launching new and innovative products to the market. So that will be a focus area in the next quarterly report. I will present a couple of new products that we have launched in the year of 2024. What we also have been focused a lot with the bigger customers, both pet retail and also the big box retailers is really lifting the dialogue with them. We have been investing in research on customer, let's say, preferences and pet owner preferences and pet owner, let's say, the decisions to buy one product or one brand for another and the long-term strategies, what the key opinion leaders and experts see in the future. So we have been and are going to have in this end of the year, lots of, let's say, strategy and meetings together with the major players in the market, predominantly in North America. So that will lead both to, let's say, branded opportunities for us, and also when it comes to advanced private label collaborations that we have a good dialogue and also present and decide on a, let's say, longer term plan for a brand. Either it's our brand or a private label. So it's more of a, let's say, three year strategy for product launches. So we are focusing into having a longer look at the market going forward. Evaluating potentially closing on M&A opportunities, nothing changed there. We have dialogues ongoing all the time, but it is still a bit of a challenge when it comes to valuation. The average, I just read a report this week, the average multiple on on price to EBITDA had gone down to 17.4 in North America compared to 21.2 a year ago, but there were basically not that many deals done a year ago. So it's still an attractive industry, lots of activity predominantly from the I would guess that the majority, and not only guess, I would say that the majority of the transaction being made is by PE players that has been a bit quicker re-entering the market compared to industry players. And some have some challenges like we do when looking at the The valuations and multiples on public companies in the sector compared to private. A couple of years ago, it was a very big difference between public and private in the way that the public traded at a lot, lot, lot higher multiples. And now it's the other way around that many private companies are being paid higher multiples than public companies being traded. So that is a bit of a challenge, but I would say we have ongoing discussions. expect us to be active the coming years when it comes to M&A. And now I'm happy to introduce John Kane, our production director for the group, joined SwedenCare by the acquisition of Edeo in the summer of 2021. And John has been been very important to our whole group when it comes to product development and manufacturing. And I'm very pleased to introduce him to you. John, over to you.

speaker
John Kane
Production Director

Thank you, Håkon. Good morning. As Håkon said, my name is John Kane. I'm the CEO of Veteo and in group management responsible for production. Been with SwedenCare since July 1, 2021 with the acquisition of Veteo. Next slide. As Hoken and Jenny said earlier, the production group has had a strong performance in Q3. Certainly when you look at Q3 last year, obviously there would be some smoothing around the quarters around this time last year, but still an overall really good trend upwards to the right. This includes both internal and to internal SwedenCare sister companies, as well as external contract manufacturing revenue, which exceeds, and I'll get into that a little bit later, the split between internal versus external. This is really across all four production entities of Vedeo, as I'll get into later. Really good momentum building off of pipeline wins this year, and next year we'll be getting the full effect of that. So we expect some good momentum carry into next year. So who is Vedeo Animal Health? At a glance, unlike some of the other sister companies, we do not market products. We don't have our own brands. We are a contract development and manufacturing organization. And that's our focus. We are completely dedicated to animal health. We have customers around the world. Our legacy is really product development and research development. We have, in each case, a strong development team. And then we build out facilities and manufacturing around those technologies and platforms. So we have customers around the world for product categories like pharmaceuticals. So these are veterinary drugs made up in our Montreal, Quebec area. facility. These can be tablets, soft chews based on our patented technology, which I'll get into later. Nutritional supplements is an area that we are participating in three of the four operations. This is a very, it's a growing category. It's the biggest category for SwedenCare. It's a strong market. We expect to do very well in that market with our soft chew technology that we're currently building out in several of our locations and expanding. The topicals are liquid products. These are typically grooming and care products. We do have dental and oral care, but grooming, dermatology, things like that. In the US, we are the largest CMO for this category historically. And then palatants, something you've heard about probably recently for us, we have, these are flavor systems which enhance the palatability of drug products, supplement products. These are both solid dosage form products and liquid products. And we have some proprietary technology formulations that we have submitted even to the FDA for a veterinary master file. So we have kind of proven technology around enhancement and palatability. And then we have these dossiers on file for drug companies around the world that want to leverage these into their latest product development with all the information at their fingertips. Globally, we've been expanding. When Vedeo was acquired, we had two geographic locations, Montreal, which we call Vedeo North, and Jupiter, Florida, Vedeo South. And then with the acquisition of Custom Vet products just about almost two years ago in the UK, rebranded as Vedeo about a year ago, And then the Waterford Ireland Historic Sweden Care site, which will be rebranded as Vedeo in early 2025. So four operations around the world. At the center of it all is our employees, our greatest asset. We're very proud of our cultural and gender diversity, as you can see. And with 229 employees, 62 of them are technical people, meaning scientists, engineers. The root of what we do is innovation and product development. So we have a strong team to drive that forward. Another asset which we hold dear is our intellectual property. We have patents around our soft shoe, both formulation and process technology. This is a technology that was developed in Montreal starting about 10 years ago. We had filed for a patent in 2018, have received, been awarded that patent globally around the world, many jurisdictions, and have lots of activity in the drug development area leveraging that IP. And then we were fortunate to take that IP into the nutritional supplement or nutraceutical category, both in video South Jupiter, and then leveraging it into our European and UK operations as I'll talk about. So that technology is a platform technology cutting across both pharmaceuticals and nutritional supplements. And it leverages, in most cases, our own palatant technology. So there are a lot of synergies within those two technologies, which we call FlavorPal, the palatability expertise that we've had for years in formulating drugs for pets. As we know, pets... unlike humans, need something to taste good in order for them to take it. And our FlavorPal technology and brand has been strong, but really limited in terms of the number of products. So what we've done is we've expanded that, and I'll get into that a bit later. As I said, we are global, both in operations, but more importantly, in terms of our customers, we have customers around the world. And for our Vetio North business alone, we do business with customers across the world on five continents. So we are growing our global reach and very proud to serve large pharma companies around the world, as well as large animal health and pet brands. We have a pretty even split, as you can see by channel. Historically, we've been larger on the veterinary channel, working through the animal health companies for things like the topical products. And then of course, our drug products are all sold through the vet channel. But what's happened recently with our foray into supplements with Vetio South and then the growing business in Vetio UK, we're seeing more growth in the pet retail and online or pet specialty space. So it's a nice balance that we've achieved between those channels. Position well for growth. And then on a global basis, we are just shy of 25% internal to sister companies within SwedenCare. So when Veteo was acquired, we were already doing business with some of these companies. And essentially, now that we're all under the same parent company, we've intensified the efforts to look at insourcing where we can, where it makes sense. We've accomplished a few significant products in 2023, but then in this year, we've converted some others that we'll see the full benefit next year. This number was probably under 20% when we add SwedenCare Ireland or Veteo Europe. It pulls that up a bit. We do expect in both cases, strong growth next year. So not sure how that'll look next year, but it'll be good growth in both cases. So that's the important thing. Take a step back and talk about the industry we operate in. This is the global companion animal industry or pet industry. In animal health, as you probably well know, there's a whole nother industry around food animal, livestock, large animal. that we don't participate in. So that's a probably equally large industry with different dynamics. But when you look at the markets we play in, it's veterinary pharmaceuticals and pet supplements, both very nice markets. The vet pharmaceutical market is obviously more established. It's been around longer. Parasiticides make up flea tick, heartworm type products make up nearly half of that market. Strong growth across all of them, as you can see. anti-infectives and others. We out of Vetio North, we have development projects, multiple projects across all these categories. So this is a nice growing market. We're well positioned for future growth. And then in terms of pet supplements, this is a market that is very strong. You heard my colleagues, Jeff Granger and Laszlo Varga talk about in North America and in Europe, the efforts that we have there, the positions we have. In North America, it's been a really strong market. growing market. Europe is behind, but growing very nicely as well. So we will see continued momentum there. And then, as I said, one of our biggest initiatives is implementing increased video software technology and capacity around the world. So when you add these up, this is a $10 billion available market at the customer level. And then when you look at on a manufacturing basis where we're focused as video, that's a $2.5 billion market. And we see the outsourcing trends are strong. So while it's about 50% outsourced now, we think that can continue to grow based on where our customers want to spend their dollars, where they want to invest their time. So in a $1.25 billion market, addressable market, lots of room for us to grow. We're very well positioned in both of these categories for strong growth going forward. Touching on some of the trends, why this is a good market for CDMOs and particularly video. As I mentioned, there's tend to be an outsourcing trend. It's a reduction of fixed costs and to increase the flexibility to invest those resources into R&D, into new product launches. One of the things we've seen is some carve outs from large animal health companies carving out their manufacturing operations so that they can focus, as I said, more on marketing and investment in research and development. And then there's also concerns from a pharmaceutical standpoint, particularly in making human and animal products in the same facility. You can imagine some of the drugs that are used for pets are leveraged. They come from the human pharma space, but most of them are not. you know, parasiticides, antiparasiticides are not things you'd want to cross contaminate with other human pharma products. So from day one, you know, Vedeo was really a contract development company, meaning, you know, as Hoken said, some lumpiness in terms of a multimillion dollar development contract. But then we added the manufacturing up in Vedeo North about six years ago and have a nice pipeline going in there. So we've been dedicated to animal health since the founding of Vedeo North, but even recently through the manufacturing. And we have, you know, we offer a full solution, meaning pre-formulation, formulation, complete analytical development, scale-up, and manufacturing. So we are a one-stop shop for our customers with regard to chemistry manufacturing controls on new drug developments and in these cases in other parts of the world, supplements. Increased R&D spending. Thank you. Obviously, we all know this is a great industry. There's a lot of interest in this industry, as we know. The largest companies are also seeking external innovation. The reason for this is they have certain fixed costs in R&D, but they can't address all the unmet needs that are still out there. So what's happened is there's become a burgeoning startup community, which we've tapped into very well because of our nimbleness, because of our scale on the one hand, but then our flexibility and speed and agility on the other hand. We've been able to tap into that and we've seen very successful startups take new therapies to market with our help and then license them or sell them off to a large customer, large animal health company. And then finally, soft chew. This is a very critical dosage form. The intellectual property barrier for pharmaceuticals, many years ago when the large health companies were bringing blockbuster multi-API drugs to market, these were often in a soft chew format and there was a pretty big landscape around intellectual property. which we were able to navigate with our own technology. As I said earlier, this is a formulation and process technology. And we've been able to not only be successful in that with pharmaceuticals, which is the most stringent requirement, but we've leveraged that technology into nutritional supplements or nutraceuticals. This is a premium format. Pets obviously, you know, prefer the palatability, the texture, the aroma of a soft shoe over a tablet. And we do tablets as well, of course, but we're able to take this technology. We see a really nice runway for this around the world. Okay, so on a global level, touch on sort of a snapshot of each of the four entities, beginning with Video North in Canada. And in 2024, year to date through September, we've experienced greater than 20% growth. As Håkon said, we had some lumpiness time to time on the development side. That shows really a lot of projects coming through and milestones achieved, which is a good thing. But we've implemented manufacturing to smooth that out and obviously to fuel growth in the future. But we're happy to say that really over the last year, we've built up our largest development pipeline ever. When we built our facility in Montreal, we did that to capitalize on our own pipeline, of course, and now we've been able to grow that considerably. And in the case of soft chew, a highest number of drug products using our soft chew technology. With that, we've also launched eight new FlavorPal paletins this year with veterinary master files on file with FDA. So this was a huge compliment to the team in Vedeo North. As I said earlier, we've leveraged the FlavorPal technology into some on-trend categories, products of non-animal origin, hypoallergenic, things like that to make them more globally acceptable and for export and import. And then we have, you know, 2025, we expect and really going forward, at least two drug approvals a year leading to manufacturing in our plant. So with manufacturing starting for us in probably five years ago, you know, we should be building up the number of drug products that we are making nicely over the years with some nice volume products coming forward. In Vedeo South, again, greater than 20% growth. This is our largest entity on a revenue basis and number of employees. Really what the effort this year was to really ramp up our supplement facility, which was new. We expanded in Vedeo South, really entered that facility in 2022 and started ramping up our production of soft shoes for first the US supplement market. And now we are supplying some customers overseas while video EU and UK ramp up their full capacity. Again, a large development pipeline. This has caused us to have to staff up to serve that, both in R&D and then in commercial project management. So we have a strong future in that space. And one of the other things we've done this year, both through the nutritional supplements, of course, but also in our liquid products, we've entered more pet specialty retail areas. customers with some slowing in the VET channel that we saw over the last couple of years. We focused a bit on the retail side and have achieved some wins there. So really 2025 looks good for us. We feel good about going into the year across all four entities. And with Veteo EU, this is historically SwedenCare Ireland. which is about two-thirds supplying internal SwedenCare customers, achieved 15% growth year-to-date. As I said, this will be rebranded as Vedeo EU, as we're making an investment right now, capital investment in Vedeo soft-chew technology, which the production area was completed during the quarter. using originally the custom vet products process. As I mentioned, that acquisition was made by SwedenCare two years ago, and David Ryder and his team have joined Veteo, and we have a really strong global cooperation and coordination around EU and North American customers. So we're excited to be making soft chews now in Ireland, and then with the Veteo technology being ramped up sometime in Q1, late Q1, making the same technology that we use in Jupiter, the same technology we use in Montreal and in Video UK. So we're excited about that. Betty UK, strongest growth. It's well over 100%. We expect that to be about 100% or more after Q4. We really have just capitalized on some nice project wins. We've staffed up there as well, post-acquisition, really in this last year to address commercial and project management. And we are undertaking right now Another expansion in our Hastings facility. This was a new facility. We had a facility in Hastings and we're moved to a larger facility, which we are operating out of. But just like with Veteo EU, we are undergoing a Veteo soft shoe technology scale up a little ahead of Ireland. And so we're pretty excited. We'll tour customers through that facility here soon. And again, positioned for nice growth in 2025. So what are the next four quarters look like? A lot of it is really executing on what's already in front of us, which is the best situation to be in in business. Really execute on the existing drug development pipeline. We are obviously out securing new drug development projects, but we're really going to focus on driving them across the finish line for approval. And then really continue to drive product placements in our growing line of flavor pal palatants. This has been an initiative, as I said, we started on the development side over a year ago to really create a portfolio that we could bring to both large and small businesses. customers. Of course, in the product developments that we control, where we're formulating the product, we're placing FlavorPal in those, but we're also selling it around the world. So the growing number of placements is going to drive revenue going forward. with Vedeo South really to support the growing global project pipeline with the US technical team. So we have global customers, some of them we're manufacturing for in Jupiter and we're transitioning, we'll be transitioning that over to the EU and UK. That team is managing its own project pipeline, but also working with the European folks and to drive know-how and technology transfer to those regions. And then with Vedeo UK and Ireland being smaller entities, probably the largest opportunity for growth. And as we go into that European and UK market in a stronger way with more capacity, we really feel confident that we're just getting started with a lot of the global brands that we have. So with that, Thank you for having me here. I'd be happy to answer any questions. And as I said, we feel really good about 2025.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you, John. And by that, we are open for questions. And the first one comes from Angela. Please go ahead.

speaker
Angela
Analyst

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. The first one actually relates to your production business. And maybe this is one for John specifically. But do you feel like the, you know, as you expand this business, does that potentially result in added volatility in your overall group because of when the projects are timed and, you know, potential delays, et cetera, with larger projects as we've seen before? What's the view on that?

speaker
John Kane
Production Director

Yeah. John, go ahead. Yeah. Okay. Yeah. I mean, I think as we're building capabilities across video, as you heard, we're also leveraging that to manufacture for SwedenCare. So one distinction, so there's a benefit to SwedenCare with us having increased capabilities and capacity. One thing I do want to mention is is that we do treat internal and external customers the same with regard to pricing and that sort of thing. So it maintains integrity for us as a CDMO to earn that trust and to continue to grow. So I think what we see as we get bigger, that lumpiness will be less seen. But from a drug development standpoint, that's where the biggest lumpiness is. And that's been historical. It's rightly pointed out. But with manufacturing, that starts to smooth that out. So we feel good about how we are positioned across different markets, different channels. And then geographically, I think we've buffered ourselves from some of that volatility.

speaker
Angela
Analyst

That makes sense. And then maybe one for Håkan, as you expand into the big box retail, what does that mean in terms of competition? Is this a more competitive environment to be in than the other sales channels?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

No, I wouldn't say more competition. It's a market where that's grown really fast, but not all brands that compete in retail are there yet. But on the other hand, what you could say is that what we've experienced this year and also a bit last year is that that some online brands have entered the pet retail space and the big box retail space. So we've experienced more competition in the pet retail space and now we're happy to join the big box retail space and push some of the competition from us to them.

speaker
Angela
Analyst

That makes sense. But is there a specific reason why you haven't been in the big box retail previously?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Yes, it was a decision made strategy-wise to stay in the pet retail space. That was a long-term plan even prior to Swedencare owning Garmin. The timing is always, let's say, difficult to know when it's good to enter. But what we have seen, the possible fear that you might have is that you would lose out in the pet retail space if you enter big box retail. But we can definitely see by evidence now that our colleagues in the business that did enter big box retail a couple of years ago. They are not performing any less. Be good for us as well.

speaker
Angela
Analyst

Great. Thanks a lot.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Rikard. Please go ahead.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

Good morning. Thank you for taking my questions. So first one on operating leverage. So you deliver quite significant year-over-year improvement in gross margin, but the operating margin is down. You called out some higher OPEX and a double whammy there on the Amazon side. Should we assume similar OPEX level going forward? And when do you expect to close into the 25% EBITDA margin levels you sort of alluded to earlier this year? So I'll start there. Thank you.

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Well, no, I would expect higher operating margins in next quarter. Some of the things would double hit this quarter. For example, with the Amazon, with the NatureVet, where we invested, we didn't get the sales. So that's going to change, I would say, next quarter. And also we are also tweaking a little bit of the Amazon. This quarter was the first time in the UK where we made our marketing ourselves and we have to make sure that we are following the right KPIs when it comes to marketing. So I think it will be tweaked a little bit in the coming quarters. And I think that the operating margin is going to go up compared to this quarter.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

All right.

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Yeah. And, and, uh,

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Yeah, and also if you split out, let's say, the Amazon spending and compare it to other marketing, we do see leverage already when it comes to the other marketing spend.

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Yes, the increase that we have seen for the last quarter quarters and so on, it's all linked to marketing and mainly Amazon. So the rest of the external costs are kept in good control. And I think that we are seeing good improvements compared to our KPIs, external costs to sales.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

So is it reasonable to assume a little bit of a decline then in absolute OPEX levels for Q4 since there was some tweaking and some one-offs, I guess, in the quarter here?

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Yes, I expect definitely that the marketing is going to go down compared to sales in the next quarter.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

That's helpful. So you reported 21% decline in NatureVet. And just for clarity, could you break out sort of the Amazon impact in the quarter versus the retail customer shutting down the private label project? And what type of growth should we expect from NatureVet in Q4? Do you think you could get to double digit growth for that brand? And just trying to get a sense a little bit of the trajectory with a lot of moving parts here.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Yeah, since being the size that Amazon is, it's difficult to know the, let's say, the exact levels when it comes to forecasting because the majority of the sales, not the majority, but big part is really big customers where they're not always filling their inventory levels according to out-the-door sales. Nature is a tough, let's say, entity for us to really have good overview on the forecasting. But I can definitely say that when it comes to the Amazon sales, that will have to pick up and adjust to the out-the-door sales. So for the Amazon part of the business, definitely expect good growth. For the others, it's, yeah, I can't really say. I expect, I mean, NatureVet to be, or I know that NatureVet will be a lot better than in Q3, but I can't promise a double-digit growth for NatureVet. But definitely a big, big improvement, and where we will see some big, let's say, incremental growth for NatureVet, it will be when we add new big customers. So that's the big opportunities for us.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

Perfect. And a final topic, you seem to have quite nice growth prospects for 25, both from big box retailers as well as the manufacturing segment here. But can you talk a little bit about the margin contribution from these growth legs or initiatives? Will it be dilutive to sort of a 25% EBITDA margin level, or could you put it in context on the margin contribution from those two growth vectors? And also, if you could add what you expect to grow what type of growth you can add from big box retailers next year just to get a sense of how much it impacts the group in terms of growth potential thank you yeah how much is difficult to say before before we've really signed the contracts and know the timing of the launches but

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

We do not expect big box retailers to dilute the margin for NatureVet. What we are negotiating and discussing is at good margin levels like we have in the pet retail space. So it wouldn't be dilutive based on this new category.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

Okay, and just a quick follow up. Specifically, we're seeing quite an increase in potential for generics with some interesting patent cliffs coming up here. Maybe that's one for John, if you're still around. It would be interesting to hear a little bit on the potential or tailwinds you see from that.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Yes, go ahead.

speaker
John Kane
Production Director

Great question. Historically, the percent penetration of generics has been relatively low, but that you do see some blockbusters coming off of patent in the next coming years. Vedeo, we work with both pioneer drug developers and people in the generic space. So we're well positioned across both. We have projects covering all of the major blockbusters.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

That's very interesting. And the margins of these type of projects, is it dilutive to the mix you normally have in Vetio and the CDMO business?

speaker
John Kane
Production Director

No, it's a good question. It'll actually be a higher margin business. The development business itself is very high margin because it's, you know, there's a lot of value that goes into it, a fixed cost structure and whatnot. But our development margins are strong. And then manufacturing of drug products is higher than our gross profit margin across the group. So we expect when those hit manufacturing, that'll be a very nice benefit to Veteo North.

speaker
Rikard
Analyst

That's very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Johan. Please go ahead.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Hi, good morning, guys, and thank you for taking my question. Firstly, on NatureVet and the direct relationship that you will take with Amazon, you state that this will... Translate in 2025, sorry, 2026. Is there any risk on 2025 sales? Maybe due to the partner being less inclined to push or market your products now that they know that they will lose the contract. Any color on this dynamic will be very helpful. Thank you.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Thank you. Yeah, great question. No, no, I wouldn't say that what it will do. Now, this was, as you understand, we've had discussions and have had discussions with different scenarios. One being a couple of being a short term phase out that would be be more of a more of a more, let's say, more substantial change in the near time. And this alternative that we ended up with is what we call the long phase-out period. So I would say it will, how it's going to be phased out is still in discussions, but I wouldn't say that it would definitely not impact their will because they have a very good incentive how we split the cost and the structure for taking this collaboration is really based on the sales out the door on Amazon. So they are really motivated in working working to the end. And there's nothing to say that we won't have some sort of collaboration with them going forward. We are very much synced in and part of the, let's say, marketing initiatives and the spendings that we decide. We share the costs for many of them. So I would say that I wouldn't be surprised if we have more of a consultancy or some sort of... partner collaboration in 26 as well with them. But we will have the top line sales and we will have the full control of shipping into Amazon. So I don't expect any major impact in some certain quarter. Hopefully we can make it a very good transition facing out their inventory, etc. Or if we buy back some at the end of 25. I don't know about that, but I don't expect it to really shouldn't impact us that much. But let's say, let me come back with that. But overall sales going forward on Amazon in 25, we definitely expect that to out the door sales and also our sales will be stronger in 25 than in 24.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Got it. Very clear. Thank you. And on the private label contract that you lost during the quarter, you added some color, but do you mind, if you know, elaborate on the reasoning behind the customer choosing to close down the brand and roughly what's the impact on sales and earnings for NatureVet?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

um as i said a big big uh very very big pet retail chain um they closed it down um completely uh so so it's so important to say that they didn't close down us and come come and continue with the brand they completely i mean they have their metrics on on how how their brands are performing and looking at their own private labels compared to branded products and i and um and i guess they they weren't happy with that but uh But they have, as I said, they have re-engaged in discussions and strategies for private label because it is important to have, I think most of the other retailers have a private label within the supplementary side of the business. So the reasoning why they did it and the metrics, I don't really know, because it was as shown, as I've said here, it was the largest order last year was in Q3. So we had comp. So it was definitely a multi, I mean, year on year on several million dollars sales for us. So So hopefully we will be able to inform about restarting a new brand together with that partner in 2025. But let's see what happens with that. But a big, big impact for us this quarter.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And on NatureVet sales in Q4, sales out the door was approximately 13% higher than last year.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

On Amazon, sorry, on Amazon.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Okay, yeah, Amazon sales. Yeah, yeah, yeah, sorry. Is there any catch-up effect in Q4 from the lower sales in Q3, or should we just expect it to go back to normal?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

No, I would expect it more to go back to normal. But I can't really say. I don't have the exact numbers of the inventory levels of our partner for Amazon. So let's see what happens in Q4. But I would say that our sales to them will be more in line or a bit higher than what we are performing on Amazon in Q4 out the door. Then looking for other brands, we have some new placings already in January, specifically with a couple of new Proden Plakoff SKUs being supplied by by NatureVet into a really big pet retailer and also adding some NatureVet SKUs that hasn't been there previously. So I expect, compared to Q3, I expect, I mean, NatureVet's brand doing okay, good, but I can't say that it won't be a ketchup effect.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Okay, got it. Thank you. And could you quantify the channel split in the quarter? How much was online, how much was retail, and how much was veterinary sales, please?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Oh, I don't have that here, but...

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

No, I don't have that split, but we know that there was a stronger growth in the veterinary compared to pet and online is also very strong. So I would say that the online continues to take market share of the whole group. So being at least 40%, I would say. Yeah.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Okay, got it, thank you. And building on Rickard's question on the opportunity to enter the big box retail channel. Firstly, you state that the channel is approximately the same size as the pet retail channels. Could you just remind us or quantify what that is? Where do I have that?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

I don't have that number here. Oh, it's the... uh let's see i i think no let me come back with that one i i i don't want to want to guess here but but it is the same size i i know you know do you have that number in jeff granger's presentation um there this bit was between the the channels when it comes to supplements and retail okay great great thank you and and timing wise um for such an agreement is this

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Could we expect this to materialize in age 125? Or is this more tilted towards age two? Any indication there would be very helpful.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Yeah, it's difficult to say because the resets is really, they don't always communicate. What we know is that we are in several discussions and negotiations with resets. But they never really tell us, they won't tell the market, let's say, the resets dates. But normally, I would say, historically, it's been either just before summer or after summer.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Okay, yeah, very, very helpful. Thank you. And a final question. What would, if you were to speculate, what would be the implication on sales on a, let's say on a quarterly basis, roughly? Are we talking like 50 million or 250 million of such a contract?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

One contract, I wouldn't say it would be, I mean, 50 million would be a really good contract.

speaker
Johan
Analyst

Okay, that's perfect. Those were all of my questions. Thank you so much for taking the time. Thank you.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Your next question comes from Adrian. Please go ahead.

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Hi, good morning. Can you hear me? Yes. Yes. Perfect. Just some short questions for me. Just to touch again on Rickards question. Could you give some more details on how you're expecting this marketing campaigns to develop maybe into 2025? Like one could assume that it takes more time to build up an online platform and brands, et cetera. So maybe should it not continue at the elevated levels, even in 2025?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

We continue, uh, definitely. We, we, we expect, uh, all of our initiatives to, to, um, to, uh, add, let's say, uh, uh, stronger growth than, than the market, uh, when, when it comes to our, all of our online initiatives, definitely.

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Hmm. Jan-Willem Wasmann, And and regarding nature of it was again like how many quarters are expecting the drawback to remain for when you look at rolling 12 month I assume that year over year, we will have a negative effect on Q4 as well, and maybe going into each one 2025. Jan-Willem Wasmann, um.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

We definitely expect the 2025, it will start delivering really nice growth when we will add the big box retailers and also more initiatives on the online sales as it didn't really contribute anything this quarter. It was negative in this quarter compared to the 13% out the door sales.

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Jan-Willem Wasmann, Okay, and and potentially closing m&a you said, could you perhaps give some more details on on that, like what sizes are we talking about this it's similar to med vent or.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Jan-Willem Wasmann, Okay, given I know it's very, very difficult say we would we would know bed band was was a small small acquisition, so I would say, and those are always easier to to find and to to to to close so so I wouldn't say that, but, but we would be. We would definitely be, if you give me a question what I would prefer, then I would definitely prefer a bit bigger. We are in a good position. We have a good organization for acquiring companies. We have a good organization for onboarding and good, let's say, success cases for being so active that we have been. So I would say I prefer bigger than smaller, but I can't say that you should expect bigger than smaller as the next closing. You never know.

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Okay, thank you. Just two short questions more if I have time. So Copics now is less than 2% of sales. Is that maybe lower than it historically and that it should be going forward as well?

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

Yes, we communicated. We did a lot of investments in 22 and also in 23. And that's why it panned out a little bit. We still have actually done investments like John was talking about. We are ramping up the software production in both Ireland and in the UK. So we are making that. And I have communicated out that we want our CapEx to be below 3%. And that's where we are. And I don't expect it to increase more than 3% next year either.

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Jone Peter Reistadler, Okay perfect and then and then you also studied on the on the slide here that you are evaluating the the cons and pros of moving from external to internal manufacturing and online sales.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

you maybe explain what the process what you're evaluating exactly maybe i just missed that sorry no no no it was more um not really uh we definitely are are are focusing on taking uh external suppliers uh to to to manufacture internal that that's definitely just an ongoing process but what i meant with with that one was more more that what we are It's utilizing the knowledge and competence that we now are and now that we have and have built up in our, let's say, PetMD platform and also our now European e-com team that many of them are sitting here in Malmo and in the UK. It's just that we keep on, let's say, transferring brands into those platforms. And also, not only internal, actually, we also take on a couple of brands, external brands that we think are interesting and see what we can do with them online. For example, Rylis is a really good example on that. We took over their Amazon sales prior to us acquiring them. And we saw the potential that we were able to grow the sales a lot with our, let's say, programs that we have on Amazon and the competence that we have. So that made us really confident in acquiring in Rylis. And what we've seen now is that it keeps on delivering. So that's a process that we have built up and we will continue with that. very good let's say part to have when I discuss with smaller brands acquisitions where we see that they are small now but when we get more and more knowledge what we feel confident of what we can do with that brand going online that is definitely a good input for us to have in the process of deciding if we are going to acquire or not

speaker
Adrian
Analyst

Okay, thank you everyone. That's all for me.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Your next and final question comes from Christian. Please go ahead.

speaker
Christian
Analyst

Yes, thank you. I have a short follow-up question regarding your operational EBTA margin in the fourth quarter. You mentioned that you expected it to improve compared to the third quarter. Should we expect it to be aligned with what you had in the first half of this year or perhaps towards 25%?

speaker
Jenny Graflind
CFO

It will be a bit stronger than where we are right now. Maybe closer to, maybe something in between what we had first half year and 25. I don't think we're going to be at 25. That's quite a big jump to where we are from right now, but it will be an improvement.

speaker
Christian
Analyst

All right. And given all the moving parts, do you expect the margin to get close to 25% next year?

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Well, we haven't received all of the budgets for the group companies, but definitely that's... We are very focused on... and want to deliver improved bottom line. So we're definitely working hard to improve the EBITDA levels.

speaker
Christian
Analyst

Okay, perfect. Thank you. That's all from me.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you all. That concludes our Q&A session. Back to you guys for any closing comments.

speaker
Håkan Lagerberg
CEO

Thank you for the interest in participating in this venue. And I apologize for the video. We didn't get that to work for Jenny and me. I don't know what happened. But really, really a big thank you to all of you and to Jenny and John doing a really good presentation and work. And looking forward to seeing you all in Apple Q4.

speaker
Operator
Moderator

Thank you. Bye. Bye-bye. Thanks.

Disclaimer

This conference call transcript was computer generated and almost certianly contains errors. This transcript is provided for information purposes only.EarningsCall, LLC makes no representation about the accuracy of the aforementioned transcript, and you are cautioned not to place undue reliance on the information provided by the transcript.

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